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Adaptive Leader-Follower Consensus Control of Multiple Flexible Manipulators With Actuator Failures and Parameter Uncertainties
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作者 Yu Liu Lin Li 《IEEE/CAA Journal of Automatica Sinica》 SCIE EI CSCD 2023年第4期1020-1031,共12页
In this paper,the leader-follower consensus problem for a multiple flexible manipulator network with actuator failures,parameter uncertainties,and unknown time-varying boundary disturbances is addressed.The purpose of... In this paper,the leader-follower consensus problem for a multiple flexible manipulator network with actuator failures,parameter uncertainties,and unknown time-varying boundary disturbances is addressed.The purpose of this study is to develop distributed controllers utilizing local interactive protocols that not only suppress the vibration of each flexible manipulator but also achieve consensus on joint angle position between actual followers and the virtual leader.Following the accomplishment of the reconstruction of the fault terms and parameter uncertainties,the adaptive neural network method and parameter estimation technique are employed to compensate for unknown items and bounded disturbances.Furthermore,the Lyapunov stability theory is used to demonstrate that followers’angle consensus errors and vibration deflections in closed-loop systems are uniformly ultimately bounded.Finally,the numerical simulation results confirm the efficacy of the proposed controllers. 展开更多
关键词 Actuator failures leader-follower consensus multiple flexible manipulators neural network parameter uncertainties
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Robust model-reference control for descriptor linear systems subject to parameter uncertainties 被引量:1
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作者 Guangren DUAN Biao ZHANG 《控制理论与应用(英文版)》 EI 2007年第3期213-220,共8页
Robust model-reference control for descriptor linear systems with structural parameter uncertainties is investigated. A sufficient condition for existing a model-reference zero-error asymptotic tracking controller is ... Robust model-reference control for descriptor linear systems with structural parameter uncertainties is investigated. A sufficient condition for existing a model-reference zero-error asymptotic tracking controller is given. It is shown that the robust model reference control problem can be decomposed into two subproblems: a robust state feedback stabilization problem for descriptor systems subject to parameter uncertainties and a robust compensation problem. The latter aims to find three coefficient matrices which satisfy four matrix equations and simultaneously minimize the effect of the uncertainties to the tracking error. Based on a complete parametric solution to a class of generalized Sylvester matrix equations, the robust compensation problem is converted into a minimization problem with quadratic cost and linear constraints. A numerical example shows the effect of the proposed approach. 展开更多
关键词 Descriptor linear systems Model-reference control parameter uncertainties Robust stabilization Robust compensation
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Impacts of parameter uncertainties on deep chlorophyll maximum simulation revealed by the CNOP-P approach 被引量:2
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作者 GAO Yongli MU Mu ZHANG Kun 《Journal of Oceanology and Limnology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2020年第5期1382-1393,共12页
Parameter uncertainty is a primary source of uncertainty in ocean ecosystem simulations.The deep chlorophyll maximum(DCM)is a ubiquitous ecological phenomenon in the ocean.Using a theoretical nutrients-phytoplankton m... Parameter uncertainty is a primary source of uncertainty in ocean ecosystem simulations.The deep chlorophyll maximum(DCM)is a ubiquitous ecological phenomenon in the ocean.Using a theoretical nutrients-phytoplankton model and the conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation approach related to parameters,we investigated the eff ects of parameter uncertainties on DCM simulations.First,the sensitivity of single parameter was analyzed.The sensitivity ranking of 10 parameters was obtained by analyzing the top four specifi cally.The most sensitive parameter(background turbidity)aff ects the light supply for DCM formation,whereas the other three parameters(nutrient content of phytoplankton,nutrient recycling coeffi cient,and vertical turbulent diff usivity)control nutrient supply.To explore the interactions among diff erent parameters,the sensitivity of multiple parameters was further studied by examining combinations of four parameters.The results show that background turbidity is replaced by the phytoplankton loss rate in the optimal parameter combination.In addition,we found that interactions among these parameters are responsible for such diff erences.Finally,we found that reducing the uncertainties of sensitive parameters could improve DCM simulations remarkably.Compared with the sensitive parameters identifi ed in the single parameter analysis,reducing parameter uncertainties in the optimal combination produced better model performance.This study shows the importance of nonlinear interactions among various parameters in identifying sensitive parameters.In the future,the conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation approach related to parameters,especially optimal parameter combinations,is expected to greatly improve DCM simulations in complex ecosystem models. 展开更多
