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Spatial interpolation method based on integrated RBF neural networks for estimating heavy metals in soil of a mountain region 被引量:1
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作者 李宝磊 张榆锋 +2 位作者 施心陵 章克信 张俊华 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2015年第1期38-45,共8页
A novel spatial interpolation method based on integrated radial basis function artificial neural networks (IRBFANNs) is proposed to provide accurate and stable predictions of heavy metals concentrations in soil at u... A novel spatial interpolation method based on integrated radial basis function artificial neural networks (IRBFANNs) is proposed to provide accurate and stable predictions of heavy metals concentrations in soil at un- sampled sites in a mountain region. The IRBFANNs hybridize the advantages of the artificial neural networks and the neural networks integration approach. Three experimental projects under different sampling densities are carried out to study the performance of the proposed IRBFANNs-based interpolation method. This novel method is compared with six peer spatial interpolation methods based on the root mean square error and visual evaluation of the distribution maps of Mn elements. The experimental results show that the proposed method performs better in accuracy and stability. Moreover, the proposed method can provide more details in the spatial distribution maps than the compared interpolation methods in the cases of sparse sampling density. 展开更多
关键词 integrated radial basis function artificial neuralnetworks spatial interpolation soil heavy metals mountainregion
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用Matlab中的Neural Network Toolbox仿真赤道东太平洋SST的预报模型 被引量:3
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作者 张韧 蒋国荣 李妍 《海洋科学》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2001年第2期38-42,共5页
基于NCEP/NCAR再分析资料和COADS海洋资料中的全球月平均海平面气压场、850hPa纬向风场及海表温度场 ,利用Matlab中的NeuralNetworkToolbox仿真环境和BP模型改进算法比较准确地仿真和反演出了南方涛动指数、赤道纬向风指数和滞后的赤道... 基于NCEP/NCAR再分析资料和COADS海洋资料中的全球月平均海平面气压场、850hPa纬向风场及海表温度场 ,利用Matlab中的NeuralNetworkToolbox仿真环境和BP模型改进算法比较准确地仿真和反演出了南方涛动指数、赤道纬向风指数和滞后的赤道东太平洋海温之间的动力结构和预报模型。该模型具有很好的拟合精度和可行的预报效果 ,可在一定时效内预测赤道东太平洋月平均海温的变化趋势。由于所建系统是具有直接因果关系的预报模型 ,因此不仅可直接用于预测 。 展开更多
关键词 NEURALNETWORK 系统仿真反演 赤道东太平洋SST模
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Output-Feedback Based Simplified Optimized Backstepping Control for Strict-Feedback Systems with Input and State Constraints 被引量:7
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作者 Jiaxin Zhang Kewen Li Yongming Li 《IEEE/CAA Journal of Automatica Sinica》 SCIE EI CSCD 2021年第6期1119-1132,共14页
In this paper,an adaptive neural-network(NN)output feedback optimal control problem is studied for a class of strict-feedback nonlinear systems with unknown internal dynamics,input saturation and state constraints.Neu... In this paper,an adaptive neural-network(NN)output feedback optimal control problem is studied for a class of strict-feedback nonlinear systems with unknown internal dynamics,input saturation and state constraints.Neural networks are used to approximate unknown internal dynamics and an adaptive NN state observer is developed to estimate immeasurable states.Under the framework of the backstepping design,by employing the actor-critic architecture and constructing the tan-type Barrier Lyapunov function(BLF),the virtual and actual optimal controllers are developed.In order to accomplish optimal control effectively,a simplified reinforcement learning(RL)algorithm is designed by deriving the updating laws from the negative gradient of a simple positive function,instead of employing existing optimal control methods.In addition,to ensure that all the signals in the closed-loop system are bounded and the output can follow the reference signal within a bounded error,all state variables are confined within their compact sets all times.Finally,a simulation example is given to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed control strategy. 展开更多
关键词 Backstepping design immeasurable states neuralnetworks(NNs) optimal control state constraints
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WEIGHTED PSEUDO ALMOST-PERIODIC SOLUTIONS OF SHUNTING INHIBITORY CELLULAR NEURAL NETWORKS WITH MIXED DELAYS 被引量:1
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作者 Mohammed Salah M'HAMDI Chaouki AOUITI +2 位作者 Abderrahmane TOUATI Adel M. ALIMI Vaclav SNASEL 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 SCIE CSCD 2016年第6期1662-1682,共21页
