Researchers developed an earthquake prediction software and evaluated its performance. This earthquake prediction software is suitable for short-term earthquake prediction. This approach relies on the deep involvement...Researchers developed an earthquake prediction software and evaluated its performance. This earthquake prediction software is suitable for short-term earthquake prediction. This approach relies on the deep involvement of water vapors that occur just before an earthquake caused by a decrease in pressure and an increase in temperature, leading to a 70.5% prediction accuracy within a month in Japan. In addition, we have tried to develop a new practical method to warn earthquakes for not only Japan but also global scale. In other words, this paper is dedicated to improving the short-term earthquake prediction software from Japan to global scale. In global scale, the prediction rate improved to 80.8%.展开更多
Photosynthetic species belonging to Symbiodiniaceae play important ecological roles in coral reef ecosystems. Nine phylogenetically supported Symbiodiniaceae clades(each containing multiple genetically distinct molecu...Photosynthetic species belonging to Symbiodiniaceae play important ecological roles in coral reef ecosystems. Nine phylogenetically supported Symbiodiniaceae clades(each containing multiple genetically distinct molecular types) have been detected in reef-associated animals and in seawater or sediments near coral reef areas. Although major advances in research on Symbiodiniaceae diversity have been made, information on the global-scale diversity and distribution characteristics of Symbiodiniaceae clades/types is still limited or must be expanded because most studies on Symbiodiniaceae have mainly focused on a limited number of hosts associated with Symbiodiniaceae or coral reef areas. Here, the diversity and distribution characteristics of Symbiodiniaceae data derived from reef-associated animals and seawater or sediments near coral reef areas were analyzed using 3899 qualified Symbiodiniaceae internal transcribed spacer 2(ITS2) sequences retrieved from the GenBank database in May 2017. These sequences were annotated as Symbiodiniaceae ITS2 types via sequence alignment against database of Symbiodiniaceae ITS2 types. Results showed that photosynthetic Symbiodiniaceae ITS2 sequences could be annotated as 119 Symbiodiniaceae ITS2 types within nine clades(A–I), and Symbiodiniaceae ITS2 types mainly inhabited coral reefs between 30?N and 30?S. Symbiodiniaceae ITS2 types could be associated with multiple host taxa. Interestingly, these results implied that the distribution of Symbiodiniaceae ITS2 types was distinct in the Atlantic Ocean, the Red Sea, the Mediterranean Sea, and the Indo-Pacific Ocean. Although future field research should be performed to verify our results, this study provided a broad perspective of the diversity of Symbiodiniaceae clades/types on a global scale.展开更多
International frameworks such as the Sustainable Development Goals and the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030 require the quantification of country-based flood risk.However,few approaches at the gl...International frameworks such as the Sustainable Development Goals and the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030 require the quantification of country-based flood risk.However,few approaches at the global scale include the three necessary components(hazard,exposure,and vulnerability)for determining disaster risk and are country-based assessments,owing to major challenges such as limited data availability and vulnerability proxy selection.Therefore,in this study,a method was developed with the following features:Incorporating the hazard,exposure,and vulnerability components;Applicable to the vast majority of countries in the world;Visualizing priority countries and illustrating effective measures and strategies;Clear and easy to understand by leaders and decision makers of international organizations,governments,and other stakeholders;Identifying each country’s challenges and providing guidance on specific issues for more detailed investigation and policy creation;Including more extensive factors compared with past studies.In Asia and the Pacific,the Flood Risk Index computed by the developed method is compared with the fatality ratio,and the results show that improving flood resilience secures people and society regardless of the magnitude and frequency of floods.Analysis at the global scale visualizes regional tendencies and indicates that countries closer to the equator have higher flood risk.Analysis of country-based flood risk based on five indicators demonstrates that the developed method can assist international organizations,governments,and other stakeholders to further examine country-specific conditions and establish and implement policies and strategies toward building a resilient society and achieving international targets.展开更多
The three-dimensional nonlinear quasi-geostrophic potential vorticity equation is reduced to a linear form in the stream function in spherical coordinates for the permanent wave solutions consisting of zonal wavenumbe...The three-dimensional nonlinear quasi-geostrophic potential vorticity equation is reduced to a linear form in the stream function in spherical coordinates for the permanent wave solutions consisting of zonal wavenumbers from 0 to n and rn vertical components with a given degree n.This equation is solved by treating the coefficient of the Coriolis parameter square in the equation as the eigenvalue both for sinusoidal and hyperbolic variations in vertical direction. It is found that these solutions can represent the observed long term flow patterns at the surface and aloft over the globe closely. In addition, the sinusoidal vertical solutions with large eigenvalue G are trapped in low latitude,and the scales of these trapped modes are longer than 10 deg. lat. even for the top layer of the ocean and hence they are much larger than that given by the equatorial β-plane solutions.Therefore such baroclinic disturbances in the ocean can easily interact with those in the atmosphere.Solutions of the shallow water potential vorticity equation are treated in a similar manner but with the effective depth H=RT/g taken as limited within a small range for the atmosphere.The propagation of the flow energy of the wave packet consisting of more than one degree is found to be along the great circle around the globe both for barotropic and for baroclinic flows in the atmosphere.展开更多
