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Spatial analysis of Dengue through the reproduction numbers relating to socioeconomic features:Case studies on two Brazilian urban centers
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作者 Ana T.C.Silva Rejane C.Dorn +3 位作者 Lívia R.Tomás Leonardo B.L.Santos Lacita M.Skalinski Suani T.R.Pinho 《Infectious Disease Modelling》 CSCD 2024年第1期142-157,共16页
The study of the propagation of infectious diseases in urban centers finds a close connection with their population's social characteristics and behavior.This work performs a spatial analysis of dengue cases in ur... The study of the propagation of infectious diseases in urban centers finds a close connection with their population's social characteristics and behavior.This work performs a spatial analysis of dengue cases in urban centers based on the basic reproduction numbers,R0,and incidence by planning areas(PAs),as well as their correlations with the Human Development Index(HDI)and the number of trips.We analyzed dengue epidemics in 2002 at two Brazilian urban centers,Belo Horizonte(BH)and Rio de Janeiro(RJ),using PAs as spatial units.Our results reveal heterogeneous spatial scenarios for both cities,with very weak correlations between R0 and both the number of trips and the HDI;in BH,the values of R0 show a less spatial heterogeneous pattern than in RJ.For BH,there are moderate correlations between incidence and both the number of trips and the HDI;meanwhile,they weakly correlate for RJ.Finally,the absence of strong correlations between the considered measures indicates that the transmission process should be treated considering the city as a whole. 展开更多
关键词 DENGUE Mathematical mode lBasic reproduction number Urban mobility Urban indices
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Transmission models of tuberculosis in heterogeneous population 被引量:2
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作者 JIA Zhong-wei LI Xiao-wen +1 位作者 FENG Dan CAO Wu-chun 《Chinese Medical Journal》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2007年第15期1360-1365,共6页
Objective To review the transmission models of tuberculosis in heterogeneous population. Data sources The data used in this review were adopted mainly from the studies of models of tuberculosis reported from 1995 to 2... Objective To review the transmission models of tuberculosis in heterogeneous population. Data sources The data used in this review were adopted mainly from the studies of models of tuberculosis reported from 1995 to 2006. Study selection Relevant literature on transmission models of tuberculosis in heterogeneous populations are referenced. Results Casual/random factors and genetic factors are the main reasons for epidemics of tuberculosis in recent years. Mass public transport is playing the primary role in casually close contact which can facilitate the transmission of tuberculosis. Genetic susceptibility not only varies endemic prevalence levels, but also drastically alters the effects of treatment for tuberculosis patients. Detailed studies further exhibit that casual contact and genetic factor are responsible for over 30%-40% of the total new cases in recent years. The prevalence of tuberculosis could double (from 33% to 60%) if a genetically susceptible phenotype is present in only 30% of the population. And some challenges have emerged along with these exciting results. Conclusions Casual/random contact, public transport and genetic susceptibility are responsible for most new tuberculosis cases and a wide variation in endemic tuberculosis levels between regions. Hence, the transmission model of tuberculosis in a heterogeneous population can provide more clues to underlying mechanism of tuberculosis transmission than in a homogeneous population. However, many challenges remain for us in understanding transmission of disease. 展开更多
关键词 TUBERCULOSIS TRANSMISSION basic reproductive number mathematical mode HETEROGENEOUS
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Development and Application of Thermal Mathematical Model of Iron Ore Pellet Bed in Grate
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作者 冯俊小 梁凯丽 +3 位作者 张才 徐景海 张永明 杨金宝 《Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong university(Science)》 EI 2011年第3期312-315,共4页
Based on the analysis of heat transfer mechanics,physical and chemical change of pellet drying and preheating process in grate,the mathematical model is established and solved by three-diagonal matrix algorithm. With ... Based on the analysis of heat transfer mechanics,physical and chemical change of pellet drying and preheating process in grate,the mathematical model is established and solved by three-diagonal matrix algorithm. With Visual Basic 6.0 a simulation software is developed.The model is verified by measurements at a domestic pellet plant,and the temperature distribution of pellet bed is gained.Meanwhile,the influence of different operation parameters on the pellet thermal process is studied.The results can be taken as a basis of practical production control and the grate optimizing design. 展开更多
关键词 iron ore pellet GRATE thermal process mathematical mode SIMULATION
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