Load flow studies play a critical role in the analysis of power systems. They enable the computation of voltage, current, and power flows in a power system. They provide valuable insights into the steady-state perform...Load flow studies play a critical role in the analysis of power systems. They enable the computation of voltage, current, and power flows in a power system. They provide valuable insights into the steady-state performance of the power system under different operating conditions. Choosing a slack bus is a vital step in conducting load flow simulations. A slack bus is a PV bus that includes a generator and is used to balance real and reactive power during load flow studies. Many studies have been conducted on the selection of slack buses in load flow analysis. However, varied conclusions regarding the impact on system losses and power flows were obtained during these studies. Therefore, using the IEEE-14 bus test system, this study investigated the effects of slack bus selection in strong and weak grids by alternating slack buses among PV buses and observing the effects on bus voltage magnitude, bus voltage phase angle, total power flows, and active and reactive power losses. The study noted that the effect of slack bus selection on these system quantities is contingent upon the voltage stability of the grid. Whereas in a robust grid, system losses and power flows remained constant irrespective of the choice of slack bus, a weak grid experienced some variations in these system quantities under similar circumstances. The simulation results led to the conclusion that, to a large extent, the voltage stability of the grid plays a significant role in determining the degree to which slack bus selection affects system losses and other quantities in load flow studies.展开更多
Correlations among random variables make significant impacts on probabilistic load flow(PLF)calculation results.In the existing studies,correlation coefficients or Gaussian copula are usually used to model the correla...Correlations among random variables make significant impacts on probabilistic load flow(PLF)calculation results.In the existing studies,correlation coefficients or Gaussian copula are usually used to model the correlations,while vine copula,which describes the complex dependence structure(DS)of random variables,is seldom discussed since it brings in much heavier computational burdens.To overcome this problem,this paper proposes an efficient PLF method considering input random variables with complex DS.Specifically,the Rosenblatt transformation(RT)is used to transform vine copula⁃based correlated variables into independent ones;and then the sparse polynomial chaos expansion(SPCE)evaluates output random variables of PLF calculation.The effectiveness of the proposed method is verified using the IEEE 123⁃bus system.展开更多
Discusses the significance of induction motor constant resistance (IM R) load on the lower part of the PV curve of a power system and determines the conditions for stable operation of IM R load using fuzzy techniques ...Discusses the significance of induction motor constant resistance (IM R) load on the lower part of the PV curve of a power system and determines the conditions for stable operation of IM R load using fuzzy techniques and load flow.展开更多
Because of the randomness and uncertainty,integration of large-scale wind farms in a power system will exert significant influences on the distribution of power flow.This paper uses polynomial normal transformation me...Because of the randomness and uncertainty,integration of large-scale wind farms in a power system will exert significant influences on the distribution of power flow.This paper uses polynomial normal transformation method to deal with non-normal random variable correlation,and solves probabilistic load flow based on Kriging method.This method is a kind of smallest unbiased variance estimation method which estimates unknown information via employing a point within the confidence scope of weighted linear combination.Compared with traditional approaches which need a greater number of calculation times,long simulation time,and large memory space,Kriging method can rapidly estimate node state variables and branch current power distribution situation.As one of the generator nodes in the western Yunnan power grid,a certain wind farm is chosen for empirical analysis.Results are used to compare with those by Monte Carlo-based accurate solution,which proves the validity and veracity of the model in wind farm power modeling as output of the actual turbine through PSD-BPA.展开更多
Dependence among random input variables affects importantly the results of probabilistic load flow(PLF),system economic operation,and system security.To solve this problem,the main objectiveness of the paper is to ana...Dependence among random input variables affects importantly the results of probabilistic load flow(PLF),system economic operation,and system security.To solve this problem,the main objectiveness of the paper is to analyze the performance of several schemes for simulating correlated variables combined with the point estimate method(PEM).Unlike the existing works that considering one single scheme combined with Monte Carlo simulation(MCS) or PEM,by neglecting the correlation among random input variables,four schemes were presented for disposing the dependence of correlated random variables,including Nataf transformation /polynomial normal transformation(PINT) combined with orthogonal transformation(OT) / elementary transformation(ET).Combining with the 2m+1 approach of PEM,a space transformation-based formulation was proposed and adopted for solving the PLF.The proposed approach is applied in the modified IEEE 30-bus system while considering correlated wind generations and load demands.Numerical results show the effectiveness of the proposed approach compared with those obtained from the MCS.Results also show that the scheme of combining Nataf transformation and ET with PEM provides the best performance.展开更多