关键词 deep chlorophyll maximum(DCM)simulation parameter uncertainty conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation related to parameters(CNOP-P) sensitivity
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Modified robust finite-horizon filter for discrete-time systems with parameter uncertainties and missing measurements
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作者 丰璐 邓志红 +1 位作者 王博 汪顺亭 《Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology》 EI CAS 2016年第1期108-114,共7页
A robust finite-horizon Kalman filter is designed for linear discrete-time systems subject to norm-bounded uncertainties in the modeling parameters and missing measurements.The missing measurements were described by a... A robust finite-horizon Kalman filter is designed for linear discrete-time systems subject to norm-bounded uncertainties in the modeling parameters and missing measurements.The missing measurements were described by a binary switching sequence satisfying a conditional probability distribution,the commonest cases in engineering,such that the expectation of the measurements could be utilized during the iteration process.To consider the uncertainties in the system model,an upperbound for the estimation error covariance was obtained since its real value was unaccessible.Our filter scheme is on the basis of minimizing the obtained upper bound where we refer to the deduction of a classic Kalman filter thus calculation of the derivatives are avoided.Simulations are presented to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach. 展开更多
关键词 Kalman filter missing measurements parameter uncertainty robust filter upper bound
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Global asymptotic tracking of asymmetrical underactuated surface vessels with parameter uncertainties
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作者 Wenjing XIE Hailing SUN Baoli MA 《控制理论与应用(英文版)》 EI CSCD 2013年第4期608-614,共7页
In this work, we investigate the tracking control problem of asymmetrical underactuated surface vessels with parameter uncertainties. The tracking error model is first derived via appropriate coordinate transformation... In this work, we investigate the tracking control problem of asymmetrical underactuated surface vessels with parameter uncertainties. The tracking error model is first derived via appropriate coordinate transformations, and is considered as a cascade structure composed of two subsystems. The Lyapunov redesign approach is employed to construct the control laws separately to stabilize the two subsystems with unknown model parameters. The cascade system theory is applied to prove the global uniform asymptotic convergence of the state trajectory to the reference one provided the desired yaw velocity is not vanishing. The effectiveness of the proposed control laws is verified by simulation examples. 展开更多
关键词 Asymmetrical underactuated surface vessels Trajectory tracking parameter uncertainties Lyapunovredesign
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Impulsive control of permanent magnet synchronous motors with parameters uncertainties 被引量:6
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作者 李东 王时龙 +2 位作者 张小洪 杨丹 王慧 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2008年第5期1678-1684,共7页
The permanent magnet synchronous motors (PMSMs) may have chaotic behaviours for the uncertain values of parameters or under certain working conditions, which threatens the secure and stable operation of motor-driven... The permanent magnet synchronous motors (PMSMs) may have chaotic behaviours for the uncertain values of parameters or under certain working conditions, which threatens the secure and stable operation of motor-driven. It is important to study methods of controlling or suppressing chaos in PMSMs. In this paper, robust stabilities of PMSM with parameter uncertainties are investigated. After the uncertain matrices which represent the variable system parameters are formulated through matrix analysis, a novel asymptotical stability criterion is established. Some illustrated examples are also given to show the effectiveness of the obtained results. 展开更多
关键词 permanent magnet synchronous motors impulsive control parameters uncertainties robust stability
