ASYMPTOTIC BEHAVIOR OF UNSTABLE ARMA PROCESSES WITH APPLICATION TO LEAST SQUARES ESTIMATES OF THEIR PARAMETERS

A time series x(t), t≥1, is said to be an unstable ARMA process if x(t) satisfies an unstableARMA model such asx(t)=a_1x(t-1)+a_2x(t-2)+…+a_8x(t-s)+w(t)where w(t) is a stationary ARMA process; and the characteristic polynomial A(z)=1-a_1z-a_2z^2-…-a_3z^3 has all roots on the unit circle. Asymptotic behavior of sum form 1 to n (x^2(t)) will be studied by showing somerates of divergence of sum form 1 to n (x^2(t)). This kind of properties Will be used for getting the rates of convergenceof least squares estimates of parameters a_1, a_2,…, a_?

NEW RESULTS ABOUT THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN OPTIMALLY WEIGHTED LEAST SQUARES ESTIMATE AND LINEAR MINIMUM VARIANCE ESTIMATE

The optimally weighted least squares estimate and the linear minimum variance estimateare two of the most popular estimation methods for a linear model.In this paper,the authors makea comprehensive discussion about the relationship between the two estimates.Firstly,the authorsconsider the classical linear model in which the coefficient matrix of the linear model is deterministic,and the necessary and sufficient condition for equivalence of the two estimates is derived.Moreover,under certain conditions on variance matrix invertibility,the two estimates can be identical providedthat they use the same a priori information of the parameter being estimated.Secondly,the authorsconsider the linear model with random coefficient matrix which is called the extended linear model;under certain conditions on variance matrix invertibility,it is proved that the former outperforms thelatter when using the same a priori information of the parameter.

Comparison of Two Time Series Decomposition Methods: Least Squares and Buys-Ballot Methods

This paper discusses comparison of two time series decomposition methods: The Least Squares Estimation (LSE) and Buys-Ballot Estimation (BBE) methods. As noted by Iwueze and Nwogu (2014), there exists a research gap for the choice of appropriate model for decomposition and detection of presence of seasonal effect in a series model. Estimates of trend parameters and seasonal indices are all that are needed to fill the research gap. However, these estimates are obtainable through the Least Squares Estimation (LSE) and Buys-Ballot Estimation (BBE) methods. Hence, there is need to compare estimates of the two methods and recommend. The comparison of the two methods is done using the Accuracy Measures (Mean Error (ME)), Mean Square Error (MSE), the Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The results from simulated series show that for the additive model;the summary statistics (ME, MSE and MAE) for the two estimation methods and for all the selected trending curves are equal in all the simulations both in magnitude and direction. For the multiplicative model, results show that when a series is dominated by trend, the estimates of the parameters by both methods become less precise and differ more widely from each other. However, if conditions for successful transformation (using the logarithmic transform in linearizing the multiplicative model to additive model) are met, both of them give similar results.

LEAST SQUARES ESTIMATION FOR ORNSTEIN-UHLENBECK PROCESSES DRIVEN BY THE WEIGHTED FRACTIONAL BROWNIAN MOTION

In this article, we study a least squares estimator （LSE） of θ for the Ornstein- Uhlenbeck process X0=0,dXt=θXtdt＋dBt^ab, t ≥ 0 driven by weighted fractional Brownian motion B^a,b with parameters a, b. We obtain the consistency and the asymptotic distribution of the LSE based on the observation {Xs, s∈[0,t]} as t tends to infinity.

THE LEAST SQUARES ESTIMATOR FOR AN ORNSTEIN-UHLENBECK PROCESS DRIVEN BY A HERMITE PROCESS WITH A PERIODIC MEAN

We consider the least square estimator for the parameters of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes dY_(s)=(∑_(j=1)^(k)μ_(j)φ_(j)(s)-βY_(s))ds+dZ_(s)^(q,H),driven by the Hermite process Z_(s)^(q,H)with order q≥1 and a Hurst index H∈(1/2,1),where the periodic functionsφ_(j)(s),,j=1,...,κare bounded,and the real numbersμ_(j),,j=1,...,κtogether withβ>0 are unknown parameters.We establish the consistency of a least squares estimation and obtain the asymptotic behavior for the estimator.We also introduce alternative estimators,which can be looked upon as an application of the least squares estimator.In terms of the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes with periodic mean,our work can be regarded as its non-Gaussian extension.