In this paper, we prove the existence and the global exponential stability of the unique weighted pseudo almost-periodic solution of shunting inhibitory cellular neural networks with mixed time-varying delays comprisi... In this paper, we prove the existence and the global exponential stability of the unique weighted pseudo almost-periodic solution of shunting inhibitory cellular neural networks with mixed time-varying delays comprising different discrete and distributed time delays. Some sufficient conditions are given for the existence and the global exponential stability of the weighted pseudo almost-periodic solution by employing fixed point theorem and differential inequality techniques. The results of this paper complement the previously known ones. Finally, an illustrative example is given to demonstrate the effectiveness of our results. 展开更多
关键词 weighted pseudo almost-periodic solution shunting inhibitory cellular neuralnetworks mixed delays global exponential stability
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Classification of epilepsy using computational intelligence techniques 被引量:3
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作者 Khurram I. Qazi H.K. Lam +2 位作者 Bo Xiao Gaoxiang Ouyang Xunhe Yin 《CAAI Transactions on Intelligence Technology》 2016年第2期137-149,共13页
This paper deals with a real-life application of epilepsy classification, where three phases of absence seizure, namely pre-seizure, seizure and seizure-free, are classified using real clinical data. Artificial neural... This paper deals with a real-life application of epilepsy classification, where three phases of absence seizure, namely pre-seizure, seizure and seizure-free, are classified using real clinical data. Artificial neural network (ANN) and support vector machines (SVMs) combined with su- pervised learning algorithms, and k-means clustering (k-MC) combined with unsupervised techniques are employed to classify the three seizure phases. Different techniques to combine binary SVMs, namely One Vs One (OvO), One Vs All (OVA) and Binary Decision Tree (BDT), are employed for multiclass classification. Comparisons are performed with two traditional classification methods, namely, k-Nearest Neighbour (k- NN) and Naive Bayes classifier. It is concluded that SVM-based classifiers outperform the traditional ones in terms of recognition accuracy and robustness property when the original clinical data is distorted with noise. Furthermore, SVM-based classifier with OvO provides the highest recognition accuracy, whereas ANN-based classifier overtakes by demonstrating maximum accuracy in the presence of noise. 展开更多
关键词 Absence seizure Discrete wavelet transform Epilepsy classification Feature extraction k-means clustering k-nearest neighbours Naive Bayes neuralnetworks Support vector machines
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Fault Diagnosis for a Diesel Valve Train Based on Time-Freq uency Analysis and Probabilistic Neural Networks
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作者 WANGCheng-dong WEIRui-xuan +1 位作者 ZHANGYou-yun XIAYong 《International Journal of Plant Engineering and Management》 2004年第3期155-163,共9页
The cone-shaped kernel distributions of vibration acceleration signals, whichwere acquired from the cylinder head in eight different states of a valve train, were calculatedand displayed in grey images. Probabilistic ... The cone-shaped kernel distributions of vibration acceleration signals, whichwere acquired from the cylinder head in eight different states of a valve train, were calculatedand displayed in grey images. Probabilistic Neural Networks ( PAW) was used to classify the imagesdirectly after the images were normalized. By this way, the problem of fault diagnosis for a valvetrain was transferred to the classification of time-frequency images. As there is no need to extractfeatures from time-frequency images before classification, the fault diagnosis process is highlysimplified. The experimental results show that the vibration signals can be classified accurately bythe proposed methods. 展开更多
关键词 diesel engine fault diagnosis time-frequency analysis probabilistic neuralnetworks
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Global Exponential Stability Analysis of a Class of Dynamical Neural Networks
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作者 Jin-Liang Shao Ting-Zhu Huang 《Journal of Electronic Science and Technology of China》 2009年第2期171-174,共4页
The problem of the global exponential stability of a class of Hopfield neural networks is considered. Based on nonnegative matrix theory, a sufficient condition for the existence, uniqueness and global exponential sta... The problem of the global exponential stability of a class of Hopfield neural networks is considered. Based on nonnegative matrix theory, a sufficient condition for the existence, uniqueness and global exponential stability of the equilibrium point is presented. And the upper bound for the degree of exponential stability is given. Moreover, a simulation is given to show the effectiveness of the result. 展开更多
关键词 Index Terms-Global exponential stability neuralnetworks nonnegative matrix.