The aim of the present study was to identify multi-decadal variability （MDV） relative to the current centennial global warming trend in available observation data.The centennial global wanning trend was first identi...The aim of the present study was to identify multi-decadal variability （MDV） relative to the current centennial global warming trend in available observation data.The centennial global wanning trend was first identified in the global mean surface temperature （STgm） data.The MDV was identified based on three sets of climate variables,including sea surface temperature （SST）,ocean temperature from the surface to 700 m,and the NCEP and ERA40 reanalysis datasets,respectively.All variables were detrended and low-pass filtered.Through three independent EOF analyses of the filtered variables,all results consistently showed two dominant modes,with their respective temporal variability resembling the Pacific Decadal Oscillation/Inter-decadal Pacific Oscillation （PDO/IPO） and the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation （AMO）.The spatial structure of the PDO-like oscillation is characterized by an ENSO-like structure and hemispheric symmetric features.The structure associated with the AMO-like oscillation exhibits hemispheric asymmetric features with anomalous warm air over Eurasia and warm SST in the Atlantic and Pacific basin north of 10°S,and cold SST over the southern oceans.The Pacific and Atlantic MDV in upper-ocean temperature suggest that they are mutually linked.We also found that the PDO-like and AMO-like oscillations are almost equally important in global-scale MDV by EOF analyses.In the period 1975-2005,the evolution of the two oscillations has given rise to strong temperature trends and has contributed almost half of the STgm warming.Hereon,in the next decade,the two oscillations are expected to slow down the global warming trends.展开更多
Dynamics of land use systems have attracted much attention from scientists around the world due to their ecological and socio-economic implications. An integrated model to dynamically simulate future changes in sown a...Dynamics of land use systems have attracted much attention from scientists around the world due to their ecological and socio-economic implications. An integrated model to dynamically simulate future changes in sown areas of four major crops (rice, maize, wheat and soybean) on a global scale is pre- sented. To do so, a crop choice model was developed on the basis of Multinomial Logit (Logit) model to model land users' decisions on crop choices among a set of available alternatives with using a crop utility function. A GIS-based Environmental Policy Integrated Climate (EPIC) model was adopted to simulate the crop yields under a given geophysical environment and farming management conditions, while the International Food Policy and Agricultural Simulation (IFPSIM) model was utilized to estimate crop price in the international market. The crop choice model was linked with the GIS-based EPIC model and the IFPSIM model through data exchange. This integrated model was then validated against the FAO statistical data in 2001-2003 and the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) global land cover product in 2001. Both validation approaches indicated reliability of the model for ad- dressing the dynamics in agricultural land use and its capability for long-term scenario analysis. Finally, the model application was designed to run over a time period of 30 a, taking the year 2000 as baseline. The model outcomes can help understand and explain the causes, locations and consequences of land use changes, and provide support for land use planning and policy making.展开更多
This paper studies the global exponential stability of competitive neural networks with different time scales and time-varying delays. By using the method of the proper Lyapunov functions and inequality technique, som...This paper studies the global exponential stability of competitive neural networks with different time scales and time-varying delays. By using the method of the proper Lyapunov functions and inequality technique, some sufficient conditions are presented for global exponential stability of delay competitive neural networks with different time scales. These conditions obtained have important leading significance in the designs and applications of global exponential stability for competitive neural networks. Finally, an example with its simulation is provided to demonstrate the usefulness of the proposed criteria.展开更多
