Compensating for photovoltaic(PV)power forecast errors is an important function of energy storage systems.As PV power outputs have strong random fluctuations and uncertainty,it is difficult to satisfy the grid-connect...Compensating for photovoltaic(PV)power forecast errors is an important function of energy storage systems.As PV power outputs have strong random fluctuations and uncertainty,it is difficult to satisfy the grid-connection requirements using fixed energy storage capacity configuration methods.In this paper,a method of configuring energy storage capacity is proposed based on the uncertainty of PV power generation.A k-means clustering algorithm is used to classify weather types based on differences in solar irradiance.The power forecast errors in different weather types are analyzed,and an energy storage system is used to compensate for the errors.The kernel density estimation is used to fit the distributions of the daily maximum power and maximum capacity requirements of the energy storage system;the power and capacity of the energy storage unit are calculated at different confidence levels.The optimized energy storage configuration of a PV plant is presented according to the calculated degrees of power and capacity satisfaction.The proposed method was validated using actual operating data from a PV power station.The results indicated that the required energy storage can be significantly reduced while compensating for power forecast errors.展开更多
This paper deals with power quality improvement using a three-phase active power filter(APF) connected to a PV power system. A direct power control(DPC) approach is proposed to eliminate harmonic current caused by any...This paper deals with power quality improvement using a three-phase active power filter(APF) connected to a PV power system. A direct power control(DPC) approach is proposed to eliminate harmonic current caused by any nonlinear loads and at the same time guarantees the delivery of a part of the load request from the same PV source. A boost converter is used for maximum power point(MPP) tracking purposes under various climate conditions through a fuzzy logic technique. The suggested study is tested under a MATLAB/Simulink environment. The obtained results depict the efficacy of the proposed procedures to meet the IEEE 519-1992 standard recommendation on harmonic levels.展开更多
In order to fully comprehend the developing status of wind power and photovoltaic (PV) power generation, a special investigation on the integration of wind power and PV power was launched by the agencies of the State ...In order to fully comprehend the developing status of wind power and photovoltaic (PV) power generation, a special investigation on the integration of wind power and PV power was launched by the agencies of the State Electricity Regulatory Commission (SERC) throughout China during July-October 2010. This report is completed based on the investigation along with routine supervisory and management programs. There are totally 573 wind power projects and 94 PV power projects involved. Existing problems in these projects are pointed out and proposals for regulation are put forward.展开更多
The energy assessment of the PV power systems is carried out by using different types of performance indicators that benchmark the output of these systems against the PV panel maximum output at hypothetical operation ...The energy assessment of the PV power systems is carried out by using different types of performance indicators that benchmark the output of these systems against the PV panel maximum output at hypothetical operation conditions. In this paper, a comparative analysis of six types of performance indicators is conducted and a new performance indicator which considers PV panel slope and orientation is proposed. The proposed indicator is benchmarking the PV system actual output against the maximum output of the same system if it would operate in two axis tracking mode. The proposed performance indicator is used to develop a friendly user calculator of PV system output that can be used by, energy providers and PV system installers to evaluate the output of the PV grid connect network. The advantage of the developed calculator is high-lighted by a case study that estimates energy capacity of different residential rooftop PV systems installed in a residential suburb in Sydney.展开更多
A photovoltaic (PV) string with multiple modules with bypass diodes frequently deployed on a variety of autonomous PV systems may present multiple power peaks under uneven shading. For optimal solar harvesting, there ...A photovoltaic (PV) string with multiple modules with bypass diodes frequently deployed on a variety of autonomous PV systems may present multiple power peaks under uneven shading. For optimal solar harvesting, there is a need for a control schema to force the PV string to operate at global maximum power point (GMPP). While a lot of tracking methods have been proposed in the literature, they are usually complex and do not fully take advantage of the available characteristics of the PV array. This work highlights how the voltage at operating point and the forward voltage of the bypass diode are considered to design a global maximum power point tracking (GMPPT) algorithm