The Design of the Assistant Decision Support System of Cross-Regional Rural Labor Flow

The framework of the assistant decision support system of cross-regional rural labor flow is established,the system combines the cross-regional rural labor flow with DSS,which provides the leaders with the maximum assistant decision-making function in the regulation and guidance of rural labors as well as in relevant programs.The assistant decision support system functions are discussed,the function modules of this system are introduced from four aspects,including the analysis of labor flow,the prediction of labor flow,the regulation of cross-regional flow and the configuration of decision support system;based on the data base obtained from dynamic tracking of the migrant workers and combining other data sources,the data warehouse model is established,for example,in the analysis of the labor migration times,a star multi-dimensional data model is designed from the time dimension,place dimension,the type of work dimension,accompaniers dimension and so on;the trans-regional flow of rural labor force is analyzed and predicted by using OLAP from the labor's migration times,migration places and other various perspectives.The operation principles of the assistant decision support system of trans-regional labor flow are introduced,it is pointed out that the system serves the policy-makers of the regulation of labor flow and other relevant enterprises,the system will play an important role in the tracking monitoring and cross-regional regulation of the rural labor flow.

China's Uneven Labor Flow and Its Effect on Regional Disparities—Empirical analysis based on non-parameter additive model

This paper is the first to use a non-parameter additive model in the empirical analysis of the impact of cross-regional laborflow on industrialization and economic growth in China’s eastern,central and western regions.Results indicate that laborflow has significantly different effects on the direction and intensity of impact on economic development across regions:massive labor inflow from the central and western regions to the eastern region significantly promoted the industrializationprocess and economic growth in the East,while the impact of labor outflow from the central and western regions on theregional economies is in a significantly inverted-U shaped non-linear relationship.Uneven labor flow across regions haswidened China’s regional economic disparities.

Revealing Spatial Spillover Effect in High-Tech Industry Agglomeration from a High-Skilled Labor Flow Network Perspective

Understanding the high-tech industrial agglomeration from a spatial-spillover perspective is essential for cities to gain economic and technological competitive advantages.Along with rapid urbanization and the development of fast transportation networks,socioeconomic interactions between cities have been ever-increasing,traditional spatial metrics are not enough to describe actual inter-city connections.High-skilled labor flow between cities strongly influences the high-tech industrial agglomeration,yet receives less attention.By exploiting unique large-scale datasets and tools from complex network and data mining,the authors construct an inter-city high-skilled labor flow network,which was integrated into spatial econometric models.The regression results indicate that spatial-spillover effects exist in the development of high-tech industries in the Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration region.Moreover,the spatial-spillover effects are stronger among cities with a higher volume of high-skilled labor flows than among cities with just stronger geographic connections.Additionally,the authors investigate the channels for the spillover effects and discover that inadequate local government expenses on science and technology likely hamper the high-tech industrial agglomeration,so does the inadequate local educational provision.The increasing foreign direct investments in one city likely encourages the high-tech industrial agglomeration in other cities because of the policy inertia toward traditional industries.

Empirical Study on the Impact of Rural Labor Force Flow on the Price of Agricultural Products——A Method Based on VEC Model

Based on the research introduction of domestic and foreign scholars,dynamic equilibrium between the rural labor force flow and the price of agricultural product is analyzed by VEC model,according to the data of the rural labor force flow and the price of agricultural products in the years 1990-2007.Chows breakpoint test is used to measure the stage characteristics of the impact of rural labor force flow on the price of agricultural product.Result shows that there is a long-term and stationary relationship between the flow quantity of rural labor force and the price of agricultural product.Rural labor force flow,as an exogenous force,affects the agricultural production,and further influences the price fluctuation of agricultural products.Impact of rural labor force flow on the price of agricultural product is from weak to strong,then grows gradually weaker,and reaches its peak value at the year 1998.With the development of rural society and economy and the market process,rural labor force flow endogenously affects the price of agricultural product,which has periodic characteristics.In order to achieve a dual stabilization of the rural labor force flow and the price of agricultural products,the following countermeasures are put forward:vigorously developing vocational education,increasing the support for agricultural production,and making active employment measures.

Analysis of Externality of Rural Labor Force Flow in Central and Western Regions of China and Benefit Compensation

According to the theories of institutional economics and development economics,the positive and negative externality of rural labor force flowing from central and western regions and into eastern regions of China were analyzed,and then it was proposed that it is necessary to positive externality,rather than take"household register"measures to solve the problem simply.

Systematic Reform and Risk Aversion in the Interregional Flow of Chinese Rural Labor Force --Wuhan Case Study

Based on Wuhan city investigation, this paper makes a positive analysis to the uncertainty of shifting rural labors to urban areas, and put forward thoughts and countermeasures to avert the risk of the interregional flow of rural labors.

