Local Modeling模式及其在月径流预测中的应用

LocalModeling方法是一种动力系统预测方法,将其应用于河西内陆区黑河干流出山口莺落峡水文站月平均流量的中长期预测预报,取得了较为理想的成果。预测试验的结果表明,该预测模型有较高计算精度,尤其适用于非主汛期各月的月平均流量的预测;对于主汛期6～9月的月平均流量的预测,在考虑前期来水与预见期内降水的影响后,亦可获到较为理想的预测结果。可以认为,该方法的预报精度达到了水文情报预报规范的要求,LocalModeling方法的应用,将为西北干旱地区河川径流的中长期预报提供了一个新的途径。

Local Modeling模型及其在黄河上游月径流预测中的应用

基于黄河上游有关水文气象台站的降水径流资料,将LocalModeling方法应用于龙羊峡水库月入库径流预报的中长期水文预报模型.模型的检验和应用结果表明,该方法有着稳健性好、数学物理意义明确、对数据系列要求不高和容易操作等优点,在非汛期各月的径流预测中具有较高的准确性,并且在考虑了降水的影响后,对汛期径流的计算精度亦基本符合水文情报预报规范和实际应用的要求.该模型在黄河上游水量预报和调度工作中具有良好的应用前景.

Pharmacokinetics local model and its application in nuclear medicine

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Application of pharmacokinetics local model to evaluaterenal function

The pharmacokinetics local model was used to evaluate renal function. Some typical kinds of renal function cases, normal or disorder, were selected to be imaged with SPECT and those data measured were treated by the pharmacokinetics local model computer program (PLM). The results indicated that parameters, including peak value, peak time, inflexion time, half-excretion time, and kinetic equation played and important role in judging renal function. The fact confirms that local model is very useful in evaluating renal function.

Atlantic blocking events in a simplified nonlinear baroclinic model for local finite-amplitude wave activity

为研究北大西洋阻高的形成机制,本文在局部有限振幅波活动(LWA)框架下进行了一系列数值实验.采用的数值模型能显式地描绘出两种重要的大气内部动力过程,即非线性纬向位涡通量和Rossby波包传播.模拟结果显示,这两种动力学过程均是形成大西洋阻高的重要机理.具体地,非线性纬向位涡通量和Rossby波包传播,分别是大西洋阻高南部和北部LWA形成的主导因子.因此,本研究综合了前人关于大西洋阻高的研究成果,为其形成机理提供了新的认识.

Modeling the Spatio-Temporal Dynamics of Local Context for a Contextualized Diffusion of Agroecological Intensification Options in Niger

Spatio-temporal variability and dynamics in Sahelian agro-pastoral zones make each local situation a special case. These specificities must be considered to guide the dissemination of agricultural options with a view to sustainable development. The territorial scale of municipalities is not sufficient for this necessary contextualization;the scale of the “village terroir” seems to be a better option. This is the hypothesis we put forward in the framework of the Global Collaboration for Resilient Food Systems program (CRFS), i.e. local context is spatially defined by village terroir. The study is based on data collected through participatory mapping and surveys in “village terroirs” in three regions of Niger (Maradi, Dosso and Tillabéri). Then the links between farm managers and their cultivated land, as well as the spatio-temporal dynamics of local context are analyzed. This study provides evidence of the existence and functional usefulness of the village terroir for farmers, their land management and their activities. It demonstrates the usefulness of contextualizing agricultural options at this scale. Their analysis elucidates the links between “terroirs village” and the specific functioning of the agrosocio-ecosystems acting on each of them, thus laying the systemic and geographical foundations for a model of the spatio- temporal dynamics of “village terroirs”. This initial work has opened up new perspectives in modeling and sustainable development.