In the context of constructing Global Energy Interconnection(GEI), energy storage technology, as one of the important basic supporting technologies in power system, will play an important role in the energy configurat...In the context of constructing Global Energy Interconnection(GEI), energy storage technology, as one of the important basic supporting technologies in power system, will play an important role in the energy configuration and optimization. Based on the most promising battery energy storage technology, this paper introduces the current status of the grid technology, the application of large-scale energy storage technology and the supporting role of battery energy storage for GEI. Based on several key technologies of large-scale battery energy storage system, preliminary analysis of the standard system construction of energy storage system is made, and the future prospect is put forward.展开更多
This paper first analyzes the features of two classes of numerical methods for global analysis of nonlinear dynamical systems, which regard state space respectively as continuous and discrete ones. On basis of this un...This paper first analyzes the features of two classes of numerical methods for global analysis of nonlinear dynamical systems, which regard state space respectively as continuous and discrete ones. On basis of this understanding it then points out that the previously proposed method of point mapping under cell reference (PMUCR), has laid a frame work for the development of a two scaled numerical method suitable for the global analysis of high dimensional nonlinear systems, which may take the advantages of both classes of single scaled methods but will release the difficulties induced by the disadvantages of them. The basic ideas and main steps of implementation of the two scaled method, namely extended PMUCR, are elaborated. Finally, two examples are presented to demonstrate the capabilities of the proposed method.展开更多
The global exponentially stability was studied for time-delay and time-varying measure large scale systems with impulsive effects. Firstly, the concepts are drawn for the functional category. Secondly, some sufficient...The global exponentially stability was studied for time-delay and time-varying measure large scale systems with impulsive effects. Firstly, the concepts are drawn for the functional category. Secondly, some sufficient conditions of the uniformly stability and the global exponentially stability are given for the above systems through defining a Lyapunov function of the weighting sum of the variable absolute by using the Lyapunov function method and the comparison principle. At the same time, the new conclusion of stability of these systems is more universal and contains the existing results. Finally, an example is given to illustrate the feasibility and validity of the obtained results.展开更多
Analysis is done of five-year low-pass filtered data by a five-layer low-order global spectral model, indicating that although any non-seasonal external forcing is not considered in the model atmosphere,monthly-scale ...Analysis is done of five-year low-pass filtered data by a five-layer low-order global spectral model, indicating that although any non-seasonal external forcing is not considered in the model atmosphere,monthly-scale anomaly takes place which is of remarkable seasonality and interannual variability.Analysis also shows that for the same seasonal external forcing the model atmosphere can exhibit two climatic states,similar in the departure pattern but opposite in sign, indicating that the anomaly is but the manifestation of the adverse states, which supports the theory of multi-equilibria proposed by Charney and Devore(1979) once again.Finally, the source for the low-frequency oscillation of the global atmosphere is found to be the convective heat source / sink inside the tropical atmosphere as discussed before in our study.Therefore, the key approach to the exploration of atmospheric steady low-frequency oscillation and the associated climatic effect lies in the examination of the distribution of convective heat sources / sinks and the variation in the tropical atmosphere.展开更多
A straightforward multi-scale boundary element method is proposed for global and local mechanical analysis of heterogeneous material.The method is more accurate and convenient than finite element based multi-scale met...A straightforward multi-scale boundary element method is proposed for global and local mechanical analysis of heterogeneous material.The method is more accurate and convenient than finite element based multi-scale method.The formulations of this method are derived by combining the homogenization approach and the fundamental equations of boundary element method.The solution gives the convenient formulations to compute global elastic constants and the local stress field.Finally,two numerical examples of porous material are presented to prove the accuracy and the efficiency of the proposed method.The results show that the method does not require the iteration to obtain the solution of the displacement in micro level.展开更多
In order to assess the performance of two versions of the IAP/LASG Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere- Land System （FGOALS） model, simulated changes in surface air temperature （SAT）, from natural and an- thropogenie...In order to assess the performance of two versions of the IAP/LASG Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere- Land System （FGOALS） model, simulated changes in surface air temperature （SAT）, from natural and an- thropogenie forcings, were compared to observations for the period 1850-2005 at global, hemispheric, conti- nental and regional scales. The global and hemispheric averages of SAT and their land and ocean components during 1850-2005 were well reproduced by FGOALS-g2, as evidenced by significant correlation coefficients and small RMSEs. The significant positive correlations were firstly determined by the warming trends, and secondly by interdecadal fluctuations. The abilities of the models to reproduce interdecadal SAT variations were demonstrated by both