劳动力流动能够影响农地资源配置效率吗?——来自全国农村固定观察点调查的证据

农地资源配置效率直接关系到现代化农业强国目标的实现,劳动力流动在其中发挥着重要影响。基于2009—2015年全国农村固定观察点数据,运用工具变量法识别劳动力流动对农地资源配置效率的影响。结果表明,劳动力流动能提高农地资源配置效率,这主要来源于土地过度配置时农户劳动力流动,而土地配置不足时这一效应消失。机制检验证实,劳动力流动通过土地流转和农业机械化机制,提高农地资源配置效率,但未发现资本回流机制发挥作用。因此,应破除劳动力流动的体制障碍,完善土地经营权流转服务体系和加快农机装备的推广应用,以优化农村土地资源配置和推进农业现代化发展。

货币政策对企业劳动投资效率的影响研究

基于2010—2020年我国A股上市公司的相关数据,对货币政策与企业劳动投资效率之间的关系进行探讨。研究发现,在货币政策紧缩时,企业劳动投资效率会有明显的提高,会计稳健性的提高以及自由现金流量的减少是紧缩性货币政策影响企业劳动投资效率的主要作用机制。进一步研究发现,高质量的公司治理水平会抑制紧缩性货币政策对企业劳动投资效率的影响。非效率劳动投资分组检验结果表明,紧缩性货币政策对企业劳动投资效率的促进效应,更多地表现为抑制劳动投资过度。

数字化转型、要素流动与包容性绿色增长--以长江经济带为例

随着数字经济纵深发展和全面拓展,数字化转型成为中国践行更为绿色、更具包容性发展理念的必然选择。文章从要素流动视角出发,深入探究数字化转型影响包容性绿色增长的内在机理。在此基础上,采用2011—2020年长江经济带96个城市面板数据,实证检验数字化转型对包容性绿色增长的影响效应和作用路径。研究结果表明:数字化转型对长江经济带包容性绿色增长具有显著提升效应;在互联网发展水平较高城市和低碳政策试点城市中,数字化转型对包容性绿色增长的提升效应更加明显;数字化转型可以通过加速资本流动和劳动力转移,间接促进包容性绿色增长。研究结论为科学评估数字化转型社会经济效应,充分发挥数字化转型要素配置功能,畅通要素流动,进而实现包容性绿色增长提供政策启示。

城市产业多样化与劳动力流动

多样化的产业发展模式已成为中国经济高质量发展的重要内容。基于2014—2017年全国流动人口动态监测调查数据库(CMDS),实证研究产业多样化对劳动力流动的具体效应。结果表明:(1)产业多样化对劳动力流动表现出“U型”影响。当产业多样化低于门槛值时,随着产业多样化增加,该城市对劳动力流向选择的吸引力减少;当产业多样化高于门槛值时,其增加会促进劳动力流入。(2)机制分析发现,产业多样化可能通过科技创新效应和生态文明效应影响劳动力流动。(3)异质性分析发现,迁移成本低的劳动力对产业多样化更加敏感,超大型城市流动的劳动力更容易受到产业多样化对其流向选择的促进作用。因此,应塑造核心产业与多元产业共同引航的发展生态,促进人才在区域内合理流动。

深层扮演:青年妇女在平台经济中创业就业的微观劳动实践研究

数字经济时代短视频的兴起和发展,激励底层中小青年女主播创作短视频和直播带货以实现灵活就业和创收。在流量社会中,平台以数据算法作为工具实施差异化的流量分配手段,使青年女主播形成了平台算法公平的想象的同时也成为被围困的“流量人”。为了将流量转化为收入,青年女主播在短视频内容生产输出和直播带货时,围绕着调动用户、消费者的情感投入这一目标,强化个人化标签和人设、制造情感和身份认同以及进行性别角色的展演。青年女主播通过深层扮演的方式,在短视频平台上呈现着本真性的特点,继而开辟下沉市场,践行着个体自由的逻辑和想象。

农村劳动力流动的影响因素分析——基于生存分析的视角

农村劳动力向城市流动的影响因素一直是发展经济学研究的主题之一。依据吉林省调查数据,本文运用生存分析的方法,分别从非参数分析、半参数分析和参数分析三个层次对农村劳动力流动的影响因素进行分析。研究结果表明,男性劳动力的流动性比女性劳动力的流动性强;受教育程度对女性劳动力流动性的影响不显著,对男性劳动力的流动倾向有显著的正向影响;健康状况与农村劳动力流动性负相关;家庭劳动力数量与农村劳动力流动性负相关;技术等级和耕地面积等其他因素对农村劳动力流动性的影响不明显。因此,政府应当进一步加大对农村教育的投入,完善农村教育体系,重视农村劳动力的技术培训,努力提高农村劳动力的整体素质和就业能力,促进农村劳动力合理有序地向城市流动。

劳动力流动对农村经济的影响效应——基于对四川省调查数据的分析

本文以国家社科基金课题组2010年初在四川省63个自然村有无外出务工家庭的问卷调查为研究样本,分析四川省农村劳动力流动的个体特征,劳动力流动对农民家庭收支、福利及农户农业生产的影响。结果发现:农村劳动力流动对增加农村居民收入、缓解农民家庭贫困、改善农民家庭福利状况及促进土地流转具有积极效应;对农户劳动力和土地等基本资源的合理配置具有一定的促进作用,但对农业产出率的提高和技术进步的作用不显著。

