Fault diagnosis of power-shift steering transmission based on multiple outputs least squares support vector regression

A method of multiple outputs least squares support vector regression （LS-SVR） was developed and described in detail, with the radial basis function （RBF） as the kernel function. The method was applied to predict the future state of the power-shift steering transmission （PSST）. A prediction model of PSST was gotten with multiple outputs LS-SVR. The model performance was greatly influenced by the penalty parameter γ and kernel parameter σ2 which were optimized using cross validation method. The training and prediction of the model were done with spectrometric oil analysis data. The predictive and actual values were compared and a fault in the second PSST was found. The research proved that this method had good accuracy in PSST fault prediction, and any possible problem in PSST could be found through a comparative analysis.

Multistep-ahead River Flow Prediction using LS-SVR at Daily Scale

In this study, potential of Least Square-Support Vector Regression (LS-SVR) approach is utilized to model the daily variation of river flow. Inherent complexity, unavailability of reasonably long data set and heterogeneous catchment response are the couple of issues that hinder the generalization of relationship between previous and forthcoming river flow magnitudes. The problem complexity may get enhanced with the influence of upstream dam releases. These issues are investigated by exploiting the capability of LS-SVR–an approach that considers Structural Risk Minimization (SRM) against the Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM)–used by other learning approaches, such as, Artificial Neural Network (ANN). This study is conducted in upper Narmada river basin in India having Bargi dam in its catchment, constructed in 1989. The river gauging station–Sandia is located few hundred kilometer downstream of Bargi dam. The model development is carried out with pre-construction flow regime and its performance is checked for both pre- and post-construction of the dam for any perceivable difference. It is found that the performances are similar for both the flow regimes, which indicates that the releases from the dam at daily scale for this gauging site may be ignored. In order to investigate the temporal horizon over which the prediction performance may be relied upon, a multistep-ahead prediction is carried out and the model performance is found to be reasonably good up to 5-day-ahead predictions though the performance is decreasing with the increase in lead-time. Skills of both LS-SVR and ANN are reported and it is found that the former performs better than the latter for all the lead-times in general, and shorter lead times in particular.

LS-SVR and AGO Based Time Series Prediction Method

Recently, fault or health condition prediction of complex systems becomes an interesting research topic. However, it is difficult to establish precise physical model for complex systems, and the time series properties are often necessary to be incorporated for the prediction in practice. Currently, the LS-SVR is widely adopted for prediction of systems with time series data. In this paper, in order to improve the prediction accuracy, accumulated generating operation （AGO） is carried out to improve the data quality and regularity of raw time series data based on grey system theory; then, the inverse accumulated generating operation （IAGO） is performed to obtain the prediction results. In addition, due to the reason that appropriate kernel function plays an important role in improving the accuracy of prediction through LS-SVR, a modified Gaussian radial basis function （RBF） is proposed. The requirements of distance functions-based kernel functions are satisfied, which ensure fast damping at the place adjacent to the test point and a moderate damping at infinity. The presented model is applied to the analysis of benchmarks. As indicated by the results, the proposed method is an effective prediction one with good precision.

Adaptive online prediction method based on LS-SVR and its application in an electronic system

Health trend prediction has become an effective way to ensure the safe operation of highly reliable systems,and online prediction is always necessary in many real applications.To simultaneously obtain better or acceptable online prediction accuracy and shorter computing time,we propose a new adaptive online method based on least squares support vector regression(LS-SVR).This method adopts two approaches.One approach is that we delete certain support vectors by judging the linear correlation among the samples to increase the sparseness of the prediction model.This approach can control the loss of useful information in sample data,improve the generalization capability of the prediction model,and reduce the prediction time.The other approach is that we reduce the number of traditional LS-SVR parameters and establish a modified simple prediction model.This approach can reduce the calculation time in the process of adaptive online training.Simulation and a certain electric system application indicate preliminarily that the proposed method is an effective prediction approach for its good prediction accuracy and low computing time.

Timing decision-making method of engine blades for predecisional remanufacturing based on reliability analysis

A timing decision-making method for predecisional remanufacturing is presented.The method can effectively solve the uncertainty problem of remanufacturing blanks.From the perspective of reliability,this study analyzes the timing decision-making interval for predecisional remanufacturing of mechanical products during the service period and constructs an optimal timing model based on energy consumption and cost.The mapping relationships between time and energy consumption are predicted by using the characteristic values of performance degradation of products combined with the least squares support vector regression algorithm.Application of game theory reveals that when the energy consumption and cost are comprehensively optimal,this moment is the best time for predecisional remanufacturing.Used engine blades are utilized as an example to demonstrate the validity and effectiveness of the proposed method.