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Atmospheric Trajectory and Chemical Transport Modelling for Elevated Ozone Events in Denmark
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作者 Alexander Mahura Roman Nuterman +1 位作者 Irina Petrova Bjarne Amstrup 《Atmospheric and Climate Sciences》 2013年第1期87-99,共13页
In this study, three Danish sites having the longest (1990-2004) time-series of ozone measurements were analysed on inter-annual, monthly and diurnal cycle variability as well as elevated and lowered ozone concentrati... In this study, three Danish sites having the longest (1990-2004) time-series of ozone measurements were analysed on inter-annual, monthly and diurnal cycle variability as well as elevated and lowered ozone concentration events were identified. The atmospheric trajectory (HYSPLIT) and dispersion (HIRLAM + CAMx) models were employed to study dominating atmospheric transport patterns associated with elevated events and to evaluate spatio-temporal variability of ozone specific episode and typical seasonal patterns for Denmark. It was found that generally inter-annual variability has a positive trend, and events with low ozone concentration (≤10 μg/m3) continued to diminish. On a monthly scale, the highest and lowest mean concentrations are observed in May and November-December, respectively. The elevated concentrations (≥120 μg/m3) are observed during March-September. On a diurnal cycle, it is observed mostly during 13-16 of local time, and more frequent (ten-fold) compared with nighttime-early morning hours. For ozone elevated events, several sectors (or pathways of atmospheric transport) were identified depending on the sites’ positions, showing the largest (39%) number of such events associated with the north-western sector, and lowest (13% each)—southwestern and northern sectors. For each site, less than 60 events showed very high concentrations (≥180 μg/m3). Among 12 episodes, one longest elevated episode (19-21 Jun 2000) simultaneously registered at all sites and characterized by dominating transport from the south-southwestern sector, low wind speed, clear-sky, and multiple inversions was studied using modelling tools. For this episode, both measurements and modeling (trajectory and dispersion) results showed a relatively good agreement. 展开更多
关键词 ELEVATED Ozone Concentration Event and EPISODE ATMOSPHERIC TRAJECTORY Chemical Transport modeling HYSPLIT hirlam CAMX
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散射计海面风场的二维变分模糊去除方法 被引量:3
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作者 刘宇迪 亓晨 《热带气象学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2010年第5期620-625,共6页
为了去除散射计资料反演的海面风场模糊解,开发了一种二维变分模糊去除法进行风向模糊的去除,并进行了试验和与HIRLAM模式输出结果进行对比,结果表明:二维变分模糊去除方法处理的结果是理想的,可以推广到我国未来发射的HY-2散射计数据... 为了去除散射计资料反演的海面风场模糊解,开发了一种二维变分模糊去除法进行风向模糊的去除,并进行了试验和与HIRLAM模式输出结果进行对比,结果表明:二维变分模糊去除方法处理的结果是理想的,可以推广到我国未来发射的HY-2散射计数据的处理中。 展开更多
关键词 散射计 二维变分模糊去除法 hirlam模式 风向模糊
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初值形成方法对降水数值预报的影响
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作者 俞小鼎 《高原气象》 CSCD 北大核心 1998年第3期310-316,共7页
北欧有限区域模式HIRLAM被应用于中国的暴雨个例以探讨初值形成方法对有限区域模式定量降水数值预报的影响。对两种初值形成方案进行了对比,一种是由HIRLAM自已的数据同化系统提供初值;另一种是直接内插ECMWF全球模... 北欧有限区域模式HIRLAM被应用于中国的暴雨个例以探讨初值形成方法对有限区域模式定量降水数值预报的影响。对两种初值形成方案进行了对比,一种是由HIRLAM自已的数据同化系统提供初值;另一种是直接内插ECMWF全球模式的相应分析场。与这两种方案对应的数值试验分别是控制试验(CONL)和对比试验(COMP)。将CONL和COMP的降水预报与观测值比较,结果表明:(1)当为COMP提供初值的ECMWF全球模式的分辨率明显低于HIRLAM模式的分辨率时,则采用HIRLAM模式自已数据同化系统提供初值的CONL的降水预报结果较之COMP的相应结果有显著改善;(2)当ECMWF全球模式的分辨率与HIRLAM模式的分辨率接近时,则COMP和CONL中的降水预报水平相近,但各有所长。因此,我们得到如下的印象:由于较高的分辨率导致第一猜测值质量的提高是造成上述第一点中CONL预报明显优于COMP预报的主要原因,而CONL避免了COMP中的异模式协调误差,这一点似乎并未导致预报质量的明显提高。 展开更多
关键词 初值形成 降水数值预报 hirlam模式 中国暴雨
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ON THE SENSITIVITY OF PRECIPITATION FORECASTS TO THE MOIST PHYSICS AND THE HORIZONTAL RESOLUTION OF NUMERICAL MODEL
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作者 俞小鼎 Leif Laursen Erik Rasmussen 《Acta meteorologica Sinica》 SCIE 1997年第4期432-445,共14页
The impacts of the enhanced model's moist physics and horizontal resolution upon the QPFs (quantitative precipitation forecasts)are investigated by applying the HIRLAM(high resolution limited area model)to the sum... The impacts of the enhanced model's moist physics and horizontal resolution upon the QPFs (quantitative precipitation forecasts)are investigated by applying the HIRLAM(high resolution limited area model)to the summer heavy-rain cases in China.The performance of the control run, for which a 0.5°×0.5°grid spacing and a traditional“grid-box supersaturation removal+Kuo type convective paramerization”are used as the moist physics,is compared with that of the sensitivity runs with an enhanced model's moist physics(Sundqvist scheme)and an increased horizontal resolution(0.25°×0.25°),respectively.The results show: (1)The enhanced moist physics scheme(Sundqvist scheme),by introducing the cloud water content as an additional prognostic variable and taking into account briefly of the microphysics involved in the cloud-rain conversion,does bring improvements in the model's QPFs.Although the deteriorated QPFs also occur occasionally,the improvements are found in the majority of the cases,indicating the great potential for the improvement of QPFs by enhancing the model's moist physics. (2)By increasing the model's horizontal resolution from 0.5°×0.5°,which is already quite high compared with that of the conventional atmospheric soundings,to 0.25°×0.25°without the simultaneous enhancement in model physics and objective analysis,the improvements in QPFs are very limited.With higher resolution,although slight amelioration in locating the rainfall centers and in resolving some finer structures of precipitation pattern are made,the number of the mis- predicted fine structures in rainfall field increases with the enhanced model resolution as well. 展开更多
关键词 quantitative precipitation forecasts(QPFs) moist physics RESOLUTION hirlam model(high resolution limited area model) heavy rain in China
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