wavelet analysis and significant positive correlations for detrended data. The observed land-sea thermal contrast change was poorly simulated. The major weakness of FGOALS-s2 was an exaggerated warming response to anthropogenic forcing, with the simulation showing results that were far removed from observations prior to the 1950s. The observations featured warming trends （1906-2005） of 0.71, 0.68 and 0.79℃ （100 yr）-1 for global, Northern and Southern Hemispheric averages, which were overestimated by FGOALS-s2 [1.42, 1.52 and 1.13~C （100 yr）-1] but underestimated by FGOALS-g2 [0.69, 0.68 and 0.73~C （100 yr）-l]. The polar amplification of the warming trend was exaggerated in FGOALS- s2 but weakly reproduced in FGOALS-g2. The stronger response of FGOALS-s2 to anthropogenic forcing was caused by strong sea-ice albedo feedback and water vapor feedback. Examination of model results in 15 selected subcontinental-scale regions showed reasonable performance for FGOALS-g2 over most regions. However, the observed warming trends were overestimated by FGOALS-s2 in most regions. Over East Asia, the meridional gradient of the warming trend simulated by FGOALS-s2 （FGOALS-g2） was stronger （weaker） than observed.展开更多
The Task Group on Global Geochemical Baselines,operating under the auspices of both the International Union of Geological Sciences(IUGS) and the International Association of Geochemistry(IAGC),has the long-term goal o...The Task Group on Global Geochemical Baselines,operating under the auspices of both the International Union of Geological Sciences(IUGS) and the International Association of Geochemistry(IAGC),has the long-term goal of establishing a global geochemical database to document the concentration and distribution of chemical elements in the Earth's surface or near-surface environment.The database and accompanying element distribution maps represent a geochemical baseline against which future human-induced or natural changes to the chemistry of the land surface may be recognized and quantified.In order to accomplish this long-term goal,the activities of the Task Group include:(1) developing partnerships with countries conducting broad-scale geochemical mapping studies;(2) providing consultation and training in the form of workshops and short courses;(3) organizing periodic international symposia to foster communication among the geochemical mapping community;(4) developing criteria for certifying those projects whose data are acceptable in a global geochemical database;(5) acting as a repository for data collected by those projects meeting the criteria for standardization;(6) preparing complete metadata for the certified projects;and(7) preparing,ultimately,a global geochemical database.This paper summarizes the history and accomplishments of the Task Group since its first predecessor project was established in 1988.展开更多
文摘Researchers developed an earthquake prediction software and evaluated its performance. This earthquake prediction software is suitable for short-term earthquake prediction. This approach relies on the deep involvement of water vapors that occur just before an earthquake caused by a decrease in pressure and an increase in temperature, leading to a 70.5% prediction accuracy within a month in Japan. In addition, we have tried to develop a new practical method to warn earthquakes for not only Japan but also global scale. In other words, this paper is dedicated to improving the short-term earthquake prediction software from Japan to global scale. In global scale, the prediction rate improved to 80.8%.
基金funded by the National Key Basic Research Program of China (No. 2013CB956103)the Key Ecological Processes and Health Regulation Principles of Marine Ecosystem in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Grea-ter Bay Area (No. GML2019ZD0405)the CAS Pioneer Hundred Talents Program,and the South China Sea Insti-tute of Oceanography,CAS (Nos. Y8SL031001 and Y9YB021001)。
文摘Photosynthetic species belonging to Symbiodiniaceae play important ecological roles in coral reef ecosystems. Nine phylogenetically supported Symbiodiniaceae clades(each containing multiple genetically distinct molecular types) have been detected in reef-associated animals and in seawater or sediments near coral reef areas. Although major advances in research on Symbiodiniaceae diversity have been made, information on the global-scale diversity and distribution characteristics of Symbiodiniaceae clades/types is still limited or must be expanded because most studies on Symbiodiniaceae have mainly focused on a limited number of hosts associated with Symbiodiniaceae or coral reef areas. Here, the diversity and distribution characteristics of Symbiodiniaceae data derived from reef-associated animals and seawater or sediments near coral reef areas were analyzed using 3899 qualified Symbiodiniaceae internal transcribed spacer 2(ITS2) sequences retrieved from the GenBank database in May 2017. These sequences were annotated as Symbiodiniaceae ITS2 types via sequence alignment against database of Symbiodiniaceae ITS2 types. Results showed that photosynthetic Symbiodiniaceae ITS2 sequences could be annotated as 119 Symbiodiniaceae ITS2 types within nine clades(A–I), and Symbiodiniaceae ITS2 types mainly inhabited coral reefs between 30?N and 30?S. Symbiodiniaceae ITS2 types could be associated with multiple host taxa. Interestingly, these results implied that the distribution of Symbiodiniaceae ITS2 types was distinct in the Atlantic Ocean, the Red Sea, the Mediterranean Sea, and the Indo-Pacific Ocean. Although future field research should be performed to verify our results, this study provided a broad perspective of the diversity of Symbiodiniaceae clades/types on a global scale.
