The problems in equipment fault detection include data dimension explosion,computational complexity,low detection accuracy,etc.To solve these problems,a device anomaly detection algorithm based on enhanced long short-...The problems in equipment fault detection include data dimension explosion,computational complexity,low detection accuracy,etc.To solve these problems,a device anomaly detection algorithm based on enhanced long short-term memory(LSTM)is proposed.The algorithm first reduces the dimensionality of the device sensor data by principal component analysis(PCA),extracts the strongly correlated variable data among the multidimensional sensor data with the lowest possible information loss,and then uses the enhanced stacked LSTM to predict the extracted temporal data,thus improving the accuracy of anomaly detection.To improve the efficiency of the anomaly detection,a genetic algorithm(GA)is used to adjust the magnitude of the enhancements made by the LSTM model.The validation of the actual data from the pumps shows that the algorithm has significantly improved the recall rate and the detection speed of device anomaly detection,with the recall rate of 97.07%,which indicates that the algorithm is effective and efficient for device anomaly detection in the actual production environment.展开更多
The diurnal variation of the geomagnetic vertical component is exhibited mainly by changes of phase and amplitude before strong earthquakes. Based on data recorded by the network of geomagnetic observatories in China ...The diurnal variation of the geomagnetic vertical component is exhibited mainly by changes of phase and amplitude before strong earthquakes. Based on data recorded by the network of geomagnetic observatories in China for many years, the anomalous features of the appearance time of the minima of diurnal variations (i.e, low-point time) of the geo- magnetic vertical components and the variation of their spatial distribution (i.e, phenomena of low-point displacement) have been studied before the Wenchuan Ms8.0 earthquake. The strong aftershocks after two months' quiescence of M6 aftershocks of the Ms8.0 event were forecasted based on these studies. There are good correlativities between these geomagnetic anoma- lies and occurrences of earthquakes. It has been found that most earthquakes occur near the boundary line of sudden changes of the low-point time and generally within four days before or after the 27th or 41st day counting from the day of the appearance of the anomaly. In addition, the imminent anomalies in diurnal-variation amplitudes near the epicentral areas have also been studied before the Wenchuan earthquake.展开更多
Snow cover on the Tibetan Plateau(TP) has been shown to be essential for the East Asian summer monsoon.In this paper, we demonstrate that tropical cyclone(TC) 04B(1999) in the northern Indian Ocean, which made landfal...Snow cover on the Tibetan Plateau(TP) has been shown to be essential for the East Asian summer monsoon.In this paper, we demonstrate that tropical cyclone(TC) 04B(1999) in the northern Indian Ocean, which made landfall during the autumn of 1999, may have contributed to climate anomalies over East Asia during the following spring and summer by increasing snow cover on the TP. Observations indicate that snow cover on the TP increased markedly after TC 04B(1999) made landfall in October of 1999. Sensitivity experiments, in which the TC was removed from a numerical model simulation of the initial field, verified that TC 04B(1999) affected the distribution as well as increased the amount of snow on the TP. In addition, the short-term numerical modeling of the climate over the region showed that the positive snow cover anomaly induced negative surface temperature, negative sensible heat flux, positive latent heat flux, and positive soil temperature anomalies over the central and southern TP during the following spring and summer. These climate anomalies over the TP were associated with positive(negative) summer precipitation anomalies over the Yangtze River valley(along the southeastern coast of China).展开更多
Due to the influence of terrain structure,meteorological conditions and various factors,there are anomalous data in automatic dependent surveillance-broadcast(ADS-B)message.The ADS-B equipment can be used for position...Due to the influence of terrain structure,meteorological conditions and various factors,there are anomalous data in automatic dependent surveillance-broadcast(ADS-B)message.The ADS-B equipment can be used for positioning of general aviation aircraft.Aim to acquire the accurate position information of aircraft and detect anomaly data,the ADS-B anomaly data detection model based on deep learning and difference of Gaussian(DoG)approach is proposed.First,according to the characteristic of ADS-B data,the ADS-B position data are transformed into the coordinate system.And the origin of the coordinate system is set up as the take-off point.Then,based on the kinematic principle,the ADS-B anomaly data can be removed.Moreover,the details of the ADS-B position data can be got by the DoG approach.Finally,the long short-term memory(LSTM)neural network is used to optimize the recurrent neural network(RNN)with severe gradient reduction for processing ADS-B data.The position data of ADS-B are reconstructed by the sequence to sequence(seq2seq)model which is composed of LSTM neural network,and the reconstruction error is used to detect the anomalous data.Based on the real flight data of general aviation aircraft,the simulation results show that the anomaly data can be detected effectively by the proposed method of reconstructing ADS-B data with the seq2seq model,and its running time is reduced.Compared with the RNN,the accuracy of anomaly detection is increased by 2.7%.The performance of the proposed model is better than that of the traditional anomaly detection models.展开更多