Generalization ability of a CNNγ-ray localization model for radiation imaging

Inγ-ray imaging,localization of theγ-ray interaction in the scintillator is critical.Convolutional neural network(CNN)techniques are highly promising for improvingγ-ray localization.Our study evaluated the generalization capabilities of a CNN localization model with respect to theγ-ray energy and thickness of the crystal.The model maintained a high positional linearity(PL)and spatial resolution for ray energies between 59 and 1460 keV.The PL at the incident surface of the detector was 0.99,and the resolution of the central incident point source ranged between 0.52 and 1.19 mm.In modified uniform redundant array(MURA)imaging systems using a thick crystal,the CNNγ-ray localization model significantly improved the useful field-of-view(UFOV)from 60.32 to 93.44%compared to the classical centroid localization methods.Additionally,the signal-to-noise ratio of the reconstructed images increased from 0.95 to 5.63.

Radiative heat transfer analysis of a concave porous fin under the local thermal non-equilibrium condition:application of the clique polynomial method and physics-informed neural networks

The heat transfer through a concave permeable fin is analyzed by the local thermal non-equilibrium(LTNE)model.The governing dimensional temperature equations for the solid and fluid phases of the porous extended surface are modeled,and then are nondimensionalized by suitable dimensionless terms.Further,the obtained nondimensional equations are solved by the clique polynomial method(CPM).The effects of several dimensionless parameters on the fin's thermal profiles are shown by graphical illustrations.Additionally,the current study implements deep neural structures to solve physics-governed coupled equations,and the best-suited hyperparameters are attained by comparison with various network combinations.The results of the CPM and physicsinformed neural network(PINN)exhibit good agreement,signifying that both methods effectively solve the thermal modeling problem.

Modeling Solid Waste Minimization Performance at Source in Dar es Salaam City, Tanzania

Municipal solid waste generation is strongly linked to rising human population and expanding urban areas, with significant implications on urban metabolism as well as space and place values redefinition. Effective management performance of municipal solid waste management underscores the interdisciplinarity strategies. Such knowledge and skills are paramount to uncover the sources of waste generation as well as means of waste storage, collection, recycling, transportation, handling/treatment, disposal, and monitoring. This study was conducted in Dar es Salaam city. Driven by the curiosity model of the solid waste minimization performance at source, study data was collected using focus group discussion techniques to ward-level local government officers, which was triangulated with literature and documentary review. The main themes of the FGD were situational factors (SFA) and local government by-laws (LGBY). In the FGD session, sub-themes of SFA tricked to understand how MSW minimization is related to the presence and effect of services such as land use planning, availability of landfills, solid waste transfer stations, material recovery facilities, incinerators, solid waste collection bins, solid waste trucks, solid waste management budget and solid waste collection agents. Similarly, FGD on LGBY was extended by sub-themes such as contents of the by-law, community awareness of the by-law, and by-law enforcement mechanisms. While data preparation applied an analytical hierarchy process, data analysis applied an ordinary least square (OLS) regression model for sub-criteria that explain SFA and LGBY;and OLS standard residues as variables into geographically weighted regression with a resolution of 241 × 241 meter in ArcMap v10.5. Results showed that situational factors and local government by-laws have a strong relationship with the rate of minimizing solid waste dumping in water bodies (local R square = 0.94).

Local model networks based mixed-sensitivity H-infinity control of CE-150 helicopters

In this paper, a local model network H-infinity control is proposed for CE-150 helicopter stabilization. The proposed strategy capitalizes on recent developments on H-infinity control and its promising results in robust stabilization of plants under unstructured uncertainties. CE-150 helicopters are known for their varying operating conditions along with external disturbances. Therefore, local model networks are introduced for their adaptive feature and since they provide a powerful combination of fuzzy logic and conventional linear control techniques to control nonlinear systems without the added computational burden of soft-computing techniques. Using the fact that the system can be linearized at different operating points, a mixed sensitivity H-infinity controller is designed for the linearized system, and combined within a network to make transitions between them. The proposed control structure ensures robustness, decoupling of the system dynamics while achieving good performance. A comparison is carried-out against the well-known proportional-integral-derivative （PID） control technique. Results are presented to illustrate the controller＇s performance in various operating conditions.