with a very limited global search phase called Fast GMPPT. This algorithm successfully tracks GMPP between 94% and 98% of the time under a theoretical evaluation. It is then compared against Perturb and Observe, Deterministic Particle Swarm Optimization, and Grey Wolf Optimization under a sequence of irradiance steps as well as a power-over-voltage characteristics profile that mimics the electrical characteristics of a PV string under varying partial shading conditions. Overall, the simulation with the sequence of irradiance steps shows that while Fast GMPPT does not have the best convergence time, it has an excellent convergence rate as well as causes the least amount of power loss during the global search phase. Experimental test under varying partial shading conditions shows that while the GMPPT proposal is simple and lightweight, it is very performant under a wide range of dynamically varying partial shading conditions and boasts the best energy efficiency (94.74%) out of the 4 tested algorithms.展开更多
India is highly dependent on solar photovoltaics(PV)to harness its vast solar resource potential and combat climate change.However,∼90%of the installed PV capacity in India is concentrated in the top nine states,with...India is highly dependent on solar photovoltaics(PV)to harness its vast solar resource potential and combat climate change.However,∼90%of the installed PV capacity in India is concentrated in the top nine states,with the remaining states lagging behind.The research reveals that during monsoons,heavy cloud cover and rain lead to high solar resource variability,intermittency and the risk of very low PV generation,which can result in reliability issues in future PV-dominated electricity grids.Although energy storage can help in overcoming high intermittency,there are multiple challenges associated with it.The novelty of this study lies in demonstrating the benefits of combining multiple PV sites in various regions to mitigate the risks of low PV generation and high variability.The variability of individual sites was found to be up to∼3.5 times higher than the variability of combined generation.During noon,prominent solar park sites like Bhadla and NP Kunta experience a decrease in power generation to values as low as∼10%of the rated PV capacity.However,the minimum generation of the large-scale dispersed PV generation is>30%.Furthermore,the research identifies other benefits of dispersing PV generation across the country,viz.,reduction of seasonal variability by adding PV capacity in the southern region,widening of the PV generation span,more room for PV capacity addition,reduction in storage and ramping needs,utilization of hydroelectric potential of the north-east and PV potential of Ladakh,and creating opportunities for sustainable development in rural agrarian regions through agrivoltaics.展开更多
The development of vehicle integrated photovoltaics-powered electric vehicles (VIPV-EV) significantly reduces CO<sub>2</sub> emissions from the transport sector to realize a decarbonized society. Although ...The development of vehicle integrated photovoltaics-powered electric vehicles (VIPV-EV) significantly reduces CO<sub>2</sub> emissions from the transport sector to realize a decarbonized society. Although long-distance driving of VIPV-EV without electricity charging is expected in sunny regions, driving distance of VIPV-EV is affected by climate conditions such as solar irradiation and temperature rise of PV modules. In this paper, detailed analytical results for effects of climate conditions such as solar irradiation and temperature rise of PV modules upon driving distance of the VIPV-EV were presented by using test data for Toyota Prius and Nissan Van demonstration cars installed with high-efficiency InGaP/GaAs/InGaAs 3-junction solar cell modules with a module efficiency of more than 30%. The temperature rise of some PV modules studied in this study was shown to be expressed by some coefficients related to solar irradiation, wind speed and radiative cooling. The potential of VIPV-EV to be deployed in 10 major cities was also analyzed. Although sunshine cities such as Phoenix show the high reduction ratio of driving range with 17% due to temperature rise of VIPV modules, populous cities such as Tokyo show low reduction ratio of 9%. It was also shown in this paper that the difference between the driving distance of VIPV-EV driving in the morning and the afternoon is due to PV modules’ radiative cooling. In addition, the importance of heat dissipation of PV modules and the development of high-efficiency PV modules with better temperature coefficients was suggested in order to expand driving range of VIPV-EV. The effects of air-conditioner usage and partial shading in addition to the effects of temperature rise of VIPV modules were suggested as the other power losses of VIPV-EV.展开更多