文摘International frameworks such as the Sustainable Development Goals and the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030 require the quantification of country-based flood risk.However,few approaches at the global scale include the three necessary components(hazard,exposure,and vulnerability)for determining disaster risk and are country-based assessments,owing to major challenges such as limited data availability and vulnerability proxy selection.Therefore,in this study,a method was developed with the following features:Incorporating the hazard,exposure,and vulnerability components;Applicable to the vast majority of countries in the world;Visualizing priority countries and illustrating effective measures and strategies;Clear and easy to understand by leaders and decision makers of international organizations,governments,and other stakeholders;Identifying each country’s challenges and providing guidance on specific issues for more detailed investigation and policy creation;Including more extensive factors compared with past studies.In Asia and the Pacific,the Flood Risk Index computed by the developed method is compared with the fatality ratio,and the results show that improving flood resilience secures people and society regardless of the magnitude and frequency of floods.Analysis at the global scale visualizes regional tendencies and indicates that countries closer to the equator have higher flood risk.Analysis of country-based flood risk based on five indicators demonstrates that the developed method can assist international organizations,governments,and other stakeholders to further examine country-specific conditions and establish and implement policies and strategies toward building a resilient society and achieving international targets.
文摘The three-dimensional nonlinear quasi-geostrophic potential vorticity equation is reduced to a linear form in the stream function in spherical coordinates for the permanent wave solutions consisting of zonal wavenumbers from 0 to n and rn vertical components with a given degree n.This equation is solved by treating the coefficient of the Coriolis parameter square in the equation as the eigenvalue both for sinusoidal and hyperbolic variations in vertical direction. It is found that these solutions can represent the observed long term flow patterns at the surface and aloft over the globe closely. In addition, the sinusoidal vertical solutions with large eigenvalue G are trapped in low latitude,and the scales of these trapped modes are longer than 10 deg. lat. even for the top layer of the ocean and hence they are much larger than that given by the equatorial β-plane solutions.Therefore such baroclinic disturbances in the ocean can easily interact with those in the atmosphere.Solutions of the shallow water potential vorticity equation are treated in a similar manner but with the effective depth H=RT/g taken as limited within a small range for the atmosphere.The propagation of the flow energy of the wave packet consisting of more than one degree is found to be along the great circle around the globe both for barotropic and for baroclinic flows in the atmosphere.
基金supported by the National Science Council (Grant No. NSC 98-2745-M-002-011-ASP)the National Basic Research Program "973" (Grant No. 2010CB950401, 2012CB955204)+1 种基金the research foundation of NUIST, the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 41005047)the Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions (PAPD)
文摘The aim of the present study was to identify multi-decadal variability （MDV） relative to the current centennial global warming trend in available observation data.The centennial global wanning trend was first identified in the global mean surface temperature （STgm） data.The MDV was identified based on three sets of climate variables,including sea surface temperature （SST）,ocean temperature from the surface to 700 m,and the NCEP and ERA40 reanalysis datasets,respectively.All variables were detrended and low-pass filtered.Through three independent EOF analyses of the filtered variables,all results consistently showed two dominant modes,with their respective temporal variability resembling the Pacific Decadal Oscillation/Inter-decadal Pacific Oscillation （PDO/IPO） and the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation （AMO）.The spatial structure of the PDO-like oscillation is characterized by an ENSO-like structure and hemispheric symmetric features.The structure associated with the AMO-like oscillation exhibits hemispheric asymmetric features with anomalous warm air over Eurasia and warm SST in the Atlantic and Pacific basin north of 10°S,and cold SST over the southern oceans.The Pacific and Atlantic MDV in upper-ocean temperature suggest that they are mutually linked.We also found that the PDO-like and AMO-like oscillations are almost equally important in global-scale MDV by EOF analyses.In the period 1975-2005,the evolution of the two oscillations has given rise to strong temperature trends and has contributed almost half of the STgm warming.Hereon,in the next decade,the two oscillations are expected to slow down the global warming trends.
