Convergence Rates for Probabilities of Moderate Deviations for Moving Average Processes

The present paper first shows that, without any dependent structure assumptions for a sequence of random variables, the refined results of the complete convergence for the sequence is equivalent to the corresponding complete moment convergence of the sequence. Then this paper investigates the convergence rates and refined convergence rates （or complete moment convergence） for probabilities of moderate deviations of moving average processes. The results in this paper extend and generalize some well-known results.

The Precise Asymptotics of the Complete Convergence for Moving Average Processes of m-Dependent B-Valued Elements

Let {εt;t ∈ Z} be a sequence of m-dependent B-valued random elements with mean zeros and finite second moment. {a3;j ∈ Z} is a sequence of real numbers satisfying ∑j=-∞^∞｜aj｜ 〈 ∞. Define a moving average process Xt = ∑j=-∞^∞aj＋tEj,t ≥ 1, and Sn = ∑t=1^n Xt,n ≥ 1. In this article, by using the weak convergence theorem of { Sn/√ n _〉 1}, we study the precise asymptotics of the complete convergence for the sequence {Xt; t ∈ N}.

The Convergence of a Moving Average Process of AANA Random Variables

Based on the asymptotically almost negatively associated(AANA) random variables, we investigate the complete moment convergence for a moving average process under the moment condition E[Y log(1 + Y)] < ∞. As an application, Marcinkiewicz-Zygmundtype strong law of large numbers for this moving average process is presented in this paper.

Almost Sure Convergence and Complete Convergence for the Weighted Sums of Martingale Differences

Let {(D n, FFFn),n/->1} be a sequence of martingale differences and {a ni, 1≤i≤n,n≥1} be an array of real constants. Almost sure convergence for the row sums ?i = 1n ani D1\sum\limits_{i = 1}^n {a_{ni} D_1 } are discussed. We also discuss complete convergence for the moving average processes underB-valued martingale differences assumption.

Complete qth-Moment Convergence of Moving Average Process for m-WOD Random Variable

In this paper,we obtained complete qth-moment convergence of the moving average processes,which is generated by m-WOD moving random variables.The results in this article improve and extend the results of the moving average process.mWOD random variables include WOD,m-NA,m-NOD and mEND random variables,so the results in the paper also promote the corresponding ones in WOD,m-NA,m-NOD,m-END random variables.

Explicit bivariate rate functions for large deviations in AR(1)and MA(1)processes with Gaussian innovations

We investigate the large deviations properties for centered stationary AR(1)and MA(1)processes with independent Gaussian innovations,by giving the explicit bivariate rate functions for the sequence of two-dimensional random vectors.Via the Contraction Principle,we provide the explicit rate functions for the sample mean and the sample second moment.In the AR(1)case,we also give the explicit rate function for the sequence of two-dimensional random vectors(W_(n))n≥2=(n^(-1(∑_(k=1)^(n)X_(k),∑_(k=1)^(n)X_(k)^(2))))_(n∈N)n≥2,but we obtain an analytic rate function that gives different values for the upper and lower bounds,depending on the evaluated set and its intersection with the respective set of exposed points.A careful analysis of the properties of a certain family of Toeplitz matrices is necessary.The large deviations properties of three particular sequences of one-dimensional random variables will follow after we show how to apply a weaker version of the Contraction Principle for our setting,providing new proofs for two already known results on the explicit deviation function for the sample second moment and Yule-Walker estimators.We exhibit the properties of the large deviations of the first-order empirical autocovariance,its explicit deviation function and this is also a new result.

Robust designs for models with possible bias and correlated errors

This paper studies the model-robust design problem for general models with an unknown bias or contamination and the correlated errors. The true response function is assumed to be from a reproducing kernel Hilbert space and the errors are fitted by the qth order moving average process MA（q）, especially the MA（1） errors and the MA（2） errors. In both situations, design criteria are derived in terms of the average expected quadratic loss for the least squares estimation by using a minimax method. A case is studied and the orthogonality of the criteria is proved for this special response. The robustness of the design criteria is discussed through several numerical examples.

Convergence of Recursive Identification for ARMAX Process with Increasing Variances

The autoregressive moving average exogenous （ARMAX） model is commonly adopted for describing linear stochastic systems driven by colored noise. The model is a finite mixture with the ARMA component and external inputs. In this paper we focus on a parameter estimate of the ARMAX model. Classical modeling methods are usually based on the assumption that the driven noise in the moving average （MA） part has bounded variances, while in the model considered here the variances of noise may increase by a power of log n. The plant parameters are identified by the recursive stochastic gradient algorithm. The diminishing excitation technique and some results of martingale difference theory are adopted in order to prove the convergence of the identification. Finally, some simulations are given to show the reliability of the theoretical results.