Probabilistic load flow(PLF)algorithm has been regained attention,because the large-scale wind power integration into the grid has increased the uncertainty of the stable and safe operation of the power system.The PLF...Probabilistic load flow(PLF)algorithm has been regained attention,because the large-scale wind power integration into the grid has increased the uncertainty of the stable and safe operation of the power system.The PLF algorithm is improved with introducing the power performance of double-fed induction generators(DFIGs)for wind turbines(WTs)under the constant power factor control and the constant voltage control in this paper.Firstly,the conventional Jacobian matrix of the alternating current(AC)load flow model is modified,and the probability distributions of the active and reactive powers of the DFIGs are derived by combining the power performance of the DFIGs and the Weibull distribution of wind speed.Then,the cumulants of the state variables in power grid are obtained by improved PLF model and more accurate power probability distributions.In order to generate the probability density function(PDF)of the nodal voltage,Gram-Charlier,Edgeworth and Cornish-Fisher expansions based on the cumulants are applied.Finally,the effectiveness and accuracy of the improved PLF algorithm is demonstrated in the IEEE 14-RTS system with wind power integration,compared with the results of Monte Carlo(MC)simulation using deterministic load flow calculation.展开更多
This paper is a further study of two papers [1] and [2], which were related to Ill-Conditioned Load Flow Problems and were published by IEEE Trans. PAS. The authors of this paper have some different opinions, for exam...This paper is a further study of two papers [1] and [2], which were related to Ill-Conditioned Load Flow Problems and were published by IEEE Trans. PAS. The authors of this paper have some different opinions, for example, the 11-bus system is not an ill-conditioned system. In addition, a new approach to solve Load Flow Problems, E-ψtc, is introduced. It is an explicit method;solving linear equations is not needed. It can handle very tough and very large systems. The advantage of this method has been fully proved by two examples. The authors give this new method a detailed description of how to use it to solve Load Flow Problems and successfully apply it to the 43-bus and the 11-bus systems. The authors also propose a strategy to test the reliability, and by solving gradient equations, this new method can answer if the solution exists or not.展开更多
Urban railway systems differ greatly from general power systems in that they use direct current(DC)power supply and that the location and power requirements of the loads change.The position and power consumption of th...Urban railway systems differ greatly from general power systems in that they use direct current(DC)power supply and that the location and power requirements of the loads change.The position and power consumption of the load shall be interpreted continuously every second,or in a fixed unit of time,for a specific period of time during which the operating conditions are repeated.The additional analysis of energy-saving systems being considered as energy efficiency improvement methods requires more complex load flow analysis algorithms.Simulations are performed load flow every time step.The power of an electric railway power feeding system is the power consumed or produced by a train.Because the amount and position of the load change rapidly over time,load flow analysis continues over time.Therefore,based on the method of obtaining solutions by constructing node equations for load flow analysis in this study,load flow analysis was performed through algorithms with energy-saving systems applied.Both thetrain performance simulation(TPS)and power simulation results show that the actual measurement data are estimated almost equally.展开更多
In this paper a procedure is established for solving the Probabilistic Load Flow in an electrical power network, considering correlation between power generated by power plants, loads demanded on each bus and power in...In this paper a procedure is established for solving the Probabilistic Load Flow in an electrical power network, considering correlation between power generated by power plants, loads demanded on each bus and power injected by wind farms. The method proposed is based on the generation of correlated series of power values, which can be used in a MonteCarlo simulation, to obtain the probability density function of the power through branches of an electrical network.展开更多
Load flow is an important tool used by power engineers for planning, to determine the best operation for a power system and exchange of power between utility companies. In order to have an efficient operating power sy...Load flow is an important tool used by power engineers for planning, to determine the best operation for a power system and exchange of power between utility companies. In order to have an efficient operating power system, it is necessary to determine which method is suitable and efficient for the system’s load flow analysis. A power flow analysis method may take a long time and therefore prevent achieving an accurate result to a power flow solution because of continuous changes in power demand and generations. This paper presents analysis of the load flow problem in power system planning studies. The numerical methods: Gauss-Seidel, Newton-Raphson and Fast Decoupled methods were compared for a power flow analysis solution. Simulation is carried out using Matlab for test cases of IEEE 9-Bus, IEEE 30-Bus and IEEE 57-Bus system. The simulation results were compared for number of iteration, computational time, tolerance value and convergence. The compared results show that Newton-Raphson is the most reliable method because it has the least number of iteration and converges faster.展开更多