中国农村劳动力流动对产业梯度转移的影响探析

中国农村低成本劳动力大规模流入城市,使得城市低梯度产业能够继续留在城市发展,阻碍了产业梯度顺利自发转移,从而进一步加剧了城乡收入差距。对我国城市化与农业就业结构滞后现状的分析表明,产业梯度转移困难是我国典型城乡制度分层的结果。

农村劳动力流动对中国粮食生产影响研究——基于省域动态面板数据的实证分析

随着工业化、城市化进程加快,农村劳动力流动规模快速增长,农民外出务工与转移步伐呈现加快现象。在市场化改革快速推进的趋势下,农村劳动力流动对农户粮食生产决策环境产生了重要影响,对粮食生产波动的影响日益凸现。为此,从农户供给反应行为入手,构建农村劳动力流动对粮食总产量、粮食平均产量的供给反应模型,采用省域动态面板数据,利用GMM方法实证分析农村劳动力流动对粮食生产影响的途径与程度。研究发现,农村劳动力流动对粮食总产量产生了重要影响,非农就业对粮食生产具有显著负向影响,而人口迁移对粮食生产具有一定促进作用。

农村劳动力流动背景下我国粮食生产技术变动分析

本文利用三大谷物数据,从生产要素关系变动角度,实证分析农村劳动力流动背景下我国粮食生产投入及要素关系变动,进而考察新形势下粮食生产技术变动特征。研究结果表明,随着农村劳动力流动规模扩大,劳动对粮食生产影响日益凸显,耕地、劳动、机械、化肥的产出弹性均大于零,其中劳动对粮食生产的作用程度最大;从要素间替代弹性变动来看,机械、化肥与劳动的替代弹性均较小,而耕地与劳动的替代弹性较大,粮食生产面积增加在一定程度上弥补了劳动下降的不利影响;从三大地区层面来看,东、中、西三大地区的劳动弹性均高于其他要素产出弹性,三大地区的耕地、机械、化肥与劳动的替代弹性差异明显。

从劳动力流动到区域产业转移——江苏双二元经济结构的演变机制分析

基于江苏省二元经济发展情况,把空间产业转移因素引入传统的部门二元经济模型,提出了一个包含部门和空间的双二元经济结构,并以此来分析劳动力流动、产业的空间布局以及政府政策三类要素对双二元经济结构的影响。理论分析表明,产业转移改变了劳动力流动的空间选择,即从"外地转移"向"本地转移"转变;政府政策则改变了劳动力流动的成本收益比,提高了企业转移产业资本的利润空间,便利了劳动力在部门和区域之间的流动,从而有助于消解双二元结构。运用江苏省13个地级市1996年—2006年间的数据进行的实证分析也表明,非农劳动力比重的增加、FDI形式的资本转移有助于缩小城乡居民收入差距;但区域协调发展政策并未促使部门间收入差距的缩小,而且不同的区域收入差距的决定模式也不相同。但是,总体而言,促使二元经济发散的力量仍占主导地位。

劳动力流动对流动者人力资本形成的效应探析

文章利用在西部地区8个样本村调查所获得的资料,对比分析了农村外出打工者外出前后自身变化,说明了劳动力流动对流动者自身人力资本存量的影响。研究结果表明,农村劳动力流动对劳动者本身人力资本的形成存在着正负两个方面的影响,在当前农村人力资本投资相对有限的情况下,发挥流动对人力资本的正面作用对提高农村人力资本现状至关重要。

劳动力市场分割下的中国农村劳动力流动模型

中国城乡之间的劳动力流动是资源重新配置的方式之一,对中国经济发展具有积极的作用。本文将中国城乡间的劳动力市场分割概括为人力资本型分割和户籍型分割,分析了在分割的市场中农村劳动力流动的过程,并构造了以劳动力流动率为因变量的中国农村劳动力流动模型,全面地解释了农村劳动力流动的影响因素。分析结果表明,影响农村劳动力流动的因素包括劳动力市场分割的程度、城镇部门和农村部门的人均土地占有量、前期的城乡劳动力比以及以工资率为中介的两部门相关变量。但是,本文的研究结果不支持通过提高城乡工资率差来促进农村劳动力流动;可行的措施应在劳动力市场分割的减轻、社会保障体系的完善、土地城镇化和土地流转制度的改进等方面。

中国省际劳动力流动的特征演变及经济合理性研究:1995-2010

通过比较1995—2010年三次人口调查数据,考察我国省际劳动力流动的特征演变及经济合理性。结果表明,1995—2010年我国省际劳动力流动数量上呈现出规模趋大,流入流出分布均呈空间极化和时间惯性,典型流入省区的流出增幅趋大,流动重心北移等特征。结构演变则表现为省际流动劳动力年龄分布趋于集中,纵比中年化与横比年轻化并存、受教育水平趋高但增幅趋小、经济型流动为主且日趋明显、中西部短期化流动倾向增强,东部和东北部则渐趋长期化、就业集中于二三次产业,且东部更趋向集中等。计量结果显示,1995—2010年的省际劳动力流动有助于促进地区经济发展和缩小省区间经济增长差距,具备经济合理性。