Loess Plateau is the most serious region of soil and water loss in China and the world. The sediment carried into the Yellow River amounts to 1.6 billion tons every year. This paper reviews the factors and reasons for...Loess Plateau is the most serious region of soil and water loss in China and the world. The sediment carried into the Yellow River amounts to 1.6 billion tons every year. This paper reviews the factors and reasons for erosion in this area, and puts forward a comprehensive controlling policy on the basis of the principles of ecology and practise of Chinese scientists for 40 years. In conformity with the policy, a number of technical measures for controlling soil and water loss are suggested.展开更多
Based on the number of customers and the server’s workload,this paper proposes a modified Min(N,D)-policy and discusses an M/G/1 queueing model with delayed randomized multiple vacations under such a policy.Applying ...Based on the number of customers and the server’s workload,this paper proposes a modified Min(N,D)-policy and discusses an M/G/1 queueing model with delayed randomized multiple vacations under such a policy.Applying the well-known stochastic decomposition property of the steady-state queue size,the probability generating function of the steady-state queue length distribution is obtained.Moreover,the explicit expressions of the expected queue length and the additional queue length distribution are derived by some algebraic manipulations.Finally,employing the renewal reward theorem,the explicit expression of the long-run expected cost per unit time is given.Furthermore,we analyze the optimal policy for economizing the expected cost and compare the optimal Min(N,D)-policy with the optimal N-policy and the optimal D-policy by using numerical examples.展开更多
China has put great efforts into air pollution control over the past years and recently committed to its most ambitious climate target.Cost and benefit analysis has been widely used to evaluate the control policies in...China has put great efforts into air pollution control over the past years and recently committed to its most ambitious climate target.Cost and benefit analysis has been widely used to evaluate the control policies in terms of past performance,future reduction potential,and direct and indirect impacts.To understand the cost and benefit analysis for air pollution control in China,we conducted a bibliometric review of more than 100 studies published over the past two decades,including the current research progress,most commonly adopted methods,and core findings.The control target in cost and benefit analysis has shifted in three stages,from individual and primary pollution control,moving to joint prevention of multiple and secondary pollutants,and then towards synergistic control of air pollution and carbon.With the expansion of the research scope,the integrated assessment model has gradually demonstrated the necessity for long-term ex-anti policy simulation,especially for dealing with complex factors.To ensure long-term air quality,climate,public health,and sustainable economic development,substantial evidence from published studies has suggested that China needs to continue its efforts in the upstream adjustment of the energy system and industrial structure with multi-regional and-sector collaboration.This cost and benefit review paper provides decision-makers with the fundamental information and knowledge gaps in air pollution control strategies in China,and direction for facing future challenges.展开更多
As fresh agricultural products are perishable and vulnerable,reducing inventory cost is a strategic target for supply chain enterprises.How to design a reliable multi-echelon inventory control policy is still a great ...As fresh agricultural products are perishable and vulnerable,reducing inventory cost is a strategic target for supply chain enterprises.How to design a reliable multi-echelon inventory control policy is still a great challenge.Therefore,the inventory cost of a three-level fresh agricultural products inventory system was firstly mathematically analyzed.Then,the simulation-based optimization model of the multi-echelon inventory system for fresh agricultural products was proposed by using the Flexsim simulation software and the improved particle swarm optimization algorithm.Finally,the multi-echelon inventory system is simulated based on a large number of survey data.Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed simulation-based optimization model of multi-echelon inventory system for fresh agricultural products can provide decision-making and technical support for the formulation of inventory control policy,and also it shows that the modeling of system simulation is an effective method to solve the problem of complex system.展开更多
Sulfur dioxide(SO_(2))is a typical pollutant that affects human health,climate,and environmental and ecological conditions.China has been experiencing high concentrations of SO_(2),particularly in urban areas,since th...Sulfur dioxide(SO_(2))is a typical pollutant that affects human health,climate,and environmental and ecological conditions.China has been experiencing high concentrations of SO_(2),particularly in urban areas,since the 1990s.In 2010,a"joint prevention and control"(JPC)policy was issued to address air pollution problems and strengthen the regulation of SO_(2)emissions.This study aimed to describe the mitigation effects of this policy on SO_(2)emissions in 116 Chinese cities from 2003 to 2017.We applied global and local Moran's I indices to confirm the presence of significant spatial autocorrelation in SO_(2)emissions and constructed four spatial models to assess the effect of the JPC policy in reducing SO_(2)emissions and its transmission mechanism.We found that the policy decreased SO_(2)emissions by 1.89×10^(4)tons,S0_(2)intensity by 1.70 tons per km^(2),and S0_(2)per capita of 158.49 tons per 10,000 people in each city,on average,all of which are significant changes.The empirical results also show that population growth,economic structure,and environmental protection significantly decrease SO_(2)emissions.Finally,we recommended policies to encourage regional cooperation under the JPC policy,with the aim of promoting furtherreductions in SO_(2)emissions.展开更多
