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Emergent topological ordered phase for the Ising-XY model revealed by cluster-updating Monte Carlo method
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作者 马赫阳 张万舟 +2 位作者 田彦婷 丁成祥 邓友金 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第4期386-400,共15页
The two-component cold atom systems with anisotropic hopping amplitudes can be phenomenologically described by a two-dimensional Ising-XY coupled model with spatial anisotropy.At low temperatures,theoretical predictio... The two-component cold atom systems with anisotropic hopping amplitudes can be phenomenologically described by a two-dimensional Ising-XY coupled model with spatial anisotropy.At low temperatures,theoretical predictions[Phys.Rev.A 72053604(2005)]and[arXiv:0706.1609]indicate the existence of a topological ordered phase characterized by Ising and XY disorder but with 2XY ordering.However,due to ergodic difficulties faced by Monte Carlo methods at low temperatures,this topological phase has not been numerically explored.We propose a linear cluster updating Monte Carlo method,which flips spins without rejection in the anisotropy limit but does not change the energy.Using this scheme and conventional Monte Carlo methods,we succeed in revealing the nature of topological phases with half-vortices and domain walls.In the constructed global phase diagram,Ising and XY-type transitions are very close to each other and differ significantly from the schematic phase diagram reported earlier.We also propose and explore a wide range of quantities,including magnetism,superfluidity,specific heat,susceptibility,and even percolation susceptibility,and obtain consistent and reliable results.Furthermore,we observed first-order transitions characterized by common intersection points in magnetizations for different system sizes,as opposed to the conventional phase transition where Binder cumulants of various sizes share common intersections.The critical exponents of different types of phase transitions are reasonably fitted.The results are useful to help cold atom experiments explore the half-vortex topological phase. 展开更多
关键词 topological phase transition Ising-XY model monte carlo method half vortex
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Monte Carlo Method for the Uncertainty Evaluation of Spatial Straightness Error Based on New Generation Geometrical Product Specification 被引量:10
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作者 WEN Xiulan XU Youxiong +2 位作者 LI Hongsheng WANG Fenglin SHENG Danghong 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2012年第5期875-881,共7页
Straightness error is an important parameter in measuring high-precision shafts. New generation geometrical product speeifieation(GPS) requires the measurement uncertainty characterizing the reliability of the resul... Straightness error is an important parameter in measuring high-precision shafts. New generation geometrical product speeifieation(GPS) requires the measurement uncertainty characterizing the reliability of the results should be given together when the measurement result is given. Nowadays most researches on straightness focus on error calculation and only several research projects evaluate the measurement uncertainty based on "The Guide to the Expression of Uncertainty in Measurement(GUM)". In order to compute spatial straightness error(SSE) accurately and rapidly and overcome the limitations of GUM, a quasi particle swarm optimization(QPSO) is proposed to solve the minimum zone SSE and Monte Carlo Method(MCM) is developed to estimate the measurement uncertainty. The mathematical model of minimum zone SSE is formulated. In QPSO quasi-random sequences are applied to the generation of the initial position and velocity of particles and their velocities are modified by the constriction factor approach. The flow of measurement uncertainty evaluation based on MCM is proposed, where the heart is repeatedly sampling from the probability density function(PDF) for every input quantity and evaluating the model in each case. The minimum zone SSE of a shaft measured on a Coordinate Measuring Machine(CMM) is calculated by QPSO and the measurement uncertainty is evaluated by MCM on the basis of analyzing the uncertainty contributors. The results show that the uncertainty directly influences the product judgment result. Therefore it is scientific and reasonable to consider the influence of the uncertainty in judging whether the parts are accepted or rejected, especially for those located in the uncertainty zone. The proposed method is especially suitable when the PDF of the measurand cannot adequately be approximated by a Gaussian distribution or a scaled and shifted t-distribution and the measurement model is non-linear. 展开更多
关键词 uncertainty evaluation monte carlo method spatial straightness error quasi particle swarm optimization minimum zone solution geometrical product specification
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Quantum Boltzmann equation solved by Monte Carlo method for nano-scale semiconductor devices simulation 被引量:5
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作者 杜刚 刘晓彦 韩汝琦 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2006年第1期177-181,共5页
