This paper constructs a structural dynamic equilibrium model based on a dual market system,which includes China’s residential housing market and the property rental market in China’s first-tier urban cities.The pape...This paper constructs a structural dynamic equilibrium model based on a dual market system,which includes China’s residential housing market and the property rental market in China’s first-tier urban cities.The paper analyzes dual-market general equilibria under different scenarios as perceived since 200.An open-economy Gordon growth model is also introduced to examine fair housing prices based on the assumption of no arbitrage.Empirical results indicate significant(but time-varying)price deviations from the equilibrium level since2005 which are mostly driven by contingent demand and property investors.The paper concludes that the contingent purchasing demand supports China’s recent residential price hike and that speculation does not dominate the price boom.The recent quota policy has a theoretical downward pressure on the housing price in the short run but it also lifts property rents dramatically in the middle and long run.展开更多
As power to gas(P2 G) technology gradually matures, the coupling between electricity networks and natural gas networks should ideally evolve synergistically.With the intent of characterizing market behaviors of integr...As power to gas(P2 G) technology gradually matures, the coupling between electricity networks and natural gas networks should ideally evolve synergistically.With the intent of characterizing market behaviors of integrated electric power and natural gas networks(IPGNs)with P2 G facilities, this paper establishes a steady-state model of P2 G and constructs optimal dispatch models of an electricity network and a natural gas network separately. In addition, a concept of slack energy flow(SEF) is proposed as a tool for coordinated optimal dispatch between the two networks. To study how the market pricing mechanism affects coordinated optimal dispatch in an IPGN, a market equilibrium-solving model for an IPGN is constructed according to game theory, with a solution based on the Nikaido-Isoda function. Case studies are conducted on a joint model that combines the modified IEEE 118-node electricity network and the Belgian 20-node gas network.The results show that if the game between an electric power company and a natural gas company reaches market equilibrium, not only can both companies maximize their profits, but also the coordinated operation of the coupling units, i.e., gas turbines and P2 G facilities, will contribute more to renewable energy utilization and carbon emission reduction.展开更多
For the capital market satisfying standard assumptions that are widely adopted in the equilibrium analysis,a necessary and sufficient condition for the existence and uniqueness of a nonnegative equilibrium price vecto...For the capital market satisfying standard assumptions that are widely adopted in the equilibrium analysis,a necessary and sufficient condition for the existence and uniqueness of a nonnegative equilibrium price vector that clears the mean-variance capital market with short sale allowed is derived.Moreover,the given explicit formula for the equilibrium price shows clearly the relationship between prices of assets and statistical properties of the rate of return on assets,the desired rates of return of individual investors as well as other economic quantities.The economic implication of the derived condition is briefly discussed.These results improve the available results about the equilibrium analysis of the mean-variance market.展开更多
This paper deals with an extension of the one-period model in non-life insurance markets (cf. [1]) by using a transition probability matrix depending on some economic factors. We introduce a multi-period model and in ...This paper deals with an extension of the one-period model in non-life insurance markets (cf. [1]) by using a transition probability matrix depending on some economic factors. We introduce a multi-period model and in each period the solvency constraints will be updated. Moreover, the model has the inactive state including some uninsured population. Similar results on the existence of premium equilibrium and sensitivity analysis for this model are presented and illustrated by numerical results.展开更多
This paper examines the existence of general equilibrium in a discrete time economy with the infinite horizon incomplete markets.There is a single good at each node in the event tree.The existence of general equilibri...This paper examines the existence of general equilibrium in a discrete time economy with the infinite horizon incomplete markets.There is a single good at each node in the event tree.The existence of general equilibrium for the infinite horizon economy is proved by taking limit of equilibria in truncated economies in which trade stops at a sequence of dates.展开更多
