An integrated dynamic model of natural gas pipeline networks is developed in this paper.Components for gas supply,e.g.,pipelines,junctions,compressor stations,LNG terminals,regulation stations and gas storage faciliti...An integrated dynamic model of natural gas pipeline networks is developed in this paper.Components for gas supply,e.g.,pipelines,junctions,compressor stations,LNG terminals,regulation stations and gas storage facilities are included in the model.These components are firstly modeled with respect to their properties and functions and,then,integrated at the system level by Graph Theory.The model can be used for simulating the system response in different scenarios of operation,and evaluate the consequences from the perspectives of supply security and resilience.A case study is considered to evaluate the accuracy of the model by benchmarking its results against those from literature and the software Pipeline Studio.Finally,the model is applied on a relatively complex natural gas pipeline network and the results are analyzed in detail from the supply security and resilience points of view.The main contributions of the paper are:firstly,a novel model of a complex gas pipeline network is proposed as a dynamic state-space model at system level;a method,based on the dynamic model,is proposed to analyze the security and resilience of supply from a system perspective.展开更多
为了更全面、准确地分析天然气站场的系统整体可靠性,提出采用跨领域的网络流理论来分析天然气站场系统的整体可靠性,并对网络流理论做了归纳创新与适应性分析,通过最小路集与不交化算法计算出站场系统在正常工艺状态下的失效概率,然后...为了更全面、准确地分析天然气站场的系统整体可靠性,提出采用跨领域的网络流理论来分析天然气站场系统的整体可靠性,并对网络流理论做了归纳创新与适应性分析,通过最小路集与不交化算法计算出站场系统在正常工艺状态下的失效概率,然后创新性地提出基于危险与可操作性分析(hazard and operability analysis,HAZOP)确定站场系统在工艺参数偏差状态下的失效概率,分析偏差状态对于站场系统可靠性的影响,将其与正常工艺状态下的站场系统失效概率对比,从而更加全面地分析天然气站场系统的整体可靠性。结果表明:所提出的网络流分步法比网络流整体法分析站场系统的可靠性适应性更强,网络流分步法不存在必要通路不在最小路集内的问题,既能保证连通性又能保证满足工艺要求;正常工艺状态下该站的系统失效概率为4.9869×10^(-2),工艺参数偏差状态下该站的系统失效概率为5.8036×10^(-2),较正常工艺状态增大16.38%,两种状态下各子系统的失效概率数量级没有改变,大小排序也没有改变,因此该工艺参数偏差状态下建议各子系统排序不变,但对于各子系统中的设备需按各自失效概率增大的程度进行重点关注的调整,这对于天然气站场的实际生产运行与安全运行管理具有一定的指导意义。展开更多
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant number 51904316]provided by China University of Petroleum,Beijing[grant number2462021YJRC013,2462020YXZZ045]
文摘An integrated dynamic model of natural gas pipeline networks is developed in this paper.Components for gas supply,e.g.,pipelines,junctions,compressor stations,LNG terminals,regulation stations and gas storage facilities are included in the model.These components are firstly modeled with respect to their properties and functions and,then,integrated at the system level by Graph Theory.The model can be used for simulating the system response in different scenarios of operation,and evaluate the consequences from the perspectives of supply security and resilience.A case study is considered to evaluate the accuracy of the model by benchmarking its results against those from literature and the software Pipeline Studio.Finally,the model is applied on a relatively complex natural gas pipeline network and the results are analyzed in detail from the supply security and resilience points of view.The main contributions of the paper are:firstly,a novel model of a complex gas pipeline network is proposed as a dynamic state-space model at system level;a method,based on the dynamic model,is proposed to analyze the security and resilience of supply from a system perspective.
文摘为了更全面、准确地分析天然气站场的系统整体可靠性,提出采用跨领域的网络流理论来分析天然气站场系统的整体可靠性,并对网络流理论做了归纳创新与适应性分析,通过最小路集与不交化算法计算出站场系统在正常工艺状态下的失效概率,然后创新性地提出基于危险与可操作性分析(hazard and operability analysis,HAZOP)确定站场系统在工艺参数偏差状态下的失效概率,分析偏差状态对于站场系统可靠性的影响,将其与正常工艺状态下的站场系统失效概率对比,从而更加全面地分析天然气站场系统的整体可靠性。结果表明:所提出的网络流分步法比网络流整体法分析站场系统的可靠性适应性更强,网络流分步法不存在必要通路不在最小路集内的问题,既能保证连通性又能保证满足工艺要求;正常工艺状态下该站的系统失效概率为4.9869×10^(-2),工艺参数偏差状态下该站的系统失效概率为5.8036×10^(-2),较正常工艺状态增大16.38%,两种状态下各子系统的失效概率数量级没有改变,大小排序也没有改变,因此该工艺参数偏差状态下建议各子系统排序不变,但对于各子系统中的设备需按各自失效概率增大的程度进行重点关注的调整,这对于天然气站场的实际生产运行与安全运行管理具有一定的指导意义。
