The Grey Correlation Analysis on the Relationship between the Rural Finance and the Rural Economical Growth in Sichuan Province

This paper analyzes the relationship between rural finance and the rural economy of Sichuan Province from 1999 to 2009 by using the sequential growth rate of the gross value of farming, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery and the sequential growth rate of the per capital total income of rural households as the indicators of rural economic development; and taking the volume of deposit, volume of credit, volume of agricultural credit and the credit volume of township enterprises as the indicators of rural financial development; as well as the method of grey correlation analysis. The results show that there is an obvious positive correlation between them, and the development of country finance has the closest connection with the sequential growth rate of farming, forestry, animal husbandry, sideline production and fishery. The loan scale of township enterprises has the biggest influence on the increase of the rural economy. The countermeasures are put forward, covering optimizing investment structure; supporting the development of township enterprises; encouraging loan; actively lightening the financial difficulties in the process of developing rural economy; innovating and exploring; and promoting the diversified development of rural finance.

Industrial Structure Evolution and Economic Growth in Dingxi City Based on Shift-Share Method and Location Quotient Analysis

According to the statistical data in the years 2004-2008, both Shift-Share Analysis and Location Quotient Analysis are used to compare the economic development status of counties (districts) in Dingxi City in the years 2004 and 2008. Advantages and disadvantages of industrial structure and competitiveness are analyzed, as well as the impacts of existing industrial structure on economic growth. Development direction and development focus of primary, secondary and tertiary industries are found out. Countermeasures for accelerating the economic development of counties (districts) in Dingxi City are put forward, such as increasing the inputs in characteristic agriculture, promoting the development of primary industry, speeding up the construction of large and medium industrial enterprises, enhancing the development of secondary industry, strengthening comprehensive environmental improvement in tourist area, and actively developing tertiary industry.

Analysis of Factors Influencing Comprehensive Productivity of Agriculture in Henan Province on the Basis of Grey Correlation

According to the data from Henan Statistical Yearbook from 2002 to 2008, from production capital, production conditions, labour inputs and financial support, this paper selects 11 variables influencing comprehensive productivity of agriculture in Henan Province. Through calculation and analysis of grey correlation of variables and comprehensive productivity of agriculture, this paper determines the impact of different variables on comprehensive productivity of agriculture. The results show that the agricultural capital has become the most important factor influencing comprehensive productivity of agriculture in Henan Province, while the impact of production conditions, labour inputs and financial support on comprehensive productivity of agriculture in Henan Province diminishes in turn. Corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward to promote the sustainable development of comprehensive productivity of agriculture in Henan Province as follows: strengthen agricultural financial system building, and ensure agricultural production expenditure; scientifically arrange allocation of agricultural resources, and improve agricultural production conditions; carry out training of agricultural skills, and elevate the quality of agricultural labour forces; increase financial expenditure for agricultural production, and optimize financial expenditure structure.

Systematic Analysis and Optimization of the Agricultural Structure in Ethnic Regions in Northwest Sichuan Province

Based on introducing the basic conditions of the ethnic regions in northwest Sichuan Province,the thesis analyzes its agricultural development status,which can be classified into two aspects--rich natural resources and slow agricultural economic growth.Through the analysis on the agricultural structure of northwest Sichuan Province,it is found that the production efficiency and economic benefits of crop planting in this region are low,animal husbandry,as a major industry in pastoral region,sees high production efficiency,the agricultural production is still at the resource-oriented stage;its agricultural structure is still the farming-pastoral structure relying mainly on animal husbandry,planting is dominated by crop planting and potato planting,animal husbandry mainly produces dairy and beef;the ethnic regions in northwest Sichuan Province is endowed with the advantages to grow crops,beans and fruits as well as to produce beef,mutton and milk,among which,three industries,say fruit,beef and dairy are with increasing location quotient and gradually strengthening industrial comparative advantage,while the location quotient of the other industries is declining and their industrial comparative advantages are more stable.In order to promote the agriculture in northwest Sichuan Province to develop in breadth and depth,the thesis proposes the following measures and suggestions:the first one is to adhere to the development strategy of modern animal husbandry;the second is to appropriately improve the proportion of economic crops;the third is to accelerate the development of green food processing industry.