The establishment of a global multi-regional carbon market is considered to be a cost effective approach to facilitate global emission abatement and has been widely concerned.The ongoing planned linkage between the Eu...The establishment of a global multi-regional carbon market is considered to be a cost effective approach to facilitate global emission abatement and has been widely concerned.The ongoing planned linkage between the European Union's carbon market and a new emission trading system in Australia in 2015 would be an important attempt to the practice of building up an international carbon market across different regions.To understand the abatement effect of such a global carbon market and to study its energy and economic impact on different market participants,this article adopts a global dynamic computable general equilibrium model with a detailed representation of the interactions between energy and economic systems.Our model includes 20 economic sectors and 19 regions,and describes in detail 17 energy technologies.Bundled with fossil fuel consumptions,the emission permits are considered to be essential inputs in each of the production and consumption activities in the economic system to simulate global carbon market policies.Carbon emission permits are endogenously set in the model,and can be traded between sectors and regions.Considering the current development of the global carbon market,this study takes 2020 as the study period.Four scenarios(reference scenario,independent carbon market scenario,Europe Union(EUh-Australia scenario,and China-EU-Australia scenario) are designed to evaluate the impact of the global carbon market involving China,the EU,and Australia.We find that the carbon price in the three countries varies a lot,from $32/tCO_2 in Australia,to $17.5/tCO_2 in the EU,and to $10/tCO_2 in China.Though the relative emission reduction(3%) in China is lower than that in the EU(9%) and Australia(18%),the absolute emission reduction in China is far greater than that in the EU and Australia.When China is included in the carbon market,which already includes the EU and Australia,the prevailing global carbon price falls from $22 per ton carbon dioxide(CO_2) to $12/tCO_2,due to the relatively lower abatement cost in China.Seventy-one percent of the EU's and eighty-one percent of Australia's domestic reduction burden would be transferred to China,increasing 0.03%of the EU's and 0.06%of Australia's welfare.The emission constraint improves the energy efficiency of China's industry sector by 1.4%,reduces coal consumption by3.3%,and increases clean energy by 3.5%.展开更多
In order to accurately simulate the game behaviors of the market participants with bounded rationality, a new dynamic Cournot game model of power market considering the constraints of transmission network is proposed ...In order to accurately simulate the game behaviors of the market participants with bounded rationality, a new dynamic Cournot game model of power market considering the constraints of transmission network is proposed in this paper. The model is represented by a discrete differential equations embedded with the maximization problem of the social benefit of market. The Nash equilibrium and its stability in a duopoly game are quantitatively analyzed. It is found that there are different Nash equilibriums with different market parameters corresponding to different operating conditions of power network, i.e., congestion and non-congestion, and even in some cases there is not Nash equilibrium at all. The market dynamic behaviors are numerically simulated, in which the periodic or chaotic behaviors are focused when the market parameters are beyond the stability region of Nash equilibrium.展开更多
基金supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universitiesthe Research Funds of Renmin University of China(No.13XNJ002)
文摘This paper constructs a structural dynamic equilibrium model based on a dual market system,which includes China’s residential housing market and the property rental market in China’s first-tier urban cities.The paper analyzes dual-market general equilibria under different scenarios as perceived since 200.An open-economy Gordon growth model is also introduced to examine fair housing prices based on the assumption of no arbitrage.Empirical results indicate significant(but time-varying)price deviations from the equilibrium level since2005 which are mostly driven by contingent demand and property investors.The paper concludes that the contingent purchasing demand supports China’s recent residential price hike and that speculation does not dominate the price boom.The recent quota policy has a theoretical downward pressure on the housing price in the short run but it also lifts property rents dramatically in the middle and long run.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51377060)the Major Consulting Program of Chinese Academy of Engineering(No.2015-ZD-09-09)
文摘As power to gas(P2 G) technology gradually matures, the coupling between electricity networks and natural gas networks should ideally evolve synergistically.With the intent of characterizing market behaviors of integrated electric power and natural gas networks(IPGNs)with P2 G facilities, this paper establishes a steady-state model of P2 G and constructs optimal dispatch models of an electricity network and a natural gas network separately. In addition, a concept of slack energy flow(SEF) is proposed as a tool for coordinated optimal dispatch between the two networks. To study how the market pricing mechanism affects coordinated optimal dispatch in an IPGN, a market equilibrium-solving model for an IPGN is constructed according to game theory, with a solution based on the Nikaido-Isoda function. Case studies are conducted on a joint model that combines the modified IEEE 118-node electricity network and the Belgian 20-node gas network.The results show that if the game between an electric power company and a natural gas company reaches market equilibrium, not only can both companies maximize their profits, but also the coordinated operation of the coupling units, i.e., gas turbines and P2 G facilities, will contribute more to renewable energy utilization and carbon emission reduction.