NON-LOCAL CONTINUUM MODEL AND ITS NUMERICAL SIMULATION FOR LOCALIZATION PROBLEM

A non-local continuum model for strain-softening simply takingplastic strain or damage vari- able as a non-local variable isderived by using the additive decomposition principle of finitedeformation gra- dient. At the same time, variational equations,their finite element formulations and numerical convolutedintegration algorithm of the model in current configuration usuallycalled co-moving coordinate system are given. stability andconvergence of the model are proven by means of the weak convergencetheorem of gen- eral function and the convoluted integration theory.

RESEARCH ON THE LOCAL CORRECTION MODEL OF ATMOSPHERIC DRY DELAY IN GPS REMOTE SENSING WATER VAPOR

The precision of atmospheric dry delay model is closely correlated with the accuracy of GPS water vapor in the process of GPS (Global Position System) remote sensing. Radiosonde data (from 1996 to 2001) at Qingyuan are used to calculate the exact values of the atmospheric dry delay. Base on these calculations and the surface meteorological parameters, the local year and month correction models of dry delay at the zenith angle of 0° are established by statistical methods. The analysis result shows that the local model works better and is slight more sensitive to altitude angle than universal models and that it is not necessary to build models for each month due to the slight difference between year model and month model. Furthermore, when the altitude angle is less than 75°, the difference between curve path and straight path increases rapidly with altitude angle’s decrease.

Local icariin application enhanced periodontal tissue regeneration and relieved local inflammation in a minipig model of periodontitis

Periodontitis is an inflammatory autoimmune disease. Treatment should alleviate inflammation, regulate the immune reaction and promote periodontal tissue regeneration. Icariin is the main active ingredient of Epimedii Folium, and it is a promising compound for the enhancement of mesenchymal stem cell function, promotion of bone formation, inhibition of bone resorption, alleviation of inflammation and regulation of immunity. The study investigated the effect of icariin on periodontal tissue regeneration in a minipig model of periodontitis. The minipig model of periodontitis was established. Icariin was injected locally. The periodontal clinical assessment index, a computed tomography(CT) scan, histopathology and enzyme-linked immune sorbent assay(ELISA)were used to evaluate the effects of icariin. Quantitative analysis results 12 weeks post-injection demonstrated that probing depth,gingival recession, attachment loss and alveolar bone regeneration values were(3.72 ± 1.18) mm vs.(6.56 ± 1.47) mm,(1.67 ± 0.59)mm vs.(2.38 ± 0.61) mm,(5.56 ± 1.29) mm vs.(8.61 ± 1.72) mm, and(25.65 ± 5.13) mm3 vs.(9.48 ± 1.78) mm3 in the icariin group and0.9% NaCl group, respectively. The clinical assessment, CT scan, and histopathology results demonstrated significant enhancement of periodontal tissue regeneration in the icariin group compared to the 0.9% NaCl group. The ELISA results suggested that the concentration of interleukin-1 beta(IL-1β) in the icariin group was downregulated compared to the 0.9% NaCl group, which indicates that local injection of icariin relieved local inflammation in a minipig model of periodontitis. Local injection of icariin promoted periodontal tissue regeneration and exerted anti-inflammatory and immunomodulatory function. These results support the application of icariin for the clinical treatment of periodontitis.

THE VOID-SIZE EFFECT ON PLASTIC FLOW LOCALIZATION IN THE GURSON MODEL

Recent studies have shown that the size of microvoids has a significant effect on the void growth rate.The purpose of this paper is to explore whether the void size effect can influence the plastic flow localization in ductile materials.We have used the extended Gurson's dilatational plasticity theory,which accounts for the void size effect,to study the plastic flow localization in porous solids with long cylindrical voids.The localization model of Rice is adopted,in which the material inside the band may display a different response from that outside the band at the incipient plastic flow localization.The present study shows that it has little effect on the shear band angle.