This paper presents a hybrid approach for the forecasting of electricity production in microgrids with solar photovoltaic(PV)installations.An accurate PV power generation forecasting tool essentially addresses the iss...This paper presents a hybrid approach for the forecasting of electricity production in microgrids with solar photovoltaic(PV)installations.An accurate PV power generation forecasting tool essentially addresses the issues resulting from the intermittent and uncertain nature of solar power to ensure efficient and reliable system operation.A day-ahead,hourly mean PV power generation forecasting method based on a combination of genetic algorithm(GA),particle swarm optimization(PSO)and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference systems(ANFIS)is presented in this study.Binary GA with Gaussian process regression model based fitness function is used to determine important input parameters that significantly influence the amount of output power of a PV generation plant;and an integrated hybrid algorithm combining GA and PSO is used to optimize an ANFIS based PV power forecasting model for the plant.The proposed modeling technique is tested based on power generation data obtained from Goldwind microgrid system found in Beijing.Forecasting results demonstrate the superior performance of the proposed method as compared with commonly used forecasting approaches.The proposed approach outperformed existing artificial neural network(ANN),linear regression(LR),and persistence based forecasting models,validating its effectiveness.展开更多
Because of system constraints caused by the external environment and grid faults,the conventional maximum power point tracking(MPPT)and inverter control methods of a PV power generation system cannot achieve optimal p...Because of system constraints caused by the external environment and grid faults,the conventional maximum power point tracking(MPPT)and inverter control methods of a PV power generation system cannot achieve optimal power output.They can also lead to misjudgments and poor dynamic performance.To address these issues,this paper proposes a new MPPT method of PV modules based on model predictive control(MPC)and a finite control set model predictive current control(FCS-MPCC)of an inverter.Using the identification model of PV arrays,the module-based MPC controller is designed,and maximum output power is achieved by coordinating the optimal combination of spectral wavelength and module temperature.An FCS-MPCC algorithm is then designed to predict the inverter current under different voltage vectors,the optimal voltage vector is selected according to the optimal value function,and the corresponding optimal switching state is applied to power semiconductor devices of the inverter.The MPPT performance of the MPC controller and the responses of the inverter under different constraints are verified,and the steady-state and dynamic control effects of the inverter using FCS-MPCC are compared with the traditional feedforward decoupling PI control in Matlab/Simulink.The results show that MPC has better tracking performance under constraints,and the system has faster and more accurate dynamic response and flexibility than conventional PI control.展开更多
Photovoltaic(PV) power generation is characterized by randomness and intermittency due to weather changes.Consequently, large-scale PV power connections to the grid can threaten the stable operation of the power syste...Photovoltaic(PV) power generation is characterized by randomness and intermittency due to weather changes.Consequently, large-scale PV power connections to the grid can threaten the stable operation of the power system. An effective method to resolve this problem is to accurately predict PV power. In this study, an innovative short-term hybrid prediction model(i.e., HKSL) of PV power is established. The model combines K-means++, optimal similar day approach,and long short-term memory(LSTM) network. Historical power data and meteorological factors are utilized. This model searches for the best similar day based on the results of classifying weather types. Then, the data of similar day are inputted into the LSTM network to predict PV power. The validity of the hybrid model is verified based on the datasets from a PV power station in Shandong Province, China. Four evaluation indices, mean absolute error, root mean square error(RMSE),normalized RMSE, and mean absolute deviation, are employed to assess the performance of the HKSL model. The RMSE of the proposed model compared with those of Elman, LSTM, HSE(hybrid model combining similar day approach and Elman), HSL(hybrid model combining similar day approach and LSTM), and HKSE(hybrid model combining K-means++,similar day approach, and LSTM) decreases by 66.73%, 70.22%, 65.59%, 70.51%, and 18.40%, respectively. This proves the reliability and excellent performance of the proposed hybrid model in predicting power.展开更多
The application of PV faades emerges greatly in recent years and however its calculation methods and analysis remains insufficient under the weather conditions of China. In such demand,this paper investigates PV fa...The application of PV faades emerges greatly in recent years and however its calculation methods and analysis remains insufficient under the weather conditions of China. In such demand,this paper investigates PV faade in terms of PV electricity generation in different arrangements and weather conditions of four major cities in China. The calculation models for PV faade are developed and validated by comparing the results with the measured data from the field experiments. A parametric study is carried out to provide a reference for the optimal design of the PV faades. The results show that with various cities,building orientations,building forms,materials and arrangements of PV modules,there is a distinct difference in the electrical output energy of PV faades. Weather conditions play a very important role in terms of PV generation performance of PV faades.展开更多
