In order to predict electromechanical equipments＇ nonlinear and non-stationary condition effectively, max Lyapunov exponent is introduced to the fault trend prediction of large rotating mechanical equipments based on...In order to predict electromechanical equipments＇ nonlinear and non-stationary condition effectively, max Lyapunov exponent is introduced to the fault trend prediction of large rotating mechanical equipments based on chaos theory. The predict method of chaos time series and two methods of proposing f and F are dis- cussed. The arithmetic of max prediction time of chaos time series is provided. Aiming at the key part of large rotating mechanical equipments-bearing, used this prediction method the simulation experiment is carried out. The result shows that this method has excellent performance for condition trend prediction.展开更多
Chaotic characteristics of traffic flow time series is analyzed to further investigate nonlinear characteristics of air traffic system.Phase space is reconstructed both by time delay which is built through mutual info...Chaotic characteristics of traffic flow time series is analyzed to further investigate nonlinear characteristics of air traffic system.Phase space is reconstructed both by time delay which is built through mutual information,and by embedding dimension which is based on false nearest neighbors method.In order to analyze chaotic characteristics of time series,correlation dimensions and the largest Lyapunov exponents are calculated through Grassberger-Procaccia(G-P)algorithm and small-data method.Five-day radar data from the control center in Guangzhou area are analyzed and the results show that saturated correlation dimensions with self-similar structures exist in time series,and the largest Lyapunov exponents are all equal to zero and not sensitive to initial conditions.Air traffic system is affected by multiple factors,containing inherent randomness,which lead to chaos.Only grasping chaotic characteristics can air traffic be predicted and controlled accurately.展开更多
Nonlinear response of the driven Duffing oscillator to periodic or quasi-periodic signals has been well studied. In this paper, we investigate the nonlinear response of the driven Duffing oscillator to non-periodic, m...Nonlinear response of the driven Duffing oscillator to periodic or quasi-periodic signals has been well studied. In this paper, we investigate the nonlinear response of the driven Duffing oscillator to non-periodic, more specifically, chaotic time series. Through numerical simulations, we find that the driven Duffing oscillator can also show regular nonlinear response to the chaotic time series with different degree of chaos as generated by the same chaotic series generating model, and there exists a relationship between the state of the driven Duffing oscillator and the chaoticity of the input signal of the driven Duffing oscillator. One real-world and two artificial chaotic time series are used to verify the new feature of Duffing oscillator. A potential application of the new feature of Duffing oscillator is also indicated.展开更多
Based on a model of network encoding and dynamics called the artificial genome, we propose a segmental duplication and divergence model for evolving artificial regulatory networks. We find that this class of networks ...Based on a model of network encoding and dynamics called the artificial genome, we propose a segmental duplication and divergence model for evolving artificial regulatory networks. We find that this class of networks share structural properties with natural transcriptional regulatory networks. Specifically, these networks can display scale-free and small-world structures. We also find that these networks have a higher probability to operate in the ordered regimen, and a lower probability to operate in the chaotic regimen. That is, the dynamics of these networks is similar to that of natural networks. The results show that the structure and dynamics inherent in natural networks may be in part due to their method of generation rather than being exclusively shaped by subsequent evolution under natural selection.展开更多
In recent years, the phenomenon of a critical slowing down has demonstrated its major potential in discovering whether a complex dynamic system tends to abruptly change at critical points. This research on the Pacific...In recent years, the phenomenon of a critical slowing down has demonstrated its major potential in discovering whether a complex dynamic system tends to abruptly change at critical points. This research on the Pacific decadal oscillation(PDO) index has been made on the basis of the critical slowing down principle in order to analyze its early warning signal of abrupt change. The chaotic characteristics of the PDO index sequence at different times are determined by using the largest Lyapunov exponent(LLE). The relationship between the regional sea surface temperature(SST) background field and the early warning signal of the PDO abrupt change is further studied through calculating the variance of the SST in the PDO region and the spatial distribution of the autocorrelation coefficient, thereby providing the experimental foundation for the extensive application of the method of the critical slowing down phenomenon. Our results show that the phenomenon of critical slowing down, such as the increase of the variance and autocorrelation coefficient, will continue for six years before the abrupt change of the PDO index. This phenomenon of the critical slowing down can be regarded as one of the early warning signals of an abrupt change. Through calculating the LLE of the PDO index during different times, it is also found that the strongest chaotic characteristics of the system occurred between 1971 and 1975 in the early stages of an abrupt change(1976), and the system was at the stage of a critical slowing down, which proves the reliability of the early warning signal of abrupt change discovered in 1970 from the mechanism. In addition, the variance of the SST,along with the spatial distribution of the autocorrelation coefficient in the corresponding PDO region, also demonstrates the corresponding relationship between the change of the background field of the SST and the change of the PDO.展开更多
