A gate level maximum power supply noise (PSN) model is defined that captures both IR drop and di/dt noise effects. Experimental results show that this model improves PSN estimation by 5.3% on average and reduces com...A gate level maximum power supply noise (PSN) model is defined that captures both IR drop and di/dt noise effects. Experimental results show that this model improves PSN estimation by 5.3% on average and reduces computation time by 10.7% compared with previous methods. Furthermore,a primary input critical factor model that captures the extent of primary inputs' PSN contribution is formulated. Based on these models,a novel niche genetic algorithm is proposed to estimate PSN more effectively. Compared with general genetic algorithms, this novel method can achieve up to 19.0% improvement on PSN estimation with a much higher convergence speed.展开更多
Multi-disciplinary virtual prototypes of complex products are increasingly and widely used in modern advanced manufactur- ing. How to effectively address the problems of unified modeling, composition and reuse based o...Multi-disciplinary virtual prototypes of complex products are increasingly and widely used in modern advanced manufactur- ing. How to effectively address the problems of unified modeling, composition and reuse based on the multi-disciplinary heteroge- neous models has brought great challenges to the modeling and simulation (M&S) science and technology. This paper presents a top-level modeling theory based on the meta modeling framework (M2F) of the COllaborative SIMulation (COSlM) theory of virtual prototyping to solve the problems. Firstly the fundamental prin- ciples of the top-level modeling theory are decribed to expound the premise, assumptions, basic conventions and special require- ments in the description of complex heterogeneous systems. Next the formalized definitions for each factor in top level modeling are proposed and the hierarchical nature of them is illustrated. After demonstrating that they are self-closing, this paper divides the top- level modeling into two views, static structural graph and dynamic behavioral graph. Finally, a case study is discussed to demon- strate the feasibility of the theory.展开更多
In the present paper, the time-resolved transient absorption spectroscopy of helium atoms is investigated based on the three-level modeling. The helium atoms are subjected to an extreme ultraviolet (XUV) attosecond ...In the present paper, the time-resolved transient absorption spectroscopy of helium atoms is investigated based on the three-level modeling. The helium atoms are subjected to an extreme ultraviolet (XUV) attosecond pulse and a time-delayed infrared (IR) few-cycle laser field. The odd excited state are populated from the ground state by the XUV pulse due to the dipole selection rule, and probed by the time-delayed IR laser. The time-resolved transient absorption spectroscopy based on the different coupling mechanism demonstrate some different features, the photoabsorption spectrum based on three-level model with rotating wave approximation (RWA) cannot repeat the fast oscillation and the sideband structure which have been observed in the previous experimental investigation. The dressing effect of IR laser pulse on the ground state can contribute new interference structures in the photoabsorption spectrum.展开更多
Recent extensive studies of Escherichia coli (E. coli) chemotaxis have achieved a deep understanding of its mi- croscopic control dynamics. As a result, various quantitatively predictive models have been developed t...Recent extensive studies of Escherichia coli (E. coli) chemotaxis have achieved a deep understanding of its mi- croscopic control dynamics. As a result, various quantitatively predictive models have been developed to describe the chemotactic behavior of E. coli motion. However, a population-level partial differential equation (PDE) that rationally incorporates such microscopic dynamics is still insufficient. Apart from the traditional Keller-Segel (K-S) equation, many existing population-level models developed from the microscopic dynamics are integro-PDEs. The difficulty comes mainly from cell tumbles which yield a velocity jumping process. Here, we propose a Langevin approximation method that avoids such a difficulty without appreciable loss of precision. The resulting model not only quantitatively repro- duces the results of pathway-based single-cell simulators, but also provides new inside information on the mechanism of E. coli chemotaxis. Our study demonstrates a possible alternative in establishing a simple population-level model that allows for the complex microscopic mechanisms in bacterial chemotaxis.展开更多