面对居民日益增长的生活热水和电能需求,光伏/光热(photovoltaic/thermal,PV/T)技术的应用可以降低建筑运行时的能源消耗。本文介绍了一种太阳能PV/T光储直驱热电联产(combined heat and power,CHP)系统,为了减少系统运行过程中的能量损...面对居民日益增长的生活热水和电能需求,光伏/光热(photovoltaic/thermal,PV/T)技术的应用可以降低建筑运行时的能源消耗。本文介绍了一种太阳能PV/T光储直驱热电联产(combined heat and power,CHP)系统,为了减少系统运行过程中的能量损失,采用直流压缩机和储能电池,并在兰州地区对系统的运行性能开展了实验测试。研究结果表明,PV/T系统的光伏板温度相比传统PV组件温度平均降低12.26℃,平均发电效率相对提升8.1%。在将24.4~27.2℃的水加热到50.1~50.7℃的过程中,平均性能系数(coefficient of performance,COP)可达到5.48,相比传统空气源热泵热水器提高82.1%~106.8%。平均集热效率和综合效率分别为37.30%和71.24%,PV/T系统的发电量和耗电量分别为3.33kWh和1.69kWh,发电量相比PV系统提高5.7%。太阳能PV/T光储直驱热电联产系统可以减少建筑部门的能源消耗,并提升PV/T系统的发电效率和综合效率,在晴天条件下可以实现离网运行。展开更多
This study presents a robust design method for autonomous photovoltaic (PV)-wind hybrid power systems to obtain an optimum system configuration insensitive to design variable variations. This issue has been formulated...This study presents a robust design method for autonomous photovoltaic (PV)-wind hybrid power systems to obtain an optimum system configuration insensitive to design variable variations. This issue has been formulated as a constraint multi-objective optimization problem, which is solved by a multi-objective genetic algorithm, NSGA-II. Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) method, combined with Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS), is applied to evaluate the stochastic system performance. The potential of the proposed method has been demonstrated by a conceptual system design. A comparative study between the proposed robust method and the deterministic method presented in literature has been conducted. The results indicate that the proposed method can find a large mount of Pareto optimal system configurations with better compromising performance than the deterministic method. The trade-off information may be derived by a systematical comparison of these configurations. The proposed robust design method should be useful for hybrid power systems that require both optimality and robustness.展开更多
Maximum power point tracking (MPPT) controllers play an important role in photovoltaic systems. They maximize the output power of a PV array for a given set of conditions. This paper presents an overview of the differ...Maximum power point tracking (MPPT) controllers play an important role in photovoltaic systems. They maximize the output power of a PV array for a given set of conditions. This paper presents an overview of the different MPPT techniques. Each technique is evaluated on its ability to detect multiple maxima, convergence speed, ease of implementation, efficiency over a wide output power range, and cost of implementation. The perturbation and observation (P & O), and incremental conductance (IC) algorithms are widely used techniques, with many variants and optimization techniques reported. For this reason, this paper evaluates the performance of these two common approaches from a dynamic and steady state perspective.展开更多
基金supported by Nation Key R&D Program of China(2021YFE0102400).
文摘Compensating for photovoltaic(PV)power forecast errors is an important function of energy storage systems.As PV power outputs have strong random fluctuations and uncertainty,it is difficult to satisfy the grid-connection requirements using fixed energy storage capacity configuration methods.In this paper,a method of configuring energy storage capacity is proposed based on the uncertainty of PV power generation.A k-means clustering algorithm is used to classify weather types based on differences in solar irradiance.The power forecast errors in different weather types are analyzed,and an energy storage system is used to compensate for the errors.The kernel density estimation is used to fit the distributions of the daily maximum power and maximum capacity requirements of the energy storage system;the power and capacity of the energy storage unit are calculated at different confidence levels.The optimized energy storage configuration of a PV plant is presented according to the calculated degrees of power and capacity satisfaction.The proposed method was validated using actual operating data from a PV power station.The results indicated that the required energy storage can be significantly reduced while compensating for power forecast errors.
文摘This paper deals with power quality improvement using a three-phase active power filter(APF) connected to a PV power system. A direct power control(DPC) approach is proposed to eliminate harmonic current caused by any nonlinear loads and at the same time guarantees the delivery of a part of the load request from the same PV source. A boost converter is used for maximum power point(MPP) tracking purposes under various climate conditions through a fuzzy logic technique. The suggested study is tested under a MATLAB/Simulink environment. The obtained results depict the efficacy of the proposed procedures to meet the IEEE 519-1992 standard recommendation on harmonic levels.
