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Preliminary Study on Gray Theory in Forecasting Great Drought in Shaoyang District
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作者 谭德权 张果军 +3 位作者 吕校华 沈谨 戚平 王卫农 《Agricultural Science & Technology》 CAS 2010年第1期138-139,162,共3页
By using occurrence years of great drought in Shaoyang district in recent 20 years,the time sequence was established,and by gray disaster prediction theory,the possible great drought years in future in Shaoyang distri... By using occurrence years of great drought in Shaoyang district in recent 20 years,the time sequence was established,and by gray disaster prediction theory,the possible great drought years in future in Shaoyang district were predicted. The results showed that one quasi-periodic of great drought occurrence in Shaoyang district is 2 years,the next great drought years are 2010,2012 and 2015. Gray prediction drought theory will provide scientific basis for drought resistance work in Shaoyang district. 展开更多
关键词 Shaoyang district Gray disaster theory great drought prediction
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