Objective To evaluate the effect of the aluminum hydroxide (Al-OH) adjuvant on the 2009 pandemic influenza A/H1N1 (pH1N1) vaccine. Methods In a multicenter, double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial, part...Objective To evaluate the effect of the aluminum hydroxide (Al-OH) adjuvant on the 2009 pandemic influenza A/H1N1 (pH1N1) vaccine. Methods In a multicenter, double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial, participants received two doses of split-virion formulation containing 15 ug hemagglutinin antigen, with or without aluminum hydroxide (N-OH). We classified the participants into six age categories (〉61 years, 41-60 years, 19-40 years, 13-18 years, 8-12 years, and 3-7 years) and obtained four blood samples from each participant on days 0, 21, 35, and 42 following the first dose of immunization. We assessed vaccine immunogenicity by measuring the geometric mean titer (GMT) of hemagglutination inhibiting antibody. We used a two-level model to evaluate the fixed effect of aluminum Al-OH and other factors, accounting for repeated measures. Results The predictions of repeated measurement on GMTs of formulations with or without Al-OH, were 80.35 and 112.72, respectively. Al-OH significantly reduced immunogenicity after controlling for time post immunization, age-group and gender. Conclusion The Al-OH adjuvant does not increase but actually reduces the immunogenicity of the split-virion pH1N1 vaccine.展开更多
The four-level model of laser-induced collisional energy transfer (LICET) for the ion-ion collision system is established based on the time-dependent SchrSdinger equation for the electron dynamics, through which the...The four-level model of laser-induced collisional energy transfer (LICET) for the ion-ion collision system is established based on the time-dependent SchrSdinger equation for the electron dynamics, through which the equations of motion of the probability amplitudes and cross section of the collision system are obtained. Numerical calculations are performed for the Ca+ Sr+ system, with the results showing that the peak of the LICET spectrum appears at a resonant frequency of the transfer laser. The magnitude of the obtained collision cross section is in the order of 10-16 cm2, and is comparable to that obtained in atomic systems, which indicates the validity of the established four-level model.展开更多
Water resources management usually requires that hydraulic, ecological, and hydrological models be linked. The Hy- drologic Engineering Center River Analysis System (HEC-RAS) hydraulic model and the Hydrologic Enginee...Water resources management usually requires that hydraulic, ecological, and hydrological models be linked. The Hy- drologic Engineering Center River Analysis System (HEC-RAS) hydraulic model and the Hydrologic Engineering Center Geospatial River Analysis System (HEC-GEORAS), imitates flow and water profiles in the Neka river basin’s downstream flood plain. Hydrograph phases studied during the flood seasons of 1986-1999 and from 2002-2004 were used to calibrate and verify the hydraulic model respectively. Simulations of peak flood stages and hydrographs’ evaluations are congruent with studies and observations, with the former showing mean square errors between 4.8 - 10 cm. HECRAS calculations and forecast flood water levels. Nash-Sutcliffe effectiveness (CR3) is more than 0.92 along with elevated levels of water which were created with some effectiveness (CR5) of 0.94 for the validation period. The coupled two models show good performance in the water level modeling.展开更多
The symmetry of Y<sub>5μ</sub>-deformed fields are classified and the one-particlespectra in two-level model coupled by Y<sub>5μ</sub> fields are discussed.