文摘In order to fully comprehend the developing status of wind power and photovoltaic (PV) power generation, a special investigation on the integration of wind power and PV power was launched by the agencies of the State Electricity Regulatory Commission (SERC) throughout China during July-October 2010. This report is completed based on the investigation along with routine supervisory and management programs. There are totally 573 wind power projects and 94 PV power projects involved. Existing problems in these projects are pointed out and proposals for regulation are put forward.
文摘The energy assessment of the PV power systems is carried out by using different types of performance indicators that benchmark the output of these systems against the PV panel maximum output at hypothetical operation conditions. In this paper, a comparative analysis of six types of performance indicators is conducted and a new performance indicator which considers PV panel slope and orientation is proposed. The proposed indicator is benchmarking the PV system actual output against the maximum output of the same system if it would operate in two axis tracking mode. The proposed performance indicator is used to develop a friendly user calculator of PV system output that can be used by, energy providers and PV system installers to evaluate the output of the PV grid connect network. The advantage of the developed calculator is high-lighted by a case study that estimates energy capacity of different residential rooftop PV systems installed in a residential suburb in Sydney.
文摘A photovoltaic (PV) string with multiple modules with bypass diodes frequently deployed on a variety of autonomous PV systems may present multiple power peaks under uneven shading. For optimal solar harvesting, there is a need for a control schema to force the PV string to operate at global maximum power point (GMPP). While a lot of tracking methods have been proposed in the literature, they are usually complex and do not fully take advantage of the available characteristics of the PV array. This work highlights how the voltage at operating point and the forward voltage of the bypass diode are considered to design a global maximum power point tracking (GMPPT) algorithm with a very limited global search phase called Fast GMPPT. This algorithm successfully tracks GMPP between 94% and 98% of the time under a theoretical evaluation. It is then compared against Perturb and Observe, Deterministic Particle Swarm Optimization, and Grey Wolf Optimization under a sequence of irradiance steps as well as a power-over-voltage characteristics profile that mimics the electrical characteristics of a PV string under varying partial shading conditions. Overall, the simulation with the sequence of irradiance steps shows that while Fast GMPPT does not have the best convergence time, it has an excellent convergence rate as well as causes the least amount of power loss during the global search phase. Experimental test under varying partial shading conditions shows that while the GMPPT proposal is simple and lightweight, it is very performant under a wide range of dynamically varying partial shading conditions and boasts the best energy efficiency (94.74%) out of the 4 tested algorithms.
基金Department of Science and Technology,Government of India,to carry out the research under the Project U.K.India Clean Energy Research Institute(UKICERI)under Grant DST/RCUK/JVCCE/2015/02(C).
文摘India is highly dependent on solar photovoltaics(PV)to harness its vast solar resource potential and combat climate change.However,∼90%of the installed PV capacity in India is concentrated in the top nine states,with the remaining states lagging behind.The research reveals that during monsoons,heavy cloud cover and rain lead to high solar resource variability,intermittency and the risk of very low PV generation,which can result in reliability issues in future PV-dominated electricity grids.Although energy storage can help in overcoming high intermittency,there are multiple challenges associated with it.The novelty of this study lies in demonstrating the benefits of combining multiple PV sites in various regions to mitigate the risks of low PV generation and high variability.The variability of individual sites was found to be up to∼3.5 times higher than the variability of combined generation.During noon,prominent solar park sites like Bhadla and NP Kunta experience a decrease in power generation to values as low as∼10%of the rated PV capacity.However,the minimum generation of the large-scale dispersed PV generation is>30%.Furthermore,the research identifies other benefits of dispersing PV generation across the country,viz.,reduction of seasonal variability by adding PV capacity in the southern region,widening of the PV generation span,more room for PV capacity addition,reduction in storage and ramping needs,utilization of hydroelectric potential of the north-east and PV potential of Ladakh,and creating opportunities for sustainable development in rural agrarian regions through agrivoltaics.
