Groundwater is important for managing the water supply in agricultural countries like Bangladesh. Therefore, the ability to predict the changes of groundwater level is necessary for jointly planning the uses of ground...Groundwater is important for managing the water supply in agricultural countries like Bangladesh. Therefore, the ability to predict the changes of groundwater level is necessary for jointly planning the uses of groundwater resources. In this study, a new nonlinear autoregressive with exogenous inputs(NARX) network has been applied to simulate monthly groundwater levels in a well of Sylhet Sadar at a local scale. The Levenberg-Marquardt(LM) and Bayesian Regularization(BR) algorithms were used to train the NARX network, and the results were compared to determine the best architecture for predicting monthly groundwater levels over time. The comparison between LM and BR showed that NARX-BR has advantages over predicting monthly levels based on the Mean Squared Error(MSE), coefficient of determination(R^2), and Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient of efficiency(NSE). The results show that BR is the most accurate method for predicting groundwater levels with an error of ± 0.35 m. This method is applied to the management of irrigation water source, which provides important information for the prediction of local groundwater fluctuation at local level during a short period.展开更多
A numerical study on the multi-parameter control method based on nonlinear auto-regressive with exogenous input neural network （NARX） is presented here. Welding current was set as the input parameter; electrode disp...A numerical study on the multi-parameter control method based on nonlinear auto-regressive with exogenous input neural network （NARX） is presented here. Welding current was set as the input parameter; electrode displacement and dynamic resistance were set us the output parameters. The NARX model using these parameters was set up to simulate the multi-parameter resistance spot welding process. By comparing actual experimental data and NARX model output data, it was validated that the results from the model reflect the relationship between input parameter and output parameters correctly under the influence of many affecting factors.展开更多
文摘Groundwater is important for managing the water supply in agricultural countries like Bangladesh. Therefore, the ability to predict the changes of groundwater level is necessary for jointly planning the uses of groundwater resources. In this study, a new nonlinear autoregressive with exogenous inputs(NARX) network has been applied to simulate monthly groundwater levels in a well of Sylhet Sadar at a local scale. The Levenberg-Marquardt(LM) and Bayesian Regularization(BR) algorithms were used to train the NARX network, and the results were compared to determine the best architecture for predicting monthly groundwater levels over time. The comparison between LM and BR showed that NARX-BR has advantages over predicting monthly levels based on the Mean Squared Error(MSE), coefficient of determination(R^2), and Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient of efficiency(NSE). The results show that BR is the most accurate method for predicting groundwater levels with an error of ± 0.35 m. This method is applied to the management of irrigation water source, which provides important information for the prediction of local groundwater fluctuation at local level during a short period.
文摘A numerical study on the multi-parameter control method based on nonlinear auto-regressive with exogenous input neural network （NARX） is presented here. Welding current was set as the input parameter; electrode displacement and dynamic resistance were set us the output parameters. The NARX model using these parameters was set up to simulate the multi-parameter resistance spot welding process. By comparing actual experimental data and NARX model output data, it was validated that the results from the model reflect the relationship between input parameter and output parameters correctly under the influence of many affecting factors.