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Comprehensive Analysis and Artificial Intelligent Simulation of Land Subsidence of Beijing, China 被引量:6
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作者 ZHU Lin GONG Huili +3 位作者 LI Xiaojuan LI Yongyong SU Xiaosi GUO Gaoxuan 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2013年第2期237-248,共12页
Mechanism and modeling of the land subsidence are complex because of the complicate geological background in Beijing, China. This paper analyzed the spatial relationship between land subsidence and three factors, incl... Mechanism and modeling of the land subsidence are complex because of the complicate geological background in Beijing, China. This paper analyzed the spatial relationship between land subsidence and three factors, including the change of groundwater level, the thickness of compressible sediments and the building area by using remote sensing and GIS tools in the upper-middle part of alluvial-proluvial plain fan of the Chaobai River in Beijing. Based on the spatial analysis of the land subsidence and three factors, there exist significant non-linear relationship between the vertical displacement and three factors. The Back Propagation Neural Network (BPN) model combined with Genetic Algorithm (GA) was used to simulate regional distribution of the land subsidence. Results showed that at field scale, the groundwater level and land subsidence showed a significant linear relationship. However, at regional scale, the spatial distribution of groundwater depletion funnel did not overlap with the land subsidence funnel. As to the factor of compressible strata, the places with the biggest compressible strata thickness did not have the largest vertical displacement. The distributions of building area and land subsidence have no obvious spatial relationships. The BPN-GA model simulation results illustrated that the accuracy of the trained model during fifty years is acceptable with an error of 51% of verification data less than 20 mm and the average of the absolute error about 32 mm. The BPN model could be utilized to simulate the general distribution of land subsidence in the study area. Overall, this work contributes to better understand the complex relationship between the land subsidence and three influencing factors. And the distribution of the land subsidence can be simulated by the trained BPN-GA model with the limited available dada and acceptable accuracy. 展开更多
关键词 land subsidence groundwater level change compressible sediments thickness building area Back Propagation NeuralNetwork and Genetic Algorithm (BPN-GA) model
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Non-linear Chemical Process Modelling and Application in Epichlorhydrine Production Plant Using Wavelet Networks 被引量:3
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作者 黄德先 金以慧 +1 位作者 张杰 A.J.Morris 《Chinese Journal of Chemical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2002年第4期435-443,共9页
A type of wavelet neural network, in which the scale function isadopted only, is proposed in this paper for non-linear dynamicprocess modelling. Its network size is decreased significantly andthe weight coefficients c... A type of wavelet neural network, in which the scale function isadopted only, is proposed in this paper for non-linear dynamicprocess modelling. Its network size is decreased significantly andthe weight coefficients can be estimated by a linear algorithm. Thewavelet neural network holds some advantages superior to other typesof neural networks. First, its network structure is easy to specifybased on its theoretical analysis and intuition. Secondly, networktraining does not rely on stochastic gradient type techniques andavoids the problem of poor convergence or undesirable local minima. 展开更多
关键词 WAVELET neural network non-linear system identification hybrid neuralnetwork
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Optimization of the End Effect of Hilbert-Huang transform(HHT) 被引量:4
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作者 Chenhuan Lv Jun ZHAO +2 位作者 Chao WU Tiantai GUO Hongjiang CHEN 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2017年第3期732-745,共14页
In fault diagnosis of rotating machinery, Hil- bert-Huang transform (HHT) is often used to extract the fault characteristic signal and analyze decomposition results in time-frequency domain. However, end effect occu... In fault diagnosis of rotating machinery, Hil- bert-Huang transform (HHT) is often used to extract the fault characteristic signal and analyze decomposition results in time-frequency domain. However, end effect occurs in HHT, which leads to a series of problems such as modal aliasing and false IMF (Intrinsic Mode Func- tion). To counter such problems in HHT, a new method is put forward to process signal by combining the general- ized regression neural network (GRNN) with the bound- ary local characteristic-scale continuation (BLCC). Firstly, the improved EMD (Empirical Mode Decompo- sition) method is used to inhibit the end effect problem that appeared in conventional EMD. Secondly, the gen- erated IMF components are used in HHT. Simulation and measurement experiment for the cases of time domain, frequency domain and related parameters of Hilbert- Huang spectrum show that the method described here can restrain the end effect compared with the results obtained through mirror continuation, as the absolute percentage of the maximum mean of the beginning end point offset and the terminal point offset are reduced from 30.113% and 27.603% to 0.510% and 6.039% respectively, thus reducing the modal aliasing, and eliminating the false IMF components of HHT. The proposed method caneffectively inhibit end effect, reduce modal aliasing and false IMF components, and show the real structure of signal components accuratelX. 展开更多