Effects of constitutive parameters on adiabatic shear localization for ductile metal based on JOHNSON-COOK and gradient plasticity models

By using the widely used JOHNSON-COOK model and the gradient-dependent plasticity to consider microstructural effect beyond the occurrence of shear strain localization,the distributions of local plastic shear strain and deformation in adiabatic shear band(ASB)were analyzed.The peak local plastic shear strain is proportional to the average plastic shear strain,while it is inversely proportional to the critical plastic shear strain corresponding to the peak flow shear stress.The relative plastic shear deformation between the top and base of ASB depends on the thickness of ASB and the average plastic shear strain.A parametric study was carried out to study the influence of constitutive parameters on shear strain localization.Higher values of static shear strength and work to heat conversion factor lead to lower critical plastic shear strain so that the shear localization is more apparent at the same average plastic shear strain.Higher values of strain-hardening exponent,strain rate sensitive coefficient,melting point,thermal capacity and mass density result in higher critical plastic shear strain,leading to less apparent shear localization at the same average plastic shear strain.The strain rate sensitive coefficient has a minor influence on the critical plastic shear strain,the distributions of local plastic shear strain and deformation in ASB.The effect of strain-hardening modulus on the critical plastic shear strain is not monotonous.When the maximum critical plastic shear strain is reached,the least apparent shear localization occurs.

IAP General Circulation Models: A First Step Towards Developing a Local Area Model for Weather Prediction in Nigeria

In an earlier study, the Atmospheric Models Intercomparison Program (AMIP) simulations of African climate using the nine-layer gridpoint atmospheric general circulation model were found to be closely related to the observed European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecast (ECMWF) temperature data at 500 and 850 hPa. This paper presents the analysis of the simulation of African climate using the Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System Model (IAP/LASG GOALS) and the nine-layer spectral general circulation model rhomboidally truncated at zonal wave number 15 (L9R15) developed at the Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP), Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing. Both model simulations were not significantly different from the National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Reanalysis monthly mean data for 1980-1995 in the case of surface air temperature, sea level pressure and precipitation, with the GOALS reproducing the seasonal mean climate over Africa better. The implications of the encouraging results in developing a local area model for Nigeria have been discussed. The great role of topography in the developing of general circulation models for numerical modelling of weather and climate has been stressed.

Physical Modeling of Localized Scour for the Yangtze Estuary Waterway Improvement Project,Phase Ⅰ

In order to examine the effectiveness of engineering protection against localized scour in front of the south groin-group of the Yangtze Estuary Waterway Improvement Project, Phase I , an undistort-ed physical model on a geometric scale of 1:250 is built in this study, covering two groins and their adacent estuarine areas. By use of rinsing fix-bed model as well as localized mobile-bed model, the experiment is undertaken under bi-directional steady flow. According to the experimental results, waterway dredging leads to the increase in steram velocity, the increase being larger during the ebb than during the flood. Construction of the upstream groin has some influence on the flow patterns near the downstream groin. Localized scour in front of the groin-heads is controlled mainly by ebb flow. In the case of a riverbed composed entirely of silt, the depths of localized scour in front of the two groin- heads are 27 m and 29 m, respectively. In reality, the underneath sediment of the prototype riverbed is clay whose threshold velocity is much higher than the stream velocity in the Yangtze Estuary; therefore, the depths of localized scour will not be much larger than the thickness of the silt layer, i. e. 7.4 m and 4.7 m, respectively. The designed aprons covering the riverbed in fron of the groin-heads are very effective in scour control. Aprons of slightly smaller size can also fulfill the task of protection, but the area of localized scour increases significantly.

Prediction of the Local Scour at the Bridge Square Pier Using a 3D Numerical Model

In this paper, the problem on local scour around a single square pier was studied by using both the numerical and physical models. The numerical model for the study is FSUM based on a finite-difference method to solve the Reynolds averaged Navier-Stokes equations (RANS) and the equations for suspended sediment concentration and bed morphology. The computed result was verified through data measured in the experimental flume with a sand bed. In general, the typical features of local scour around the pier were successfully simulated by FSUM, such as stream flow, bow flow, down flow, horseshoe vortex. The comparison between the computation and experiment data shows a quite good fitness. Both numerical model and experiment results show that the maximum scour depth occurs at two front edges of the pier. Although the computed result shows a little bigger scour depth in comparison with the measurement in the physical model, it still confirms the reliability of numerical model in some measure.

Solution of rate constants in pharmacokinetics local model of nuclear medicine

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