文摘The development of vehicle integrated photovoltaics-powered electric vehicles (VIPV-EV) significantly reduces CO<sub>2</sub> emissions from the transport sector to realize a decarbonized society. Although long-distance driving of VIPV-EV without electricity charging is expected in sunny regions, driving distance of VIPV-EV is affected by climate conditions such as solar irradiation and temperature rise of PV modules. In this paper, detailed analytical results for effects of climate conditions such as solar irradiation and temperature rise of PV modules upon driving distance of the VIPV-EV were presented by using test data for Toyota Prius and Nissan Van demonstration cars installed with high-efficiency InGaP/GaAs/InGaAs 3-junction solar cell modules with a module efficiency of more than 30%. The temperature rise of some PV modules studied in this study was shown to be expressed by some coefficients related to solar irradiation, wind speed and radiative cooling. The potential of VIPV-EV to be deployed in 10 major cities was also analyzed. Although sunshine cities such as Phoenix show the high reduction ratio of driving range with 17% due to temperature rise of VIPV modules, populous cities such as Tokyo show low reduction ratio of 9%. It was also shown in this paper that the difference between the driving distance of VIPV-EV driving in the morning and the afternoon is due to PV modules’ radiative cooling. In addition, the importance of heat dissipation of PV modules and the development of high-efficiency PV modules with better temperature coefficients was suggested in order to expand driving range of VIPV-EV. The effects of air-conditioner usage and partial shading in addition to the effects of temperature rise of VIPV modules were suggested as the other power losses of VIPV-EV.
文摘This paper presents a hybrid approach for the forecasting of electricity production in microgrids with solar photovoltaic(PV)installations.An accurate PV power generation forecasting tool essentially addresses the issues resulting from the intermittent and uncertain nature of solar power to ensure efficient and reliable system operation.A day-ahead,hourly mean PV power generation forecasting method based on a combination of genetic algorithm(GA),particle swarm optimization(PSO)and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference systems(ANFIS)is presented in this study.Binary GA with Gaussian process regression model based fitness function is used to determine important input parameters that significantly influence the amount of output power of a PV generation plant;and an integrated hybrid algorithm combining GA and PSO is used to optimize an ANFIS based PV power forecasting model for the plant.The proposed modeling technique is tested based on power generation data obtained from Goldwind microgrid system found in Beijing.Forecasting results demonstrate the superior performance of the proposed method as compared with commonly used forecasting approaches.The proposed approach outperformed existing artificial neural network(ANN),linear regression(LR),and persistence based forecasting models,validating its effectiveness.
基金supported by National Science Foundation of China(61563032,61963025)Project supported by Gansu Basic Research Innovation Group(18JR3RA133)+1 种基金Industrial Support and Guidance Project for Higher Education Institutions of Gansu Province(2019C-05)Open Fund Project of Key Laboratory of Industrial Process Advanced Control of Gansu Province(2019KFJJ02).
文摘Because of system constraints caused by the external environment and grid faults,the conventional maximum power point tracking(MPPT)and inverter control methods of a PV power generation system cannot achieve optimal power output.They can also lead to misjudgments and poor dynamic performance.To address these issues,this paper proposes a new MPPT method of PV modules based on model predictive control(MPC)and a finite control set model predictive current control(FCS-MPCC)of an inverter.Using the identification model of PV arrays,the module-based MPC controller is designed,and maximum output power is achieved by coordinating the optimal combination of spectral wavelength and module temperature.An FCS-MPCC algorithm is then designed to predict the inverter current under different voltage vectors,the optimal voltage vector is selected according to the optimal value function,and the corresponding optimal switching state is applied to power semiconductor devices of the inverter.The MPPT performance of the MPC controller and the responses of the inverter under different constraints are verified,and the steady-state and dynamic control effects of the inverter using FCS-MPCC are compared with the traditional feedforward decoupling PI control in Matlab/Simulink.The results show that MPC has better tracking performance under constraints,and the system has faster and more accurate dynamic response and flexibility than conventional PI control.