中国海洋产业结构分析及分区优化

我国沿海各省海洋经济发展各具特色。揭示我国海洋产业发展特征以及沿海各省市海洋产业发展规模、速度的差异,并对海洋产业分级分类,对于海洋产业政策的制订与落实具有重要的现实意义。运用灰色关联分析、区位熵分析、系统聚类分析,考察沿海各省2001-2008年海洋产业发展情况,结果表明:2001-2008年,全国主要海洋产业关联排序为:海洋交通运输业>滨海旅游业>海洋渔业>海洋油气业>海洋船舶工业>海洋工程建筑业>海洋化工业>海洋盐业>海洋生物医药业>海洋矿业>海洋电力业>海水利用业。运用系统聚类分析方法,将我国沿海地区分区:并提出了各省海洋产业优化调整方向。

皖江城市群产业结构动态变化及比较优势分析

城市群形成发育的关键在于其内部产业结构的优化。首先,运用基尼系数法对皖江城市群1997—2006年三次产业的空间差异性做了动态时序分析;然后以2006年皖江城市群19个行业的就业数据为基础,运用区位熵和灰色关联分析法对皖江城市群8个地级市的产业比较优势和产业结构相似性进行了分析,得出的研究结果将为皖江城市群产业结构调整和新一轮皖江城市群开发提供科学依据。

川西北民族地区农业结构系统分析及优化

在介绍川西北民族地区概况的基础上,剖析了川西北民族地区农业发展现状,具体包括农业自然资源丰富、农业经济增长缓慢2个方面。通过对川西北地区农业结构分析发现,该地区种植业生产效率和经济效益低下,畜牧业作为牧区的主要产业,其生产效益较高,农业生产还处于资源导向型阶段;农业生产结构是以牧业为主的农牧结构,种植业以谷物、薯类为主,畜牧业以奶业和牛肉业为主;川西北民族地区具有发展谷物、豆类、水果、牛肉、羊肉、奶肉6个产业的比较优势,其中,水果、牛肉、奶业3个产业的区位商值在加大,产业比较优势逐步加强,谷物、豆类、羊肉3个产业的区位商值有所下降,产业比较优势较为稳定。为了促进川西北地区农业向深度、广度发展,提出了以下对策与建议:一是走现代畜牧业发展道路;二是适度提高经济作物比重;三是加快发展绿色食品加工业。

中国中心城市第二住宅的地理空间分布特征

1990年代后期第二住宅在中国大量兴起,并成为一种社会风潮。大量涌现的第二住宅对其发生地产生了复杂的社会、经济影响,最为突出的是拉动房价上涨,使得矛盾原本就比较突出的住房问题进一步恶化。文章从第二住宅研究的障碍、难点着手,首先分析了国内发展和研究的状况,随后对西方和国内发展状况和空间布局研究动向进行了剖析。在此基础上,采用补偿理论对中国第二住宅的空间分布特征进行假设性分析,认为中心城市第二住宅的发育与首位度具有密切的关系,并且存在向内城集聚的倾向。这一研究结论可以作为政策制定和其它研究的参考。

东北三省制造业竞争力与地理集聚研究

在东北振兴背景下,对东北三省制造业竞争力和集聚水平进行测度尤为重要.运用偏离份额和区位熵,对1999年～2008年20个两位数制造业的产业结构和竞争力变化以及集聚水平进行测评,得出以下结论:①快速增长型部门由5个上升为8个,而竞争优势部门由8个增加为12个.②竞争优势部门从石化产业向医药、交通运输等制造业转移,显现出高技术化和技术密集型特征.③总偏离量为正值的部门达11个,产业结构对经济增长贡献为565.73亿,竞争力为977.39亿,总偏离量1543.12亿.④地理集聚和专业化程度高的制造业部门中辽宁有5个、吉林和黑龙江各有3个,具有竞争优势的制造业部门其专业化和集聚化程度也很高,产业集聚对提升制造业竞争力作用明显.