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Robust Cooperative Control of Multiple Autonomous Vehicles for Platoon Formation Considering Parameter Uncertainties 被引量:5
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作者 Weichao Zhuang Liwei Xu Guodong Yin 《Automotive Innovation》 EI CSCD 2020年第1期88-100,共13页
This paper proposes a robust cooperative control strategy for multiple autonomous vehicles to achieve safe and efficient platoon formation,and it analyzes the effects of vehicle stability boundaries and parameter unce... This paper proposes a robust cooperative control strategy for multiple autonomous vehicles to achieve safe and efficient platoon formation,and it analyzes the effects of vehicle stability boundaries and parameter uncertainties.The cooperative vehicle control framework is composed of the upper planning level and lower tracking control level.In the planning level,the trajectory of each vehicle is generated by using the multi-objective flocking algorithm to form the platoon.The parameters of the flocking algorithm are optimized to prevent the vehicle speed and yaw rate from going beyond their limits.In the lower level,to realize the stable platoon formation,a lumped disturbance observer is designed to gain the stable-state reference,and a distributed robust model predictive controller is proposed to achieve the offset-free trajectory tracking while downsizing the effects of parameter uncertainties.The simulation results show the proposed cooperative control strategy can achieve safe and efficient platoon formation. 展开更多
关键词 Platoon formation Robust model predictive controller Multiple autonomous vehicles parameter uncertainty
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Robust H_∞ control for aseismic structures with uncertainties in model parameters 被引量:2
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作者 宋刚 林家浩 +2 位作者 赵岩 W. Paul Howson Fred W Williams 《Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration》 SCIE EI CSCD 2007年第4期409-416,共8页
This paper presents a robust H∞ output feedback control approach for structural systems with uncertainties in model parameters by using available acceleration measurements and proposes conditions for the existence of... This paper presents a robust H∞ output feedback control approach for structural systems with uncertainties in model parameters by using available acceleration measurements and proposes conditions for the existence of such a robust output feedback controller. The uncertainties of structural stiffness, damping and mass parameters are assumed to be norm-bounded. The proposed control approach is formulated within the framework of linear matrix inequalities, for which existing convex optimization techniques, such as the LM1 toolbox in MATLAB, can be used effectively and conveniently. To illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed robust H∞ strategy, a six-story building was subjected both to the 1940 E1 Centro earthquake record and to a suddenly applied Kanai-Tajimi filtered white noise random excitation. The results show that the proposed robust H∞ controller provides satisfactory results with or without variation of the structural stiffness, damping and mass parameters. 展开更多
关键词 structural control robust H∞ control linear matrix inequality dynamic output feedback parameter uncertainty seismic excitation
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A Stable Fuzzy-Based Computational Model and Control for Inductions Motors
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作者 Yongqiu Liu Shaohui Zhong +3 位作者 Nasreen Kausar Chunwei Zhang Ardashir Mohammadzadeh Dragan Pamucar 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2024年第1期793-812,共20页
In this paper,a stable and adaptive sliding mode control(SMC)method for induction motors is introduced.Determining the parameters of this system has been one of the existing challenges.To solve this challenge,a new se... In this paper,a stable and adaptive sliding mode control(SMC)method for induction motors is introduced.Determining the parameters of this system has been one of the existing challenges.To solve this challenge,a new self-tuning type-2 fuzzy neural network calculates and updates the control system parameters with a fast mechanism.According to the dynamic changes of the system,in addition to the parameters of the SMC,the parameters of the type-2 fuzzy neural network are also updated online.The conditions for guaranteeing the convergence and stability of the control system are provided.In the simulation part,in order to test the proposed method,several uncertain models and load torque have been applied.Also,the results have been compared to the SMC based on the type-1 fuzzy system,the traditional SMC,and the PI controller.The average RMSE in different scenarios,for type-2 fuzzy SMC,is 0.0311,for type-1 fuzzy SMC is 0.0497,for traditional SMC is 0.0778,and finally for PI controller is 0.0997. 展开更多