A two-dimensional (2D) full band self-consistent ensemble Monte Carlo (MC) method for solving the quantum Boltzmann equation, including collision broadening and quantum potential corrections, is developed to exten... A two-dimensional (2D) full band self-consistent ensemble Monte Carlo (MC) method for solving the quantum Boltzmann equation, including collision broadening and quantum potential corrections, is developed to extend the MC method to the study of nano-scale semiconductor devices with obvious quantum mechanical (QM) effects. The quantum effects both in real space and momentum space in nano-scale semiconductor devices can be simulated. The effective mobility in the inversion layer of n and p channel MOSFET is simulated and compared with experimental data to verify this method. With this method 50nm ultra thin body silicon on insulator MOSFET are simulated. Results indicate that this method can be used to simulate the 2D QM effects in semiconductor devices including tunnelling effect. 展开更多
关键词 quantum mechanical effect monte carlo method semiconductor device carrier transport
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Seismic fluid identification using a nonlinear elastic impedance inversion method based on a fast Markov chain Monte Carlo method 被引量:2
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作者 Guang-Zhi Zhang Xin-Peng Pan +2 位作者 Zhen-Zhen Li Chang-Lu Sun Xing-Yao Yin 《Petroleum Science》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2015年第3期406-416,共11页
Elastic impedance inversion with high efficiency and high stability has become one of the main directions of seismic pre-stack inversion. The nonlinear elastic impedance inversion method based on a fast Markov chain M... Elastic impedance inversion with high efficiency and high stability has become one of the main directions of seismic pre-stack inversion. The nonlinear elastic impedance inversion method based on a fast Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method is proposed in this paper, combining conventional MCMC method based on global optimization with a preconditioned conjugate gradient (PCG) algorithm based on local optimization, so this method does not depend strongly on the initial model. It converges to the global optimum quickly and efficiently on the condition that effi- ciency and stability of inversion are both taken into consid- eration at the same time. The test data verify the feasibility and robustness of the method, and based on this method, we extract the effective pore-fluid bulk modulus, which is applied to reservoir fluid identification and detection, and consequently, a better result has been achieved. 展开更多
关键词 Elastic impedance Nonlinear inversion FastMarkov chain monte carlo method - Preconditionedconjugate gradient algorithm ~ Effective pore-fluid bulkmodulus
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Security Simulation of Continuous-Variable Quantum Key Distribution over Air-to-Water Channel Using Monte Carlo Method 被引量:1
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作者 谢才浪 郭迎 +2 位作者 王一军 黄端 张玲 《Chinese Physics Letters》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2018年第9期10-13,共4页
Considering the ocean water's optical attenuation and the roughness of the sea surface, we analyze the security of continuous-variable (CV) quantum key distribution (QKD) based Mr-to-water channel. The effects of... Considering the ocean water's optical attenuation and the roughness of the sea surface, we analyze the security of continuous-variable (CV) quantum key distribution (QKD) based Mr-to-water channel. The effects of the absorp- tion and scattering on the transmittance of underwater quantum channel and the maximum secure transmission distance are studied. Considering the roughness of the sea surface, we simulate the performance bounds of CV QKD with different wind speeds using the Monte Carlo method. The results show that even if the secret key rate gradually reduces as the wind speed increases, the maximum transmission distance will not be affected obviously. Compared to the works regarding short-distance underwater optical communication, our research represents a significant step towards establishing secure communication between air platform and submarine vehicle. 展开更多
关键词 QKD Security Simulation of Continuous-Variable Quantum Key Distribution over Air-to-Water Channel Using monte carlo method CV
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COMPUTERIZED SIMULATION OF THERMODYNAMICS FOR MOLTEN LiF-KF SOLUTION BY MONTE CARLO METHOD
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作者 XU Chi JIANG Naixiong CHEN Nianyi Shanghai Institute of Metallurgy,Academia Sinica,Shanghai,China 《Acta Metallurgica Sinica(English Letters)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 1992年第8期145-148,共4页
The structure and behaviour of LiF-KF solution,as a typical common-anion system,has been simulated by Monte Carlo method.The calculation of partial radial distribution function of ions,heat of mixing and potential ene... The structure and behaviour of LiF-KF solution,as a typical common-anion system,has been simulated by Monte Carlo method.The calculation of partial radial distribution function of ions,heat of mixing and potential energy distribution shows that the average distance be- tween Li^+ and F^- ions will significantly narrow after mixing of molten LiF and KF.This is very similar to the lean-on-one-side effect in molten LiF-KCl solution.The calculated heat of mixing is in fair agreement with the measured one.The dominant source of the energy of mixing may be that the decrease of the repulsion energy between cations,the decrease of the attraction energy between cations and anions,and the decrease of the repulsion energy be- tween anions. 展开更多