The main research motive is to analysis and to veiny the inherent nonlinear character of MPEG-4 video. The power spectral density estimation of the video trafiic describes its 1/f^β and periodic characteristics.The p...The main research motive is to analysis and to veiny the inherent nonlinear character of MPEG-4 video. The power spectral density estimation of the video trafiic describes its 1/f^β and periodic characteristics.The priraeipal compohems analysis of the reconstructed space dimension shows only several principal components can be the representation of all dimensions. The correlation dimension analysis proves its fractal characteristic. To accurately compute the largest Lyapunov exponent, the video traffic is divided into many parts.So the largest Lyapunov exponent spectrum is separately calculated using the small data sets method. The largest Lyapunov exponent spectrum shows there exists abundant nonlinear chaos in MPEG-4 video traffic. The conclusion can be made that MPEG-4 video traffic have complex nonlinear be havior and can be characterized by its power spectral density,principal components, correlation dimension and the largest Lyapunov exponent besides its common statistics.展开更多
The principal resonance of Van der Pol-Duffing oscillator to combined deterministic and random parametric excitations is investigated. The method of multiple scales was used to determine the equations of modulation of...The principal resonance of Van der Pol-Duffing oscillator to combined deterministic and random parametric excitations is investigated. The method of multiple scales was used to determine the equations of modulation of amplitude and phase. The behavior, stability and bifurcation of steady state response were studied. Jumps were shown to occur under some conditions. The effects of damping, detuning, bandwidth, and magnitudes of deterministic and random excitations are analyzed. The theoretical analysis were verified by numerical results.展开更多
Nonlinear methods are used to analyze current signal of spot welding and the minimum embedding dimension, correlation dimension, the optimal time delay and the largest Lyapunav exponent of current signal time series a...Nonlinear methods are used to analyze current signal of spot welding and the minimum embedding dimension, correlation dimension, the optimal time delay and the largest Lyapunav exponent of current signal time series are calculated in this paper. The chaotic character of current signal time series is discovered. Then a chaotic neural network is built and used to predict the future current signal. Means of residual error out of the network are used as eigenvalue of current signal during spot welding. It is shown that spatter can greatly affect the means of residual error of spot welding after analysis, the mean values of output errors of signal contaminated by spatter noise are more than 0. 08, but the mean values of output errors of the signal with no spatter noise are less than 0. 04, so mean of residual errors can be employed as the character of spatter.展开更多
The goal of this paper is to analyze the Finnish gross domestic product(GDP) and to find chaos in the Finnish GDP. We chose Finland where data has been available since 1975, because we needed the longest time series p...The goal of this paper is to analyze the Finnish gross domestic product(GDP) and to find chaos in the Finnish GDP. We chose Finland where data has been available since 1975, because we needed the longest time series possible. At first we estimated the time delay and the embedding dimension, which is needed for the Lyapunov exponent estimation and for the phase space reconstruction.Subsequently, we computed the largest Lyapunov exponent, which is one of the important indicators of chaos. Then we calculated the 0-1 test for chaos. Finally we computed the Hurst exponent by rescaled range analysis and by dispersional analysis. The Hurst exponent is a numerical estimate of the predictability of a time series. In the end, we executed a recurrent analysis and displayed recurrence plots of detrended GDP time series. The results indicated that chaotic behaviors obviously exist in GDP.展开更多
基金Sponsored by Key Funding Project for Science and Technology under the Beijing Municipal Education Commission(KZ200910772001)
文摘In order to predict electromechanical equipments＇ nonlinear and non-stationary condition effectively, max Lyapunov exponent is introduced to the fault trend prediction of large rotating mechanical equipments based on chaos theory. The predict method of chaos time series and two methods of proposing f and F are dis- cussed. The arithmetic of max prediction time of chaos time series is provided. Aiming at the key part of large rotating mechanical equipments-bearing, used this prediction method the simulation experiment is carried out. The result shows that this method has excellent performance for condition trend prediction.
文摘Chaotic characteristics of traffic flow time series is analyzed to further investigate nonlinear characteristics of air traffic system.Phase space is reconstructed both by time delay which is built through mutual information,and by embedding dimension which is based on false nearest neighbors method.In order to analyze chaotic characteristics of time series,correlation dimensions and the largest Lyapunov exponents are calculated through Grassberger-Procaccia(G-P)algorithm and small-data method.Five-day radar data from the control center in Guangzhou area are analyzed and the results show that saturated correlation dimensions with self-similar structures exist in time series,and the largest Lyapunov exponents are all equal to zero and not sensitive to initial conditions.Air traffic system is affected by multiple factors,containing inherent randomness,which lead to chaos.Only grasping chaotic characteristics can air traffic be predicted and controlled accurately.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos 40574051 and 40774054)
文摘Nonlinear response of the driven Duffing oscillator to periodic or quasi-periodic signals has been well studied. In this paper, we investigate the nonlinear response of the driven Duffing oscillator to non-periodic, more specifically, chaotic time series. Through numerical simulations, we find that the driven Duffing oscillator can also show regular nonlinear response to the chaotic time series with different degree of chaos as generated by the same chaotic series generating model, and there exists a relationship between the state of the driven Duffing oscillator and the chaoticity of the input signal of the driven Duffing oscillator. One real-world and two artificial chaotic time series are used to verify the new feature of Duffing oscillator. A potential application of the new feature of Duffing oscillator is also indicated.