Dynamic load flow technology can simulate actual frequency and load flow change when a load naturally varies and generator units adjust their power output by an adjustment system during a certain time. Dynamic load fl...Dynamic load flow technology can simulate actual frequency and load flow change when a load naturally varies and generator units adjust their power output by an adjustment system during a certain time. Dynamic load flow is a basic part of power system state and tendency analysis. In this paper, a dynamic load flow model and its solution method are first presented and discussed. Then, the application of dynamic load flow to a real power system is given as a demonstration.展开更多
This paper presents modeling of Distribution STATCOM (D-STATCOM) in load flow calculations for the steady- state voltage compensation. An accurate model for D-STATCOM is derived to use in load flow calculations. The r...This paper presents modeling of Distribution STATCOM (D-STATCOM) in load flow calculations for the steady- state voltage compensation. An accurate model for D-STATCOM is derived to use in load flow calculations. The rating of this device as well as the direction of required reactive power injection for voltage compensation in the desired value (1 p.u.) is de- rived and discussed analytically and mathematically by the phasor diagram method. Furthermore, an efficient method for node and line identification used in load flow calculations is presented. The validity of the proposed model is examined by using two standard distribution systems consisting of 33 and 69 nodes, respectively. The best location of D-STATCOM for under voltage problem mitigation approach in the distribution networks is determined. The results validate the proposed model for D- STATCOM in large distribution systems.展开更多
For Power distribution system the most important task for distribution engineer is to efficiently simulate the system and address the uncertainty using a suitable mathematical method. This paper presents a comparison ...For Power distribution system the most important task for distribution engineer is to efficiently simulate the system and address the uncertainty using a suitable mathematical method. This paper presents a comparison of two methods used in analyzing uncertainties. The first method is Montecarlo simulation (MCS) that considers input parameters as random variables and second one is fuzzy alpha cut method (FAC) in which uncertain parameters are treated as fuzzy numbers with given membership functions. Both techniques are tested on a typical Load flow solution simulation, where connected loads are considered as uncertain. In order to provide a basis for comparison between above two approaches, the shapes of the membership function used in the fuzzy method is taken same as the shape of the probability density function used in the Monte Carlo simulations. For more than one uncertain input variable, simulation result indicates that MCS method provides better output results compared to FAC, however takes more time due to number of runs. FAC provides an alternate method to MCS when addressing single or limited input variables and is fast.展开更多
Short-term power flow analysis has a significant influence on day-ahead generation schedule. This paper proposes a time series model and prediction error distribution model of wind power output. With the consideration...Short-term power flow analysis has a significant influence on day-ahead generation schedule. This paper proposes a time series model and prediction error distribution model of wind power output. With the consideration of wind speed and wind power output forecast error’s correlation, the probabilistic distributions of transmission line flows during tomorrow’s 96 time intervals are obtained using cumulants combined Gram-Charlier expansion method. The probability density function and cumulative distribution function of transmission lines on each time interval could provide scheduling planners with more accurate and comprehensive information. Simulation in IEEE 39-bus system demonstrates effectiveness of the proposed model and algorithm.展开更多
Clustering approaches are one of the probabilistic load flow(PLF)methods in distribution networks that can be used to obtain output random variables,with much less computation burden and time than the Monte Carlo simu...Clustering approaches are one of the probabilistic load flow(PLF)methods in distribution networks that can be used to obtain output random variables,with much less computation burden and time than the Monte Carlo simulation(MCS)method.However,a challenge of the clustering methods is that the statistical characteristics of the output random variables are obtained with low accuracy.This paper presents a hybrid approach based on clustering and Point estimate methods.In the proposed approach,first,the sample points are clustered based on the𝑙-means method and the optimal agent of each cluster is determined.Then,for each member of the population of agents,the deterministic load flow calculations are performed,and the output variables are calculated.Afterward,a Point estimate-based PLF is performed and the mean and the standard deviation of the output variables are obtained.Finally,the statistical data of each output random variable are modified using the Point estimate method.The use of the proposed method makes it possible to obtain the statistical properties of output random variables such as mean,standard deviation and probabilistic functions,with high accuracy and without significantly increasing the burden of calculations.In order to confirm the consistency and efficiency of the proposed method,the 10-,33-,69-,85-,and 118-bus standard distribution networks have been simulated using coding in Python®programming language.In simulation studies,the results of the proposed method have been compared with the results obtained from the clustering method as well as the MCS method,as a criterion.展开更多