基金the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (Grant No. GASR-A- 073400000002)the National High Technology Research and Development Program of China (Grant Nos. 2006AA12Z103 and 2006AA120103)the Ministry of Finance of China through Non-profit National Research Institute (Grant No. IARRP-2007-25)
文摘Dynamics of land use systems have attracted much attention from scientists around the world due to their ecological and socio-economic implications. An integrated model to dynamically simulate future changes in sown areas of four major crops (rice, maize, wheat and soybean) on a global scale is pre- sented. To do so, a crop choice model was developed on the basis of Multinomial Logit (Logit) model to model land users' decisions on crop choices among a set of available alternatives with using a crop utility function. A GIS-based Environmental Policy Integrated Climate (EPIC) model was adopted to simulate the crop yields under a given geophysical environment and farming management conditions, while the International Food Policy and Agricultural Simulation (IFPSIM) model was utilized to estimate crop price in the international market. The crop choice model was linked with the GIS-based EPIC model and the IFPSIM model through data exchange. This integrated model was then validated against the FAO statistical data in 2001-2003 and the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) global land cover product in 2001. Both validation approaches indicated reliability of the model for ad- dressing the dynamics in agricultural land use and its capability for long-term scenario analysis. Finally, the model application was designed to run over a time period of 30 a, taking the year 2000 as baseline. The model outcomes can help understand and explain the causes, locations and consequences of land use changes, and provide support for land use planning and policy making.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No 60674026)the Jiangsu Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No BK2007016)Program for Innovative Research Team of Jiangnan University of China
文摘This paper studies the global exponential stability of competitive neural networks with different time scales and time-varying delays. By using the method of the proper Lyapunov functions and inequality technique, some sufficient conditions are presented for global exponential stability of delay competitive neural networks with different time scales. These conditions obtained have important leading significance in the designs and applications of global exponential stability for competitive neural networks. Finally, an example with its simulation is provided to demonstrate the usefulness of the proposed criteria.
基金supported by National Key R&D Program of China(2017YFB0903504)
文摘In the context of constructing Global Energy Interconnection(GEI), energy storage technology, as one of the important basic supporting technologies in power system, will play an important role in the energy configuration and optimization. Based on the most promising battery energy storage technology, this paper introduces the current status of the grid technology, the application of large-scale energy storage technology and the supporting role of battery energy storage for GEI. Based on several key technologies of large-scale battery energy storage system, preliminary analysis of the standard system construction of energy storage system is made, and the future prospect is put forward.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) (10872155)
文摘This paper first analyzes the features of two classes of numerical methods for global analysis of nonlinear dynamical systems, which regard state space respectively as continuous and discrete ones. On basis of this understanding it then points out that the previously proposed method of point mapping under cell reference (PMUCR), has laid a frame work for the development of a two scaled numerical method suitable for the global analysis of high dimensional nonlinear systems, which may take the advantages of both classes of single scaled methods but will release the difficulties induced by the disadvantages of them. The basic ideas and main steps of implementation of the two scaled method, namely extended PMUCR, are elaborated. Finally, two examples are presented to demonstrate the capabilities of the proposed method.
基金Project (60674020) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject (Z2006G11) supported by Specialized Natural Science Fund of Shandong Province,China
文摘The global exponentially stability was studied for time-delay and time-varying measure large scale systems with impulsive effects. Firstly, the concepts are drawn for the functional category. Secondly, some sufficient conditions of the uniformly stability and the global exponentially stability are given for the above systems through defining a Lyapunov function of the weighting sum of the variable absolute by using the Lyapunov function method and the comparison principle. At the same time, the new conclusion of stability of these systems is more universal and contains the existing results. Finally, an example is given to illustrate the feasibility and validity of the obtained results.