The KdV equation with topography included in an N-level model is derived. It is shown that if the topography ex- ists. the KdV equation may describe the solitary Rossby waves in the case of basic current without verti...The KdV equation with topography included in an N-level model is derived. It is shown that if the topography ex- ists. the KdV equation may describe the solitary Rossby waves in the case of basic current without vertical shear, and it is no necessary to introduce the MKdV equation. The results of calculations show that the change of horizontal shear pattern of basic flow may cause an important change of the streamline pattern of the solitary waves with the odd meridional wavenumber m, and has no effect for the even meridional wavenumber m. The vertical shear increases the steepness of the barotropic solitary modes, and it has a complicated effect on the baroclinic modes. The influences of topographic slope on the solitary waves are very great. The southern and northern slopes of topography may cause dif- ferent solitary wave patterns, with the effect of northern slope greater. The effect of Froude number on the solitary waves is generally to steepen the solitary waves, however, the effect also depends on the meridional wavenumber m and the modes of solitary wave.展开更多
Users express their emotions in online social networks (OSNs). Studying emotions is important for understanding user behaviors. Existing methods in emotion prediction mainly use personal emotion and friend emotion t...Users express their emotions in online social networks (OSNs). Studying emotions is important for understanding user behaviors. Existing methods in emotion prediction mainly use personal emotion and friend emotion to predict target emotion. In this study, public sentiment is introduced to denote the sentiment of the majority in the network. Public conformity is calculated to measure the degree of a user conforming to the public sentiment. According to the public conformity, users are categorized into three classes: Approvers, independents, and starters. A user-level model for emotion prediction is proposed to predict target emotions of different classes of users, taking into account of the public sentiment, individual sentiment, friend sentiment and pseudo-friend sentiment. Relations between the public conformity and the structure of the network are studied. Experiments conducted on Sina Weibo show that the proposed model could achieve performance improvements to some existing methods in most cases.展开更多
Variable thicknesses in the lowest half-ηmodel level (LML) are often used in atmospheric models to compute surface diagnostic fields such as surface latent and sensible heat fluxes.The effects of the LML on simulat...Variable thicknesses in the lowest half-ηmodel level (LML) are often used in atmospheric models to compute surface diagnostic fields such as surface latent and sensible heat fluxes.The effects of the LML on simulated tropical cyclone (TC)evolution were investigated in this study using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model.The results demonstrated notable influences of the LML on TC evolution when the LML was placed below 12 m.The TC intensification rate decreased progressively with a lowering of the LML,but its ultimate intensity change was relatively small.The maximum 10-m winds showed different behavior to minimum sea level pressure and azimuthally-averaged tangential winds,and thus the windpressure relationship was changed accordingly by varying the LML.The TC circulation was more contracted in association with a higher LML.Surface latent heat fluxes were enhanced greatly by elevating the LML,wherein the wind speed at the LML played a dominant role.The changes in the wind speed at the LML were dependent not only on their profile differences,but also the different heights they were taken from.Due to the enhanced surface heat fluxes,more intense latent heat release occurred in the eyewall,which boosted the storm's intensification.A higher LML tended to produce a stronger storm,and therefore the surface friction was reinforced,which in turn induced stronger boundary layer inflow together with increased diabatic heating.展开更多
Future potential sea level change in the South China Sea (SCS) is estimated by using 24 CMIP5 models under different representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios. By the end of the 21st century (2081–210...Future potential sea level change in the South China Sea (SCS) is estimated by using 24 CMIP5 models under different representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios. By the end of the 21st century (2081–2100 relative to 1986–2005), the multimodel ensemble mean dynamic sea level (DSL) is projected to rise 0.9, 1.6, and 1.1 cm under RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5 scenarios, respectively, resulting in a total sea level rise (SLR) of 40.9, 48.6, and 64.1 cm in the SCS. It indicates that the SCS will experience a substantial SLR over the 21st century, and the rise is only marginal larger than the global mean SLR. During the same period, the steric sea level (SSL) rise is estimated to be 6.7, 10.0, and 15.3 cm under the three scenarios, respectively, which accounts only for 16%, 21% and 24% of the total SLR in this region. The changes of the SSL in the SCS are almost out of phase with those of the DSL for the three scenarios. The central deep basin has a slightly weak DSL rise, but a strong SSL rise during the 21st century, compared with the north and southwest shelves.展开更多
In order to determine the design tide levels in the areas without measured tide level data, especially in the areas where it is difficult to measure tidal levels, a calculation method based on a numerical model of tid...In order to determine the design tide levels in the areas without measured tide level data, especially in the areas where it is difficult to measure tidal levels, a calculation method based on a numerical model of tidal current is proposed. The essentials of the method are described, and its application is illustrated with an example. The results of the application show that the design tide levels calculated by the method are close to those determined by long-time measured tide level data, and its calculation precision is high, so it is feasible to use the method to determine the design tide levels in the areas.展开更多