In this paper,a probabilistic load flow analysis technique that combines the cumulant method and Gaussian mixture approximation method is proposed.This technique overcomes the incapability of the existing series expan...In this paper,a probabilistic load flow analysis technique that combines the cumulant method and Gaussian mixture approximation method is proposed.This technique overcomes the incapability of the existing series expansion methods to approximate multimodal probability distributions.A mix of Gaussian,non-Gaussian,and discrete type probability distributions for input bus powers is considered.Probability distributions of multimodal bus voltages and line power flows pertaining to these inputs are precisely obtained without using any series expansion method.At the same time,multiple input correlations are considered.Performance of the proposed method is demonstrated in IEEE 14 and 57 bus test systems.Results are compared with cumulant and Gram Charlier expansion,cumulant and Cornish Fisher expansion,dependent discrete convolution,and Monte Carlo simulation.Effects of different correlation cases on distribution of bus voltages and line power flows are also studied.展开更多
This paper applies a cumulant-based analytical method for probabilistic load flow (PLF) assessment in transmission and distribution systems. The uncertainties pertaining to photovoltaic generations and aggregate bus l...This paper applies a cumulant-based analytical method for probabilistic load flow (PLF) assessment in transmission and distribution systems. The uncertainties pertaining to photovoltaic generations and aggregate bus load powers are probabilistically modeled in the case of transmission systems. In the case of distribution systems, the uncertainties pertaining to plug-in hybrid electric vehicle and battery electric vehicle charging demands in residential community as well as charging stations are probabilistically modeled. The probability distributions of the result variables (bus voltages and branch power flows) pertaining to these inputs are accurately established. The multiple input correlation cases are incorporated. Simultaneously, the performance of the proposed method is demonstrated on a modified Ward-Hale 6-bus system and an IEEE 14-bus transmission system as well as on a modified IEEE 69-bus radial and an IEEE 33-bus mesh distribution system. The results of the proposed method are compared with that of Monte-Carlo simulation.展开更多
Load flow analysis is a significant tool for proper planning,operation,and dynamic analysis of a power system that provides the steady-state values of voltage magnitudes and angles at the fundamental frequency.However...Load flow analysis is a significant tool for proper planning,operation,and dynamic analysis of a power system that provides the steady-state values of voltage magnitudes and angles at the fundamental frequency.However,due to the absence of a slack bus in an islanded microgrid,modified load flow algorithms should be adopted considering the system frequency as one of the solution variables.This paper proposes the application of nature-inspired hybrid optimization algorithms for solving the load flow problem of islanded microgrids.Several nature-inspired algorithms such as genetic algorithm(GA),differential evolution(DE),flower pollination algorithm(FPA),and grasshopper optimization algorithm(GOA)are separately merged with imperialistic competitive algorithm(ICA)to form four hybrid algorithms named as ICGA,ICDE,ICFPA,and ICGOA.Performances of these algorithms are tested on the 6-bus test system and the modified IEEE 37-bus test system.A comparison among the proposed algorithms is carried out in terms of statistical analysis conducted using SPSS statistics software.From the statistical analysis,it is identified that on an average,ICDE takes less number of iterations and consequently needs less execution time compared with other algorithms in solving the load flow problem of islanded microgrids.展开更多
文摘Load flow studies play a critical role in the analysis of power systems. They enable the computation of voltage, current, and power flows in a power system. They provide valuable insights into the steady-state performance of the power system under different operating conditions. Choosing a slack bus is a vital step in conducting load flow simulations. A slack bus is a PV bus that includes a generator and is used to balance real and reactive power during load flow studies. Many studies have been conducted on the selection of slack buses in load flow analysis. However, varied conclusions regarding the impact on system losses and power flows were obtained during these studies. Therefore, using the IEEE-14 bus test system, this study investigated the effects of slack bus selection in strong and weak grids by alternating slack buses among PV buses and observing the effects on bus voltage magnitude, bus voltage phase angle, total power flows, and active and reactive power losses. The study noted that the effect of slack bus selection on these system quantities is contingent upon the voltage stability of the grid. Whereas in a robust grid, system losses and power flows remained constant irrespective of the choice of slack bus, a weak grid experienced some variations in these system quantities under similar circumstances. The simulation results led to the conclusion that, to a large extent, the voltage stability of the grid plays a significant role in determining the degree to which slack bus selection affects system losses and other quantities in load flow studies.