Based on the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis dataset and in situ meteorological observations of daily precipitation in boreal summer from 1979 to 2008, the features of circulation anomalies have been investigated using the compo...Based on the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis dataset and in situ meteorological observations of daily precipitation in boreal summer from 1979 to 2008, the features of circulation anomalies have been investigated using the composite analysis for the extreme events and non-extreme events of regional mean daily rainfall(RMDR) occurring over the midand lower- Yangtze valley(MLYV). The extreme RMDR(ERMDR) events are the events at and above the percentile99 in the rearranged time-series of the RMDR with ascending order of rainfall amount. The non-extreme RMDR events are those at the percentiles 90-85 and 80-75 separately. Our results suggest that the threshold value is 25 mm/day for the ERMDR at percentile 99. Precipitation at all the percentiles is found to occur more frequently in the Meiyu rainfall season in MLYV, and the ERMDR events have occurred with higher frequency since the 1990 s. For the percentiles-associated events, the MLYV is under the control of an anomalous cyclonic circulation in the mid- and lower- troposphere with vastly different anomalous circulation at higher levels. However, at both low and high levels, the ERMDR events-related anomalous circulation is stronger compared to that linked to the non-ERMDR events. The dominant sources of water vapor differ between the ERMDR and non-ERMDR events. During the ERMDR events plentiful water vapor is transported from the Bay of Bengal into the MLYV directly by divergence while there is distinctly increased water vapor from the South China Sea(SCS) in non-RMERMDR episodes. The diabatic heating rates < Q1>, < Q2> and< Q1>- < Q2> have their anomalous patterns and are consistent with each other for these percentiles but their strength decreases markedly with the drop of rainfall intensity. For the precipitation at percentiles 99 and 90-85, the sea surface temperature anomalies(SSTA) in the Pacific distribute positively(negatively) in the south(north), and are stronger when the ERMDR emerges, with little or no SSTA as the events at percentile 80-75 occur. Besides, these results suggest that the genesis of the ERMDR event is directly related to intense local circulation anomalies and the circulation anomalies over the Pacific and SCS in tropical to mid-latitudes, and probably linked with the Pacific SSTA closely while the non-ERMDR events are mainly associated with the anomalous circulation on a local basis. The findings here help understand and predict the happening of ERMDR events over the MLYV.展开更多
The timely and accurately detection of abnormal aircraft trajectory is critical to improving flight safety.However,the existing anomaly detection methods based on machine learning cannot well characterize the features...The timely and accurately detection of abnormal aircraft trajectory is critical to improving flight safety.However,the existing anomaly detection methods based on machine learning cannot well characterize the features of aircraft trajectories.Low anomaly detection accuracy still exists due to the high-dimensionality,heterogeneity and temporality of flight trajectory data.To this end,this paper proposes an abnormal trajectory detection method based on the deep mixture density network(DMDN)to detect flights with unusual data patterns and evaluate flight trajectory safety.The technique consists of two components:Utilization of the deep long short-term memory(LSTM)network to encode features of flight trajectories effectively,and parameterization of the statistical properties of flight trajectory using the Gaussian mixture model(GMM).Experiment results on Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport terminal airspace show that the proposed method can effectively capture the statistical patterns of aircraft trajectories.The model can detect abnormal flights with elevated risks and its performance is superior to two mainstream methods.The proposed model can be used as an assistant decision-making tool for air traffic controllers.展开更多
Nowadays,the fifth-generation(5G)mobile communication system has obtained prosperous development and deployment,reshaping our daily lives.However,anomalies of cell outages and congestion in 5G critically influence the...Nowadays,the fifth-generation(5G)mobile communication system has obtained prosperous development and deployment,reshaping our daily lives.However,anomalies of cell outages and congestion in 5G critically influence the quality of experience and significantly increase operational expenditures.Although several big data and artificial intelligencebased anomaly detection methods have been proposed for wireless cellular systems,they change distributions of the data and ignore the relevance among user activities,causing anomaly detection ineffective for some cells.In this paper,we propose a highly effective and accurate anomaly detection framework by utilizing generative adversarial networks(GAN)and long short-term memory(LSTM)neural networks.The framework expands the original dataset while simultaneously keeping the distribution of data unchanged,and explores the relevance among user activities to further improve the system performance.The results demonstrate that our framework can achieve 97.16%accuracy and 2.30%false positive rate by utilizing the correlation of user activities and data expansion.展开更多
Three methods of extracting the information of anomalies of a precursory group are put forward, i.e., the mathematical analyses of the synthetic information of earthquake precursors (S), the inhomogeneous degree of pr...Three methods of extracting the information of anomalies of a precursory group are put forward, i.e., the mathematical analyses of the synthetic information of earthquake precursors (S), the inhomogeneous degree of precursory groups (ID) and the values of short-term and impending anomaly in near-source area (NS). Using these methods, we calculate the observational data of deformation, underground fluid and hydrochemical constituents obtained from different seismic stations in the Sichuan-Yunnan region and conclude that the synthetic precursory anomalies of a single strong earthquake with M S6.0 differ greatly from those of the grouped strong earthquakes, for the anomalous information of precursory groups are more abundant. The three methods of extracting the synthetic precursory anomaly and the related numerical results can be applied into the practice of prediction to the grouped strong earthquakes in the Sichuan-Yunnan region. Inhomogeneous degree (ID) of synthetic precursory anomaly can be identified automatically because it takes the threshold of distributive characteristics of the anomalies of precursory group as its criterion for anomaly.展开更多