关键词 Sliding mode control self-tuning type-2 fuzzy systems inductions motor parameters uncertainty
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Robust H_∞ and H_2 Static Output Feedback Control of Discrete-time Piecewise Affine Singular Systems with Norm-bounded Uncertainties
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作者 Mao Wang Zhen-Hua Zhou Tian-Tian Liang 《Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(New Series)》 EI CAS 2014年第3期1-8,共8页
This paper is concerned with the problem of designing robust H∞and H2static output feedback controllers for a class of discrete-time piecewise-affine singular systems with norm-bounded time-varying parameters uncerta... This paper is concerned with the problem of designing robust H∞and H2static output feedback controllers for a class of discrete-time piecewise-affine singular systems with norm-bounded time-varying parameters uncertainties. Based on a piecewise singular Lyapunov function combined with S-procedure,Projection lemma and some matrix inequality convexifying techniques,sufficient conditions in terms of linear matrix inequalities are given for the existence of an output-feedback controller for the discrete-time piecewiseaffine singular systems with a prescribed H∞disturbance attenuation level,and the H2norm is smaller than a given positive number. It is shown that the controller gains can be obtained by solving a family of LMIs parameterized by one or two scalar variables. The numerical examples are given to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed design methods. 展开更多
关键词 piecewise affine singular systems parameter uncertainties piecewise singular Lyapunov function robust H∞and H2static output feedback control
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Dynamics and adaptive control of a dual-arm space robot with closed-loop constraints and uncertain inertial parameters 被引量:20
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作者 Ying-Hong Jia Quan Hu Shi-Jie Xu 《Acta Mechanica Sinica》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2014年第1期112-124,共13页
A dynamics-based adaptive control approach is proposed for a planar dual-arm space robot in the presence of closed-loop constraints and uncertain inertial parameters of the payload. The controller is capable of contro... A dynamics-based adaptive control approach is proposed for a planar dual-arm space robot in the presence of closed-loop constraints and uncertain inertial parameters of the payload. The controller is capable of controlling the po- sition and attitude of both the satellite base and the payload grasped by the manipulator end effectors. The equations of motion in reduced-order form for the constrained system are derived by incorporating the constraint equations in terms of accelerations into Kane's equations of the unconstrained system. Model analysis shows that the resulting equations perfectly meet the requirement of adaptive controller design. Consequently, by using an indirect approach, an adaptive control scheme is proposed to accomplish position/attitude trajectory tracking control with the uncertain parameters be- ing estimated on-line. The actuator redundancy due to the closed-loop constraints is utilized to minimize a weighted norm of the joint torques. Global asymptotic stability is proven by using Lyapunov's method, and simulation results are also presented to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach. 展开更多
关键词 Space robot Dynamics. Adaptive control Closed-loop constraint parameter uncertainty - Kane's equation
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Distributed fuzzy fault-tolerant consensus of leader-follower multi-agent systems with mismatched uncertainties 被引量:5
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作者 MALIKA Sader WANG Fuyong +1 位作者 LIU Zhongxin CHEN Zengqiang 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2021年第5期1031-1040,共10页
In this paper,the distributed fuzzy fault-tolerant tracking consensus problem of leader-follower multi-agent systems(MASs)is studied.The objective system includes actuator faults,mismatched parameter uncertainties,non... In this paper,the distributed fuzzy fault-tolerant tracking consensus problem of leader-follower multi-agent systems(MASs)is studied.The objective system includes actuator faults,mismatched parameter uncertainties,nonlinear functions,and exogenous disturbances under switching communication topologies.To solve this problem,a distributed fuzzy fault-tolerant controller is proposed for each follower by adaptive mechanisms to track the state of the leader.Furthermore,the fuzzy logic system is utilized to approximate the unknown nonlinear dynamics.An error estimator is introduced between the mismatched parameter matrix and the input matrix.Then,a selective adaptive law with relative state information is adopted and applied.When calculating the Lyapunov function’s derivative,the coupling terms related to consensus error and mismatched parameter uncertainties can be eliminated.Finally,a numerical simulation is given to validate the effectiveness of the proposed protocol. 展开更多