关键词 End effect Hilbert-Huang transform (HHT)Modal aliasing Boundary local characteristic-scalecontinuation (BLCC) Generalized regression neuralnetwork (GRNN)
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Study on Process Parameters Optimization of Sheet Metal Forming Based on PFEA/ANN/GA
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作者 Juhua HUANG Jinjun RAO Xuefeng LI 《Journal of Materials Science & Technology》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2003年第z1期9-12,共4页
Sheet metal forming is widely applied to automobile, aviation, space flight, ship, instrument, and appliance industries.In this paper, based on analyzing the shortcoming of general finite element analysis (FEA), the c... Sheet metal forming is widely applied to automobile, aviation, space flight, ship, instrument, and appliance industries.In this paper, based on analyzing the shortcoming of general finite element analysis (FEA), the conception of parametric finite element analysis (PFEA) is presented. The parametric finite element analysis, artificial neural networks(ANN) and genetic algorithm (GA) are combined to research thoroughly on the problems of process parametersoptimization of sheet metal forming. The author programs the optimization scheme and applies it in a research ofoptimization problem of inside square hole flanging technological parameters. The optimization result coincides wellwith the result of experiment. The research shows that the optimization scheme offers a good new way in die designand sheet metal forming field. 展开更多
关键词 Sheet metal forming Optimization PARAMETRIC finite element analysis Artificial neuralnetwork GENETIC algorithm
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A new formant feature and its application in Mandarin vowel pronunciation quality assessment
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作者 卢小春 潘复平 +1 位作者 尹俊勋 胡维平 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2013年第12期3573-3581,共9页
In order to improve the Mandarin vowel pronunciation quality assessment, a nox/el formant feature was proposed and applied to formant classification for Chinese Mandarin vowel pronunciation quality evaluation. Formant... In order to improve the Mandarin vowel pronunciation quality assessment, a nox/el formant feature was proposed and applied to formant classification for Chinese Mandarin vowel pronunciation quality evaluation. Formant candidates of each frame were plotted on the time-frequency plane to form a bitmap, and its Gabor feature was extracted to represent the formant trajectory. The feature was then classified by using GMM model and the classification posterior probability was mapped to pronunciation quality grade. The experiments of comparing the Gabor transformation based formant trajectory feature with several other kinds of traditionally used features show that with this method, a human-machine scoring correlation coefficient (CC) of 0.842 can be achieved, which is better than the result of 0.832 by traditional speech recognition techniques. At the same time, considering that the long-term information of formant classification and the short-term information of speech recognition technique are complementary to each other, it is investigated to combine their results with linear or nonlinear methods to further improve the evaluation performance. As a result, experiments on PSK show that the best CC of 0.913, which is very close to the correlation of inter-human rating of 0.94, is gotten by using neural network. 展开更多
关键词 computer assisted language learning speech recognition Gaussian mixture model FORMANT Gabor feature NEURALNETWORK
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Off-Line Signature Recognition Based on Angle Features and Artificial Neural Network Algorithm
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作者 Laila Y.Fannas Ahmed Y.Ben Sasi 《Journal of Electronic Science and Technology》 CAS 2014年第1期85-89,共5页
Handwritten signature recognition is presented based on an angle feature vector by using the artificial neural network (ANN) in this research. Each signature image will be represented by an angle vector. The feature... Handwritten signature recognition is presented based on an angle feature vector by using the artificial neural network (ANN) in this research. Each signature image will be represented by an angle vector. The feature vector will constitute the input to the ANN. The collection of signature images is divided into two sets. One set will be used for training the ANN in a supervised fashion. The other set which is never seen by the ANN will be used for testing. After training, the ANN will be tested by recognizing the signatures. When a signature is classified correctly, it is considered correct recognition, otherwise it is a failure. The achieved recognition rate of this system is 94%. 展开更多
关键词 Angle features artificial neuralnetwork signature recognition.
