Ground and Shallow Ground Temperature Changes Trends in Sanhe City in 40 Years

[ Objective] The aim was to analyze the ground and shallow ground temperature trend in Sanhe in recent 40 years. [ Method] According to the annual and seasonal average ground temperature in 2010, by dint of line charts and trend diagram, the ground temperature in Sanhe City in recent 40 years was discussed. [ Result] The annual ground temperature, annual ground highest and lowest temperature in Sanhe City in recent 40 years was increasing. The lowest temperature in annual and seasonal surface temperature increased at fastest speed. The annual changes of the 5, 10, 15 and 20 cm ground temperature was decreasing and the 20 cm ground temperature decreased most significantly. In spring, the 5 -15 cm ground temperature increased and the 20 cm reduced. In summer, the 20 cm temperature decreased significantly. In autumn, the 10 cm ground temperature enhanced fastest. In winter, the 10 cm and 15 cm temperature increase rate was large and the 15 cm temperature increased fastest. [ Conclusion] The study provided reference for the influence of global warming on the ground and shallow ground temperature.

Monitoring and analysis of ground temperature and deformation within Qinghai-Tibet Highway subgrade in permafrost region

In order to study the stability of the Qinghai-Tibet Highway embankment at Chumaerhe in the permafrost region of northwest China, the ground temperature and deformation at different depths were monitored under the left and right shoulders of the embankment where thermosyphons were set up only on the left shoulder. Based on the monitored data, characteristics of ground temperature and deformation of the left and right shoulders are analyzed and discussed. The results show that the start time of freezing or thawing of the seasonal active layer was about one to two months later than that of the embankment body itself. The stability of each shoulder was mainly controlled by the settlement of different soil layers, whereas frost heave of soil had scarcely any effect on the stability of the embankment. For the left shoulder, the settlement was mainly influenced by the seasonal active layer and then by the embankment body itself, due to freeze-thaw cycles which may change the soil properties; however, the permafrost layer remained fairly stable. For the right shoulder, creep of the warm permafrost layer was the main influence factor on its stability, followed by settlement of embankment body itself, and finally settlement of the seasonal active layer. Compared with the deformation of the left shoulder, the permafrost layer under the right shoulder was less stable, which indicates that the thermosyphons had a significantly positive effect on the stability of warm permafrost.

GROUND TEMPERATURE AND ROCK THERMOPHYSICAL PROPERTIES IN FILDES PENINSULA

During 1985-1986, 1986-1987, and 1988-1989 expeditions on Fildes Peninsula the ground temperature was measured. A total number of 218 ground temperature data were obtained. The thermal conductivity measurements were made on 121 rock samples collected during expedition. This article gives a brief analysis and summarization of these data.

PANDERIVATIVE BLOWN-UP OF GROUND TEMPERATUREAND PREDICTING EARTHQUAKE

According to the blown-up theory (described in references [1,2]) for nonlinear dynamic system on the relationship of general pansystem transformation, optimisation and panderivative blown-up, by means of blown-up theory, we demonstrate that the blown-up of nonlinear heat conductive equation is similar to the evolution of observational ground temperature 'flow' in this paper. And a successful simulation of Tang Shan Earthquake in 1976 has been given. The result of simulation indicates that the blown-up of ground temperature 'flow' around earthquake can be applied to predict earthquake. As for Tang Shan Earthquake, the predicting time is about five months. If ground temperature 'flow' that embodies the earth's crust satisfies the unintegral panderivative equation, we can demonstrate its mechanism and forecast earthquake with enough information.