To establish the parsimonious model for blood glucose monitoring in patients with type 2 diabetes receiving oral hypoglycemic agent treatment. One hundred and fifty-nine adult Chinese type 2 diabetes patients were ran...To establish the parsimonious model for blood glucose monitoring in patients with type 2 diabetes receiving oral hypoglycemic agent treatment. One hundred and fifty-nine adult Chinese type 2 diabetes patients were randomized to receive rapid-acting or sustained-release gliclazide therapy for 12 weeks.展开更多
The humans’ need to use the oceans for exploration and extraction of oil has led to the development of engineering science in the field of offshore structures. Since it’s important to examine the offshore structures...The humans’ need to use the oceans for exploration and extraction of oil has led to the development of engineering science in the field of offshore structures. Since it’s important to examine the offshore structures from different aspects and perspectives, we would have to evaluate many different parameters about them. So categorizing these parameters can help to perform their related analysis with more accuracy and more details. Due to the efficient force it exerts on the structure, the pressure distribution around every marine or hydraulic structure has a significant importance, and it even accounts for one of the dominant issues in designing and building of such structures. In the present study, an oil platform located in Phase 15 of South Pars oil fields, located in the Persian Gulf waters, has been analyzed using the FLOW 3D software. The outputs indicate that the pressure of water is distributed almost hydrostatically with the depth, and its maximum reaches 0.6 MPa at the bottom.展开更多
Compared with traditional real-time forecasting,this paper proposes a Grey Markov Model(GMM) to forecast the maximum water levels at hydrological stations in the estuary area.The GMM combines the Grey System and Marko...Compared with traditional real-time forecasting,this paper proposes a Grey Markov Model(GMM) to forecast the maximum water levels at hydrological stations in the estuary area.The GMM combines the Grey System and Markov theory into a higher precision model.The GMM takes advantage of the Grey System to predict the trend values and uses the Markov theory to forecast fluctuation values,and thus gives forecast results involving two aspects of information.The procedure for forecasting annul maximum water levels with the GMM contains five main steps:1) establish the GM(1,1) model based on the data series;2) estimate the trend values;3) establish a Markov Model based on relative error series;4) modify the relative errors caused in step 2,and then obtain the relative errors of the second order estimation;5) compare the results with measured data and estimate the accuracy.The historical water level records(from 1960 to 1992) at Yuqiao Hydrological Station in the estuary area of the Haihe River near Tianjin,China are utilized to calibrate and verify the proposed model according to the above steps.Every 25 years' data are regarded as a hydro-sequence.Eight groups of simulated results show reasonable agreement between the predicted values and the measured data.The GMM is also applied to the 10 other hydrological stations in the same estuary.The forecast results for all of the hydrological stations are good or acceptable.The feasibility and effectiveness of this new forecasting model have been proved in this paper.展开更多
文摘A gate level maximum power supply noise (PSN) model is defined that captures both IR drop and di/dt noise effects. Experimental results show that this model improves PSN estimation by 5.3% on average and reduces computation time by 10.7% compared with previous methods. Furthermore,a primary input critical factor model that captures the extent of primary inputs' PSN contribution is formulated. Based on these models,a novel niche genetic algorithm is proposed to estimate PSN more effectively. Compared with general genetic algorithms, this novel method can achieve up to 19.0% improvement on PSN estimation with a much higher convergence speed.
基金supported by the National High Technology Research and Development Program (863 Program) (2011AA040502).
文摘Multi-disciplinary virtual prototypes of complex products are increasingly and widely used in modern advanced manufactur- ing. How to effectively address the problems of unified modeling, composition and reuse based on the multi-disciplinary heteroge- neous models has brought great challenges to the modeling and simulation (M&S) science and technology. This paper presents a top-level modeling theory based on the meta modeling framework (M2F) of the COllaborative SIMulation (COSlM) theory of virtual prototyping to solve the problems. Firstly the fundamental prin- ciples of the top-level modeling theory are decribed to expound the premise, assumptions, basic conventions and special require- ments in the description of complex heterogeneous systems. Next the formalized definitions for each factor in top level modeling are proposed and the hierarchical nature of them is illustrated. After demonstrating that they are self-closing, this paper divides the top- level modeling into two views, static structural graph and dynamic behavioral graph. Finally, a case study is discussed to demon- strate the feasibility of the theory.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.11674034 and 11564033)the Foundation of President of the China Academy of Engineering Physics(Grant No.2014-1-029)
文摘In the present paper, the time-resolved transient absorption spectroscopy of helium atoms is investigated based on the three-level modeling. The helium atoms are subjected to an extreme ultraviolet (XUV) attosecond pulse and a time-delayed infrared (IR) few-cycle laser field. The odd excited state are populated from the ground state by the XUV pulse due to the dipole selection rule, and probed by the time-delayed IR laser. The time-resolved transient absorption spectroscopy based on the different coupling mechanism demonstrate some different features, the photoabsorption spectrum based on three-level model with rotating wave approximation (RWA) cannot repeat the fast oscillation and the sideband structure which have been observed in the previous experimental investigation. The dressing effect of IR laser pulse on the ground state can contribute new interference structures in the photoabsorption spectrum.
