We have studied the Langevin description of stochastic dynamics of financial time series. A sliding-window algorithm is used for our analysis. We find that the fluctuation of stock prices can be understood from the vi...We have studied the Langevin description of stochastic dynamics of financial time series. A sliding-window algorithm is used for our analysis. We find that the fluctuation of stock prices can be understood from the view of a time-dependent drift force corresponding to the drift parameter in Langevin equation. It is revealed that the statistical results of the drift force estimated from financial time series can be approximately considered as a linear restoring force. We investigate the significance of this linear restoring force to the prices evolution from its two coefficients, the equilibrium position and the slope coefficient. The daily log-returns of S＆P 500 index from 1950 to 1999 are especially analysed. The new simple form of the restoring force obtained both from mathematical and numerical analyses suggests that the Langevin approach can effectively present not only the macroscopical but also the detailed properties of the price evolution.展开更多
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China （Grant No 10305005）, the Fundamental Research Fund for Physics and Mathematics of Lanzhou University （Grant No Lzu05008）. We would like to thank Professor Zhao Hong and Dr Xu Xin-Jian for helpful discussions.
文摘We have studied the Langevin description of stochastic dynamics of financial time series. A sliding-window algorithm is used for our analysis. We find that the fluctuation of stock prices can be understood from the view of a time-dependent drift force corresponding to the drift parameter in Langevin equation. It is revealed that the statistical results of the drift force estimated from financial time series can be approximately considered as a linear restoring force. We investigate the significance of this linear restoring force to the prices evolution from its two coefficients, the equilibrium position and the slope coefficient. The daily log-returns of S＆P 500 index from 1950 to 1999 are especially analysed. The new simple form of the restoring force obtained both from mathematical and numerical analyses suggests that the Langevin approach can effectively present not only the macroscopical but also the detailed properties of the price evolution.