关键词 distributed fuzzy fault-tolerant control(FTC) tracking consensus problem leader-follower multi-agent system mismatched parameter uncertainty
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Parameter uncertainty modeling of safety instrumented systems 被引量:1
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作者 Bao-Ping Cai Wen-Chao Li +6 位作者 Yong-Hong Liu Yan-Ping Zhang Yi Zhao Xiang-Di Kong Zeng-Kai Liu Ren-Jie Ji Qiang Feng 《Petroleum Science》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2021年第6期1813-1828,共16页
In this study,a novel safety integrity level(SIL)determination methodology of safety instrumented systems(SISs)with parameter uncertainty is proposed by combining multistage dynamic Bayesian networks(DBNs)and Monte Ca... In this study,a novel safety integrity level(SIL)determination methodology of safety instrumented systems(SISs)with parameter uncertainty is proposed by combining multistage dynamic Bayesian networks(DBNs)and Monte Carlo simulation.A multistage DBN model for SIL determination with multiple redundant cells is established.The models of function inspection test interval and function inspection test stages are alternately connected to form the multistage DBNs.The redundant cells can have different M out of N voting system architectures.An automatic modeling of conditional probability between nodes is developed.The SIL determination of SISs with parameter uncertainty is constructed by using the multistage DBNs and Monte Carlo simulation.A high-pressure SIS in the export of oil wellplatform is adopted to demonstrate the application of the proposed approach.The SIL and availability of the SIS and its subsystems are obtained.The influence of single subsystem on the SIL and availability of the SIS is studied.The influence of single redundant element on the SIL and availability of the subsystem is analyzed.A user-friendly SIL determination software with parameter uncertainty is developed on MATLAB graphical user interface. 展开更多
关键词 Safety integrity level Dynamic Bayesian network Monte Carlo parameter uncertainty
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Robust sliding mode control for fractional-order chaotic economical system with parameter uncertainty and external disturbance 被引量:3
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作者 周柯 王智慧 +2 位作者 高立克 孙跃 马铁东 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第3期101-106,共6页
This paper presents a modified sliding mode control for fractional-order chaotic economical systems with parameter uncertainty and external disturbance. By constructing the suitable sliding mode surface with fractiona... This paper presents a modified sliding mode control for fractional-order chaotic economical systems with parameter uncertainty and external disturbance. By constructing the suitable sliding mode surface with fractional-order integral, the effective sliding mode controller is designed to realize the asymptotical stability of fractional-order chaotic economical systems. Comparing with the existing results, the main results in this paper are more practical and rigorous. Simulation results show the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed sliding mode control method. 展开更多
关键词 fractional-order chaotic systems economical system sliding mode control parameter uncertainty
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Portfolio Choice under the Mean-Variance Model with Parameter Uncertainty 被引量:1
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作者 何朝林 许倩 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2015年第3期498-503,共6页
Assuming the investor is uncertainty-aversion,the multiprior approach is applied to studying the problem of portfolio choice under the uncertainty about the expected return of risky asset based on the mean-variance mo... Assuming the investor is uncertainty-aversion,the multiprior approach is applied to studying the problem of portfolio choice under the uncertainty about the expected return of risky asset based on the mean-variance model. By introducing a set of constraint constants to measure uncertainty degree of the estimated expected return,it built the max-min model of multi-prior portfolio,and utilized the Lagrange method to obtain the closed-form solution of the model,which was compared with the mean-variance model and the minimum-variance model; then,an empirical study was done based on the monthly returns over the period June 2011 to May 2014 of eight kinds of stocks in Shanghai Exchange 50 Index. Results showed,the weight of multi-prior portfolio was a weighted average of the weight of mean-variance portfolio and that of minimumvariance portfolio; the steady of multi-prior portfolio was strengthened compared with the mean-variance portfolio; the performance of multi-prior portfolio was greater than that of minimum-variance portfolio. The study demonstrates that the investor can improve the steady of multi-prior portfolio as well as its performance for some appropriate constraint constants. 展开更多