基金the Natural Science Foundation of Shaanxi Province(2 0 0 1 SL0 9)
文摘For the capital market satisfying standard assumptions that are widely adopted in the equilibrium analysis,a necessary and sufficient condition for the existence and uniqueness of a nonnegative equilibrium price vector that clears the mean-variance capital market with short sale allowed is derived.Moreover,the given explicit formula for the equilibrium price shows clearly the relationship between prices of assets and statistical properties of the rate of return on assets,the desired rates of return of individual investors as well as other economic quantities.The economic implication of the derived condition is briefly discussed.These results improve the available results about the equilibrium analysis of the mean-variance market.
文摘This paper deals with an extension of the one-period model in non-life insurance markets (cf. [1]) by using a transition probability matrix depending on some economic factors. We introduce a multi-period model and in each period the solvency constraints will be updated. Moreover, the model has the inactive state including some uninsured population. Similar results on the existence of premium equilibrium and sensitivity analysis for this model are presented and illustrated by numerical results.
基金This research was supported by a project of Financial MathematicsFinancial Engineering and Finan-cial Managementwhich is o
文摘This paper examines the existence of general equilibrium in a discrete time economy with the infinite horizon incomplete markets.There is a single good at each node in the event tree.The existence of general equilibrium for the infinite horizon economy is proved by taking limit of equilibria in truncated economies in which trade stops at a sequence of dates.
文摘The establishment of a global multi-regional carbon market is considered to be a cost effective approach to facilitate global emission abatement and has been widely concerned.The ongoing planned linkage between the European Union's carbon market and a new emission trading system in Australia in 2015 would be an important attempt to the practice of building up an international carbon market across different regions.To understand the abatement effect of such a global carbon market and to study its energy and economic impact on different market participants,this article adopts a global dynamic computable general equilibrium model with a detailed representation of the interactions between energy and economic systems.Our model includes 20 economic sectors and 19 regions,and describes in detail 17 energy technologies.Bundled with fossil fuel consumptions,the emission permits are considered to be essential inputs in each of the production and consumption activities in the economic system to simulate global carbon market policies.Carbon emission permits are endogenously set in the model,and can be traded between sectors and regions.Considering the current development of the global carbon market,this study takes 2020 as the study period.Four scenarios(reference scenario,independent carbon market scenario,Europe Union(EUh-Australia scenario,and China-EU-Australia scenario) are designed to evaluate the impact of the global carbon market involving China,the EU,and Australia.We find that the carbon price in the three countries varies a lot,from $32/tCO_2 in Australia,to $17.5/tCO_2 in the EU,and to $10/tCO_2 in China.Though the relative emission reduction(3%) in China is lower than that in the EU(9%) and Australia(18%),the absolute emission reduction in China is far greater than that in the EU and Australia.When China is included in the carbon market,which already includes the EU and Australia,the prevailing global carbon price falls from $22 per ton carbon dioxide(CO_2) to $12/tCO_2,due to the relatively lower abatement cost in China.Seventy-one percent of the EU's and eighty-one percent of Australia's domestic reduction burden would be transferred to China,increasing 0.03%of the EU's and 0.06%of Australia's welfare.The emission constraint improves the energy efficiency of China's industry sector by 1.4%,reduces coal consumption by3.3%,and increases clean energy by 3.5%.
文摘In order to accurately simulate the game behaviors of the market participants with bounded rationality, a new dynamic Cournot game model of power market considering the constraints of transmission network is proposed in this paper. The model is represented by a discrete differential equations embedded with the maximization problem of the social benefit of market. The Nash equilibrium and its stability in a duopoly game are quantitatively analyzed. It is found that there are different Nash equilibriums with different market parameters corresponding to different operating conditions of power network, i.e., congestion and non-congestion, and even in some cases there is not Nash equilibrium at all. The market dynamic behaviors are numerically simulated, in which the periodic or chaotic behaviors are focused when the market parameters are beyond the stability region of Nash equilibrium.