ERRATUM TO： LEAST SQUARES ESTIMATION FOR ORNSTEIN-UHLENBECK PROCESSES DRIVEN BY THE WEIGHTED FRACTIONAL BROWNIAN MOTION （ACTA MATHEMATICA SCIENTIA 2016,36B （2） ：394-408）

We give a correction of Theorem 2.2 of Shen, Yin and Yan （2016）.

Hepatic MR imaging using IDEAL-IQ sequence:Will Gd-EOB-DTPA interfere with reproductivity of fat fraction quantification?

BACKGROUND Iterative decomposition of water and fat with echo asymmetry and least squares estimation quantification sequence(IDEAL-IQ)is based on chemical shift-based water and fat separation technique to get proton density fat fraction.Multiple studies have shown that using IDEAL-IQ to test the stability and repeatability of liver fat is acceptable and has high accuracy.AIM To explore whether Gadoxetate Disodium(Gd-EOB-DTPA)interferes with the measurement of the hepatic fat content quantified with the IDEAL-IQ and to evaluate the robustness of this technique.METHODS IDEAL-IQ was used to quantify the liver fat content at 3.0T in 65 patients injected with Gd-EOB-DTPA contrast.After injection,IDEAL-IQ was estimated four times,and the fat fraction(FF)and R2* were measured at the following time points:Precontrast,between the portal phase(70 s)and the late phase(180 s),the delayed phase(5 min)and the hepatobiliary phase(20 min).One-way repeated-measures analysis was conducted to evaluate the difference in the FFs between the four time points.Bland-Altman plots were adopted to assess the FF changes before and after injection of the contrast agent.P<0.05 was considered statistically significant.RESULTS The assessment of the FF at the four time points in the liver,spleen and spine showed no significant differences,and the measurements of hepatic FF yielded good consistency between T1 and T2[95%confidence interval:-0.6768%,0.6658%],T1 and T3(-0.3900%,0.3178%),and T1 and T4(-0.3750%,0.2825%).R2* of the liver,spleen and spine increased significantly after injection(P<0.0001).CONCLUSION Using the IDEAL-IQ sequence to measure the FF,we can obtain results that will not be affected by Gd-EOB-DTPA.The high reproducibility of the IDEAL-IQ sequence makes it available in the scanning interval to save time during multiphase examinations.

An Imperfect-debugging Fault-detection Dependent-parameter Software

Software reliability growth models （SRGMs） incorporating the imperfect debugging and learning phenomenon of developers have recently been developed by many researchers to estimate software reliability measures such as the number of remaining faults and software reliability. However, the model parameters of both the fault content rate function and fault detection rate function of the SRGMs are often considered to be independent from each other. In practice, this assumption may not be the case and it is worth to investigate what if it is not. In this paper, we aim for such study and propose a software reliability model connecting the imperfect debugging and learning phenomenon by a common parameter among the two functions, called the imperfect-debugging fault-detection dependent-parameter model. Software testing data collected from real applications are utilized to illustrate the proposed model for both the descriptive and predictive power by determining the non-zero initial debugging process.

Particle filter based on iterated importance density function and parallel resampling

The design, analysis and parallel implementation of particle filter(PF) were investigated. Firstly, to tackle the particle degeneracy problem in the PF, an iterated importance density function(IIDF) was proposed, where a new term associating with the current measurement information(CMI) was introduced into the expression of the sampled particles. Through the repeated use of the least squares estimate, the CMI can be integrated into the sampling stage in an iterative manner, conducing to the greatly improved sampling quality. By running the IIDF, an iterated PF(IPF) can be obtained. Subsequently, a parallel resampling(PR) was proposed for the purpose of parallel implementation of IPF, whose main idea was the same as systematic resampling(SR) but performed differently. The PR directly used the integral part of the product of the particle weight and particle number as the number of times that a particle was replicated, and it simultaneously eliminated the particles with the smallest weights, which are the two key differences from the SR. The detailed implementation procedures on the graphics processing unit of IPF based on the PR were presented at last. The performance of the IPF, PR and their parallel implementations are illustrated via one-dimensional numerical simulation and practical application of passive radar target tracking.