文摘Recent extensive studies of Escherichia coli (E. coli) chemotaxis have achieved a deep understanding of its mi- croscopic control dynamics. As a result, various quantitatively predictive models have been developed to describe the chemotactic behavior of E. coli motion. However, a population-level partial differential equation (PDE) that rationally incorporates such microscopic dynamics is still insufficient. Apart from the traditional Keller-Segel (K-S) equation, many existing population-level models developed from the microscopic dynamics are integro-PDEs. The difficulty comes mainly from cell tumbles which yield a velocity jumping process. Here, we propose a Langevin approximation method that avoids such a difficulty without appreciable loss of precision. The resulting model not only quantitatively repro- duces the results of pathway-based single-cell simulators, but also provides new inside information on the mechanism of E. coli chemotaxis. Our study demonstrates a possible alternative in establishing a simple population-level model that allows for the complex microscopic mechanisms in bacterial chemotaxis.
基金supported by the Infectious Disease Prevention and Control Major Research plan from the Ministry of Science and Technology of China-the Platform of Construction of Clinical Trial of Vaccine. (Project number 2009ZX0004-806)
文摘Objective To evaluate the effect of the aluminum hydroxide (Al-OH) adjuvant on the 2009 pandemic influenza A/H1N1 (pH1N1) vaccine. Methods In a multicenter, double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial, participants received two doses of split-virion formulation containing 15 ug hemagglutinin antigen, with or without aluminum hydroxide (N-OH). We classified the participants into six age categories (〉61 years, 41-60 years, 19-40 years, 13-18 years, 8-12 years, and 3-7 years) and obtained four blood samples from each participant on days 0, 21, 35, and 42 following the first dose of immunization. We assessed vaccine immunogenicity by measuring the geometric mean titer (GMT) of hemagglutination inhibiting antibody. We used a two-level model to evaluate the fixed effect of aluminum Al-OH and other factors, accounting for repeated measures. Results The predictions of repeated measurement on GMTs of formulations with or without Al-OH, were 80.35 and 112.72, respectively. Al-OH significantly reduced immunogenicity after controlling for time post immunization, age-group and gender. Conclusion The Al-OH adjuvant does not increase but actually reduces the immunogenicity of the split-virion pH1N1 vaccine.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 10674036 and 10774033)Program of Excellent Team in Harbin Institute of Technology,China
文摘The four-level model of laser-induced collisional energy transfer (LICET) for the ion-ion collision system is established based on the time-dependent SchrSdinger equation for the electron dynamics, through which the equations of motion of the probability amplitudes and cross section of the collision system are obtained. Numerical calculations are performed for the Ca+ Sr+ system, with the results showing that the peak of the LICET spectrum appears at a resonant frequency of the transfer laser. The magnitude of the obtained collision cross section is in the order of 10-16 cm2, and is comparable to that obtained in atomic systems, which indicates the validity of the established four-level model.
文摘Water resources management usually requires that hydraulic, ecological, and hydrological models be linked. The Hy- drologic Engineering Center River Analysis System (HEC-RAS) hydraulic model and the Hydrologic Engineering Center Geospatial River Analysis System (HEC-GEORAS), imitates flow and water profiles in the Neka river basin’s downstream flood plain. Hydrograph phases studied during the flood seasons of 1986-1999 and from 2002-2004 were used to calibrate and verify the hydraulic model respectively. Simulations of peak flood stages and hydrographs’ evaluations are congruent with studies and observations, with the former showing mean square errors between 4.8 - 10 cm. HECRAS calculations and forecast flood water levels. Nash-Sutcliffe effectiveness (CR3) is more than 0.92 along with elevated levels of water which were created with some effectiveness (CR5) of 0.94 for the validation period. The coupled two models show good performance in the water level modeling.