我国沿海各省海洋产业优化调整分析

我国是海洋大国，海洋经济发展潜力巨大．加快海洋产业结构的优化调整，促进海洋经济发展，对全面建设小康社会具有重要意义．笔者运用灰色关联分析、区位熵分析、系统聚类分析，考察沿海各省2001—2008年海洋产业发展情况，结果表明：全国主要海洋产业关联排序为：海洋交通运输业，滨海旅游业，海洋渔业，海洋油气业，海洋船舶工业，海洋工程建设业，海洋化工业，海洋盐业，海洋生物医药业，海洋矿业，海洋电力业，海水利用业．运用系统聚类分析方法，将我国沿海地区分区，并提出了各省海洋产业化调整方向．

Effects of Environmental Resources on Industrial Agglomeration

Firstly,agriculture,industry and tourism in the Yangtze River Delta,Pearl River Delta and Bohai Economic Rim were chosen to represent the primary,secondary and tertiary industries respectively,and industrial agglomeration in the three economic zones was analyzed using location quotient coefficient method.Afterwards,the critical factors influencing industrial agglomeration were discussed using gray correlation analysis.The results showed that industrial agglomeration of agriculture,industry and tourism formed gradually in the three economic zones,and the critical factors influencing industrial agglomeration were human capital,science and technology progress,and natural resources.Meanwhile,environmental pollution affected and restricted the development of industrial agglomeration.

我国区域产业知识基础的测算及动态变化

依据三种产业知识基础的内涵与特征对我国31省市主要行业进行知识基础的划分,采用区位商分析方法对1997—2011年各省市的产业知识基础进行定量测算和动态分析,得出以下主要结论:1三种产业知识基础集聚度的变化趋势与我国工业在三次产业中占比下降而服务业占比上升且成为国民经济主导力量的趋势是一致的;2不同产业知识基础类型的区域分工格局已基本形成,东部地区为解析型知识基础的集聚高地,是全国制造业与文化产业发展的"领头雁",激进式创新占主导,西部地区是全国解析型与合成型知识基础的"洼地",中西部地区以渐进式创新为主;3东部地区三种知识基础均已基本形成中心—外围结构,北京、天津、辽宁、上海、广东等省市是全国解析型、合成型与象征型知识基础的集聚中心,中西部各省市解析型与合成型知识基础的集聚水平明显"塌陷",尚未形成相应的集聚中心,中西部地区象征型知识基础的中心—外围结构已初现萌芽。

农村生活用能的区域分异——以关中临渭区为例

研究农村生活用能的区域分异,对于优化用能结构、制定合理的能源利用和生态环境保护政策具有重要意义。以关中临渭区为例,采用实地问卷调查、能源利用区位商、相关分析等方法,探究平原地区、黄土台塬与丘陵山区农村生活用能的分异特征及成因,得到以下结论:①平原地区具有区位优势的生活能源为煤炭、玉米棒芯、液化气、蜂窝煤、电能和太阳能,煤炭的区位商达2.671;黄土台塬为沼气、太阳能、作物秸秆、蜂窝煤、液化气和玉米棒芯,沼气的区位商达3.465;丘陵山区为薪柴,区位商为1.142。前两者用能多元化,商品能源较多;丘陵山区用能结构单一,木柴为主的非商品能源居多。②区域用能分异特征突出。平原地区市场化导向明显,多种能源互补利用;黄土台塬地区政策导向明显,沼气利用较多,用能组合多样;丘陵山区受自然条件影响,薪柴为主,其他燃料为辅。农村生活用能的区域分异取决于自然环境、生产结构、经济环境以及外界环境,是收入水平、温度、发展条件、政策影响等方面综合作用的结果。③平原地区人均收入高(7 056元),人均商品用能多(204.15 kgce);条件恶劣的丘陵山区人均收入低(5 750元),人均商品用能少(45.38 kgce)。人均非商品用能受人均收入影响小,相对稳定。人均有效耕地和人均耕地越多,人均商品用能越多,人均非商品用能越少,且人均有效耕地变化引起的用能类别的变化幅度较大。