Asymptotic Behavior of the Drift Coefficient Estimator of Stochastic Differential Equations Driven by Small Noises

The parametric estimation problem for diffusion processes with small white noise based on continuous time observations is well developed. However,in parametric inference,it is more realistic and interesting to consider asymptotic estimation for diffusion processes based on discrete observations. The least squares method is used to obtain the estimator of the drift parameter for stochastic differential equations( SDEs) driven by general Lévy noises when the process is observed discretely. Its strong consistency and the rate of convergence of the squares estimator are studied under some regularity conditions.

Asymptotic inference for AR(1) panel data

A general asymptotic theory is given for the panel data AR(1) model with time series independent in different cross sections. The theory covers the cases of stationary process, local to unity process, unit root process, mildly integrated, mildly explosive and explosive processes. It is assumed that the cross-sectional dimension and time-series dimension are respectively N and T. The results in this paper illustrate that whichever the process is, with an appropriate regularization, the least squares estimator of the autoregressive coefficient converges in distribution to a normal distribution with rate at least O(N-1/3). Since the variance is the key to characterize the normal distribution, it is important to discuss the variance of the least squares estimator. We will show that when the autoregressive coefficient ρ satisfies |ρ| < 1, the variance declines at the rate O((NT)-1), while the rate changes to O(N^(-1) T^(-2)) when ρ = 1 and O(N^(-1)ρ^(-2 T+4)) when |ρ| > 1. ρ = 1 is the critical point where the convergence rate changes radically. The transition process is studied by assuming ρ depending on T and going to 1. An interesting phenomenon discovered in this paper is that, in the explosive case, the least squares estimator of the autoregressive coefficient has a standard normal limiting distribution in the panel data case while it may not has a limiting distribution in the univariate time series case.

Power Inverted Topp–Leone Distribution in Acceptance Sampling Plans

We introduce a new two-parameter model related to the inverted Topp–Leone distribution called the power inverted Topp–Leone(PITL)distribution.Major properties of the PITL distribution are stated;including;quantile measures,moments,moment generating function,probability weighted moments,Bonferroni and Lorenz curve,stochastic ordering,incomplete moments,residual life function,and entropy measure.Acceptance sampling plans are developed for the PITL distribution,when the life test is truncated at a pre-specified time.The truncation time is assumed to be the median lifetime of the PITL distribution with pre-specified factors.The minimum sample size necessary to ensure the specified life test is obtained under a given consumer’s risk.Numerical results for given consumer’s risk,parameters of the PITL distribution and the truncation time are obtained.The estimation of the model parameters is argued using maximum likelihood,least squares,weighted least squares,maximum product of spacing and Bayesian methods.A simulation study is confirmed to evaluate and compare the behavior of different estimates.Two real data applications are afforded in order to examine the flexibility of the proposed model compared with some others distributions.The results show that the power inverted Topp–Leone distribution is the best according to the model selection criteria than other competitive models.

Least squares estimator of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes driven by fractional Levy processes with periodic mean

VVc deal with the least squares estimator for the drift parameters of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with periodic mean function driven by fractional Levy process.For this estimator,we obtain consistency and the asymptotic distribution.Compared with fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck and Ornstein-Uhlenbeck driven by Levy process,they can be regarded both as a Levy generalization of fractional Brownian motion and a fractional generalization of Levy process.