In this study,the authors consider an M/M/1 queuing system with attached inventory under an(s,S)control policy.The server takes multiple vacations whenever the inventory is depleted.It is assumed that the lead time an...In this study,the authors consider an M/M/1 queuing system with attached inventory under an(s,S)control policy.The server takes multiple vacations whenever the inventory is depleted.It is assumed that the lead time and the vacation time follow exponential distributions.The authors formulate the model as a quasi-birth-and-dearth(QBD)process and derive the stability condition of the system.Then,the stationary distribution in product form for the joint process of the queue length,the inventory level,and the server’s status is obtained.Furthermore,the conditional distributions of the inventory level when the server is on and operational,and when it is off due to a vacation,are derived.Using the stationary distribution,the authors obtain some performance measures of the system.The authors investigate analytically the effect of the server’s vacation on the performance measures.Finally,several numerical examples are presented to investigate the effects of some parameters on the performance measures,the optimal policy,and the optimal cost.展开更多
Omicron,the new mutant coronavirus,has spread rapidly globally,attracting close attention from different stakeholders worldwide.The complex and constantly changing epidemic situation has had a new impact on the world....Omicron,the new mutant coronavirus,has spread rapidly globally,attracting close attention from different stakeholders worldwide.The complex and constantly changing epidemic situation has had a new impact on the world.Therefore,this paper focuses on the characteristics of the rapid spread of the COVID-19 variant strain.Generally,epidemic prevention experts conduct preliminary screening as part of the existing epidemic plan database according to the current local situation,after which they sort the alternatives deemed more suitable for the situation.Then the decision-makers identify the most divergent expert group,plan for consultation and adjustments,and finally obtain the plan with the smallest divergence.This article aims to integrate the experts'opinions with the method of minimizing the differences,which can maximize the expert consensus and help organize the schemes that best meet the epidemic situation.The experts'negotiation and iteration of the differences in the initial plan align with the current complex and dynamic epidemic situation and are of great significance to the rapid formulation of plans to achieve effective prevention and control.展开更多
This paper investigates a multi-component repairable system with double threshold control policy.The system is composed of n identical and independent components which operate simultaneously at the beginning,and it is...This paper investigates a multi-component repairable system with double threshold control policy.The system is composed of n identical and independent components which operate simultaneously at the beginning,and it is down when the number of operating components decreases to k−1(k≤n).When the number of failed components is less than the value L,the repairman repairs them with a low repair rate.The high repair rate is activated as soon as L failed components present,and continues until the number of failed components drops to the value N−1.Applying the matrix analytical method,the Laplace transform technique and the properties of the phase type distribution,various performance measures including the availability,the rate of occurrence of failures,and the reliability are derived in transient and stationary regimes.Further,numerical examples are reported to show the behaviour of the system.展开更多
To develop a sound ozone(O_3) pollution control strategy,it is important to well understand and characterize the source contribution due to the complex chemical and physical formation processes of O_3.Using the "Sh...To develop a sound ozone(O_3) pollution control strategy,it is important to well understand and characterize the source contribution due to the complex chemical and physical formation processes of O_3.Using the "Shunde" city as a pilot summer case study,we apply an innovative response surface modeling(RSM) methodology based on the Community Multi-Scale Air Quality(CMAQ) modeling simulations to identify the O_3 regime and provide dynamic analysis of the precursor contributions to effectively assess the O_3 impacts of volatile organic compound(VOC) control strategy.Our results show that Shunde is a typical VOC-limited urban O_3 polluted city.The "Jiangmen" city,as the main upper wind area during July 2014,its VOCs and nitrogen oxides(NO_x) emissions make up the largest contribution(9.06%).On the contrary,the contribution from local(Shunde) emission is lowest(6.35%) among the seven neighbor regions.The local VOCs industrial source emission has the largest contribution comparing to other precursor emission sectors in Shunde.The results of dynamic source contribution analysis further show that the local NO_x control could slightly increase the ground O_3 under low(10.00%) and medium(40.00%)reduction ratios,while it could start to turn positive to decrease ground O_3 under the high NO_x abatement ratio(75.00%).The real-time assessment of O_3 impacts from VOCs control strategies in Pearl River Delta(PRD) shows that the joint regional VOCs emission control policy will effectively reduce the ground O_3 concentration in Shunde.展开更多