Ground temperature variation and its response to climate change on the northern Tibetan Plateau

Ground temperature plays a significant role in the interaction between the land surface and atmosphere on the Tibetan Plateau(TP).Under the background of temperature warming,the TP has witnessed an accelerated warming trend in frozen ground temperature,an increasing active layer thickness,and the melting of underground ice.Based on high-resolution ground temperature data observed from 1997 to 2012 on the northern TP,the trend of ground temperature at each observation site and its response to climate change were analyzed.The results showed that while the ground temperature at different soil depths showed a strong warming trend over the observation period,the warming in winter is more significant than that in summer.The warming rate of daily minimum ground temperature was greater than that of daily maximum ground temperature at the TTH and MS3608 sites.During the study period,thawing occurred earlier,whereas freezing happened later,resulting in shortened freezing season and a thinner frozen layer at the BJ site.And a zero-curtain effect develops when the soil begins to thaw or freeze in spring and autumn.From 1997 to 2012,the average summer air temperature and precipitation in summer and winter from six meteorological stations along the Qinghai-Tibet highway also demonstrated an increasing trend,with a more significant temperature increase in winter than in summer.The ground temperature showed an obvious response to air temperature warming,but the trend varied significantly with soil depths due to soil heterogeneity.

Analysis of Relation between Variation Characteristics and Climatic Influencing Factors of Shallow Ground Temperature in Shijiazhuang

Based on the daily observation data of shallow ground temperature, total cloud cover, precipitation, evaporation capacity and frozen soil of 5 stations in Shijiazhuang from 1981 to 2010, using methods such as linear trend and complete correlation coefficient, relation between variation characteristics and climatic influencing factors of shallow ground temperature was analyzed to lay the foundation for studying impact factors of shallow ground temperature and provide references for daily maintenance of automatic observation business. The results showed that fluctuant variability and fluctuant range of mean shallow layer ground temperature in Shijiazhuang became smaller with soil layer being deeper for all years and seasons, and the fluctuant variability was maximal in spring and minimal in winter, while the fluctuant range was maximal in summer and minimal in winter; mean shallow layer ground temperature for all years had a warming trend with an obvious warming trend in winter, and warming range in winter was smaller and the extent was weaker with soil layer being deeper while a cooling trend occurred in summer; there was a coincident trend between total cloud cover at night and shallow ground temperature in winter, and between evaporation capacity and shallow ground temperature in summer, while there was an inconsistent trend between maximum depth of frozen soil, period of freezing weather and shallow ground temperature in winter, and between total cloud cover in the davtime, orecioitation and shallow around temperature in summer.

Air-Ground Temperature Coupling: Analysis by Means of Thermal Orbits

Long-term measurements of air, near-surface (soil) and ground temperatures that were collected between 1994 and 2013 at the drill site of the Geothermal Climate Change Observatory (Prague) were analyzed to understand the relationship between these variables and to reveal the mechanisms of heat transport at the land-atmosphere boundary layer. The 2D Thermal Orbit (TO) method was applied to detect regularities that were hidden in noisy and highly variable temperature time series. The results showed that the temperatures at shallow depths were affected by surface air temperature (SAT) variations on seasonal and annual time scales and could be regarded as an accurate proxy for low frequency temperature variations at the Earth’s surface. Only low-frequency/ high-amplitude surface temperature variations penetrate into the subsurface because of strong damping and the filtering effect of the ground surface. The borehole temperatures have good potential to capture temperature variations (periodicities) over long time scales that cannot be detected in the SAT series themselves because of the interference of higher frequency noise. The TO technique is a useful and powerful tool to quickly obtain diagnostics of the presence of long periodicities in borehole temperature time series.