关键词 molten salt monte carlo method computerized simulation thermodynamic property LiF-KF system
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Speckle intensity images of target based on Monte Carlo method
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作者 武颖丽 吴振森 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2014年第3期545-549,共5页
Speckle intensity in the detector plane is deduced in the free-space optical system and imaging system based on Van Cittert-Zemike theorem. The speckle intensity images of plane target and conical target are obtained ... Speckle intensity in the detector plane is deduced in the free-space optical system and imaging system based on Van Cittert-Zemike theorem. The speckle intensity images of plane target and conical target are obtained by using the Monte Carlo method and measured experimentally. The results show that when the range extent of target is smaller, the speckle size along the same direction become longer, and the speckle size increase with increasing incident light wavelengths. The speckle size increases and the speckle intensity images of target is closer to the actual object when the aperture scale augments. These findings are useful to access the target information by speckle in laser radar systems. 展开更多
关键词 laser scattering monte carlo method SPECKLE intensity images
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Direct Monte Carlo Method Simulation of the Synthesis of Carbon Particle Through Coagulation in the Detonation of Explosives
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作者 马峰 恽寿榕 黄风雷 《Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology》 EI CAS 2003年第3期278-281,共4页
A model is constructed and used in computing the coagulation probability of free carbon during the detonation of explosives. A direct simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) program is constructed to simulate the coagulation of... A model is constructed and used in computing the coagulation probability of free carbon during the detonation of explosives. A direct simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) program is constructed to simulate the coagulation of free carbon particles. The evaluation of the distribution spectrum of particles in the system is obtained. The simulation result is consistent with the experimental curve. 展开更多
关键词 monte carlo method DSMC ultrafine particle COAGULATION
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Sequential Monte Carlo Method Toward Online RUL Assessment with Applications
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作者 Ya-Wei Hu Hong-Chao Zhang +1 位作者 Shu-Jie Liu Hui-Tian Lu 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2018年第1期230-241,共12页
Online assessment of remaining useful life(RUL) of a system or device has been widely studied for performance reliability, production safety, system conditional maintenance, and decision in remanufacturing engineering... Online assessment of remaining useful life(RUL) of a system or device has been widely studied for performance reliability, production safety, system conditional maintenance, and decision in remanufacturing engineering. However,there is no consistency framework to solve the RUL recursive estimation for the complex degenerate systems/device.In this paper, state space model(SSM) with Bayesian online estimation expounded from Markov chain Monte Carlo(MCMC) to Sequential Monte Carlo(SMC) algorithm is presented in order to derive the optimal Bayesian estimation.In the context of nonlinear & non-Gaussian dynamic systems, SMC(also named particle filter, PF) is quite capable of performing filtering and RUL assessment recursively. The underlying deterioration of a system/device is seen as a stochastic process with continuous, nonreversible degrading. The state of the deterioration tendency is filtered and predicted with updating observations through the SMC procedure. The corresponding remaining useful life of the system/device is estimated based on the state degradation and a predefined threshold of the failure with two-sided criterion. The paper presents an application on a milling machine for cutter tool RUL assessment by applying the above proposed methodology. The example shows the promising results and the effectiveness of SSM and SMC online assessment of RUL. 展开更多
关键词 Sequential monte carlo method Remaining useful life Stochastic processes State-space model Bayesian estimation Particle filter Milling cutter lifetime
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Application of local Monte Carlo method in neutronics calculation of EAST radial neutron camera
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作者 黄良胜 胡立群 +5 位作者 牛璐莹 周梦洁 洪兵 李凯 张瑞雪 钟国强 《Plasma Science and Technology》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2022年第2期172-179,共8页