The data of pre-seismic subsurface fluid anomalies of such earthquakes as Datong-YanggaoM_s6.1 event on Oct.19,1989,western Baotou M_s6.4 event on May 3,1996 and Zhangbei-Shangyi M_s6.2 event on Jan.10,1998 are system...The data of pre-seismic subsurface fluid anomalies of such earthquakes as Datong-YanggaoM_s6.1 event on Oct.19,1989,western Baotou M_s6.4 event on May 3,1996 and Zhangbei-Shangyi M_s6.2 event on Jan.10,1998 are systematically collected and arranged.Then thefeatures of patterns,spatial distribution,time variation and time-spatial evolution of theseanomalies are compared and comprehensively analyzed.Then the formation and evolutionmechanism of medium-and short-term anomaly field of subsurface fluids in the northernNorth China area is proposed.The results show that the medium-term anomaly field is causedby regional tectonic activities,which further strengthen the local tectonic activities andpromote the formation and evolution of the seismic source body.The enhancement of loealtectonic activities causes the formation of anomaly field of short-term subsurface fluids,andthe evolution of source body engenders the source-precursor anomalies of subsurface fluids inthe epicenters at imminent stage.展开更多
Based on the extraction and calculation of the short-term seismic precursory information magnitude from the 114 major precursory observations in the North China region, and together with consideration of factors such ...Based on the extraction and calculation of the short-term seismic precursory information magnitude from the 114 major precursory observations in the North China region, and together with consideration of factors such as geological structure, seismicity, crustal thickness, and in particular, the current geodynamics of the region, the authors studied the time-space evolution characteristics of the short-term earthquake precursory information magnitude and its relationship with earthquakes and proposed the index and method for the short-term synthetic prediction of earthquakes with M S≥5.0 in the North China region. The inspection through R-value shows that the method is effective to a certain extent for earthquake prediction.展开更多
The operating conditions of wind turbines(WTs)in the same wind farm(WF)may share similarities due to their shared manufacturing process,control strategy,and operating environment.However,the similarities of WTs are se...The operating conditions of wind turbines(WTs)in the same wind farm(WF)may share similarities due to their shared manufacturing process,control strategy,and operating environment.However,the similarities of WTs are seldom considered in WT anomaly detection,resulting in the disregard of useful information.This paper proposes a method to improve the reliability and accuracy of WT anomaly detection using the supervisory control and data acquisition(SCADA)data of multiple WTs in the same WF.First,a similarity assessment method based on a comparison of different observation time series is proposed,which objectively quantifies the similarities of WT operating conditions.Then,the SCADA data of the target WT and selected WTs that are similar are used to establish several estimation models through a long short-term memory(LSTM)algorithm.LSTM models that exhibit good estimation performance are used to construct a combined estimation model that estimates the variations in the monitored variables of the target WT.Finally,an anomaly detection method that jointly compares the effective value and information entropy of the residuals is proposed to identify anomalies.The effectiveness and accuracy of the proposed method are verified using the data of two actual WFs.展开更多
Although the recent load information is critical to very short-term load forecasting(VSTLF), power companies often have difficulties in collecting the most recent load values accurately and timely for VSTLF applicatio...Although the recent load information is critical to very short-term load forecasting(VSTLF), power companies often have difficulties in collecting the most recent load values accurately and timely for VSTLF applications.This paper tackles the problem of real-time anomaly detection in most recent load information used by VSTLF.This paper proposes a model-based anomaly detection method that consists of two components, a dynamic regression model and an adaptive anomaly threshold. The case study is developed using the data from ISO New England. This paper demonstrates that the proposed method significantly outperforms three other anomaly detection methods including two methods commonly used in the field and one state-of-the-art method used by a winning team of the Global Energy Forecasting Competition 2014. Finally, a general anomaly detection framework is proposed for the future research.展开更多