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ESTIMATION OF ROCK-AGGREGATE VOLUME BASED ON PCA AND LM-OPTIMIZED NEURAL NETWORK
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作者 Zhao Pan Chen Ken Wang Yicong Zhang Yun 《Journal of Electronics(China)》 2009年第6期825-830,共6页
In granule processing industries, acquisition of particle size and shape parameters is a common procedure, and volumetric measurement is of great importance in dealing with particle sizing and gradation. To eradicate ... In granule processing industries, acquisition of particle size and shape parameters is a common procedure, and volumetric measurement is of great importance in dealing with particle sizing and gradation. To eradicate the major drawbacks with manual gauge, this paper proposes an optical approach using Back Propagation (BP) neural network to estimate the particle volume based on the two-Dimensional (2D) image information. To achieve the better network efficiency and structure simplicity, Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is adopted to reduce the dimensions of network inputs To overcome the shortcomings of generic BP network for being slow to converge and vulnerable to being trapped in local minimum, Levenberg-Marquardt (LM) algorithm is applied to achieve a higher speed and a lower error rate. The real particle data is utilized in training and testing the presented network. The experimental result suggests that the proposed neural network is capable of estimating aggregate volume with satisfactory precision and superior to the generic BP network in terms of perforxnance capacity. 展开更多
关键词 Particle image Particle parameters Principal Component Analysis (PCA) NEURALNETWORK Volume estimation
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Studying of Physical-Mechanical Properties of Rocks of Geological Section Considering the Influences of Recent Geodynamics
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作者 Hatam Hldayat Guhyev Khanlar Boyukaga Aghayev 《Journal of Chemistry and Chemical Engineering》 2013年第5期441-455,共15页
The method of determination of elastic moduli of the geological section rocks had been developed in real conditions. The method is based on application of non-classically linearized theory of elastic waves' propagati... The method of determination of elastic moduli of the geological section rocks had been developed in real conditions. The method is based on application of non-classically linearized theory of elastic waves' propagation in the deformable media and utilization of neural networks when creating the geoseismic model. It is proposed to forecast the thin-layer model of medium by velocities of the shear waves on the base of seismic inversion of 2D profile by neural networks and geophysical well logging data. The method had been tested on materials of geophysical well logging data and 2D seismic profile related to one of the structures in the South-Caspian depression. The specific results for Poisson coefficient and elastic moduli of the third order had been obtained. The mentioned method can also be applied to forecast of other physical-mechanical properties of the medium. 展开更多
关键词 Time section velocities of compressional and shear waves elastic moduli non-classical theory of deformations NEURALNETWORK cluster analysis.
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Shallow Convolutional Neural Networks for Acoustic Scene Classification 被引量:3
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作者 LU Lu YANG Yuhong +2 位作者 JIANG Yuzhi AI Haojun TU Weiping 《Wuhan University Journal of Natural Sciences》 CAS CSCD 2018年第2期178-184,共7页
Recently, deep neural networks, which include convolutional neural networks(CNNs), have been widely applied to acoustic scene classification(ASC). Motivated by the fact that some simplified CNNs have shown improve... Recently, deep neural networks, which include convolutional neural networks(CNNs), have been widely applied to acoustic scene classification(ASC). Motivated by the fact that some simplified CNNs have shown improvements over deep CNNs, such as Visual Geometry Group Net(VGG-Net), we have figured out how to simplify the VGG-Net style architecture to a shallow CNN with improved performance. Max pooling and batch normalization are also applied for better accuracy. With a series of controlled tests on detection and classification of acoustic scenes and events(DCASE) 2016 data sets, our shallow CNN achieves 6.7% improvement, and reduces time complexity to 5%, compared with the VGG-Net style CNN. 展开更多
关键词 acoustic scene classification convolutional neuralnetworks Mel-spectrogram
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On-Line Fast Motor Fault Diagnostics Based on Fuzzy Neural Networks 被引量:1
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作者 董名垂 郑德信 陈思亮 《Tsinghua Science and Technology》 EI CAS 2009年第2期225-233,共9页
An on-line method was developed to improve diagnostic accuracy and speed for analyzing run- ning motors on site. On-line pre-measured data was used as the basis for constructing the membership functions used in a fuzz... An on-line method was developed to improve diagnostic accuracy and speed for analyzing run- ning motors on site. On-line pre-measured data was used as the basis for constructing the membership functions used in a fuzzy neural network (FNN) as well as for network training to reduce the effects of various static factors, such as unbalanced input power and asymmetrical motor alignment, to increase accuracy. The preprocessed data and fuzzy logic were used to find the nonlinear mapping relationships between the data and the conclusions, The FNN was then constructed to carry motor fault diagnostics, which gives fast accurate diagnostics. The on-line fast motor fault diagnostics clearly indicate the fault type, location, and severity in running motors. This approach can also be extended to other applications. 展开更多