基金Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities,China(No.2232020D⁃53)。
文摘Correlations among random variables make significant impacts on probabilistic load flow(PLF)calculation results.In the existing studies,correlation coefficients or Gaussian copula are usually used to model the correlations,while vine copula,which describes the complex dependence structure(DS)of random variables,is seldom discussed since it brings in much heavier computational burdens.To overcome this problem,this paper proposes an efficient PLF method considering input random variables with complex DS.Specifically,the Rosenblatt transformation(RT)is used to transform vine copula⁃based correlated variables into independent ones;and then the sparse polynomial chaos expansion(SPCE)evaluates output random variables of PLF calculation.The effectiveness of the proposed method is verified using the IEEE 123⁃bus system.
文摘Discusses the significance of induction motor constant resistance (IM R) load on the lower part of the PV curve of a power system and determines the conditions for stable operation of IM R load using fuzzy techniques and load flow.
文摘Because of the randomness and uncertainty,integration of large-scale wind farms in a power system will exert significant influences on the distribution of power flow.This paper uses polynomial normal transformation method to deal with non-normal random variable correlation,and solves probabilistic load flow based on Kriging method.This method is a kind of smallest unbiased variance estimation method which estimates unknown information via employing a point within the confidence scope of weighted linear combination.Compared with traditional approaches which need a greater number of calculation times,long simulation time,and large memory space,Kriging method can rapidly estimate node state variables and branch current power distribution situation.As one of the generator nodes in the western Yunnan power grid,a certain wind farm is chosen for empirical analysis.Results are used to compare with those by Monte Carlo-based accurate solution,which proves the validity and veracity of the model in wind farm power modeling as output of the actual turbine through PSD-BPA.
基金National Science Foundation of China(No.61533010)the Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality,China(No.14ZR1415300)
文摘Dependence among random input variables affects importantly the results of probabilistic load flow(PLF),system economic operation,and system security.To solve this problem,the main objectiveness of the paper is to analyze the performance of several schemes for simulating correlated variables combined with the point estimate method(PEM).Unlike the existing works that considering one single scheme combined with Monte Carlo simulation(MCS) or PEM,by neglecting the correlation among random input variables,four schemes were presented for disposing the dependence of correlated random variables,including Nataf transformation /polynomial normal transformation(PINT) combined with orthogonal transformation(OT) / elementary transformation(ET).Combining with the 2m+1 approach of PEM,a space transformation-based formulation was proposed and adopted for solving the PLF.The proposed approach is applied in the modified IEEE 30-bus system while considering correlated wind generations and load demands.Numerical results show the effectiveness of the proposed approach compared with those obtained from the MCS.Results also show that the scheme of combining Nataf transformation and ET with PEM provides the best performance.
文摘Probabilistic load flow(PLF)algorithm has been regained attention,because the large-scale wind power integration into the grid has increased the uncertainty of the stable and safe operation of the power system.The PLF algorithm is improved with introducing the power performance of double-fed induction generators(DFIGs)for wind turbines(WTs)under the constant power factor control and the constant voltage control in this paper.Firstly,the conventional Jacobian matrix of the alternating current(AC)load flow model is modified,and the probability distributions of the active and reactive powers of the DFIGs are derived by combining the power performance of the DFIGs and the Weibull distribution of wind speed.Then,the cumulants of the state variables in power grid are obtained by improved PLF model and more accurate power probability distributions.In order to generate the probability density function(PDF)of the nodal voltage,Gram-Charlier,Edgeworth and Cornish-Fisher expansions based on the cumulants are applied.Finally,the effectiveness and accuracy of the improved PLF algorithm is demonstrated in the IEEE 14-RTS system with wind power integration,compared with the results of Monte Carlo(MC)simulation using deterministic load flow calculation.
文摘This paper is a further study of two papers [1] and [2], which were related to Ill-Conditioned Load Flow Problems and were published by IEEE Trans. PAS. The authors of this paper have some different opinions, for example, the 11-bus system is not an ill-conditioned system. In addition, a new approach to solve Load Flow Problems, E-ψtc, is introduced. It is an explicit method;solving linear equations is not needed. It can handle very tough and very large systems. The advantage of this method has been fully proved by two examples. The authors give this new method a detailed description of how to use it to solve Load Flow Problems and successfully apply it to the 43-bus and the 11-bus systems. The authors also propose a strategy to test the reliability, and by solving gradient equations, this new method can answer if the solution exists or not.