Ionosphereic foF2 variations are very sensitive to the seismic effect and results of ionospheric perturbations associated with earthquakes seem to very hopeful for short-term earthquake prediction. On January 18,2011 ...Ionosphereic foF2 variations are very sensitive to the seismic effect and results of ionospheric perturbations associated with earthquakes seem to very hopeful for short-term earthquake prediction. On January 18,2011 at 20: 23 UT a great earthquake( M = 7. 2)occurred in Dalbandin( 28. 73° N,63. 92° E),Pakistan. In this study,we have tried to find out the features of pre-earthquake ionospheric anomalies by using the hourly day time( 08. 00 a. m.- 05. 00 p. m.) data of critical frequency( foF2) obtained by three vertical sounding stations installed in Islamabad( 33. 78°N,73. 06°E),Multan( 32. 26°N,71. 51°E) and Karachi( 24. 89° N,67. 02° E), Pakistan. The results show the significant anomalies of foF2 in the earthquake preparation zone several days prior to the Dalbandin earthquake. It is also observed that the amplitude and frequency of foF2 anomalies are more prominent at the nearest station to the epicenter as compared to those stations near the outer margin of the earthquake preparation zone. The confidence level for ionospheric anomalies regarding the seismic signatures can be enhanced by adding the analysis of some other ionospheic parameters along with critical frequency of the layer F2.展开更多
Anomaly detection is crucial to the flight safety and maintenance of unmanned aerial vehicles(UAVs)and has attracted extensive attention from scholars.Knowledge-based approaches rely on prior knowledge,while model-bas...Anomaly detection is crucial to the flight safety and maintenance of unmanned aerial vehicles(UAVs)and has attracted extensive attention from scholars.Knowledge-based approaches rely on prior knowledge,while model-based approaches are challenging for constructing accurate and complex physical models of unmanned aerial systems(UASs).Although data-driven methods do not require extensive prior knowledge and accurate physical UAS models,they often lack parameter selection and are limited by the cost of labeling anomalous data.Furthermore,flight data with random noise pose a significant challenge for anomaly detection.This work proposes a spatiotemporal correlation based on long short-term memory and autoencoder(STCLSTM-AE)neural network data-driven method for unsupervised anomaly detection and recovery of UAV flight data.First,UAV flight data are preprocessed by combining the Savitzky-Golay filter data processing technique to mitigate the effect of noise in the original historical flight data on the model.Correlation-based feature subset selection is subsequently performed to reduce the reliance on expert knowledge.Then,the extracted features are used as the input of the designed LSTM-AE model to achieve the anomaly detection and recovery of UAV flight data in an unsupervised manner.Finally,the method's effectiveness is validated on real UAV flight data.展开更多
We present herein an introduction to the Beijing network of digital geomagnetic pulsation observatories, and describe its essential features, and important roles in earthquake prediction studies and other geomagnetic ...We present herein an introduction to the Beijing network of digital geomagnetic pulsation observatories, and describe its essential features, and important roles in earthquake prediction studies and other geomagnetic investigations. The network provides digitalized data of geomagnetic events, such as magnetic storms, magnetic disturbances, geomagnetic daily variations, and geomagnetic pulsations. The digitalized data, convenient for processing and analysis, contain very rich information because of high accuracy and wide dynamic range of the instruments.展开更多
On 6^th December, 2016, an earthquake with M 6.5 occurred at the tectonic plate boundary, southwest of Sumatra, Indonesia (Latitude: 0.5897°S, Longitude: 101.3431°E). In this case, ionospheric critical frequ...On 6^th December, 2016, an earthquake with M 6.5 occurred at the tectonic plate boundary, southwest of Sumatra, Indonesia (Latitude: 0.5897°S, Longitude: 101.3431°E). In this case, ionospheric critical frequency of F2 layer (foF2) variations and meteorological parameters, viz., air temperature, relative humidity, atmospheric pressure and wind speed variations were investigated so as to detect any anomalies. Data are obtained from different websites freely available for researchers. In the absence of real ionosonde foF2 data, IRI 2016 model data were used. For each parameter, anomaly window were defined when values fell beyond ± 6 ℃,< 70 %,± 4 mb and ± 3.5 km h-1 from the event day value and one third of total foF2 values broke the limits of the upper and lower bounds. Certain random anomalies in temperature, relative humidity, pressure, wind speed and foF2 frequencies were observed different days prior to occurrence of the quake but each parameter showed anomalies 12 days before the occurrence. Also, geomagnetic tranquility was justified through Kp and Dst indices. This study reveals that continuous monitoring of atmospheric meteorological parameters and regular ionospheric foF2 observations might help us to predict an earthquake about a week prior to the occurrence.展开更多
Introduction: Surgical problems are of much disturbance to the world and should therefore be given serious attention. The prevalence of these surgical problems, has made plastic surgery become a broadly relevant and a...Introduction: Surgical problems are of much disturbance to the world and should therefore be given serious attention. The prevalence of these surgical problems, has made plastic surgery become a broadly relevant and acceptable way for addressing problems like injuries, congenital anomalies, surgical infections and malignancies among others. Aim: This study is to quantify and characterize surgical procedures done in the plastic surgery theatre located in the new Accident and Emergency (A & E) Building of KATH. Materials and Methods: Data were obtained from the Operation Register/Theatre Books in the plastic surgery theatre at the A & E Centre on cases operated on from October 1, 2009 to September 30, 2012. Data entry, presentation and analysis were done using Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS) 20.0 version. Results: Adults formed the majority of patients who sought for plastic surgery with a percentage of 70.3%. The male patients also outnumbered the females recording (61.5%) out of the total number of patients. Most of the cases recorded were acquired cases (93.2%). Reconstructive surgery was the commonest operation performed (30%);in 53.8% cases general anaesthesia was used. Conclusion: Among all the procedures used reconstructive surgery was the commonest surgery performed in the unit and general anaesthesia was the most type of anaesthesia used for the operations.展开更多
