Bus frequency optimization in a large-scale multi-modal transportation system:integrating 3D-MFD and dynamic traffic assignment

A properly designed public transport system is expected to improve traffic efficiency.A high-frequency bus service would decrease the waiting time for passengers,but the interaction between buses and cars might result in more serious congestion.On the other hand,a low-frequency bus service would increase the waiting time for passengers and would not reduce the use of private cars.It is important to strike a balance between high and low frequencies in order to minimize the total delays for all road users.It is critical to formulate the impacts of bus frequency on congestion dynamics and mode choices.However,as far as the authors know,most proposed bus frequency optimization formulations are based on static demand and the Bureau of Public Roads function,and do not properly consider the congestion dynamics and their impacts on mode choices.To fill this gap,this paper proposes a bi-level optimization model.A three-dimensional Macroscopic Fundamental Diagram based modeling approach is developed to capture the bi-modal congestion dynamics.A variational inequality model for the user equilibrium in mode choices is presented and solved using a double projection algorithm.A surrogate model-based algorithm is used to solve the bi-level programming problem.

Behaviours in a dynamical model of traffic assignment with elastic demand

This paper investigates the dynamical behaviour of network traffic flow. Assume that trip rates may be influenced by the level of service on the network and travellers are willing to take a faster route. A discrete dynamical model for the day-to-day adjustment process of route choice is presented. The model is then applied to a simple network for analysing the day-to-day behaviours of network flow. It finds that equilibrium is arrived if network flow consists of travellers not very sensitive to the differences of travel cost. Oscillations and chaos of network traffic flow are also found when travellers are sensitive to the travel cost and travel demand in a simple network.

Research on traffic congestion mechanism and countermeasures based on dynamic traffic assignment

Traffic congestion is widely distributed around a network. Generally, to analyze traffic congestion, static traffic capacity is adopted. But dynamic characteristics must be studied because congestion is a dynamic process. A Dynamic Traffic Assignment modeling fundamental combined with an urban congestion analysis method is studied in this paper. Three methods are based on congestion analysis, and the stochastic user optimal DTA models are especially considered. Correspondingly, a dynamic system optimal model is suggested for responding congestion countermeasures and an ideal user optimal model for predicted congestion countermeasure respectively.

Modified origin-based algorithm for traffic equilibrium assignment problems

Key tactics of origin-based user equilibrium (OUE) algorithm was studied,which involved the algorithm procedure and several implementation issues.To speed up the convergence,update policies of flows,costs and bushes were proposed.The methods of step-size searching and bush construction are proved to be practical.The modified OUE algorithm procedure was also optimized to take the advantage of multi-thread process.Convergence performances were compared with those of other algorithms by different sizes of urban transportation networks.The result shows this modified OUE algorithm is more efficient and consumes less time to achieve the reasonable relative gap in practical applications.

A DYNAMIC MODEL OF MULTIPLE PATH TRAFFIC ASSIGNMENT

A “Random Shortest Path”traffic assignment model and its algorithm arepresented by simulating the trip-makers’route-choice characters,and the dynamic meth-od is introduced in the assignment model.It is a ideal multiple path assignment modelwhich can be carried out by the dynamic method and static method,can better reflect boththe shortest path factor and the random factor in the route-choice,and is of reasonableassignment volumes.Besides,both dynamic and static softwares particularly suited to thetraffic assignment of large and medium-sized transportation networks arc developed.

Development of a Methodology to Evaluate Projects Using Dynamic Traffic Assignment Models

The identification and selection of performance measures play an important role in any decision making process. Additionally, millions of dollars are spent on appropriate planning and identification of prospective projects for improvements. As a result, current practitioners spend a lot of time and money in prioritizing their limited resources. This research proposes two tasks: 1) estimation of performance measures using a simulation based on dynamic traffic assignment model, and 2) development of a methodology to evaluate multiple projects based on benefit-cost analysis. The model, DynusT, is used for the Las Vegas roadway network during the morning peak time period. A comparative analysis of the results from proposed methodology with existing California Benefit-Cost (Cal-B/C) models is presented. The results indicate that the new methodology provides an accurate benefit-cost ratio of the projects. In addition, it signifies that the existing Cal-B/C models underestimate the benefits associated with the prospective project improvements. The major contribution of this research is the simultaneous estimation of the performance measures and development of a methodology to evaluate multiple projects. This is helpful to decision makers to rank and prioritize future projects in a cost-effective manner. Planning and operational policies for the transportation systems can be developed based on the gained insights from this study.