基金The project partly supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China.
文摘The symmetry of Y<sub>5μ</sub>-deformed fields are classified and the one-particlespectra in two-level model coupled by Y<sub>5μ</sub> fields are discussed.
基金supported by the Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences [grant number XDA20060500]the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant numbers 41731173 and 42275035]+8 种基金the Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong ProvinceChina [grant number 2022A1515011967]the Science and Technology Program of GuangzhouChina [grant number 202002030492]the Open Fund Project of the Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Information Technology,the Key Laboratory of Marine Science and Numerical Modeling,Ministry of Natural Resources of the People’s Republic of China [grant number 2020-YB-05]the MEL Visiting Fellowship [grant number MELRS2102]the Independent Research Project Program of the State Key Laboratory of Tropical Oceanography [grant number LTOZZ2005]the Key Special Project for the Introducing Talents Team of the Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Guangzhou)[grant number GML2019ZD0306]the Innovation Academy of South China Sea Ecology and Environmental Engineering [grant number ISEE2018PY06]
文摘The KdV equation with topography included in an N-level model is derived. It is shown that if the topography ex- ists. the KdV equation may describe the solitary Rossby waves in the case of basic current without vertical shear, and it is no necessary to introduce the MKdV equation. The results of calculations show that the change of horizontal shear pattern of basic flow may cause an important change of the streamline pattern of the solitary waves with the odd meridional wavenumber m, and has no effect for the even meridional wavenumber m. The vertical shear increases the steepness of the barotropic solitary modes, and it has a complicated effect on the baroclinic modes. The influences of topographic slope on the solitary waves are very great. The southern and northern slopes of topography may cause dif- ferent solitary wave patterns, with the effect of northern slope greater. The effect of Froude number on the solitary waves is generally to steepen the solitary waves, however, the effect also depends on the meridional wavenumber m and the modes of solitary wave.
基金supported in part by National Key Basic Research and Department (973) Program of China (2013CB329606)Natural Science Foundation of China (61402045)
文摘Users express their emotions in online social networks (OSNs). Studying emotions is important for understanding user behaviors. Existing methods in emotion prediction mainly use personal emotion and friend emotion to predict target emotion. In this study, public sentiment is introduced to denote the sentiment of the majority in the network. Public conformity is calculated to measure the degree of a user conforming to the public sentiment. According to the public conformity, users are categorized into three classes: Approvers, independents, and starters. A user-level model for emotion prediction is proposed to predict target emotions of different classes of users, taking into account of the public sentiment, individual sentiment, friend sentiment and pseudo-friend sentiment. Relations between the public conformity and the structure of the network are studied. Experiments conducted on Sina Weibo show that the proposed model could achieve performance improvements to some existing methods in most cases.
基金supported by the National Public Benefit (Meteorology) Research Foundation of China (Grant No. GYHY201106004)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 41005029, 41105065 and 41230421)
文摘Variable thicknesses in the lowest half-ηmodel level (LML) are often used in atmospheric models to compute surface diagnostic fields such as surface latent and sensible heat fluxes.The effects of the LML on simulated tropical cyclone (TC)evolution were investigated in this study using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model.The results demonstrated notable influences of the LML on TC evolution when the LML was placed below 12 m.The TC intensification rate decreased progressively with a lowering of the LML,but its ultimate intensity change was relatively small.The maximum 10-m winds showed different behavior to minimum sea level pressure and azimuthally-averaged tangential winds,and thus the windpressure relationship was changed accordingly by varying the LML.The TC circulation was more contracted in association with a higher LML.Surface latent heat fluxes were enhanced greatly by elevating the LML,wherein the wind speed at the LML played a dominant role.The changes in the wind speed at the LML were dependent not only on their profile differences,but also the different heights they were taken from.Due to the enhanced surface heat fluxes,more intense latent heat release occurred in the eyewall,which boosted the storm's intensification.A higher LML tended to produce a stronger storm,and therefore the surface friction was reinforced,which in turn induced stronger boundary layer inflow together with increased diabatic heating.