Empirical research on the effect of family size on child education is complicated by the endogeneity of family size. This study exploits plausibly exogenous changes in family size caused by China's population control...Empirical research on the effect of family size on child education is complicated by the endogeneity of family size. This study exploits plausibly exogenous changes in family size caused by China's population control policy to estimate the causal relationship between family size and child education outcomes. The results show that, compared to an only child, a person with an additional sibling will have an approximate seventeen percentage points lower likelihood of completing middle school in China. Separate regressions across individual characteristics reveal that much of this negative effect appears to be driven by the cohorts born in earlier years after the policy, and children with the highest birth order within a family.展开更多
Epidemiological studies have shown that infection with the human immunodeficiency virus(HIV) is an influential risk factor for infection with Mycobacterium tuberculosis(MTb),the rapid progression of the initial infect...Epidemiological studies have shown that infection with the human immunodeficiency virus(HIV) is an influential risk factor for infection with Mycobacterium tuberculosis(MTb),the rapid progression of the initial infection to active tuberculosis(TB),and the reactivation of latent TB infection.MTb infection is also one of the most common opportunistic infections in people with HIV,including AIDS patients receiving anti-retroviral therapy.Given the prevalence of HIV infection,the incidence of TB infection,which had begun to decline,is facing a severe situation.HIV associated with TB exerts an immense burden on the public health-care system,especially in countries with high incidences of HIV infection.Therefore,the global policies for the prevention and control of TB should be revised.Moreover,an increased investment in TB control has to be guaranteed.The purpose of this review is to summarize the recent progress in the prevention,treatment,and control of HIV and TB co-infection.展开更多
China’s emission control for nonroad diesel mobile machinery(NDMM)must deal with a fast increase in stock as well as regulations that are two decades behind those for on-road vehicles.This study provides the first la...China’s emission control for nonroad diesel mobile machinery(NDMM)must deal with a fast increase in stock as well as regulations that are two decades behind those for on-road vehicles.This study provides the first large-scale review and evaluation of China’s NDMM policies,along with emission measurements and an investigation on diesel fuel quality.The sulfur contents of the investigated diesel declined from 430 ppm(median value)in 2011 to6-8 ppm during the 2017-2018 period.The emission control of NO_(x)and PM greatly improved with the shift from the China II to China IV standards,as demonstrated by engine tests and field NO_(x)measurements.However,the NO_(x)emission factors for non-type-approved engines were approximately twice the limits of the China II standards.Emission compliance based on bench tests was not sufficient to control actual emissions because the field-measured NO_(x)emission factors of all machinery ranged from 24%to 225%greater than the respective emission limits for the engines.These circumstances adversely affected the effectiveness of the regulations and policies for China’s emission control of NDMM.Nevertheless,the policies on new and in-use NDMM,as well as diesel fuel quality,prevented NO_(x)and PM emissions amounting to 4.4 Tg and 297.8 Gg during the period 2008-2017,respectively.The emission management strategy contributed to enhancing the international competitiveness of China’s NDMM industries by promoting advanced technologies.For effective NDMM emission control in the future,portable testing and noncontact remote supervision should be strengthened;also,the issue of noncompliant diesel should be addressed through rigorous control measures and financial penalties.展开更多
Aerosol ammonium(NH_(4)^(+)),mainly produced from the reactions of ammonia(NH_(3))with acids in the atmosphere,has significant impacts on air pollution,radiative forcing,and human health.Understanding the source and f...Aerosol ammonium(NH_(4)^(+)),mainly produced from the reactions of ammonia(NH_(3))with acids in the atmosphere,has significant impacts on air pollution,radiative forcing,and human health.Understanding the source and formation mechanism of NH_(4)^(+)can provide scientific insights into air quality improvements.However,the sources of NH_(3)in urban areas are not well understood,and few studies focus on NH_(3)/NH_(4)^(+)at different heights within the atmospheric boundary layer,which hinders a comprehensive understanding of aerosol NH_(4)^(+).In this study,we perform both field observation and modeling studies(the Community Multiscale Air Quality,CMAQ)to investigate regional NH_(3)emission sources and vertically resolved NH_(4)^(+)formation mechanisms during the winter in Beijing.Both stable nitrogen isotope analyses and CMAQ model suggest that combustion-related NH_(3)emissions,including fossil fuel sources,NH_(3)slip,and biomass burning,are important sources of aerosol NH_(4)^(+)with more than 60%contribution occurring on heavily polluted days.In contrast,volatilization-related NH_(3)sources(livestock breeding,N-fertilizer application,and human waste)are dominant on clean days.Combustion-related NH_(3)is mostly local from Beijing,and biomass burning is likely an important NH_(3)source(~15%–20%)that was previously overlooked.More effective control strategies such as the two-product(e.g.,reducing both SO_(2)and NH_(3))control policy should be considered to improve air quality.展开更多