The Local Monte Carlo(LMC)method is used to solve the problems of deep penetration and long time in the neutronics calculation of the radial neutron camera(RNC)diagnostic system on the experimental advanced supercondu... The Local Monte Carlo(LMC)method is used to solve the problems of deep penetration and long time in the neutronics calculation of the radial neutron camera(RNC)diagnostic system on the experimental advanced superconducting tokamak(EAST),and the radiation distribution of the RNC and the neutron flux at the detector positions of each channel are obtained.Compared with the results calculated by the global variance reduction method,it is shown that the LMC calculation is reliable within the reasonable error range.The calculation process of LMC is analyzed in detail,and the transport process of radiation particles is simulated in two steps.In the first step,an integrated neutronics model considering the complex window environment and a neutron source model based on EAST plasma shape are used to support the calculation.The particle information on the equivalent surface is analyzed to evaluate the rationality of settings of equivalent surface source and boundary.Based on the characteristic that only a local geometric model is needed in the second step,it is shown that the LMC is an advantageous calculation method for the nuclear shielding design of tokamak diagnostic systems. 展开更多
关键词 equivalent surface source radial neutron camera EAST local monte carlo method
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Calculation of Neutron-Proton Mass Difference by the Monte Carlo Method
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作者 A. A. Sobko S. A. Garelina 《Journal of Applied Mathematics and Physics》 2020年第10期2157-2166,共10页
Calculation results of the Monte Carlo method of the average energy of the electrostatic interaction between the quarks are presented to the neutron and proton. The proposed model of the distribution of quarks in prot... Calculation results of the Monte Carlo method of the average energy of the electrostatic interaction between the quarks are presented to the neutron and proton. The proposed model of the distribution of quarks in protons and neutrons is possible to assess the area which included a strong (gluon) interaction. Given the fact that the probability of finding a quark in the field with strong interaction is less than one, there is a good agreement between the experimental and calculated values of the mass difference between the neutron and the proton. 展开更多
关键词 Mass of the Proton The Neutron Mass The Coulomb Interaction The monte carlo method
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Calculation of Neutral Particle Energy Spectra in Tokamak by Using the Monte Carlo Method
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作者 张先梅 万宝年 李有宜 《Plasma Science and Technology》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2000年第3期295-301,共7页
Neutral particle energy spectra in the HT-7 tokamak are calculated by using the Monte Carlo method. It can reproduce the spectra measured in experiment. Differences of neutral particle energy spectra in higher and low... Neutral particle energy spectra in the HT-7 tokamak are calculated by using the Monte Carlo method. It can reproduce the spectra measured in experiment. Differences of neutral particle energy spectra in higher and lower electron density plasma are discussed. Results show that the ion temperature given by neutral particle energy spectra is lower than the real ion temperature, but the deviation is within 10% if the ion temperature is less than 800 eV and thecentral chord-averaged electron density does not exceed 3 ×1013 cm-3. But for ion temperature higher than 1000 eV at the central chord-averaged density limit up to 5 ×1013 cm-3, the neutral particle energy spectra can still give the ion temperature within 10% deviation. 展开更多
关键词 CM Calculation of Neutral Particle Energy Spectra in Tokamak by Using the monte carlo method
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Multi-Scale Variation Prediction of PM2.5 Concentration Based on a Monte Carlo Method
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作者 Chen Ding Guizhi Wang Qi Liu 《Journal on Big Data》 2019年第2期55-69,共15页
Haze concentration prediction,especially PM2.5,has always been a significant focus of air quality research,which is necessary to start a deep study.Aimed at predicting the monthly average concentration of PM2.5 in Bei... Haze concentration prediction,especially PM2.5,has always been a significant focus of air quality research,which is necessary to start a deep study.Aimed at predicting the monthly average concentration of PM2.5 in Beijing,a novel method based on Monte Carlo model is conducted.In order to fully exploit the value of PM2.5 data,we take logarithmic processing of the original PM2.5 data and propose two different scales of the daily concentration and the daily chain development speed of PM2.5 respectively.The results show that these data are both approximately normal distribution.On the basis of the results,a Monte Carlo method can be applied to establish a probability model of normal distribution based on two different variables and random sampling numbers can also be generated by computer.Through a large number of simulation experiments,the average monthly concentration of PM2.5 in Beijing and the general trend of PM2.5 can be obtained.By comparing the errors between the real data and the predicted data,the Monte Carlo method is reliable in predicting the PM2.5 monthly mean concentration in the area.This study also provides a feasible method that may be applied in other studies to predict other pollutants with large scale time series data. 展开更多