基金The National Basic Research Program(973 Program)of China under contract No.2010CB950501the National Natural Science Foundation of China under contract No.41276035the National Natural Science Foundation of China–Shandong Province Joint Fund of Marine Science Research Centers under contract No.U1406404
文摘Future potential sea level change in the South China Sea (SCS) is estimated by using 24 CMIP5 models under different representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios. By the end of the 21st century (2081–2100 relative to 1986–2005), the multimodel ensemble mean dynamic sea level (DSL) is projected to rise 0.9, 1.6, and 1.1 cm under RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5 scenarios, respectively, resulting in a total sea level rise (SLR) of 40.9, 48.6, and 64.1 cm in the SCS. It indicates that the SCS will experience a substantial SLR over the 21st century, and the rise is only marginal larger than the global mean SLR. During the same period, the steric sea level (SSL) rise is estimated to be 6.7, 10.0, and 15.3 cm under the three scenarios, respectively, which accounts only for 16%, 21% and 24% of the total SLR in this region. The changes of the SSL in the SCS are almost out of phase with those of the DSL for the three scenarios. The central deep basin has a slightly weak DSL rise, but a strong SSL rise during the 21st century, compared with the north and southwest shelves.
基金The National Key Fundamental Research and Development Program ("973" Program) of China under contract No. 2010CB429001
文摘In order to determine the design tide levels in the areas without measured tide level data, especially in the areas where it is difficult to measure tidal levels, a calculation method based on a numerical model of tidal current is proposed. The essentials of the method are described, and its application is illustrated with an example. The results of the application show that the design tide levels calculated by the method are close to those determined by long-time measured tide level data, and its calculation precision is high, so it is feasible to use the method to determine the design tide levels in the areas.
文摘To establish the parsimonious model for blood glucose monitoring in patients with type 2 diabetes receiving oral hypoglycemic agent treatment. One hundred and fifty-nine adult Chinese type 2 diabetes patients were randomized to receive rapid-acting or sustained-release gliclazide therapy for 12 weeks.
文摘The humans’ need to use the oceans for exploration and extraction of oil has led to the development of engineering science in the field of offshore structures. Since it’s important to examine the offshore structures from different aspects and perspectives, we would have to evaluate many different parameters about them. So categorizing these parameters can help to perform their related analysis with more accuracy and more details. Due to the efficient force it exerts on the structure, the pressure distribution around every marine or hydraulic structure has a significant importance, and it even accounts for one of the dominant issues in designing and building of such structures. In the present study, an oil platform located in Phase 15 of South Pars oil fields, located in the Persian Gulf waters, has been analyzed using the FLOW 3D software. The outputs indicate that the pressure of water is distributed almost hydrostatically with the depth, and its maximum reaches 0.6 MPa at the bottom.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (50879085)the Program for New Century Excellent Talents in University(NCET-07-0778)the Key Technology Research Project of Dynamic Environmental Flume for Ocean Monitoring Facilities (201005027-4)
文摘Compared with traditional real-time forecasting,this paper proposes a Grey Markov Model(GMM) to forecast the maximum water levels at hydrological stations in the estuary area.The GMM combines the Grey System and Markov theory into a higher precision model.The GMM takes advantage of the Grey System to predict the trend values and uses the Markov theory to forecast fluctuation values,and thus gives forecast results involving two aspects of information.The procedure for forecasting annul maximum water levels with the GMM contains five main steps:1) establish the GM(1,1) model based on the data series;2) estimate the trend values;3) establish a Markov Model based on relative error series;4) modify the relative errors caused in step 2,and then obtain the relative errors of the second order estimation;5) compare the results with measured data and estimate the accuracy.The historical water level records(from 1960 to 1992) at Yuqiao Hydrological Station in the estuary area of the Haihe River near Tianjin,China are utilized to calibrate and verify the proposed model according to the above steps.Every 25 years' data are regarded as a hydro-sequence.Eight groups of simulated results show reasonable agreement between the predicted values and the measured data.The GMM is also applied to the 10 other hydrological stations in the same estuary.The forecast results for all of the hydrological stations are good or acceptable.The feasibility and effectiveness of this new forecasting model have been proved in this paper.