The water level in a deep well instantly responds to the earth’s tide and atmospheric pressure, and varies accordingly, not only in terms of amplitude but also in the phase lag. Therefore, phase lag correction is use...The water level in a deep well instantly responds to the earth’s tide and atmospheric pressure, and varies accordingly, not only in terms of amplitude but also in the phase lag. Therefore, phase lag correction is used in analyzing digital groundwater observation data in eastern China. Calculation results presented by the authors in this paper show that the correction method is effective in the identification of anomalous changes for short-term seismic precursors. The correction method can also be applied to the processing of observed deformation and tilt data.展开更多
Digital data of precursors is noted for its high accuracy. Therefore, it is important to extract the high frequency information from the low ones in the digital data of precursors and to discriminate between the trend...Digital data of precursors is noted for its high accuracy. Therefore, it is important to extract the high frequency information from the low ones in the digital data of precursors and to discriminate between the trend anomalies and the short-term anomalies. This paper presents a method to separate the high frequency information from the low ones by using the wavelet transform to analyze the digital data of precursors, and illustrates with examples the train of thoughts of discriminating the short-term anomalies from trend anomalies by using the wavelet transform, thus provide a new effective approach for extracting the short-term and trend anomalies from the digital data of precursors.展开更多
基金National Key R&D Program of China(No.2020YFB1707700)。
文摘The problems in equipment fault detection include data dimension explosion,computational complexity,low detection accuracy,etc.To solve these problems,a device anomaly detection algorithm based on enhanced long short-term memory(LSTM)is proposed.The algorithm first reduces the dimensionality of the device sensor data by principal component analysis(PCA),extracts the strongly correlated variable data among the multidimensional sensor data with the lowest possible information loss,and then uses the enhanced stacked LSTM to predict the extracted temporal data,thus improving the accuracy of anomaly detection.To improve the efficiency of the anomaly detection,a genetic algorithm(GA)is used to adjust the magnitude of the enhancements made by the LSTM model.The validation of the actual data from the pumps shows that the algorithm has significantly improved the recall rate and the detection speed of device anomaly detection,with the recall rate of 97.07%,which indicates that the algorithm is effective and efficient for device anomaly detection in the actual production environment.
基金supported by National Key Technologies Research&Development Program of China (Grant No. 2008BAC35B00).
文摘The diurnal variation of the geomagnetic vertical component is exhibited mainly by changes of phase and amplitude before strong earthquakes. Based on data recorded by the network of geomagnetic observatories in China for many years, the anomalous features of the appearance time of the minima of diurnal variations (i.e, low-point time) of the geo- magnetic vertical components and the variation of their spatial distribution (i.e, phenomena of low-point displacement) have been studied before the Wenchuan Ms8.0 earthquake. The strong aftershocks after two months' quiescence of M6 aftershocks of the Ms8.0 event were forecasted based on these studies. There are good correlativities between these geomagnetic anoma- lies and occurrences of earthquakes. It has been found that most earthquakes occur near the boundary line of sudden changes of the low-point time and generally within four days before or after the 27th or 41st day counting from the day of the appearance of the anomaly. In addition, the imminent anomalies in diurnal-variation amplitudes near the epicentral areas have also been studied before the Wenchuan earthquake.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(4127504841461164006+1 种基金9081502891215302)
文摘Snow cover on the Tibetan Plateau(TP) has been shown to be essential for the East Asian summer monsoon.In this paper, we demonstrate that tropical cyclone(TC) 04B(1999) in the northern Indian Ocean, which made landfall during the autumn of 1999, may have contributed to climate anomalies over East Asia during the following spring and summer by increasing snow cover on the TP. Observations indicate that snow cover on the TP increased markedly after TC 04B(1999) made landfall in October of 1999. Sensitivity experiments, in which the TC was removed from a numerical model simulation of the initial field, verified that TC 04B(1999) affected the distribution as well as increased the amount of snow on the TP. In addition, the short-term numerical modeling of the climate over the region showed that the positive snow cover anomaly induced negative surface temperature, negative sensible heat flux, positive latent heat flux, and positive soil temperature anomalies over the central and southern TP during the following spring and summer. These climate anomalies over the TP were associated with positive(negative) summer precipitation anomalies over the Yangtze River valley(along the southeastern coast of China).
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(No.2018AAA0100804)the Talent Project of Revitalization Liaoning(No.XLYC1907022)+5 种基金the Key R&D Projects of Liaoning Province(No.2020JH2/10100045)the Capacity Building of Civil Aviation Safety(No.TMSA1614)the Natural Science Foundation of Liaoning Province(No.2019-MS-251)the Scientific Research Project of Liaoning Provincial Department of Education(Nos.L201705,L201716)the High-Level Innovation Talent Project of Shenyang(No.RC190030)the Second Young and Middle-Aged Talents Support Program of Shenyang Aerospace University.