关键词 monte carlo method random sampling PM2.5 concentration chain development speed trend prediction
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Evaluation the Price of Multi-Asset Rainbow Options Using Monte Carlo Method
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作者 A. Rasulov R. Rakhmatov A. Nafasov 《Journal of Applied Mathematics and Physics》 2016年第1期178-182,共5页
Solution of the system stochastic differential equations in multi dimensional case using Monte Carlo method had many useful features in compare with the other computational methods. One of them is the solution of boun... Solution of the system stochastic differential equations in multi dimensional case using Monte Carlo method had many useful features in compare with the other computational methods. One of them is the solution of boundary value problems to be found at just one point, if required (with associated saving in computation), whereas deterministic methods necessarily find the solution at large number of points simultaneously. This property can be particularly useful in problems such option pricing, where the value of an option is required only at the time of striking, and for the state of the market at that time. In this work we consider a European multi-asset options which mathematically described by the system of stochastic differential equations. We will apply Monte Carlo method for the solution of that system which is the price of Multi-asset rainbow options. 展开更多
关键词 monte carlo method Multi Asset Options Boundary Value Problems Stochastic Differential Equations
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On Solving a System of Volterra Integral Equations with Relaxed Monte Carlo Method
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作者 Zhimin Hong Xiangzhong Fang +1 位作者 Zaizai Yan Hui Hao 《Journal of Applied Mathematics and Physics》 2016年第7期1315-1320,共7页
A random simulation method was used for treatment of systems of Volterra integral equations of the second kind. Firstly, a linear algebra system was obtained by discretization using quadrature formula. Secondly, this ... A random simulation method was used for treatment of systems of Volterra integral equations of the second kind. Firstly, a linear algebra system was obtained by discretization using quadrature formula. Secondly, this algebra system was solved by using relaxed Monte Carlo method with importance sampling and numerical approximation solutions of the integral equations system were achieved. It is theoretically proved that the validity of relaxed Monte Carlo method is based on importance sampling to solve the integral equations system. Finally, some numerical examples from literatures are given to show the efficiency of the method. 展开更多
关键词 Systems of Volterra Integral Equations Quadrature Formula Relaxed monte carlo method Importance Sampling
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Comparison of GUF and Monte Carlo methods to evaluate task-specific uncertainty in laser tracker measurement 被引量:1
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作者 杨景照 李国喜 +2 位作者 吴宝中 龚京忠 王杰 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第10期3793-3804,共12页
Measurement uncertainty plays an important role in laser tracking measurement analyses. In the present work, the guides to the expression of uncertainty in measurement(GUM) uncertainty framework(GUF) and its supplemen... Measurement uncertainty plays an important role in laser tracking measurement analyses. In the present work, the guides to the expression of uncertainty in measurement(GUM) uncertainty framework(GUF) and its supplement, the Monte Carlo method, were used to estimate the uncertainty of task-specific laser tracker measurements. First, the sources of error in laser tracker measurement were analyzed in detail, including instruments, measuring network fusion, measurement strategies, measurement process factors(such as the operator), measurement environment, and task-specific data processing. Second, the GUM and Monte Carlo methods and their application to laser tracker measurement were presented. Finally, a case study involving the uncertainty estimation of a cylindricity measurement process using the GUF and Monte Carlo methods was illustrated. The expanded uncertainty results(at 95% confidence levels) obtained with the Monte Carlo method are 0.069 mm(least-squares criterion) and 0.062 mm(minimum zone criterion), respectively, while with the GUM uncertainty framework, none but the result of least-squares criterion can be got, which is 0.071 mm. Thus, the GUM uncertainty framework slightly underestimates the overall uncertainty by 10%. The results demonstrate that the two methods have different characteristics in task-specific uncertainty evaluations of laser tracker measurements. The results indicate that the Monte Carlo method is a practical tool for applying the principle of propagation of distributions and does not depend on the assumptions and limitations required by the law of propagation of uncertainties(GUF). These features of the Monte Carlo method reduce the risk of an unreliable measurement of uncertainty estimation, particularly in cases of complicated measurement models, without the need to evaluate partial derivatives. In addition, the impact of sampling strategy and evaluation method on the uncertainty of the measurement results can also be taken into account with Monte Carlo method, which plays a guiding role in measurement planning. 展开更多
