[Objective] The research aimed to study the variation rule of precipitation in the rainy season in Liupanshui City in recent 50 years. [Method] Based on the monthly precipitation data from three observatories (Liuzhi,...[Objective] The research aimed to study the variation rule of precipitation in the rainy season in Liupanshui City in recent 50 years. [Method] Based on the monthly precipitation data from three observatories (Liuzhi, Panxian and Shuicheng) of Liupanshui City from May to September during 1960-2009, the interannual, interdecadal variation and mutation characteristics of precipitation in the rainy season in Liupanshui City in recent 50 years were analyzed by using the linear tendency estimation, sliding T-test and Morlet wavelet analysis method. [Result] The rainfall in the rainy season in Liupanshui City in recent 50 years presented the decline trend, and the linear tendency rate was -15.4 mm/10 a. The precipitation in the rainy season in Liupanshui City had the obvious interannual and interdecadal variation characteristics. It was the obvious rainless period in the metaphase of 1960s, and the precipitation was comparatively more in late 1960s. It was the relatively rainless period in the whole 1970s. From late 1970s to late 1980s, the precipitation in the rainy season entered into the pluvial period, and it was the period when the precipitation was the most in recent 50 years. The precipitation was relatively less from late 1980s to metaphase of 1990s. It was the pluvial period in the middle and late periods of 1990s, and it was the rainless period when entered into the 21st century. The sliding T-test showed that the precipitation mutation point in the rainy season in Liupanshui City in recent 50 years was in 2002. The wavelet analysis showed that the precipitation in the rainy season in Liupanshui City had the significant multiple time scale characteristic. In the interdecadal scale, the precipitation had the significant 16-year periodic oscillation which stably existed in 50 years. In the interannual scale, the precipitation had the quasi-8-year periodic oscillation. [Conclusion] The research provided the scientific basis for the accurate forecast of drought and flood disasters, disaster prevention and reduction in the city.展开更多
[Objective] The paper aimed to analyze the meteorological factors of the worst drought in 2010 in Liupanshui City and its impact on the agriculture.[Method] To make research analyses based on the real-time meteorologi...[Objective] The paper aimed to analyze the meteorological factors of the worst drought in 2010 in Liupanshui City and its impact on the agriculture.[Method] To make research analyses based on the real-time meteorological data and the characters of this drought disaster.[Result]Due to the influence of abnormal atmospheric circulation and El Nio events,the convergence of warm and cold air in the arid are inadequate,so the rainfall reduced seriously,shortage of water resources,and successive drought disasters were intensified by hot and dry weather,moreover,special geographical environment(Karst,desertification,etc.)increased the danger of drought.[Conclusion] Local people faced the test of the severest drought in a century which had great impact on drinking water,agriculture,forestry,hydropower production,residents living and so on.Taking advantage of favorable meteorological conditions for artificial rainfall,and combined with scientific drought-relief measures could help to east the drought in advance and reduce the losses.展开更多
文摘[Objective] The research aimed to study the variation rule of precipitation in the rainy season in Liupanshui City in recent 50 years. [Method] Based on the monthly precipitation data from three observatories (Liuzhi, Panxian and Shuicheng) of Liupanshui City from May to September during 1960-2009, the interannual, interdecadal variation and mutation characteristics of precipitation in the rainy season in Liupanshui City in recent 50 years were analyzed by using the linear tendency estimation, sliding T-test and Morlet wavelet analysis method. [Result] The rainfall in the rainy season in Liupanshui City in recent 50 years presented the decline trend, and the linear tendency rate was -15.4 mm/10 a. The precipitation in the rainy season in Liupanshui City had the obvious interannual and interdecadal variation characteristics. It was the obvious rainless period in the metaphase of 1960s, and the precipitation was comparatively more in late 1960s. It was the relatively rainless period in the whole 1970s. From late 1970s to late 1980s, the precipitation in the rainy season entered into the pluvial period, and it was the period when the precipitation was the most in recent 50 years. The precipitation was relatively less from late 1980s to metaphase of 1990s. It was the pluvial period in the middle and late periods of 1990s, and it was the rainless period when entered into the 21st century. The sliding T-test showed that the precipitation mutation point in the rainy season in Liupanshui City in recent 50 years was in 2002. The wavelet analysis showed that the precipitation in the rainy season in Liupanshui City had the significant multiple time scale characteristic. In the interdecadal scale, the precipitation had the significant 16-year periodic oscillation which stably existed in 50 years. In the interannual scale, the precipitation had the quasi-8-year periodic oscillation. [Conclusion] The research provided the scientific basis for the accurate forecast of drought and flood disasters, disaster prevention and reduction in the city.
文摘[Objective] The paper aimed to analyze the meteorological factors of the worst drought in 2010 in Liupanshui City and its impact on the agriculture.[Method] To make research analyses based on the real-time meteorological data and the characters of this drought disaster.[Result]Due to the influence of abnormal atmospheric circulation and El Nio events,the convergence of warm and cold air in the arid are inadequate,so the rainfall reduced seriously,shortage of water resources,and successive drought disasters were intensified by hot and dry weather,moreover,special geographical environment(Karst,desertification,etc.)increased the danger of drought.[Conclusion] Local people faced the test of the severest drought in a century which had great impact on drinking water,agriculture,forestry,hydropower production,residents living and so on.Taking advantage of favorable meteorological conditions for artificial rainfall,and combined with scientific drought-relief measures could help to east the drought in advance and reduce the losses.