Measurement investigation on the feasibility of shallow geothermal energy for heating and cooling applied in agricultural greenhouses of Shouguang City: Ground temperature profiles and geothermal potential

The use of electrical energy for heating and cooling systems to control the temperature in greenhouses will lead to high production and product costs.To solve this problem,shallow geothermal energy as a local source of energy could be applied.In this study,a measurement model,the distribution profiles of temperature,and a preliminary assessment of the geothermal potential in the shallow zone at depths of 0.1 m to 3.6 m in Shouguang City,Shandong Province,eastern China were presented.The measurement results showed that the annual average temperature at depths of 0.1–3.6 m ranged from 13.1℃ to 17.6℃.Preliminary assessment results of the geothermal potential showed that the daily average temperature difference between the air and at depths of 1.5–3.6 m was mainly from 10℃ to 25℃ during the winter months and between-15℃ and-5℃ during the summer months.Therefore,the heating systems could operate during January,February,November,and December.In May,June,and July,the cooling systems could be applied.Moreover,the measurement model gave good stability results,and it could be used in combination with the monitoring of the groundwater table,a survey of the thermal conductivity of the soil,climate change studies,which helps reduce unnecessary time and costs.

Changes and spatial patterns of the differences between ground and air temperature over the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau

The difference between ground soil and air temperature （Ts-Ta） was studied by using the data of ground and air temperature of 99 stations over the Qinghai-Xizang （Tibet） Plateau from 1960 to 2000,and its spatial distribution and time changing tendency have been diagnosed by principal component analysis and power spectral analysis methods. The results show that the values of （Ts-Ta） are the maximum in June and the minimum in December. The first three loading eigenvectors, which reflect the main spatially anomalous structure of （Ts-Ta） over the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau, contain the contrary changing pattern between the northwestern and the southeastern regions, the pattern response of the sea level elevation and the geography, and the pattern response of the distribution of the permafrost. There are four patterns of time evolution including the patterns of monotonous increasing or decreasing trends, the basic stability pattern and the parabola pattern with the minimum value. （Ts-Ta） has a periodic variation about 2 years. According to the spatial distribution of the third loading eigenvectors of （Ts-Ta） over the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau in cold season, the permafrost response region and the seasonal frozen ground response region are identified.

The Sensitivity of Ground Surface Temperature Prediction to Soil Thermal Properties Using the Simple Biosphere Model(SiB2)

Using the Simple Biosphere Model （SiB2）, soil thermal properties （STP） were examined in a Tibetan prairie during the monsoon period to investigate ground surface temperature prediction. We improved the SiB2 model by incorporating a revised force-restore method （FRM） to take the vertical heterogeneity of soil thermal diffusivity （k） into account. The results indicate that （1） the revised FRM alleviates daytime overestimation and nighttime underestimation in modeled ground surface temperature （Tg）, and （2） its role in little rainfall events is significant because the vertical gradient of k increases with increasing surface evaporation. Since the original formula of thermal conductivity （A） in the SiB2 greatly underestimates soil thermal conductivity, we compared five Mgorithms of A involving soil moisture to investigate the cause of overestimation during the day and underestimation at night on the basis of the revised FRM. The results show that （1） the five algorithms significantly improve Tg prediction, especially in daytime, and （2） taking one of these five algorithms as an example, the simulated Tg values in the daytime are closer to the field measurements than those in the nighttime. The differences between modeled Tg and field measurements are mostly within the margin of error of -4-2 K during 3 August to 4 September 1998.

Recent changes in ground surface thermal regimes in the context of air temperature warming over the Heihe River Basin, China

Changes in ground surface thermal regimes play a vital role in surface and subsurface hydrology, ecosystem diversity and productivity, and global thermal, water and carbon budgets as well as climate change. Estimating spring, summer, autumn and winter air temperatures and mean annual air temperature（MAAT） from 1960 through 2008 over the Heihe River Basin reveals a statistically significant trend of 0.31 °C/decade, 0.28 °C/decade, 0.37 °C/decade, 0.50 °C/decade, and 0.37 °C /decade, respectively. The averaged time series of mean annual ground surface temperature（MAGST） and maximum annual ground surface temperature（MaxAGST） for 1972–2006 over the basin indicates a statistically significant trend of 0.58 °C/decade and 1.27 °C/decade, respectively. The minimum annual ground surface temperature（MinAGST） in the same period remains unchanged as a whole. Estimating surface freezing/thawing index as well as the ratio of freezing index to thawing index（RFT） in the period between 1959 and 2006 over the basin indicates a statistically significant trend of-42.5 °C-day/decade, 85.4 °C-day/decade and-0.018/decade, respectively.