文摘Due to the influence of terrain structure,meteorological conditions and various factors,there are anomalous data in automatic dependent surveillance-broadcast(ADS-B)message.The ADS-B equipment can be used for positioning of general aviation aircraft.Aim to acquire the accurate position information of aircraft and detect anomaly data,the ADS-B anomaly data detection model based on deep learning and difference of Gaussian(DoG)approach is proposed.First,according to the characteristic of ADS-B data,the ADS-B position data are transformed into the coordinate system.And the origin of the coordinate system is set up as the take-off point.Then,based on the kinematic principle,the ADS-B anomaly data can be removed.Moreover,the details of the ADS-B position data can be got by the DoG approach.Finally,the long short-term memory(LSTM)neural network is used to optimize the recurrent neural network(RNN)with severe gradient reduction for processing ADS-B data.The position data of ADS-B are reconstructed by the sequence to sequence(seq2seq)model which is composed of LSTM neural network,and the reconstruction error is used to detect the anomalous data.Based on the real flight data of general aviation aircraft,the simulation results show that the anomaly data can be detected effectively by the proposed method of reconstructing ADS-B data with the seq2seq model,and its running time is reduced.Compared with the RNN,the accuracy of anomaly detection is increased by 2.7%.The performance of the proposed model is better than that of the traditional anomaly detection models.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(41330425)National Key Technology R&D Program(2007BAC29B02)"Qinglan"Project of Jiangsu Province for Cultivating Research Teams
文摘Based on the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis dataset and in situ meteorological observations of daily precipitation in boreal summer from 1979 to 2008, the features of circulation anomalies have been investigated using the composite analysis for the extreme events and non-extreme events of regional mean daily rainfall(RMDR) occurring over the midand lower- Yangtze valley(MLYV). The extreme RMDR(ERMDR) events are the events at and above the percentile99 in the rearranged time-series of the RMDR with ascending order of rainfall amount. The non-extreme RMDR events are those at the percentiles 90-85 and 80-75 separately. Our results suggest that the threshold value is 25 mm/day for the ERMDR at percentile 99. Precipitation at all the percentiles is found to occur more frequently in the Meiyu rainfall season in MLYV, and the ERMDR events have occurred with higher frequency since the 1990 s. For the percentiles-associated events, the MLYV is under the control of an anomalous cyclonic circulation in the mid- and lower- troposphere with vastly different anomalous circulation at higher levels. However, at both low and high levels, the ERMDR events-related anomalous circulation is stronger compared to that linked to the non-ERMDR events. The dominant sources of water vapor differ between the ERMDR and non-ERMDR events. During the ERMDR events plentiful water vapor is transported from the Bay of Bengal into the MLYV directly by divergence while there is distinctly increased water vapor from the South China Sea(SCS) in non-RMERMDR episodes. The diabatic heating rates < Q1>, < Q2> and< Q1>- < Q2> have their anomalous patterns and are consistent with each other for these percentiles but their strength decreases markedly with the drop of rainfall intensity. For the precipitation at percentiles 99 and 90-85, the sea surface temperature anomalies(SSTA) in the Pacific distribute positively(negatively) in the south(north), and are stronger when the ERMDR emerges, with little or no SSTA as the events at percentile 80-75 occur. Besides, these results suggest that the genesis of the ERMDR event is directly related to intense local circulation anomalies and the circulation anomalies over the Pacific and SCS in tropical to mid-latitudes, and probably linked with the Pacific SSTA closely while the non-ERMDR events are mainly associated with the anomalous circulation on a local basis. The findings here help understand and predict the happening of ERMDR events over the MLYV.
基金supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.62076126,52075031)Postgraduate Research&Practice Innovation Program of Jiangsu Province(No.SJCX19_0013)。
文摘The timely and accurately detection of abnormal aircraft trajectory is critical to improving flight safety.However,the existing anomaly detection methods based on machine learning cannot well characterize the features of aircraft trajectories.Low anomaly detection accuracy still exists due to the high-dimensionality,heterogeneity and temporality of flight trajectory data.To this end,this paper proposes an abnormal trajectory detection method based on the deep mixture density network(DMDN)to detect flights with unusual data patterns and evaluate flight trajectory safety.The technique consists of two components:Utilization of the deep long short-term memory(LSTM)network to encode features of flight trajectories effectively,and parameterization of the statistical properties of flight trajectory using the Gaussian mixture model(GMM).Experiment results on Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport terminal airspace show that the proposed method can effectively capture the statistical patterns of aircraft trajectories.The model can detect abnormal flights with elevated risks and its performance is superior to two mainstream methods.The proposed model can be used as an assistant decision-making tool for air traffic controllers.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant 61772406 and Grant 61941105in part by the projects of the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universitiesthe Innovation Fund of Xidian University under Grant 500120109215456。
文摘Nowadays,the fifth-generation(5G)mobile communication system has obtained prosperous development and deployment,reshaping our daily lives.However,anomalies of cell outages and congestion in 5G critically influence the quality of experience and significantly increase operational expenditures.Although several big data and artificial intelligencebased anomaly detection methods have been proposed for wireless cellular systems,they change distributions of the data and ignore the relevance among user activities,causing anomaly detection ineffective for some cells.In this paper,we propose a highly effective and accurate anomaly detection framework by utilizing generative adversarial networks(GAN)and long short-term memory(LSTM)neural networks.The framework expands the original dataset while simultaneously keeping the distribution of data unchanged,and explores the relevance among user activities to further improve the system performance.The results demonstrate that our framework can achieve 97.16%accuracy and 2.30%false positive rate by utilizing the correlation of user activities and data expansion.
文摘Three methods of extracting the information of anomalies of a precursory group are put forward, i.e., the mathematical analyses of the synthetic information of earthquake precursors (S), the inhomogeneous degree of precursory groups (ID) and the values of short-term and impending anomaly in near-source area (NS). Using these methods, we calculate the observational data of deformation, underground fluid and hydrochemical constituents obtained from different seismic stations in the Sichuan-Yunnan region and conclude that the synthetic precursory anomalies of a single strong earthquake with M S6.0 differ greatly from those of the grouped strong earthquakes, for the anomalous information of precursory groups are more abundant. The three methods of extracting the synthetic precursory anomaly and the related numerical results can be applied into the practice of prediction to the grouped strong earthquakes in the Sichuan-Yunnan region. Inhomogeneous degree (ID) of synthetic precursory anomaly can be identified automatically because it takes the threshold of distributive characteristics of the anomalies of precursory group as its criterion for anomaly.
