Research about asteroids has recently attracted more and more attention, especially focusing on their physical structures, such as their spin axis, rotation period and shape. The long distance between observers on Ear...Research about asteroids has recently attracted more and more attention, especially focusing on their physical structures, such as their spin axis, rotation period and shape. The long distance between observers on Earth and asteroids makes it impossible to directly calculate the shape and other parameters of asteroids, with the exception of Near Earth Asteroids and others that have passed by some spacecrafts. Photometric measurements are still generally the main way to obtain research data on asteroids, i.e. the lightcurves recording the brightness and positions of asteroids. Supposing that the shape of the asteroid is a triaxial ellipsoid with a stable spin, a new method is presented in this article to reconstruct the shape models of asteroids from the lightcurves, together with other physical parameters. By applying a special curvature function, the method calculates the brightness integration on a unit sphere and Lebedev quadrature is employed for the discretization. Finally, the method searches for the optimal solution by the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm to minimize the residual of the brightness. By adopting this method, not only can related physical parameters of asteroids be obtained at a reasonable accuracy, but also a simple shape model of an ellipsoid can be generated for reconstructing a more sophisticated shape model.展开更多
为研究设备可用度对列车控制中心(TCC,Train Control Center)的影响和预测TCC的剩余使用寿命(RUL,Remaining Useful Life),降低TCC的故障发生率,确保车辆安全运行,构建TCC动态故障树模型。通过引入Markov理论,将其转化为Markov模型,设计...为研究设备可用度对列车控制中心(TCC,Train Control Center)的影响和预测TCC的剩余使用寿命(RUL,Remaining Useful Life),降低TCC的故障发生率,确保车辆安全运行,构建TCC动态故障树模型。通过引入Markov理论,将其转化为Markov模型,设计了TCC可用度评估与RUL预测方法;考虑了TCC的失效率和共因失效,利用D-S(Dempster-Shafer)证据理论对失效数据作数据融合处理,得到TCC设备初始故障区间概率;在此基础上,采用超椭球模型约束设备初始故障区间概率,得到更加精确的底事件故障区间概率;画出Markov状态转移图,用矩阵推导出TCC可用度和RUL的函数关系式,且对可用度的计算还考虑了维修因素。以兰州—乌鲁木齐客运专线某TCC数据作为分析案例,用该方法计算TCC及其各设备的可用度,并预测TCC的RUL。结果表明:与通用方法相比,评估结果相同,但评估信息更丰富。展开更多
基金funded by grant No. 019/2010/A2 from the Science and Technology Development Fund, MSARthe support of the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 10503013, 11078006 and 10933004)the Minor Planet Foundation of Purple Mountain Observatory
文摘Research about asteroids has recently attracted more and more attention, especially focusing on their physical structures, such as their spin axis, rotation period and shape. The long distance between observers on Earth and asteroids makes it impossible to directly calculate the shape and other parameters of asteroids, with the exception of Near Earth Asteroids and others that have passed by some spacecrafts. Photometric measurements are still generally the main way to obtain research data on asteroids, i.e. the lightcurves recording the brightness and positions of asteroids. Supposing that the shape of the asteroid is a triaxial ellipsoid with a stable spin, a new method is presented in this article to reconstruct the shape models of asteroids from the lightcurves, together with other physical parameters. By applying a special curvature function, the method calculates the brightness integration on a unit sphere and Lebedev quadrature is employed for the discretization. Finally, the method searches for the optimal solution by the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm to minimize the residual of the brightness. By adopting this method, not only can related physical parameters of asteroids be obtained at a reasonable accuracy, but also a simple shape model of an ellipsoid can be generated for reconstructing a more sophisticated shape model.
文摘为研究设备可用度对列车控制中心(TCC,Train Control Center)的影响和预测TCC的剩余使用寿命(RUL,Remaining Useful Life),降低TCC的故障发生率,确保车辆安全运行,构建TCC动态故障树模型。通过引入Markov理论,将其转化为Markov模型,设计了TCC可用度评估与RUL预测方法;考虑了TCC的失效率和共因失效,利用D-S(Dempster-Shafer)证据理论对失效数据作数据融合处理,得到TCC设备初始故障区间概率;在此基础上,采用超椭球模型约束设备初始故障区间概率,得到更加精确的底事件故障区间概率;画出Markov状态转移图,用矩阵推导出TCC可用度和RUL的函数关系式,且对可用度的计算还考虑了维修因素。以兰州—乌鲁木齐客运专线某TCC数据作为分析案例,用该方法计算TCC及其各设备的可用度,并预测TCC的RUL。结果表明:与通用方法相比,评估结果相同,但评估信息更丰富。