Temperature monitoring of the XPS board insulated subgrade along the newly constructed Gonghe-Yushu Highway in permafrost regions

On the basis of on-site measured data of the newly constructed Gonghe-Yushu Highway in a permafrost region, this paper analyzed thermal conditions of the subgrade with XPS insulated board according to different selected monitoring sections in various locations. We also summarized the geothermal distribution and change rules of subgrade with XPS insulation board under the asphalt pavement in summarized a high temperature frozen soil region. It is suggested that the shoulder of subgrade with XPS insulation board be widen to a reasonable width so as to keep the subgrade stable.

Permafrost distribution and temperature in the Elkon Horst, Russia

The Elkon Horst is a geological structure that consists of heterogeneous strata with highly variable geocryological and temperature conditions. Gaining accurate knowledge of permafrost distribution patterns within this structure is of both scientific and practical importance. In mountainous terrain, the ground thermal regime is controlled by both surface and subsurface conditions. Surface conditions include snow cover characteristics, the presence or absence of vegetation, vegetation density, etc.. In contrast, subsurface conditions involve rock lithology or petrography, density, quantity and depth of fissures, groundwater, etc.. This article examines ground thermal regimes in various geomorphological settings based on temperature measurement data from geotechnical boreholes. The occurrence and extent of permafrost were evaluated for the entire horst area using direct and indirect methods. The maximum permafrost thickness measured in the Elkon Horst is 330 m, and the estimated maximum is 450 m at higher elevations. Thermophysical properties were determined for the major rock types, and the geothermal heat flux was estimated for the study area. The thermal conductivities were found to vary from 1.47 to 4.20 W/(m·K), and the dry bulk densities to range between 2,236 kg/m~3 and 3,235 kg/m~3. The average geothermal heat flux was estimated to be 44 mW/m~2.

Temperature regime of mountain permafrost in the Russian Altai Mountains

This study presents the long-term temperature monitoring in the Russian Altai Mountains. In contrast to the Mongolian and Chinese parts, the modern temperature regime of the Russian Altai remains unclear. The complexity of a comprehensive understanding of permafrost conditions in the Russian Altai is related to the high dissection of the terrain, the paucity of the latest observational data, and the sparse population of permafrost areas. The general objective of this study is to determine the temperature regime on the surface,in the active layer, and in the zero annual amplitude(ZAA) layer, based on the known patterns of permafrost distribution in the region. Using automatic measuring equipment(loggers), we obtained information on the temperature of frozen and thawed ground within the altitudes from 1484 to 2879 m a. s. l. during the period from 2014 to 2020.An array of 15 loggers determined the temperature regime of bare and vegetated areas within watersheds,slopes, and valleys. N-factor parameters and surface temperature are similar to those in the Mongolian Altai, but the mean annual ground temperature at the depth of 1 m has a wide range of fluctuations(more than 32℃) based on research results, and we allocated it into three groups based on altitudinal zonality. Snow cover has a strong influence on the temperature regime, but the determination of the fine-scale variability requires additional study.Ground temperature regime during the observation period remained stable, but continued monitoring allows a more detailed assessment of the response to climatic changes.

