This study examines the use of high frequency data in finance,including volatility estimation and jump tests.High frequency data allows the construction of model-free volatility measures for asset returns.Realized var...This study examines the use of high frequency data in finance,including volatility estimation and jump tests.High frequency data allows the construction of model-free volatility measures for asset returns.Realized variance is a consistent estimator of quadratic variation under mild regularity conditions.Other variation concepts,such as power variation and bipower variation,are useful and important for analyzing high frequency data when jumps are present.High frequency data can also be used to test jumps in asset prices.We discuss three jump tests:bipower variation test,power variation test,and variance swap test in this study.The presence of market microstructure noise complicates the analysis of high frequency data.The survey introduces several robust methods of volatility estimation and jump tests in the presence of market microstructure noise.Finally,some applications of jump tests in asset pricing are discussed in this article.展开更多
This paper describes a data transmission method using a cyclic redundancy check and inaudible frequencies.The proposed method uses inaudible high frequencies from 18 k Hz to 22 k Hz generated via the inner speaker of ...This paper describes a data transmission method using a cyclic redundancy check and inaudible frequencies.The proposed method uses inaudible high frequencies from 18 k Hz to 22 k Hz generated via the inner speaker of smart devices.Using the proposed method,the performance is evaluated by conducting data transmission tests between a smart book and smart phone.The test results confirm that the proposed method can send 32 bits of data in an average of 235 ms,the transmission success rate reaches 99.47%,and the error detection rate of the cyclic redundancy check is0.53%.展开更多
Following Bessembinder and Seguins,trading volume is separated into expected and unexpected components.Meanwhile,realized volatility is divided into continuous and discontinuous jump components.We make the empirical r...Following Bessembinder and Seguins,trading volume is separated into expected and unexpected components.Meanwhile,realized volatility is divided into continuous and discontinuous jump components.We make the empirical research to investigate the relationship between trading volume components and various realized volatility using1min high frequency data of Shanghai copper and aluminum futures.Moreover,the asymmetry of volatility-volume relationship is investigated.The results show that there is strong positive correlation between volatility and trading volume when realized volatility and its continuous component are considered.The relationship between trading volume and discontinuous jump component is ambiguous.The expected and unexpected trading volumes have positive influence on volatility.Furthermore,the unexpected trading volume,which is caused by arrival of new information,has a larger influence on price volatility.The findings also show that an asymmetric volatility-volume relationship indeed exists,which can be interpreted by the fact that trading volume has more explanatory power in positive realized semi-variance than negative realized semi-variance.The influence of positive trading volume shock on volatility is larger than that of negative trading volume shock,which reflects strong arbitrage in Chinese copper and aluminum futures markets.展开更多
In this paper we consider the problem of testing long memory for a continuous time process based on high frequency data. We provide two test statistics to distinguish between a semimartingale and a fractional integral...In this paper we consider the problem of testing long memory for a continuous time process based on high frequency data. We provide two test statistics to distinguish between a semimartingale and a fractional integral process with jumps, where the integral is driven by a fractional Brownian motion with long memory. The small-sample performances of the statistics are evidenced by means of simulation studies. The real data analysis shows that the fractional integral process with jumps can capture the long memory of some financial data.展开更多
In this paper, we construct and implement a new architecture and learning method of customized hybrid RBF neural network for high frequency time series data forecasting. The hybridization is carried out using two runn...In this paper, we construct and implement a new architecture and learning method of customized hybrid RBF neural network for high frequency time series data forecasting. The hybridization is carried out using two running approaches. In the first one, the ARCH (Autoregressive Conditionally Heteroscedastic)-GARCH (Generalized ARCH) methodology is applied. The second modeling approach is based on RBF (Radial Basic Function) neural network using Gaussian activation function with cloud concept. The use of both methods is useful, because there is no knowledge about the relationship between the inputs into the system and its output. Both approaches are merged into one framework to predict the final forecast values. The question arises whether non-linear methods like neural networks can help modeling any non-linearities being inherent within the estimated statistical model. We also test the customized version of the RBF combined with the machine learning method based on SVM learning system. The proposed novel approach is applied to high frequency data of the BUX stock index time series. Our results show that the proposed approach achieves better forecast accuracy on the validation dataset than most available techniques.展开更多
Increasing attention has been focused on the analysis of the realized volatil- ity, which can be treated as a proxy for the true volatility. In this paper, we study the potential use of the realized volatility as a pr...Increasing attention has been focused on the analysis of the realized volatil- ity, which can be treated as a proxy for the true volatility. In this paper, we study the potential use of the realized volatility as a proxy in a stochastic volatility model estimation. We estimate the leveraged stochastic volatility model using the realized volatility computed from five popular methods across six sampling-frequency transaction data (from 1-min to 60- min) based on the trust region method. Availability of the realized volatility allows us to estimate the model parameters via the MLE and thus avoids computational challenge in the high dimensional integration. Six stock indices are considered in the empirical investigation. We discover some consistent findings and interesting patterns from the empirical results. In general, the significant leverage effect is consistently detected at each sampling frequency and the volatility persistence becomes weaker at the lower sampling frequency.展开更多
文摘This study examines the use of high frequency data in finance,including volatility estimation and jump tests.High frequency data allows the construction of model-free volatility measures for asset returns.Realized variance is a consistent estimator of quadratic variation under mild regularity conditions.Other variation concepts,such as power variation and bipower variation,are useful and important for analyzing high frequency data when jumps are present.High frequency data can also be used to test jumps in asset prices.We discuss three jump tests:bipower variation test,power variation test,and variance swap test in this study.The presence of market microstructure noise complicates the analysis of high frequency data.The survey introduces several robust methods of volatility estimation and jump tests in the presence of market microstructure noise.Finally,some applications of jump tests in asset pricing are discussed in this article.