As a fundamental logistics service,the express delivery(ED)industry provides production and consumption activities to maintain efficient supply chain operations.It plays an important role in promoting industrial devel...As a fundamental logistics service,the express delivery(ED)industry provides production and consumption activities to maintain efficient supply chain operations.It plays an important role in promoting industrial development and maintaining daily life and consumption.This study examined the effects of COVID-19 on the ED industry using ED package delivery data from 31 provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities)in China.Using a difference-in-differences method,the COVID-19 outbreak was found to have a positive effect and epidemic prevention and control(EPC)policies were found to have negative effects on the development of the ED industry.In addition to EPC policies,the Chinese government has implemented other short-term economic interventions(SEI),such as the resumption of work and production(RWP),policies to balance economic growth,and epidemic prevention.This study divided the pandemic period into three stages to analyze the different impacts of EPC and SEI policy changes on the ED industry.The RWP policies adopted during the pandemic positively impacted the volume and income of packages delivered to the ED industry.The conclusions of this study are significant for the ED industry in addressing public health emergencies and for the Chinese government to formulate EPC and SEI policies during epidemic periods.展开更多
This paper considers the optimal investment and premium control problem in a diffusion approxi- mation to a non-homogeneous compound Poisson process. In the nonlinear diffusion model, it is assumed that there is an un...This paper considers the optimal investment and premium control problem in a diffusion approxi- mation to a non-homogeneous compound Poisson process. In the nonlinear diffusion model, it is assumed that there is an unspecified monotone function describing the relationship between the safety loading of premium and the time-varying claim arrival rate. Hence, in addition to the investment control, the premium rate can be served as a control variable in the optimization problem. Specifically, the problem is investigated in two cases: (i) maximizing the expected utility of terminal wealth, and (ii) minimizing the probability of ruin respectively. In both cases, some properties of the value functions are derived, and closed-form expressions for the optimal policies and the value functions are obtained. The results show that the optimal investment policy and the optimal premium control policy are dependent on each other. Most interestingly, as an example, we show that the nonlinear diffusion model reduces to a diffusion model with a quadratic drift coefficient when the function associated with the premium rate and the claim arrival rate takes a special form. This example shows that the model of study represents a class of nonlinear stochastic control risk model.展开更多
The proliferation of streaming service system in various application areas gains increasing importance and also poses more challenges in the research of streaming service system. In this paper, we propose a novel dyna...The proliferation of streaming service system in various application areas gains increasing importance and also poses more challenges in the research of streaming service system. In this paper, we propose a novel dynamic model composed of a set of differential equations to describe the evolution of streaming service systems. And in the model, we focus on how the policies for admission control and peer selection influence on the system. We first introduce a flexible abstraction of streaming service systems. The abstraction is generally enough to capture the essences of streaming service systems with different structures, physical characteristics,software protocols and client behaviors. Then, by analyzing the state which is defined as the number of requests, a novel dynamic model is developed in microscopic scale to characterize the behaviors of streaming service systems. The model proposed in this paper demonstrates the interactions between clients and servers and also between different servers. The interactions are primarily influenced by the admission control policy and peer selection policy. Finally, some experiments are designed to verify the validation and reasonability of the model.展开更多
Since the concept of emerging contaminants(ECs)was first proposed in 2001,the global scientific research of ECs has developed rapidly.In the past decades,great progress has been achieved in the scientific research of ...Since the concept of emerging contaminants(ECs)was first proposed in 2001,the global scientific research of ECs has developed rapidly.In the past decades,great progress has been achieved in the scientific research of ECs in China,including the establishment of EC analysis method system,the evaluation of the pollution status,pollution characteristics and environmental risk of ECs in typical regions of China,and establishment of EC control technology system.Continuous progress in scientific research of ECs promoted China’s action on EC control.It is planned that the environmental risk of ECs will be generally controlled by 2035 in China.Priority ECs should be screened for environmental management.Although great efforts have been made,the EC control in China still faces tremendous challenges.It is necessary to bridge the gap between scientific research and decision-making management.Based on the science and technology study,various measures such as engineering,policy management and public participation should be combinedly adopted for EC control.展开更多