Traffic Assignment Forecast Model Research in ITS

As an important role in the development of ITS, traffic assignment forecast is always the research focus. Based on the analysis of classic traffic assignment forecast models, an improved traffic assignment forecast model, multi-ways probability and capacity constraint (MPCC) is presented. Using the new traffic as- signment forecast model to forecast the traffic volume will improve the rationality and veracity of traffic as- signment forecast.

Partially Overlapped Channels- and Flow-Based End-to-End Channel Assignment for Multi-Radio Multi-Channel Wireless Mesh Networks

Capacity reduction is a major problem faced by wireless mesh networks. An efficient way to alleviate this problem is proper channel assignment. Current end-toend channel assignment schemes usually focus on the case where channels in distinct frequency bands are assigned to mesh access and backbone, but actually backbone network and access network can use the same IEEE 802.11 technology. Besides, these channel assignment schemes only utilize orthogonal channels to perform channel assignment, and the resulting network interference dramatically degrades network performance. Moreover, Internet-oriented traffic is considered only, and peerto-peer traffic is omitted, or vice versa. The traffic type does not match the practical network. In this paper, we explore how to exploit partially overlapped channels to perform endto-end channel assignment in order to achieve effective end-to-end flow transmissions. The proposed flow-based end-to-end channel assignment schemes can conquer the limitations aforementioned. Simulations reveal that loadaware channel assignment can be applied to networks with stable traffic load, and it can achieve near-optimal performance; Traffic-irrelevant channel assignment is suitable for networks with frequent change of traffic load,and it can achieve good balance between performance and overhead. Also, partially overlapped channels' capability of improving network performance is situation-dependent, they should be used carefully.

IMPROVED MODEL OF MULTIPATH TRAFFIC ASSIGNENT AND NODE ASSIGNENT ALGORITHM

In the paper, multipeth traffic assignment model is improved, a quick aI8orithm,Nede Assignment Algorithm, of this medel is presented, and some problems such as dispolof network, arransement of assigned nodes and determination of parameters are discussed

Combinatorial Model Involving Mixed Deterministic Freight Volume Distribution and User's Equilibrium Assignment

Considering characteristics of Chinese urban mixed traffic,the author develops a combinatorial model involving the mixed deterministic traffic volume distribution and user's equilibrium (UE) assignment on the basis of symmetrical link travel time function (or deterrence).Its uniqueness and equivalance to the Wardropian principle of UE are also proved.Finally,we give the algorithm of model.

面向动态交通分配的交通需求深度学习预测方法

为满足动态交通分配对高精度、高时效性交通需求的要求,本文建立了一种交通需求深度学习预测方法。根据动态交通分配要求确定交通需求数据的时间间隔,构建对复杂交通需求预测性能较优的长短期记忆神经网络预测方法;针对动态交通分配中交通需求的周期性、随机性和非线性等特征,为减少数据噪声的干扰,引入局部加权回归周期趋势分解方法将交通需求数据分解,将其中的趋势分量和余项分量作为深度学习预测方法的输入量,周期分量采用周期估计进行预测;选用具有随机寻优能力强、寻优效率高等特点的布谷鸟寻优算法优化预测方法的隐藏层单元数量、学习速率和训练迭代次数等核心参数。应用西安市长安区的卡口车牌数据验证该方法。结果表明:本文模型的预测结果在高峰及平峰各连续4个时段内相比于自回归滑动平均模型、长短期记忆神经网络模型、支持向量回归模型,平均绝对误差降低了10.55%~19.80%,均方根误差降低了11.20%~17.99%,决定系数提升了8.62%~12.48%;相比遗传算法、粒子群算法优化的模型,平均绝对误差降低了7.36%~13.81%,均方根误差降低了4.23%~10.67%,决定系数提升了3.50%~7.01%,且本文模型运行时间最短。说明与对比模型相比,本文所建立的预测方法在面向动态交通分配的交通需求预测中具有更高的预测精度。

考虑CAV自主停车行为的混合交通均衡配流模型

为了评估网联自动驾驶汽车(CAV)的自主停车行为对交通系统效率的影响,建立了CAV通勤流、人工驾驶汽车(HDV)通勤流、CAV自主停车流3类交通流混行下的交通均衡配流模型.通过引入CAV停车需求内生变量,考虑CAV对路段通行能力的提升效应,从而定量描述CAV停车需求分布以及3类交通流在路段上混行的拥挤效应.分别采用用户均衡、随机用户均衡原则描述CAV、HDV出行者的路径选择行为,采用Logit离散选择模型描述自主停车CAV的停车场选择行为,由此建立多用户混合交通均衡条件以及等价的变分不等式(VI)模型.由于模型中CAV自主停车需求为未知的内生变量,提出一种改进的相继加权平均法求解该模型.最后,通过算例验证了混合交通均衡配流模型及求解算法的有效性.