关键词 portfolio choice mean-variance model parameter uncertainty multi-prior approach constraint constant
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Interval finite difference method for steady-state temperature field prediction with interval parameters 被引量:4
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作者 Chong Wang Zhi-Ping Qiu 《Acta Mechanica Sinica》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2014年第2期161-166,共6页
A new numerical technique named interval finite difference method is proposed for the steady-state temperature field prediction with uncertainties in both physical parameters and boundary conditions. Interval variable... A new numerical technique named interval finite difference method is proposed for the steady-state temperature field prediction with uncertainties in both physical parameters and boundary conditions. Interval variables are used to quantitatively describe the uncertain parameters with limited information. Based on different Taylor and Neumann series, two kinds of parameter perturbation methods are presented to approximately yield the ranges of the uncertain temperature field. By comparing the results with traditional Monte Carlo simulation, a numerical example is given to demonstrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method for solving steady-state heat conduction problem with uncertain-but-bounded parameters. 展开更多
关键词 Steady-state heat conduction Interval finite dif-ference Temperature field prediction parameter perturba-tion method Interval uncertainties
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Adaptive Gain Tuning Rule for Nonlinear Sliding-mode Speed Control of Encoderless Three-phase Permanent Magnet Assisted Synchronous Motor 被引量:1
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作者 Ghada A.Abdel Aziz Rehan Ali Khan 《CES Transactions on Electrical Machines and Systems》 CSCD 2023年第3期301-310,共10页
In this paper, an adaptive gain tuning rule is designed for the nonlinear sliding mode speed control(NSMSC) in order to enhance the dynamic performance and the robustness of the permanent magnet assisted synchronous r... In this paper, an adaptive gain tuning rule is designed for the nonlinear sliding mode speed control(NSMSC) in order to enhance the dynamic performance and the robustness of the permanent magnet assisted synchronous reluctance motor(PMa-Syn RM) with considering the parameter uncertainties. A nonlinear sliding surface whose parameters are altering with time is designed at first. The proposed NSMSC can minimize the settling time without any overshoot via utilizing a low damping ratio at starting along with a high damping ratio as the output approaches the target set-point. In addition, it eliminates the problem of the singularity with the upper bound of an uncertain term that is hard to be measured practically as well as ensures a rapid convergence in finite time, through employing a simple adaptation law. Moreover, for enhancing the system efficiency throughout the constant torque region, the control system utilizes the maximum torque per ampere technique. The nonlinear sliding surface stability is assured via employing Lyapunov stability theory. Furthermore, a simple sliding mode estimator is employed for estimating the system uncertainties. The stability analysis and the experimental results indicate the effectiveness along with feasibility of the proposed speed estimation and the NSMSC approach for a 1.1-k W PMa-Syn RM under different speed references, electrical and mechanical parameters disparities, and load disturbance conditions. 展开更多
关键词 Permanent magnet assisted synchronous reluctance motor Nonlinear sliding mode speed control Speed estimation parameter uncertainties Sliding mode estimator
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Evaluation of Uncertainty of Earthquake Parameters for the Purpose of Seismic Zoning of Iran
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作者 Mirzaei Noorbakhsh,Gao Mengtan,and Chen YuntaiInstitute of Geophysics,SSB,Beijing 100081,China Institute of Geophysics,Tehran University,Tehran 14394,Iran 《Earthquake Research in China》 1997年第2期78-93,共16页