基金This project was sponsored by the"Ninth Five-year Plan" of China SeismologicalBureau(95-04-01-04-1),China
文摘The data of pre-seismic subsurface fluid anomalies of such earthquakes as Datong-YanggaoM_s6.1 event on Oct.19,1989,western Baotou M_s6.4 event on May 3,1996 and Zhangbei-Shangyi M_s6.2 event on Jan.10,1998 are systematically collected and arranged.Then thefeatures of patterns,spatial distribution,time variation and time-spatial evolution of theseanomalies are compared and comprehensively analyzed.Then the formation and evolutionmechanism of medium-and short-term anomaly field of subsurface fluids in the northernNorth China area is proposed.The results show that the medium-term anomaly field is causedby regional tectonic activities,which further strengthen the local tectonic activities andpromote the formation and evolution of the seismic source body.The enhancement of loealtectonic activities causes the formation of anomaly field of short-term subsurface fluids,andthe evolution of source body engenders the source-precursor anomalies of subsurface fluids inthe epicenters at imminent stage.
文摘Based on the extraction and calculation of the short-term seismic precursory information magnitude from the 114 major precursory observations in the North China region, and together with consideration of factors such as geological structure, seismicity, crustal thickness, and in particular, the current geodynamics of the region, the authors studied the time-space evolution characteristics of the short-term earthquake precursory information magnitude and its relationship with earthquakes and proposed the index and method for the short-term synthetic prediction of earthquakes with M S≥5.0 in the North China region. The inspection through R-value shows that the method is effective to a certain extent for earthquake prediction.
文摘The operating conditions of wind turbines(WTs)in the same wind farm(WF)may share similarities due to their shared manufacturing process,control strategy,and operating environment.However,the similarities of WTs are seldom considered in WT anomaly detection,resulting in the disregard of useful information.This paper proposes a method to improve the reliability and accuracy of WT anomaly detection using the supervisory control and data acquisition(SCADA)data of multiple WTs in the same WF.First,a similarity assessment method based on a comparison of different observation time series is proposed,which objectively quantifies the similarities of WT operating conditions.Then,the SCADA data of the target WT and selected WTs that are similar are used to establish several estimation models through a long short-term memory(LSTM)algorithm.LSTM models that exhibit good estimation performance are used to construct a combined estimation model that estimates the variations in the monitored variables of the target WT.Finally,an anomaly detection method that jointly compares the effective value and information entropy of the residuals is proposed to identify anomalies.The effectiveness and accuracy of the proposed method are verified using the data of two actual WFs.
基金supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.71701035)the US Department of Energy,Cybersecurity for Energy Delivery Systems(CEDS)Program(No.M616000124)
文摘Although the recent load information is critical to very short-term load forecasting(VSTLF), power companies often have difficulties in collecting the most recent load values accurately and timely for VSTLF applications.This paper tackles the problem of real-time anomaly detection in most recent load information used by VSTLF.This paper proposes a model-based anomaly detection method that consists of two components, a dynamic regression model and an adaptive anomaly threshold. The case study is developed using the data from ISO New England. This paper demonstrates that the proposed method significantly outperforms three other anomaly detection methods including two methods commonly used in the field and one state-of-the-art method used by a winning team of the Global Energy Forecasting Competition 2014. Finally, a general anomaly detection framework is proposed for the future research.