基金This study was conducted by the Ministry of Land,Infrastructure and Transport’s Research Project on Railway Technology-Projects(21RTRP-B146034-04).
文摘Urban railway systems differ greatly from general power systems in that they use direct current(DC)power supply and that the location and power requirements of the loads change.The position and power consumption of the load shall be interpreted continuously every second,or in a fixed unit of time,for a specific period of time during which the operating conditions are repeated.The additional analysis of energy-saving systems being considered as energy efficiency improvement methods requires more complex load flow analysis algorithms.Simulations are performed load flow every time step.The power of an electric railway power feeding system is the power consumed or produced by a train.Because the amount and position of the load change rapidly over time,load flow analysis continues over time.Therefore,based on the method of obtaining solutions by constructing node equations for load flow analysis in this study,load flow analysis was performed through algorithms with energy-saving systems applied.Both thetrain performance simulation(TPS)and power simulation results show that the actual measurement data are estimated almost equally.
文摘In this paper a procedure is established for solving the Probabilistic Load Flow in an electrical power network, considering correlation between power generated by power plants, loads demanded on each bus and power injected by wind farms. The method proposed is based on the generation of correlated series of power values, which can be used in a MonteCarlo simulation, to obtain the probability density function of the power through branches of an electrical network.
文摘Load flow is an important tool used by power engineers for planning, to determine the best operation for a power system and exchange of power between utility companies. In order to have an efficient operating power system, it is necessary to determine which method is suitable and efficient for the system’s load flow analysis. A power flow analysis method may take a long time and therefore prevent achieving an accurate result to a power flow solution because of continuous changes in power demand and generations. This paper presents analysis of the load flow problem in power system planning studies. The numerical methods: Gauss-Seidel, Newton-Raphson and Fast Decoupled methods were compared for a power flow analysis solution. Simulation is carried out using Matlab for test cases of IEEE 9-Bus, IEEE 30-Bus and IEEE 57-Bus system. The simulation results were compared for number of iteration, computational time, tolerance value and convergence. The compared results show that Newton-Raphson is the most reliable method because it has the least number of iteration and converges faster.
文摘Dynamic load flow technology can simulate actual frequency and load flow change when a load naturally varies and generator units adjust their power output by an adjustment system during a certain time. Dynamic load flow is a basic part of power system state and tendency analysis. In this paper, a dynamic load flow model and its solution method are first presented and discussed. Then, the application of dynamic load flow to a real power system is given as a demonstration.
文摘This paper presents modeling of Distribution STATCOM (D-STATCOM) in load flow calculations for the steady- state voltage compensation. An accurate model for D-STATCOM is derived to use in load flow calculations. The rating of this device as well as the direction of required reactive power injection for voltage compensation in the desired value (1 p.u.) is de- rived and discussed analytically and mathematically by the phasor diagram method. Furthermore, an efficient method for node and line identification used in load flow calculations is presented. The validity of the proposed model is examined by using two standard distribution systems consisting of 33 and 69 nodes, respectively. The best location of D-STATCOM for under voltage problem mitigation approach in the distribution networks is determined. The results validate the proposed model for D- STATCOM in large distribution systems.
文摘For Power distribution system the most important task for distribution engineer is to efficiently simulate the system and address the uncertainty using a suitable mathematical method. This paper presents a comparison of two methods used in analyzing uncertainties. The first method is Montecarlo simulation (MCS) that considers input parameters as random variables and second one is fuzzy alpha cut method (FAC) in which uncertain parameters are treated as fuzzy numbers with given membership functions. Both techniques are tested on a typical Load flow solution simulation, where connected loads are considered as uncertain. In order to provide a basis for comparison between above two approaches, the shapes of the membership function used in the fuzzy method is taken same as the shape of the probability density function used in the Monte Carlo simulations. For more than one uncertain input variable, simulation result indicates that MCS method provides better output results compared to FAC, however takes more time due to number of runs. FAC provides an alternate method to MCS when addressing single or limited input variables and is fast.