An efficient procedure is used for explicit description and evaluation of uncertainty of earthquake parameters in the uniform catalog of earthquakes in Iran and neighboring regions.An inadequate number of local and re... An efficient procedure is used for explicit description and evaluation of uncertainty of earthquake parameters in the uniform catalog of earthquakes in Iran and neighboring regions.An inadequate number of local and regional seismographic stations,poor station distribution,and Inadequacy of velocity models have resulted in conspicuous uncertainty in different parameters of recorded events.In a comprehensive seismic hazard analysis such uncertainties should be considered.Uncertainty of magnitude and location of events are evaluated for three different time periods,namely,historical,early instrumental,and modern instrumental time periods,for which existing seismological information differ widely in quantity,quality,and type.It is concluded that an uncertainty of 0.2-0.3 units of magnitude and 10-15 km in epicenter determinations should be considered in the most favorable conditions.None of the hypocenters of earthquakes in Iran can be considered as reliable,unless supported by other information such as 展开更多
关键词 Evaluation of Uncertainty of Earthquake parameters for the Purpose of Seismic Zoning of Iran ISC
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The K Method for Estimating Earthquake Activity Parameters and Effect of the Boundary Uncertainty of the Source Region:Discussion on the Seismic Zoning Method
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作者 Huang Yurui and Zhang TianzhongInstitute of Geophysics,SSB,Beijing 100081,China 《Earthquake Research in China》 1997年第3期75-81,共7页
Two aspects of a new method,which can be used for seismic zoning,are introduced in this paper.On the one hand,the approach to estimate b value and annual activity rate proposed by Kijko and Sellevoll needs to use the ... Two aspects of a new method,which can be used for seismic zoning,are introduced in this paper.On the one hand,the approach to estimate b value and annual activity rate proposed by Kijko and Sellevoll needs to use the earthquake catalogue.The existing earthquake catalogue contains both historical and recent instrumental data sets and it is inadequate to use only one part.Combining the large number of historical events with recent complete records and taking the magnitude uncertainty into account,Kijko’s method gives the maximum likelihood estimation of b value and annual activity rate,which might be more realistic.On the other hand,this method considers the source zone boundary uncertainty in seismic hazard analysis,which means the earthquake activity rate across a boundary of a source zone changes smoothly instead of abruptly and avoids too large a gradient in the calculated results. 展开更多
关键词 The K Method for Estimating Earthquake Activity parameters and Effect of the Boundary Uncertainty of the Source Region Source Activity
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A New Sensitivity Analysis Approach Using Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbations and Its Preliminary Application
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作者 Qiujie REN Mu MU +1 位作者 Guodong SUN Qiang WANG 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2023年第2期285-304,共20页
Simulations and predictions using numerical models show considerable uncertainties,and parameter uncertainty is one of the most important sources.It is impractical to improve the simulation and prediction abilities by... Simulations and predictions using numerical models show considerable uncertainties,and parameter uncertainty is one of the most important sources.It is impractical to improve the simulation and prediction abilities by reducing the uncertainties of all parameters.Therefore,identifying the sensitive parameters or parameter combinations is crucial.This study proposes a novel approach:conditional nonlinear optimal perturbations sensitivity analysis(CNOPSA)method.The CNOPSA method fully considers the nonlinear synergistic effects of parameters in the whole parameter space and quantitatively estimates the maximum effects of parameter uncertainties,prone to extreme events.Results of the analytical g-function test indicate that the CNOPSA method can effectively identify the sensitivity of variables.Numerical results of the theoretical five-variable grassland ecosystem model show that the maximum influence of the simulated wilted biomass caused by parameter uncertainty can be estimated and computed by employing the CNOPSA method.The identified sensitive parameters can easily change the simulation or prediction of the wilted biomass,which affects the transformation of the grassland state in the grassland ecosystem.The variance-based approach may underestimate the parameter sensitivity because it only considers the influence of limited parameter samples from a statistical view.This study verifies that the CNOPSA method is effective and feasible for exploring the important and sensitive physical parameters or parameter combinations in numerical models. 展开更多
关键词 physical parameters parameter uncertainty sensitivity analysis nonlinear optimization land-surface process
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