基金partly supported by the Natural Science Foundation of China,Contract No. 41274061
文摘Ionosphereic foF2 variations are very sensitive to the seismic effect and results of ionospheric perturbations associated with earthquakes seem to very hopeful for short-term earthquake prediction. On January 18,2011 at 20: 23 UT a great earthquake( M = 7. 2)occurred in Dalbandin( 28. 73° N,63. 92° E),Pakistan. In this study,we have tried to find out the features of pre-earthquake ionospheric anomalies by using the hourly day time( 08. 00 a. m.- 05. 00 p. m.) data of critical frequency( foF2) obtained by three vertical sounding stations installed in Islamabad( 33. 78°N,73. 06°E),Multan( 32. 26°N,71. 51°E) and Karachi( 24. 89° N,67. 02° E), Pakistan. The results show the significant anomalies of foF2 in the earthquake preparation zone several days prior to the Dalbandin earthquake. It is also observed that the amplitude and frequency of foF2 anomalies are more prominent at the nearest station to the epicenter as compared to those stations near the outer margin of the earthquake preparation zone. The confidence level for ionospheric anomalies regarding the seismic signatures can be enhanced by adding the analysis of some other ionospheic parameters along with critical frequency of the layer F2.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Grant No.2020YFB1713300)the Guizhou Provincial Colleges and Universities Talent Training Base Project(Grant No.[2020]009)+3 种基金the Guizhou Province Science and Technology Plan Project(Grant Nos.[2015]4011,[2017]5788)the Guizhou Provincial Department of Education Youth Science and Technology Talent Growth Project(Grant No.[2022]142)the Scientific Research Project for Introducing Talents from Guizhou University(Grant No.(2021)74)the Guizhou Province Higher Education Integrated Research Platform Project(Grant No.[2020]005)。
文摘Anomaly detection is crucial to the flight safety and maintenance of unmanned aerial vehicles(UAVs)and has attracted extensive attention from scholars.Knowledge-based approaches rely on prior knowledge,while model-based approaches are challenging for constructing accurate and complex physical models of unmanned aerial systems(UASs).Although data-driven methods do not require extensive prior knowledge and accurate physical UAS models,they often lack parameter selection and are limited by the cost of labeling anomalous data.Furthermore,flight data with random noise pose a significant challenge for anomaly detection.This work proposes a spatiotemporal correlation based on long short-term memory and autoencoder(STCLSTM-AE)neural network data-driven method for unsupervised anomaly detection and recovery of UAV flight data.First,UAV flight data are preprocessed by combining the Savitzky-Golay filter data processing technique to mitigate the effect of noise in the original historical flight data on the model.Correlation-based feature subset selection is subsequently performed to reduce the reliance on expert knowledge.Then,the extracted features are used as the input of the designed LSTM-AE model to achieve the anomaly detection and recovery of UAV flight data in an unsupervised manner.Finally,the method's effectiveness is validated on real UAV flight data.
文摘We present herein an introduction to the Beijing network of digital geomagnetic pulsation observatories, and describe its essential features, and important roles in earthquake prediction studies and other geomagnetic investigations. The network provides digitalized data of geomagnetic events, such as magnetic storms, magnetic disturbances, geomagnetic daily variations, and geomagnetic pulsations. The digitalized data, convenient for processing and analysis, contain very rich information because of high accuracy and wide dynamic range of the instruments.
文摘On 6^th December, 2016, an earthquake with M 6.5 occurred at the tectonic plate boundary, southwest of Sumatra, Indonesia (Latitude: 0.5897°S, Longitude: 101.3431°E). In this case, ionospheric critical frequency of F2 layer (foF2) variations and meteorological parameters, viz., air temperature, relative humidity, atmospheric pressure and wind speed variations were investigated so as to detect any anomalies. Data are obtained from different websites freely available for researchers. In the absence of real ionosonde foF2 data, IRI 2016 model data were used. For each parameter, anomaly window were defined when values fell beyond ± 6 ℃,< 70 %,± 4 mb and ± 3.5 km h-1 from the event day value and one third of total foF2 values broke the limits of the upper and lower bounds. Certain random anomalies in temperature, relative humidity, pressure, wind speed and foF2 frequencies were observed different days prior to occurrence of the quake but each parameter showed anomalies 12 days before the occurrence. Also, geomagnetic tranquility was justified through Kp and Dst indices. This study reveals that continuous monitoring of atmospheric meteorological parameters and regular ionospheric foF2 observations might help us to predict an earthquake about a week prior to the occurrence.
文摘Introduction: Surgical problems are of much disturbance to the world and should therefore be given serious attention. The prevalence of these surgical problems, has made plastic surgery become a broadly relevant and acceptable way for addressing problems like injuries, congenital anomalies, surgical infections and malignancies among others. Aim: This study is to quantify and characterize surgical procedures done in the plastic surgery theatre located in the new Accident and Emergency (A & E) Building of KATH. Materials and Methods: Data were obtained from the Operation Register/Theatre Books in the plastic surgery theatre at the A & E Centre on cases operated on from October 1, 2009 to September 30, 2012. Data entry, presentation and analysis were done using Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS) 20.0 version. Results: Adults formed the majority of patients who sought for plastic surgery with a percentage of 70.3%. The male patients also outnumbered the females recording (61.5%) out of the total number of patients. Most of the cases recorded were acquired cases (93.2%). Reconstructive surgery was the commonest operation performed (30%);in 53.8% cases general anaesthesia was used. Conclusion: Among all the procedures used reconstructive surgery was the commonest surgery performed in the unit and general anaesthesia was the most type of anaesthesia used for the operations.
基金This project was sponsored by the Science and Technology Development Program(031060107) ,Shandong Province .
文摘The water level in a deep well instantly responds to the earth’s tide and atmospheric pressure, and varies accordingly, not only in terms of amplitude but also in the phase lag. Therefore, phase lag correction is used in analyzing digital groundwater observation data in eastern China. Calculation results presented by the authors in this paper show that the correction method is effective in the identification of anomalous changes for short-term seismic precursors. The correction method can also be applied to the processing of observed deformation and tilt data.
文摘Digital data of precursors is noted for its high accuracy. Therefore, it is important to extract the high frequency information from the low ones in the digital data of precursors and to discriminate between the trend anomalies and the short-term anomalies. This paper presents a method to separate the high frequency information from the low ones by using the wavelet transform to analyze the digital data of precursors, and illustrates with examples the train of thoughts of discriminating the short-term anomalies from trend anomalies by using the wavelet transform, thus provide a new effective approach for extracting the short-term and trend anomalies from the digital data of precursors.