Incremental multivariable predictive functional control and its application in a gas fractionation unit

The control of gas fractionation unit(GFU) in petroleum industry is very difficult due to multivariable characteristics and a large time delay.PID controllers are still applied in most industry processes.However,the traditional PID control has been proven not sufficient and capable for this particular petro-chemical process.In this work,an incremental multivariable predictive functional control(IMPFC) algorithm was proposed with less online computation,great precision and fast response.An incremental transfer function matrix model was set up through the step-response data,and predictive outputs were deduced with the theory of single-value optimization.The results show that the method can optimize the incremental control variable and reject the constraint of the incremental control variable with the positional predictive functional control algorithm,and thereby making the control variable smoother.The predictive output error and future set-point were approximated by a polynomial,which can overcome the problem under the model mismatch and make the predictive outputs track the reference trajectory.Then,the design of incremental multivariable predictive functional control was studied.Simulation and application results show that the proposed control strategy is effective and feasible to improve control performance and robustness of process.

A Novel Hidden Danger Prediction Method in CloudBased Intelligent Industrial Production Management Using Timeliness Managing Extreme Learning Machine

To prevent possible accidents,the study of data-driven analytics to predict hidden dangers in cloud service-based intelligent industrial production management has been the subject of increasing interest recently.A machine learning algorithm that uses timeliness managing extreme learning machine is utilized in this article to achieve the above prediction.Compared with traditional learning algorithms,extreme learning machine(ELM) exhibits high performance because of its unique feature of a high generalization capability at a fast learning speed.Timeliness managing ELM is proposed by incorporating timeliness management scheme into ELM.When using the timeliness managing ELM scheme to predict hidden dangers,newly incremental data could be added prior to the historical data to maximize the contribution of the newly incremental training data,because the incremental data may be able to contribute reasonable weights to represent the current production situation according to practical analysis of accidents in some industrial productions.Experimental results from a coal mine show that the use of timeliness managing ELM can improve the prediction accuracy of hidden dangers with better stability compared with other similar machine learning methods.

Has the Prediction of the South China Sea Summer Monsoon Improved Since the Late 1970s?

Based on the evaluation of state-of-the-art coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation models （CGCMs） from the ENSEMBLES （Ensemble-based Predictions of Climate Changes and Their Impacts） and DEME- TER （Development of a European Multimodel Ensemble System for Seasonal to Interannual Prediction） projects, it is found that the prediction of the South China Sea summer monsoon （SCSSM） has improved since the late 1970s. These CGCMs show better skills in prediction of the atmospheric circulation and precipitation within the SCSSM domain during 1979-2005 than that during 1960-1978. Possible reasons for this improvement are investigated. First, the relationship between the SSTs over the tropical Pacific, North Pacific and tropical Indian Ocean, and SCSSM has intensified since the late 1970s. Meanwhile, the SCSSM-related SSTs, with their larger amplitude of interannual variability, have been better predicted. Moreover, the larger amplitude of the interannual variability of the SCSSM and improved initializations for CGCMs after the late 1970s contribute to the better prediction of the SCSSM. In addition, considering that the CGCMs have certain limitations in SCSSM rainfall prediction, we applied the year-to-year increment approach to these CGCMs from the DEMETER and ENSEMBLES projects to improve the prediction of SCSSM rainfall before and after the late 1970s.

Improved MPPT Control Strategy for PV Connected to Grid Using IncCond-PSO-MPC Approach

This paper proposes a new hybrid maximum power point tracking(MPPT)control strategy for grid-connected solar systems based on Incremental conductance—Particle Swarm Optimization and Model Predictive Controller(IncCond-PSOMPC).The purpose of the suggested method is to create as much power as feasible from a PV system during environmental changes,then transfer it to the power grid.To accomplish this,a hybrid combination of incremental conductance(IncCond)and particle swarm optimization(PSO)is proposed to locate maximum power,followed by model predictive control(MPC)to track maximum power and control the boost converter to achieve high performance regardless of parameter variations.A two-level inverter,likewise,controlled by Model Predictive Control,is employed to inject the PV power generated.In this application,the MPC is based on minimizing the difference between the reference and prediction powers,which is computed to select the switching state of the inverter.The proposed system is simulated and evaluated in a variety of dynamic conditions using Matlab/Simulink.Results reveal that the proposed control mechanism is effective at tracking the maximum power point(MPP)with fewer power oscillations.