Temperature monitoring from 2012 to 2019 in central part of Suntar-Khayat Ridge,Russia

In recent decades,research of the Alps,Qinghai-Tibet Plateau,and Cordillera have made great progress in understanding the phenomenon of permafrost.For the most part,this has been made possible due to temperature monitoring.However,the permafrost parameters in an area of more than 2 million square km of the mountainous regions of northeast Asia,for the most part,remain a blank spot in the scientific community.Due to the lack and insufficiency of factual materials,in 2012 the P.I.Melnikov Permafrost Institute began to take temperature measurements in the upper part of the permafrost in the central part of the VerkhoyanKolyma uplands,namely the Suntar-Khayat ridge.The article describes the temperature characteristics of air,surface and rocks of the active layer in the range of heights from 850 to 1821 m,in various landscape and topographic elements.For the observation period from 2012 to 2019,we obtained information on temperatures in the soils of the active layer at depths of 1 m,3 m,4 m,and 5 m and also air and surface temperature parameters.The availability of data on automated monitoring of rock temperatures in the active layer and the upper horizons of the layer of annual heat rotations made it possible to substantiate the most typical conditions of the temperature conditions of the permafrost zone of the characterized region.The parameters of permafrost existence and development are in favorable conditions.This is shown in the analysis of temperature data of air,surface and active layer.Soil temperatures in the active layer of annual heat rotations are most clearly represented at a depth of 1 m.Currently,on the territory of the mountain regions of Eastern Siberia,there are no more such sites for monitoring the temperature regime of soils.Information on the permafrost parameters in the region will allow us to begin the process of creating new models or checking existing forecasts and the distribution of the temperature pattern.It will also make it possible to evaluate the response of sensitive and vulnerable frozen soils of mountain regions to climate change.

Current climate change effects on the ground thermal regime in Central Yakutia

The evolution of ground thermal state has been studied to assess impacts of current climatic warming on permafrost in Central Yakutia. The analysis of long-term data of regional weather stations has revealed one of the highest increasing trends in mean annual air temperature in northern Russia. A forecast of surface air temperature fluctuations has been made by applying a frequency analysis method. Monitoring of ground thermal conditions allows us to identify inter-annual and long-term variability among a wide range of natural conditions. Experimental research has indicated a long-term dynamics of ground thermal state evolution： ground temperatures at the depth of zero annual amplitude and seasonally thawed layer depth. Long-term variability of thaw depth shows near-zero to weak positive trends in small valleys in contrast to weak negative trends on slopes. With significant climatic warming, the thermal state of near-surface layers of permafrost demonstrates steadiness. Anthropogenic impacts on ground thermal regime in various terrain types have been qualitatively evaluated. Clear-cutting, ground cover stripping, and post-fire deforestation in inter-alas type terrains result in a significant increase of temperature and seasonal ground thaw depth, as well as adverse cryogenic processes. The dynamics of mean annual ground temperature in slash and burn sites have been evaluated in reference to stages of successive vegetation recovery.

Eastern Siberia permafrost transect(ESPT).A first stage:The Verkhoyansk Range part

Environmental and geomorphological processes in the mountainous areas of Eastern Siberia is strongly conditioned by the thermal state of permafrost(permanently frozen ground).However,the scarce data about climate and weak of permafrost study have led to the unclarity of mountain permafrost condition in this region.The increase in the mean annual air temperature over the past 50 years in the northeastern Siberia by various estimates is from 1.1℃to 3.3℃.So far,almost no information is available on the permafrost response to climatic changes in the region.The Kolyma Route(around 2000 km length),connecting Yakutsk and Magadan that crosses 5 climatic types and more than 10 permafrost landscapes,so it seems a suitable path for establishing basic(reference)monitoring sites.From 12 target boreholes,on the first stage 5 boreholes up to 30 m in depth were drilled and instrumented for measuring temperature at sites adjacent to weather stations in the Verkhoyansk Range from 283 to 1288 m a.s.l.Here we present conception,purpose,and methods for permafrost study project with first preliminary results from the highest weather station of the East Siberia Mountain.The following research about geophysical investigations,permafrost landscape description,mapping and spatial modelling,numerical computing,physical modelling of permafrost thickness might be initiated by the Eastern Siberia Permafrost Transect(ESPT)-project.

