将Holland风场与ERA5风场相结合,通过引入一个随风速半径变化的权重系数,构建了混合风场,进而利用MIKE21 SW建立了浙江海域台风浪模型。使用Holland风场、ERA5风场、混合风场作为输入风场模拟1918号台风“米娜”期间的风速和有效波高,...将Holland风场与ERA5风场相结合,通过引入一个随风速半径变化的权重系数,构建了混合风场,进而利用MIKE21 SW建立了浙江海域台风浪模型。使用Holland风场、ERA5风场、混合风场作为输入风场模拟1918号台风“米娜”期间的风速和有效波高,验证结果说明Holland风场和ERA5风场均无法准确反映真实风场和有效波高,而本文构建的混合风场弥补了两种风场的不足。为验证混合风场在浙江海域是否具有普适性,选取近5年影响浙江海域最为严重的5个典型台风进行台风浪数值模拟实验,并开展误差统计分析。结果表明:Holland风场在台风中心周围的风速模拟表现较好,最大风速的平均相对误差为8.62%~10.19%,但10 m s以下风速的平均相对误差较大,为29.76%~44.29%;ERA5风场在台风中心周围的风速偏小,最大风速的平均相对误差为17.64%~25.77%,但10 m s以下风速的平均相对误差比Holland风场小,为19.64%~32.00%。对5个台风的模拟中,由Holland风场、ERA5风场和混合风场驱动得到的台风浪有效波高平均相对误差的平均值分别为29.92%、25.62%和22.82%,均方根误差的平均值分别为0.46 m、0.42 m和0.39 m,一致性指数分别为0.94、0.95和0.96。上述结果说明本文构建的混合风场在浙江海域具有普适性,能够提高台风浪的模拟准确度。展开更多
Marmara Sea, located between Black Sea and Aegean Sea, is an important sea for ocean engineering activities. In this study, wave power potential of Marmara Sea was investigated using the third generation spectral wind...Marmara Sea, located between Black Sea and Aegean Sea, is an important sea for ocean engineering activities. In this study, wave power potential of Marmara Sea was investigated using the third generation spectral wind-wave model MIKE 21 SW with unstructured mesh. Wind data was obtained from ECMWF ERA-Interim re-analyses wind dataset at 10 m with a spatial resolution of 0.1? for the period of 1994 to 2014. The numerical model was calibrated with measured wave data from a buoy station located in Marmara Sea. Mesh optimization was also performed to obtain the most suitable mesh structure for the study area. This study is the first that dealt with the determination of wave energy potential of Marmara Sea. The numerical model results are presented in terms of monthly, seasonal and annual average of wave power flux(k W m^(-1)). The maximum wave power flux is 1.13 kW m^(-1) and occurs in November. The overall annual mean wave power flux during 1994–2014 is found to be 0.27 kW m^(-1) in the offshore regions.展开更多
文摘将Holland风场与ERA5风场相结合,通过引入一个随风速半径变化的权重系数,构建了混合风场,进而利用MIKE21 SW建立了浙江海域台风浪模型。使用Holland风场、ERA5风场、混合风场作为输入风场模拟1918号台风“米娜”期间的风速和有效波高,验证结果说明Holland风场和ERA5风场均无法准确反映真实风场和有效波高,而本文构建的混合风场弥补了两种风场的不足。为验证混合风场在浙江海域是否具有普适性,选取近5年影响浙江海域最为严重的5个典型台风进行台风浪数值模拟实验,并开展误差统计分析。结果表明:Holland风场在台风中心周围的风速模拟表现较好,最大风速的平均相对误差为8.62%~10.19%,但10 m s以下风速的平均相对误差较大,为29.76%~44.29%;ERA5风场在台风中心周围的风速偏小,最大风速的平均相对误差为17.64%~25.77%,但10 m s以下风速的平均相对误差比Holland风场小,为19.64%~32.00%。对5个台风的模拟中,由Holland风场、ERA5风场和混合风场驱动得到的台风浪有效波高平均相对误差的平均值分别为29.92%、25.62%和22.82%,均方根误差的平均值分别为0.46 m、0.42 m和0.39 m,一致性指数分别为0.94、0.95和0.96。上述结果说明本文构建的混合风场在浙江海域具有普适性,能够提高台风浪的模拟准确度。
基金funded by TüBITAK(The Scientific and Technological Research Council of Turkey)(No.112M413)
文摘Marmara Sea, located between Black Sea and Aegean Sea, is an important sea for ocean engineering activities. In this study, wave power potential of Marmara Sea was investigated using the third generation spectral wind-wave model MIKE 21 SW with unstructured mesh. Wind data was obtained from ECMWF ERA-Interim re-analyses wind dataset at 10 m with a spatial resolution of 0.1? for the period of 1994 to 2014. The numerical model was calibrated with measured wave data from a buoy station located in Marmara Sea. Mesh optimization was also performed to obtain the most suitable mesh structure for the study area. This study is the first that dealt with the determination of wave energy potential of Marmara Sea. The numerical model results are presented in terms of monthly, seasonal and annual average of wave power flux(k W m^(-1)). The maximum wave power flux is 1.13 kW m^(-1) and occurs in November. The overall annual mean wave power flux during 1994–2014 is found to be 0.27 kW m^(-1) in the offshore regions.