文摘Analysis is done of five-year low-pass filtered data by a five-layer low-order global spectral model, indicating that although any non-seasonal external forcing is not considered in the model atmosphere,monthly-scale anomaly takes place which is of remarkable seasonality and interannual variability.Analysis also shows that for the same seasonal external forcing the model atmosphere can exhibit two climatic states,similar in the departure pattern but opposite in sign, indicating that the anomaly is but the manifestation of the adverse states, which supports the theory of multi-equilibria proposed by Charney and Devore(1979) once again.Finally, the source for the low-frequency oscillation of the global atmosphere is found to be the convective heat source / sink inside the tropical atmosphere as discussed before in our study.Therefore, the key approach to the exploration of atmospheric steady low-frequency oscillation and the associated climatic effect lies in the examination of the distribution of convective heat sources / sinks and the variation in the tropical atmosphere.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(51105195,51075204)the Aeronautical Science Foundation of China(2011ZB52024)
文摘A straightforward multi-scale boundary element method is proposed for global and local mechanical analysis of heterogeneous material.The method is more accurate and convenient than finite element based multi-scale method.The formulations of this method are derived by combining the homogenization approach and the fundamental equations of boundary element method.The solution gives the convenient formulations to compute global elastic constants and the local stress field.Finally,two numerical examples of porous material are presented to prove the accuracy and the efficiency of the proposed method.The results show that the method does not require the iteration to obtain the solution of the displacement in micro level.
基金supported by the National High Technology Research and Development Program of China(Grant No.2010AA012304)National Program on Key Basic Research Project of China(Grant No.2010CB951904)NSFC project(Grant No.41125017)
文摘In order to assess the performance of two versions of the IAP/LASG Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere- Land System （FGOALS） model, simulated changes in surface air temperature （SAT）, from natural and an- thropogenie forcings, were compared to observations for the period 1850-2005 at global, hemispheric, conti- nental and regional scales. The global and hemispheric averages of SAT and their land and ocean components during 1850-2005 were well reproduced by FGOALS-g2, as evidenced by significant correlation coefficients and small RMSEs. The significant positive correlations were firstly determined by the warming trends, and secondly by interdecadal fluctuations. The abilities of the models to reproduce interdecadal SAT variations were demonstrated by both wavelet analysis and significant positive correlations for detrended data. The observed land-sea thermal contrast change was poorly simulated. The major weakness of FGOALS-s2 was an exaggerated warming response to anthropogenic forcing, with the simulation showing results that were far removed from observations prior to the 1950s. The observations featured warming trends （1906-2005） of 0.71, 0.68 and 0.79℃ （100 yr）-1 for global, Northern and Southern Hemispheric averages, which were overestimated by FGOALS-s2 [1.42, 1.52 and 1.13~C （100 yr）-1] but underestimated by FGOALS-g2 [0.69, 0.68 and 0.73~C （100 yr）-l]. The polar amplification of the warming trend was exaggerated in FGOALS- s2 but weakly reproduced in FGOALS-g2. The stronger response of FGOALS-s2 to anthropogenic forcing was caused by strong sea-ice albedo feedback and water vapor feedback. Examination of model results in 15 selected subcontinental-scale regions showed reasonable performance for FGOALS-g2 over most regions. However, the observed warming trends were overestimated by FGOALS-s2 in most regions. Over East Asia, the meridional gradient of the warming trend simulated by FGOALS-s2 （FGOALS-g2） was stronger （weaker） than observed.
文摘The Task Group on Global Geochemical Baselines,operating under the auspices of both the International Union of Geological Sciences(IUGS) and the International Association of Geochemistry(IAGC),has the long-term goal of establishing a global geochemical database to document the concentration and distribution of chemical elements in the Earth's surface or near-surface environment.The database and accompanying element distribution maps represent a geochemical baseline against which future human-induced or natural changes to the chemistry of the land surface may be recognized and quantified.In order to accomplish this long-term goal,the activities of the Task Group include:(1) developing partnerships with countries conducting broad-scale geochemical mapping studies;(2) providing consultation and training in the form of workshops and short courses;(3) organizing periodic international symposia to foster communication among the geochemical mapping community;(4) developing criteria for certifying those projects whose data are acceptable in a global geochemical database;(5) acting as a repository for data collected by those projects meeting the criteria for standardization;(6) preparing complete metadata for the certified projects;and(7) preparing,ultimately,a global geochemical database.This paper summarizes the history and accomplishments of the Task Group since its first predecessor project was established in 1988.