关键词 fault detection and isolation gravity-average method supervisory learning fuzzy neuralnetworks
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Exponential distance distribution of connected neurons in simulations of two-dimensional in vitro neural network development
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作者 Zhi-Song Lv Chen-Ping Zhu +4 位作者 Pei Nie Jing Zhao Hui-Jie Yang Yan-Jun Wang Chin-Kun Hu 《Frontiers of physics》 SCIE CSCD 2017年第3期133-138,共6页
The distribution of the geometric distances of connected neurons is a practical factor underlying neural networks in the brain. It can affect the brain's dynamic properties at the ground level. Karbowski derived a po... The distribution of the geometric distances of connected neurons is a practical factor underlying neural networks in the brain. It can affect the brain's dynamic properties at the ground level. Karbowski derived a power-law decay distribution that has not yet been verified by experiment. In this work, we check its validity using simulations with a phenomenological model. Based on the in vitro two- dimensional development of neural networks in culture vessels by Ito, we match the synapse number saturation time to obtain suitable parameters for the development process, then determine the distri-bution of distances between connected neurons under such conditions. Our simulations obtain a clear exponential distribution instead of a power-law one, which indicates that Karbowski's conclusion is invalid, at least for the case of in vitro neural network development in two-dimensional culture vessels. 展开更多
关键词 distance distribution connected neurons DEVELOPMENT EXPONENTIAL POWER-LAW neuralnetworks complex systems
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Ultimate Strength Prediction of Carbon/Epoxy Tensile Specimens from Acoustic Emission Data
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作者 V.Arumugam R.Naren Shankar +1 位作者 B.T.N.Sridhar A.Joseph Stanley 《Journal of Materials Science & Technology》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2010年第8期725-729,共5页
The objective of this paper was to predict the residual strength of post impacted carbon/epoxy composite laminates using an online acoustic emission (AE) monitoring and artificial neural networks (ANN). The lamina... The objective of this paper was to predict the residual strength of post impacted carbon/epoxy composite laminates using an online acoustic emission (AE) monitoring and artificial neural networks (ANN). The laminates were made from eight-layered carbon (in woven mat form) with epoxy as the binding medium by hand lay-up technique and cured at a pressure of 100 kg/cm2 under room temperature using a 30 ton capacity compression molding machine for 24 h. 21 tensile specimens (ASTM D3039 standard) were cut from the cross ply laminates. 16 specimens were subjected to impact load from three different heights using a Fractovis Plus drop impact tester. Both impacted and non-impacted specimens were subjected to uniaxial tension under the acoustic emission monitoring using a 100 kN FIE servo hydraulic universal testing machine. The dominant AE parameters such as counts, energy, duration, rise time and amplitude are recorded during monitoring. Cumulative counts corresponding to the amplitude ranges obtained during the tensile testing are used to train the network. This network can be used to predict the failure load of a similar specimen subjected to uniaxial tension under acoustic emission monitoring for certain percentage of the average failure load. 展开更多
关键词 Acoustic emission (AE) Carbon/epoxy laminate Tensile testing Artificial neuralnetworks
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A Comparison of Three Kinds of Multimodel Ensemble Forecast Techniques Based on the TIGGE Data 被引量:41
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作者 智协飞 祁海霞 +1 位作者 白永清 林春泽 《Acta meteorologica Sinica》 SCIE 2012年第1期41-51,共11页
Based on the ensemble mean outputs of the ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts), JMA (Japan Meteorological Agency), NCEP (National Centers for Environmental Predic... Based on the ensemble mean outputs of the ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts), JMA (Japan Meteorological Agency), NCEP (National Centers for Environmental Prediction), and UKMO (United Kingdom Met Office) in THORPEX (The Observing System Research and Predictability Experiment) Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE) datasets, for the Northern Hemisphere (10~ 87.5~N, 0~ 360~) from i June 2007 to 31 August 2007, this study carried out multimodel ensemble forecasts of surface temperature and 500-hPa geopotential height, temperature and winds up to 168 h by using the bias-removed ensemble mean (BREM), the multiple linear regression based superensemble (LRSUP), and the neural network based superensemble (NNSUP) techniques for the forecast period from 8 to 31 August 2007. A running training period is used for BREM and LRSUP ensemble forecast techniques. It is found that BREM and LRSUP, at each grid point, have different optimal lengths of the training period. In general, the optimal training period for BREM is less than 30 days in most areas, while for LRSUP it is about 45 days. 展开更多
关键词 multimodel superensemble bias-removed ensemble mean multiple linear regression NEURALNETWORK running training period TIGGE
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