SIEVE LEAST SQUARES ESTIMATOR FOR PARTIAL LINEAR MODELS WITH CURRENT STATUS DATA

Current status data often arise in survival analysis and reliability studies, when a continuous response is reduced to an indicator of whether the response is greater or less than an observed random threshold value. This article considers a partial linear model with current status data. A sieve least squares estimator is proposed to estimate both the regression parameters and the nonparametric function. This paper shows, under some mild condition, that the estimators are strong consistent. Moreover, the parameter estimators are normally distributed, while the nonparametric component achieves the optimal convergence rate. Simulation studies are carried out to investigate the performance of the proposed estimates. For illustration purposes, the method is applied to a real dataset from a study of the calcification of the hydrogel intraocular lenses, a complication of cataract treatment.

Approximation to the Distribution of the Least Squares Estimators in Two Dimensional Cosine Models by Randomly Weighted Bootstrap

Recently, Kundu and Gupta （Metrika, 48：83 C 97, 1998） established the asymptotic normality of the least squares estimators in the two dimensional cosine model. In this paper, we give the approximation to the general least squares estimators by using random weights which is called the Bayesian bootstrap or the random weighting method by Rubin （Annals of Statistics, 9：130 C 134, 1981） and Zheng （Acta Math. Appl. Sinica （in Chinese）, 10（2）： 247 C 253, 1987）. A simulation study shows that this approximation works very well.

Iterative Weighted Semiparametric Least Squares Estimation in Repeated Measurement Partially Linear Regression Models

Consider a repeated measurement partially linear regression model with anunknown vector parameter β_1, an unknown function g(·), and unknown heteroscedastic errorvariances. In order to improve the semiparametric generalized least squares estimator (SGLSE) of ,we propose an iterative weighted semiparametric least squares estimator (IWSLSE) and show that itimproves upon the SGLSE in terms of asymptotic covariance matrix. An adaptive procedure is given todetermine the number of iterations. We also show that when the number of replicates is less than orequal to two, the IWSLSE can not improve upon the SGLSE. These results are generalizations of thosein [2] to the case of semiparametric regressions.

Parameter Estimation with Constraints Based on Variational Method

The accuracy of parameter estimation is critical when digitally modeling a ship. A parameter estimation method with constraints was developed, based on the variational method. Performance functions and constraint equations in the variational method are constructed by analyzing input and output equations of the system. The problem of parameter estimation was transformed into a problem of least squares estimation. The parameter estimation equation was analyzed in order to get an optimized estimation of parameters based on the Lagrange multiplication operator. Simulation results showed that this method is better than the traditional least squares estimation, producing a higher precision when identifying parameters. It has very important practical value in areas of application such as system identification and parameter estimation.

Asymptotic Properties of Estimators for Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Processes with Small Symmetricα-Stable Motions

The asymptotic behaviors for estimators of the drift parameters in the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by small symmetricα-stable motion are studied in this paper.Based on the discrete observations,the conditional least squares estimators(CLSEs)of all the parameters involved in the Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process are proposed.We establish the consistency and the asymptotic distributions of our estimators asεgoes to 0 and n goes to∞simultaneously.

Concave Group Selection of Nonparameter Additive Accelerated Failure Time Model

In this paper, we have studied the nonparameter accelerated failure time (AFT) additive regression model, whose covariates have a nonparametric effect on high-dimensional censored data. We give the asymptotic property of the penalty estimator based on GMCP in the nonparameter AFT model.

The Consistency of LSE Estimators in Partial Linear Regression Models under Mixing Random Errors

In this paper,we consider the partial linear regression model y_(i)=x_(i)β^(*)+g(ti)+ε_(i),i=1,2,...,n,where(x_(i),ti)are known fixed design points,g(·)is an unknown function,andβ^(*)is an unknown parameter to be estimated,random errorsε_(i)are(α,β)-mix_(i)ng random variables.The p-th(p>1)mean consistency,strong consistency and complete consistency for least squares estimators ofβ^(*)and g(·)are investigated under some mild conditions.In addition,a numerical simulation is carried out to study the finite sample performance of the theoretical results.Finally,a real data analysis is provided to further verify the effect of the model.