文摘Based on a model of network encoding and dynamics called the artificial genome, we propose a segmental duplication and divergence model for evolving artificial regulatory networks. We find that this class of networks share structural properties with natural transcriptional regulatory networks. Specifically, these networks can display scale-free and small-world structures. We also find that these networks have a higher probability to operate in the ordered regimen, and a lower probability to operate in the chaotic regimen. That is, the dynamics of these networks is similar to that of natural networks. The results show that the structure and dynamics inherent in natural networks may be in part due to their method of generation rather than being exclusively shaped by subsequent evolution under natural selection.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.41175067 and 41305056)the National Basic Research Program of China(Grant No.2012CB955901)+1 种基金the Special Scientific Research Project for Public Interest of China(Grant No.GYHY201506001)the Special Fund for Climate Change of China Meteorological Administration(Grant No.CCSF201525)
文摘In recent years, the phenomenon of a critical slowing down has demonstrated its major potential in discovering whether a complex dynamic system tends to abruptly change at critical points. This research on the Pacific decadal oscillation(PDO) index has been made on the basis of the critical slowing down principle in order to analyze its early warning signal of abrupt change. The chaotic characteristics of the PDO index sequence at different times are determined by using the largest Lyapunov exponent(LLE). The relationship between the regional sea surface temperature(SST) background field and the early warning signal of the PDO abrupt change is further studied through calculating the variance of the SST in the PDO region and the spatial distribution of the autocorrelation coefficient, thereby providing the experimental foundation for the extensive application of the method of the critical slowing down phenomenon. Our results show that the phenomenon of critical slowing down, such as the increase of the variance and autocorrelation coefficient, will continue for six years before the abrupt change of the PDO index. This phenomenon of the critical slowing down can be regarded as one of the early warning signals of an abrupt change. Through calculating the LLE of the PDO index during different times, it is also found that the strongest chaotic characteristics of the system occurred between 1971 and 1975 in the early stages of an abrupt change(1976), and the system was at the stage of a critical slowing down, which proves the reliability of the early warning signal of abrupt change discovered in 1970 from the mechanism. In addition, the variance of the SST,along with the spatial distribution of the autocorrelation coefficient in the corresponding PDO region, also demonstrates the corresponding relationship between the change of the background field of the SST and the change of the PDO.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Founda-tion of China (60132030)
文摘The main research motive is to analysis and to veiny the inherent nonlinear character of MPEG-4 video. The power spectral density estimation of the video trafiic describes its 1/f^β and periodic characteristics.The priraeipal compohems analysis of the reconstructed space dimension shows only several principal components can be the representation of all dimensions. The correlation dimension analysis proves its fractal characteristic. To accurately compute the largest Lyapunov exponent, the video traffic is divided into many parts.So the largest Lyapunov exponent spectrum is separately calculated using the small data sets method. The largest Lyapunov exponent spectrum shows there exists abundant nonlinear chaos in MPEG-4 video traffic. The conclusion can be made that MPEG-4 video traffic have complex nonlinear be havior and can be characterized by its power spectral density,principal components, correlation dimension and the largest Lyapunov exponent besides its common statistics.
文摘The principal resonance of Van der Pol-Duffing oscillator to combined deterministic and random parametric excitations is investigated. The method of multiple scales was used to determine the equations of modulation of amplitude and phase. The behavior, stability and bifurcation of steady state response were studied. Jumps were shown to occur under some conditions. The effects of damping, detuning, bandwidth, and magnitudes of deterministic and random excitations are analyzed. The theoretical analysis were verified by numerical results.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(No50575159)project of Chinese Ministry of Education(No106049,20060056058)Natural Science Foundation of Tianjin (06YFJMJC03400)
文摘Nonlinear methods are used to analyze current signal of spot welding and the minimum embedding dimension, correlation dimension, the optimal time delay and the largest Lyapunav exponent of current signal time series are calculated in this paper. The chaotic character of current signal time series is discovered. Then a chaotic neural network is built and used to predict the future current signal. Means of residual error out of the network are used as eigenvalue of current signal during spot welding. It is shown that spatter can greatly affect the means of residual error of spot welding after analysis, the mean values of output errors of signal contaminated by spatter noise are more than 0. 08, but the mean values of output errors of the signal with no spatter noise are less than 0. 04, so mean of residual errors can be employed as the character of spatter.
文摘The goal of this paper is to analyze the Finnish gross domestic product(GDP) and to find chaos in the Finnish GDP. We chose Finland where data has been available since 1975, because we needed the longest time series possible. At first we estimated the time delay and the embedding dimension, which is needed for the Lyapunov exponent estimation and for the phase space reconstruction.Subsequently, we computed the largest Lyapunov exponent, which is one of the important indicators of chaos. Then we calculated the 0-1 test for chaos. Finally we computed the Hurst exponent by rescaled range analysis and by dispersional analysis. The Hurst exponent is a numerical estimate of the predictability of a time series. In the end, we executed a recurrent analysis and displayed recurrence plots of detrended GDP time series. The results indicated that chaotic behaviors obviously exist in GDP.