基金supported by Ministry of Educationunder Basic Science Research Program under Grant No.NRF-2013R1A1A2061478
文摘This paper describes a data transmission method using a cyclic redundancy check and inaudible frequencies.The proposed method uses inaudible high frequencies from 18 k Hz to 22 k Hz generated via the inner speaker of smart devices.Using the proposed method,the performance is evaluated by conducting data transmission tests between a smart book and smart phone.The test results confirm that the proposed method can send 32 bits of data in an average of 235 ms,the transmission success rate reaches 99.47%,and the error detection rate of the cyclic redundancy check is0.53%.
基金Projects (71874210,71633006,71573282,71403298) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject (18ZWA07) supported by Think-Tank Major Project of Hunan Province,China
文摘Following Bessembinder and Seguins,trading volume is separated into expected and unexpected components.Meanwhile,realized volatility is divided into continuous and discontinuous jump components.We make the empirical research to investigate the relationship between trading volume components and various realized volatility using1min high frequency data of Shanghai copper and aluminum futures.Moreover,the asymmetry of volatility-volume relationship is investigated.The results show that there is strong positive correlation between volatility and trading volume when realized volatility and its continuous component are considered.The relationship between trading volume and discontinuous jump component is ambiguous.The expected and unexpected trading volumes have positive influence on volatility.Furthermore,the unexpected trading volume,which is caused by arrival of new information,has a larger influence on price volatility.The findings also show that an asymmetric volatility-volume relationship indeed exists,which can be interpreted by the fact that trading volume has more explanatory power in positive realized semi-variance than negative realized semi-variance.The influence of positive trading volume shock on volatility is larger than that of negative trading volume shock,which reflects strong arbitrage in Chinese copper and aluminum futures markets.
基金Supported by National NSFC(11501503)Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province of China(BK20131340)+3 种基金China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(2014M560471,2016T90534)Qing Lan Project of Jiangsu Province of ChinaPriority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions(Applied Economics)Key Laboratory of Jiangsu Province(Financial Engineering Laboratory)
文摘In this paper we consider the problem of testing long memory for a continuous time process based on high frequency data. We provide two test statistics to distinguish between a semimartingale and a fractional integral process with jumps, where the integral is driven by a fractional Brownian motion with long memory. The small-sample performances of the statistics are evidenced by means of simulation studies. The real data analysis shows that the fractional integral process with jumps can capture the long memory of some financial data.
基金supported by the European Regional Development Fund in the IT4Innovations Centre of Excellence project(CZ.1.05/1.1.00/02.0070).
文摘In this paper, we construct and implement a new architecture and learning method of customized hybrid RBF neural network for high frequency time series data forecasting. The hybridization is carried out using two running approaches. In the first one, the ARCH (Autoregressive Conditionally Heteroscedastic)-GARCH (Generalized ARCH) methodology is applied. The second modeling approach is based on RBF (Radial Basic Function) neural network using Gaussian activation function with cloud concept. The use of both methods is useful, because there is no knowledge about the relationship between the inputs into the system and its output. Both approaches are merged into one framework to predict the final forecast values. The question arises whether non-linear methods like neural networks can help modeling any non-linearities being inherent within the estimated statistical model. We also test the customized version of the RBF combined with the machine learning method based on SVM learning system. The proposed novel approach is applied to high frequency data of the BUX stock index time series. Our results show that the proposed approach achieves better forecast accuracy on the validation dataset than most available techniques.
文摘Increasing attention has been focused on the analysis of the realized volatil- ity, which can be treated as a proxy for the true volatility. In this paper, we study the potential use of the realized volatility as a proxy in a stochastic volatility model estimation. We estimate the leveraged stochastic volatility model using the realized volatility computed from five popular methods across six sampling-frequency transaction data (from 1-min to 60- min) based on the trust region method. Availability of the realized volatility allows us to estimate the model parameters via the MLE and thus avoids computational challenge in the high dimensional integration. Six stock indices are considered in the empirical investigation. We discover some consistent findings and interesting patterns from the empirical results. In general, the significant leverage effect is consistently detected at each sampling frequency and the volatility persistence becomes weaker at the lower sampling frequency.