考虑电力-交通耦合网动态协调的EV集群灵活性挖掘与优化调度

电动汽车(EV)作为兼具交通与能量双重属性的跨域主体,发挥其时空灵活性将助力电力-交通耦合网的协调运行。为此,文中考虑电力-交通耦合网综合效益,提出了EV集群调控策略。首先,基于弧阻抗函数构建了动态交通网络加载模型。其次,考虑EV用户的各特征参数存在的差异性与耦合性,构建了单体EV灵活运行域模型,并采用基于zonotope线性近似的闵可夫斯基和算法对其聚合,得到EV集群的时变灵活运行域。在此基础上,提出了动态交通流最优分配下EV集群灵活性调控的双层模型,迭代求解得到上下两层耦合变量构成的瞬时单位流量出行成本,从而引导EV的出行与充放电行为。最后,通过与最短路径引导策略进行比较,验证了所提EV集群调控策略的有效性。

时空行为视角下上海市早高峰拥堵的形成模式与规划应对

从时空行为视角溯源导致拥堵的出行原因,有助于理解拥堵形成的时空全过程。以上海市早高峰期间常发拥堵路段与机动车出行为研究对象,使用手机信令数据与交通态势数据进行交通流分配,还原出行的时空轨迹,从空间、时间、行为3个维度刻画早高峰拥堵形成的总体特征,解析具体路段的拥堵形成模式。发现拥堵的主要来源是沿内环、中环连片的居住密集区,去向主要集中在内环内的就业集中区;道路拥堵模式可归纳为“时空集中型”“出发集中型”“到达集中型”“时空分散型”4种主要类型;进而结合时空行为规划理论框架提出针对性的缓堵策略。从时空全过程视角认识道路拥堵的形成原因,可以为精细化的拥堵治理提供参考。

随机用户均衡准动态交通分配模型

动态交通分配问题是交通科学研究的热点和难点,将动态交通分配方法应用于大规模网络往往产生过高的计算成本。通过研究准动态交通分配问题,降低动态交通分配中时间的连续性和动态交通分配模型的复杂性。采用路段行程时间计算公式定义一种新的剩余交通需求计算方法;然后考虑剩余交通需求在时段之间的传播过程和出行者对路网的熟悉程度差异,建立基于Logit的随机用户均衡准动态交通分配模型,基于逐次平均法设计模型的求解算法。最后通过Braess网络和九节点网络说明模型的应用情况,并分析模型参数的敏感度,验证模型的合理性与算法的有效性。本研究丰富了交通科学基础理论,为交通政策的制定提供参考依据。

ETC门架数据驱动的高速公路差异化收费双层规划方法

针对传统收费导致高速公路经济效益低、运行效率差等问题,结合ETC(electronic toll collection)门架数据分析高速公路运行特点,提出一种基于双层规划的高速公路差异化定价模型。首先,获取高速公路ETC门架数据,分析交通量特点,初步确定所要实施的差异化收费方案。其次,构建双层规划模型,上层最大化高速公路经济效益,下层分析出行者出行行为并完成基于Logit模型的交通量分配。最后,以长深高速河北段为例展开实证分析,使用模拟退火算法求解出一种分车型分路段的差异化收费方案。结果表明:ETC门架数据能够充分分析高速公路的运营状态和运行特征,为精细化的高速公路差异化收费的研究提供强大的数据支撑;使用优化后的分车型分路段差异化收费方案后,高速经济利润提升32.3%,货车交通量增长42.2%,客车共增长36.8%;路段整体交通量增长38.6%,并且平行道路饱和度降低,拥挤状况得到缓解。

基于交通小区短时交通生成预测的城市道路网短时动态交通预测研究

城市道路周边用地性质的不同导致短时发生和吸引交通量的差异,直接影响城市道路网上的交通流。论文对城市路网中各地块的发生和吸引交通量进行短时预测,将预测的交通量通过动态交通分配到城市路网中,以此实现城市路网短时动态交通预测。将单一的BP神经网络模型为对比模型,对模型进行训练及参数标定,并检验模型的预测效果。实验结果表明,论文所提的预测方法与BP神经网络相比,预测精度最高可提升84.28%。