关键词 激光跟踪测量 蒙特卡罗方法 激光跟踪仪 不确定性 评估 蒙特卡洛方法 最小二乘准则 测量不确定度
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SEMI-BLIND CHANNEL ESTIMATION OF MULTIPLE-INPUT/MULTIPLE-OUTPUT SYSTEMS BASED ON MARKOV CHAIN MONTE CARLO METHODS 被引量:1
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作者 JiangWei XiangHaige 《Journal of Electronics(China)》 2004年第3期184-190,共7页
This paper addresses the issues of channel estimation in a Multiple-Input/Multiple-Output (MIMO) system. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method is employed to jointly estimate the Channel State Information (CSI) and t... This paper addresses the issues of channel estimation in a Multiple-Input/Multiple-Output (MIMO) system. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method is employed to jointly estimate the Channel State Information (CSI) and the transmitted signals. The deduced algorithms can work well under circumstances of low Signal-to-Noise Ratio (SNR). Simulation results are presented to demonstrate their effectiveness. 展开更多
关键词 多进多出系统 信道估计 MCMC SNR 马尔可夫链-蒙特卡洛方法
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CALCULATION OF SURFACE TENSION OF LIQUIDS BY MONTE CARLO METHOD
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作者 陆兆仁 《Journal of China Textile University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 1990年第4期21-25,共5页
In this paper a method has been proposed for the calculation of cohesive work and thus sur-face tension of liquids by the Monte Carlo computer simulation method with the use of Kihara po-tential. The surface tension v... In this paper a method has been proposed for the calculation of cohesive work and thus sur-face tension of liquids by the Monte Carlo computer simulation method with the use of Kihara po-tential. The surface tension values calculated for liquid argon, oxygen and nitrogen are in fairagreement with the experimental data. 展开更多
关键词 monte carlo method surface tension lquid potential energy function ARGON NITROGEN OXYGEN
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DETERMINATION OF THE FAVORED PATTERN IN NEURAL SPIKE TRAIN WITH MONTE CARLO METHOD AND TEMPLATE METHOD
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作者 陈筱英 柴振明 《Journal of Electronics(China)》 1991年第4期378-382,共5页
The modern neuroelectrical physiology indicates that there are certain patterns inneural spike train which appear more frequently than others.These favored patterns(FP)maybe related to the mechanism of neural informat... The modern neuroelectrical physiology indicates that there are certain patterns inneural spike train which appear more frequently than others.These favored patterns(FP)maybe related to the mechanism of neural information processing in central nervous system.Inthis paper,the quantized Monte Carlo method and template method used in favored patternrecognition are described.The Monte Carlo method determines favored patterns or the possiblefavored patterns,while the template method is used for choosing the FP from the candidates andcounting the number of the FP in the spike train.This work will be pursued for extracting theFP in some complicated spike train. 展开更多
关键词 NEURAL SPIKE TRAIN FAVORED PATTERN monte carlo method
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Seismic Inventory Simulation and Conformance Test Based on the Monte Carlo Method——A Case Study of the Fenhe-Weihe Belt
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作者 Shao Xiaoyi Wang Xiaoqing +1 位作者 Dou Aixia Yuan Xiaoxiang 《Earthquake Research in China》 CSCD 2018年第4期533-548,共16页
Artificial earthquake catalogue simulation is one of the ways to effectively improve the incompleteness of the existing earthquake catalogue,the scarcity of large earthquake records and the improvement of seismologica... Artificial earthquake catalogue simulation is one of the ways to effectively improve the incompleteness of the existing earthquake catalogue,the scarcity of large earthquake records and the improvement of seismological research. Based on the Poisson distribution model of seismic activity and the Gutenberg-Richter magnitude-frequency relationship,the Monte Carlo method which can describe the characteristics of the stochastic nature and the physical experiment process is used. This paper simulates the future seismic catalogues of the Fenhe-Weihe seismic belt of different durations and conducts statistical tests on them.The analysis shows that the simulation catalogue meets the set seismic activity parameters and meets the Poisson distribution hypothesis,which can obtain a better simulated earthquake catalogues that meets the seismic activity characteristics. According to the simulated earthquake catalogues,future earthquake trends in this region are analyzed to provide reference for seismic hazard analysis. 展开更多
关键词 monte carlo method Simulated EARTHQUAKE CATALOGUES SEISMIC activity Fenhe-Weihe SEISMIC BELT
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