基金supported by the No. 4 National Project in 2022 of the Ministry of Emergency Response (2022YJBG04)the International Clean Energy Talent Program (201904100014)。
文摘Photovoltaic(PV) power generation is characterized by randomness and intermittency due to weather changes.Consequently, large-scale PV power connections to the grid can threaten the stable operation of the power system. An effective method to resolve this problem is to accurately predict PV power. In this study, an innovative short-term hybrid prediction model(i.e., HKSL) of PV power is established. The model combines K-means++, optimal similar day approach,and long short-term memory(LSTM) network. Historical power data and meteorological factors are utilized. This model searches for the best similar day based on the results of classifying weather types. Then, the data of similar day are inputted into the LSTM network to predict PV power. The validity of the hybrid model is verified based on the datasets from a PV power station in Shandong Province, China. Four evaluation indices, mean absolute error, root mean square error(RMSE),normalized RMSE, and mean absolute deviation, are employed to assess the performance of the HKSL model. The RMSE of the proposed model compared with those of Elman, LSTM, HSE(hybrid model combining similar day approach and Elman), HSL(hybrid model combining similar day approach and LSTM), and HKSE(hybrid model combining K-means++,similar day approach, and LSTM) decreases by 66.73%, 70.22%, 65.59%, 70.51%, and 18.40%, respectively. This proves the reliability and excellent performance of the proposed hybrid model in predicting power.
基金Sponsored by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No.51008136)the Graduates’ Innovation and Enterprise Fund of HUST (Grant No.HF-11-12-2013)
文摘The application of PV faades emerges greatly in recent years and however its calculation methods and analysis remains insufficient under the weather conditions of China. In such demand,this paper investigates PV faade in terms of PV electricity generation in different arrangements and weather conditions of four major cities in China. The calculation models for PV faade are developed and validated by comparing the results with the measured data from the field experiments. A parametric study is carried out to provide a reference for the optimal design of the PV faades. The results show that with various cities,building orientations,building forms,materials and arrangements of PV modules,there is a distinct difference in the electrical output energy of PV faades. Weather conditions play a very important role in terms of PV generation performance of PV faades.
文摘面对居民日益增长的生活热水和电能需求,光伏/光热(photovoltaic/thermal,PV/T)技术的应用可以降低建筑运行时的能源消耗。本文介绍了一种太阳能PV/T光储直驱热电联产(combined heat and power,CHP)系统,为了减少系统运行过程中的能量损失,采用直流压缩机和储能电池,并在兰州地区对系统的运行性能开展了实验测试。研究结果表明,PV/T系统的光伏板温度相比传统PV组件温度平均降低12.26℃,平均发电效率相对提升8.1%。在将24.4~27.2℃的水加热到50.1~50.7℃的过程中,平均性能系数(coefficient of performance,COP)可达到5.48,相比传统空气源热泵热水器提高82.1%~106.8%。平均集热效率和综合效率分别为37.30%和71.24%,PV/T系统的发电量和耗电量分别为3.33kWh和1.69kWh,发电量相比PV系统提高5.7%。太阳能PV/T光储直驱热电联产系统可以减少建筑部门的能源消耗,并提升PV/T系统的发电效率和综合效率,在晴天条件下可以实现离网运行。
文摘This study presents a robust design method for autonomous photovoltaic (PV)-wind hybrid power systems to obtain an optimum system configuration insensitive to design variable variations. This issue has been formulated as a constraint multi-objective optimization problem, which is solved by a multi-objective genetic algorithm, NSGA-II. Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) method, combined with Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS), is applied to evaluate the stochastic system performance. The potential of the proposed method has been demonstrated by a conceptual system design. A comparative study between the proposed robust method and the deterministic method presented in literature has been conducted. The results indicate that the proposed method can find a large mount of Pareto optimal system configurations with better compromising performance than the deterministic method. The trade-off information may be derived by a systematical comparison of these configurations. The proposed robust design method should be useful for hybrid power systems that require both optimality and robustness.
文摘Maximum power point tracking (MPPT) controllers play an important role in photovoltaic systems. They maximize the output power of a PV array for a given set of conditions. This paper presents an overview of the different MPPT techniques. Each technique is evaluated on its ability to detect multiple maxima, convergence speed, ease of implementation, efficiency over a wide output power range, and cost of implementation. The perturbation and observation (P & O), and incremental conductance (IC) algorithms are widely used techniques, with many variants and optimization techniques reported. For this reason, this paper evaluates the performance of these two common approaches from a dynamic and steady state perspective.