文摘Short-term power flow analysis has a significant influence on day-ahead generation schedule. This paper proposes a time series model and prediction error distribution model of wind power output. With the consideration of wind speed and wind power output forecast error’s correlation, the probabilistic distributions of transmission line flows during tomorrow’s 96 time intervals are obtained using cumulants combined Gram-Charlier expansion method. The probability density function and cumulative distribution function of transmission lines on each time interval could provide scheduling planners with more accurate and comprehensive information. Simulation in IEEE 39-bus system demonstrates effectiveness of the proposed model and algorithm.
文摘Clustering approaches are one of the probabilistic load flow(PLF)methods in distribution networks that can be used to obtain output random variables,with much less computation burden and time than the Monte Carlo simulation(MCS)method.However,a challenge of the clustering methods is that the statistical characteristics of the output random variables are obtained with low accuracy.This paper presents a hybrid approach based on clustering and Point estimate methods.In the proposed approach,first,the sample points are clustered based on the𝑙-means method and the optimal agent of each cluster is determined.Then,for each member of the population of agents,the deterministic load flow calculations are performed,and the output variables are calculated.Afterward,a Point estimate-based PLF is performed and the mean and the standard deviation of the output variables are obtained.Finally,the statistical data of each output random variable are modified using the Point estimate method.The use of the proposed method makes it possible to obtain the statistical properties of output random variables such as mean,standard deviation and probabilistic functions,with high accuracy and without significantly increasing the burden of calculations.In order to confirm the consistency and efficiency of the proposed method,the 10-,33-,69-,85-,and 118-bus standard distribution networks have been simulated using coding in Python®programming language.In simulation studies,the results of the proposed method have been compared with the results obtained from the clustering method as well as the MCS method,as a criterion.
文摘In this paper,a probabilistic load flow analysis technique that combines the cumulant method and Gaussian mixture approximation method is proposed.This technique overcomes the incapability of the existing series expansion methods to approximate multimodal probability distributions.A mix of Gaussian,non-Gaussian,and discrete type probability distributions for input bus powers is considered.Probability distributions of multimodal bus voltages and line power flows pertaining to these inputs are precisely obtained without using any series expansion method.At the same time,multiple input correlations are considered.Performance of the proposed method is demonstrated in IEEE 14 and 57 bus test systems.Results are compared with cumulant and Gram Charlier expansion,cumulant and Cornish Fisher expansion,dependent discrete convolution,and Monte Carlo simulation.Effects of different correlation cases on distribution of bus voltages and line power flows are also studied.
文摘This paper applies a cumulant-based analytical method for probabilistic load flow (PLF) assessment in transmission and distribution systems. The uncertainties pertaining to photovoltaic generations and aggregate bus load powers are probabilistically modeled in the case of transmission systems. In the case of distribution systems, the uncertainties pertaining to plug-in hybrid electric vehicle and battery electric vehicle charging demands in residential community as well as charging stations are probabilistically modeled. The probability distributions of the result variables (bus voltages and branch power flows) pertaining to these inputs are accurately established. The multiple input correlation cases are incorporated. Simultaneously, the performance of the proposed method is demonstrated on a modified Ward-Hale 6-bus system and an IEEE 14-bus transmission system as well as on a modified IEEE 69-bus radial and an IEEE 33-bus mesh distribution system. The results of the proposed method are compared with that of Monte-Carlo simulation.
文摘Load flow analysis is a significant tool for proper planning,operation,and dynamic analysis of a power system that provides the steady-state values of voltage magnitudes and angles at the fundamental frequency.However,due to the absence of a slack bus in an islanded microgrid,modified load flow algorithms should be adopted considering the system frequency as one of the solution variables.This paper proposes the application of nature-inspired hybrid optimization algorithms for solving the load flow problem of islanded microgrids.Several nature-inspired algorithms such as genetic algorithm(GA),differential evolution(DE),flower pollination algorithm(FPA),and grasshopper optimization algorithm(GOA)are separately merged with imperialistic competitive algorithm(ICA)to form four hybrid algorithms named as ICGA,ICDE,ICFPA,and ICGOA.Performances of these algorithms are tested on the 6-bus test system and the modified IEEE 37-bus test system.A comparison among the proposed algorithms is carried out in terms of statistical analysis conducted using SPSS statistics software.From the statistical analysis,it is identified that on an average,ICDE takes less number of iterations and consequently needs less execution time compared with other algorithms in solving the load flow problem of islanded microgrids.