Assessment of the thermal effect of large industrial buildings on permafrost foundation soils in Yakutsk

The results of monitoring studies of the ground thermal state beneath the Yakutsk Combined Heat and Power Plant buildings are presented in order to determine their structural stability and the possibility of further troublefree operation of the entire complex of the structures.The main causes for the formation of water-bearing taliks under and adjacent to the buildings are presented,and the factors influencing the existing geocryological situation are discussed.The continuing stable state of the buildings demonstrates the possibility of using two construction principles on permafrost at one site,including preserving permafrost and accommodating permafrost thawing.

Assessment of the spatial extent of permafrost in the Upper Indus Basin(UIB)

Climate change differentially influences the frozen ground,a major dynamic component of the cryosphere,on a local and regional scale.Under the warming climate with pronounced effects reported at higher altitudes,the characterization of the frozen ground is very important in the Upper Indus Basin(UIB),an important and critical region with respect to climate and hydro-glaciological dynamics.In this study,the efficiency and reliability of the surface frost number model are assessed in delineating the spatial extent of different classes of frozen ground in the region.The daily MODIS land surface temperature(LST)with ground surface temperature(GST)and surface geomorphological expressions as ground validation datasets are used jointly in efficiently determining the extent of different classes of frozen ground(continuous and discontinuous permafrost and seasonal frost).The LST and GST resonate with each other in the annual cycle of temperature variation,however,with mean annual LST exhibiting an offset(cold bias)of 5 to 7℃relative to mean GST.This study shows that the highest permafrost extent is observed in areas where the lowest thinning rates of glacier ice are reported and vice versa.The surface frost number model categorizes an area of 38%±3%and 15%±3%in the UIB as permafrost and seasonal frost,respectively.Based on the altitude model,the lower limit of alpine permafrost is approximated at a mean altitude of 4919±590 m a.s.l.in the UIB.The present study acts as preliminary work in the data sparse and inaccessible regions of the UIB in characterizing the frozen and unfrozen ground and may act as a promising input data source in glaciohydro-meteorological models for the Himalaya and Karakoram.In addition,the study also underlines the consideration of this derelict cryospheric climatic variable in defining and accounting for the sustainable development of socio-economic systems through its intricate ramification on agricultural activity,landscape stability and infrastructure.

Changes in the ground surface temperature in permafrost regions along the Qinghaie-Tibet engineering corridor from 1900 to 2014:A modified assessment of CMIP6

Numerous studies were published in the last two decades to evaluate and project the permafrost changes in its thermal state,mainly based on the soil temperature datasets from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP),and discuss the impacts of permafrost changes on regional hydrological,ecological and climatic systems and even carbon cycles.However,limited monitored soil temperature data are available to validate the CMIP outputs,resulting in the over-projection of future permafrost changes in CMIP3 and CMIP5.Moreover,future permafrost changes in CMIP6,particularly over the QinghaieTibet Plateau(QTP),where permafrost covers more than 40%of its territory,are still unknown.To address this gap,we evaluated and calibrated the monthly ground surface temperature(GST;5 cm below the ground surface),which was often used as the upper boundary to simulate and project permafrost changes derived from 19 CMIP6 Earth System Models(ESMs)against in situ measurements over the QTP.We generated the monthly GST series from 1900 to 2014 for five sites based on the linear calibration models and validated them through the three other sites using the same calibration methods.Results showed that all of the ESMs could capture the dynamics of in situ GST with high correlations(r>0.90).However,large errors were detected with a broad range of centred root-mean-square errors(1.14-4.98℃).The Top 5 model ensembles(MME5)performed better than most individual ESMs and averaged multi-model ensembles(MME19).The calibrated GST performed better than the GST obtained from MME5.Both annual and seasonal GSTs exhibited warming trends with an average annual rate of 0.04℃ per decade in the annual GST.The average seasonal warming rate was highest in winter and spring and lowest in summer.This reconstructed GST data series could be used to simulate the long-term permafrost temperature over the QTP.