This paper analyses the essential cause of exchange market fluctuation by using IS－LM model: excessive investment causes goods overstocking in goods market, which brings about supply exceeding demand:financial market...This paper analyses the essential cause of exchange market fluctuation by using IS－LM model: excessive investment causes goods overstocking in goods market, which brings about supply exceeding demand:financial market loses equilibrium as well, resulting imbalance of money demand and money supply, which causes interest rate to drop. This Paper gives the relationship between interest rate and exchange rate: as a result of interest rate dropping, exchange rate is in great turbulence,whose fluctuation range relates to some coefficients.展开更多
The purposes of this paper are to bring land factor into the general fame of national product and develop a new modified‘IS-LM equilibrium model',aiming to find out the impacts of land factor on the effective all...The purposes of this paper are to bring land factor into the general fame of national product and develop a new modified‘IS-LM equilibrium model',aiming to find out the impacts of land factor on the effective allocation of capital between total supply and total demand constituting gross national product,to analyze the relation mechanism among land factor and macroeconomic variables,and to discuss the theoretical mechanism under which land,fiscal and monetary policy are integrated. Methods employed include econometrics and model analysis. The results indicate that:( i) on the conditions that the equilibrium of supply and demand in land market,the modified IS-LM model taking into account land factor successfully performs transmission mechanism of land policy participation in macroeconomic-control by means of money capital regulation;( ii) the direction and intensity of land policy control are effected by elasticity of land supply and land price,meanwhile different characteristics of land supply elasticity exit in different stages of economic development;( iii) the realization of IS-LM equilibrium requires the aggregate effects of fiscal,monetary and land policy. It is concluded that land policies for macroeconomic-control drives land price higher,and land supply regulation would diminish financial effect. During the economic expansion or recovery period,the effect of expansionary land policy would be counteracted by high land price. During the economic transition or recession period,the government could control economical operation better through tightening land policy.展开更多
为了对大坝进行切实有效的监控,需要建立一个良好的大坝预测模型。针对传统BP(Back-Propagation)神经网络存在的收敛速度慢和泛化能力弱等缺陷,利用LM-BP(Levenberg Marquardt Back Propagation)算法对大坝变形进行预测,并根据丹江口大...为了对大坝进行切实有效的监控,需要建立一个良好的大坝预测模型。针对传统BP(Back-Propagation)神经网络存在的收敛速度慢和泛化能力弱等缺陷,利用LM-BP(Levenberg Marquardt Back Propagation)算法对大坝变形进行预测,并根据丹江口大坝1996和1997两年的变形观测数据,对大坝挠度预测结果进行分析。结果表明,所建立的LM-BP神经网络的预测精度和收敛速度明显提高。展开更多
文摘This paper analyses the essential cause of exchange market fluctuation by using IS－LM model: excessive investment causes goods overstocking in goods market, which brings about supply exceeding demand:financial market loses equilibrium as well, resulting imbalance of money demand and money supply, which causes interest rate to drop. This Paper gives the relationship between interest rate and exchange rate: as a result of interest rate dropping, exchange rate is in great turbulence,whose fluctuation range relates to some coefficients.
基金Supported by the National Social Science Foundation of China Youth Project(13CJL064)Beijing Philosophy and Social Science Planning Project(13JGC097)
文摘The purposes of this paper are to bring land factor into the general fame of national product and develop a new modified‘IS-LM equilibrium model',aiming to find out the impacts of land factor on the effective allocation of capital between total supply and total demand constituting gross national product,to analyze the relation mechanism among land factor and macroeconomic variables,and to discuss the theoretical mechanism under which land,fiscal and monetary policy are integrated. Methods employed include econometrics and model analysis. The results indicate that:( i) on the conditions that the equilibrium of supply and demand in land market,the modified IS-LM model taking into account land factor successfully performs transmission mechanism of land policy participation in macroeconomic-control by means of money capital regulation;( ii) the direction and intensity of land policy control are effected by elasticity of land supply and land price,meanwhile different characteristics of land supply elasticity exit in different stages of economic development;( iii) the realization of IS-LM equilibrium requires the aggregate effects of fiscal,monetary and land policy. It is concluded that land policies for macroeconomic-control drives land price higher,and land supply regulation would diminish financial effect. During the economic expansion or recovery period,the effect of expansionary land policy would be counteracted by high land price. During the economic transition or recession period,the government could control economical operation better through tightening land policy.
文摘为了对大坝进行切实有效的监控,需要建立一个良好的大坝预测模型。针对传统BP(Back-Propagation)神经网络存在的收敛速度慢和泛化能力弱等缺陷,利用LM-BP(Levenberg Marquardt Back Propagation)算法对大坝变形进行预测,并根据丹江口大坝1996和1997两年的变形观测数据,对大坝挠度预测结果进行分析。结果表明,所建立的LM-BP神经网络的预测精度和收敛速度明显提高。