This article describes the development and implementations of a novel software platform that supports real-time, science-based policy making on air quality through a user-friendly interface. The software, RSM-VAT, use...This article describes the development and implementations of a novel software platform that supports real-time, science-based policy making on air quality through a user-friendly interface. The software, RSM-VAT, uses a response surface modeling(RSM) methodology and serves as a visualization and analysis tool(VAT) for three-dimensional air quality data obtained by atmospheric models. The software features a number of powerful and intuitive data visualization functions for illustrating the complex nonlinear relationship between emission reductions and air quality benefits. The case study of contiguous U.S.demonstrates that the enhanced RSM-VAT is capable of reproducing the air quality model results with Normalized Mean Bias 〈 2% and assisting in air quality policy making in near real time.展开更多
The National Institute of Standards and Technology(NIST)has identified natural language policies as the preferred expression of policy and implicitly called for an automated translation of ABAC natural language access...The National Institute of Standards and Technology(NIST)has identified natural language policies as the preferred expression of policy and implicitly called for an automated translation of ABAC natural language access control policy(NLACP)to a machine-readable form.To study the automation process,we consider the hierarchical ABAC model as our reference model since it better reflects the requirements of real-world organizations.Therefore,this paper focuses on the questions of:how can we automatically infer the hierarchical structure of an ABAC model given NLACPs;and,how can we extract and define the set of authorization attributes based on the resulting structure.To address these questions,we propose an approach built upon recent advancements in natural language processing and machine learning techniques.For such a solution,the lack of appropriate data often poses a bottleneck.Therefore,we decouple the primary contributions of this work into:(1)developing a practical framework to extract authorization attributes of hierarchical ABAC system from natural language artifacts,and(2)generating a set of realistic synthetic natural language access control policies(NLACPs)to evaluate the proposed framework.Our experimental results are promising as we achieved-in average-an F1-score of 0.96 when extracting attributes values of subjects,and 0.91 when extracting the values of objects’attributes from natural language access control policies.展开更多
In this paper,we present a new method for finding a fixed local-optimal policy for computing the customer lifetime value.The method is developed for a class of ergodic controllable finite Markov chains.We propose an a...In this paper,we present a new method for finding a fixed local-optimal policy for computing the customer lifetime value.The method is developed for a class of ergodic controllable finite Markov chains.We propose an approach based on a non-converging state-value function that fluctuates(increases and decreases) between states of the dynamic process.We prove that it is possible to represent that function in a recursive format using a one-step-ahead fixed-optimal policy.Then,we provide an analytical formula for the numerical realization of the fixed local-optimal strategy.We also present a second approach based on linear programming,to solve the same problem,that implement the c-variable method for making the problem computationally tractable.At the end,we show that these two approaches are related:after a finite number of iterations our proposed approach converges to same result as the linear programming method.We also present a non-traditional approach for ergodicity verification.The validity of the proposed methods is successfully demonstrated theoretically and,by simulated credit-card marketing experiments computing the customer lifetime value for both an optimization and a game theory approach.展开更多
文摘Loess Plateau is the most serious region of soil and water loss in China and the world. The sediment carried into the Yellow River amounts to 1.6 billion tons every year. This paper reviews the factors and reasons for erosion in this area, and puts forward a comprehensive controlling policy on the basis of the principles of ecology and practise of Chinese scientists for 40 years. In conformity with the policy, a number of technical measures for controlling soil and water loss are suggested.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.71571127)the National Natural Science Youth Foundation of China(No.72001181).
文摘Based on the number of customers and the server’s workload,this paper proposes a modified Min(N,D)-policy and discusses an M/G/1 queueing model with delayed randomized multiple vacations under such a policy.Applying the well-known stochastic decomposition property of the steady-state queue size,the probability generating function of the steady-state queue length distribution is obtained.Moreover,the explicit expressions of the expected queue length and the additional queue length distribution are derived by some algebraic manipulations.Finally,employing the renewal reward theorem,the explicit expression of the long-run expected cost per unit time is given.Furthermore,we analyze the optimal policy for economizing the expected cost and compare the optimal Min(N,D)-policy with the optimal N-policy and the optimal D-policy by using numerical examples.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of the Ministry of Science and Technology of China(No.2019YFC0214805)the National Social Science Foundation of China(No.21AZD060)+1 种基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.71810107001 and 72073003)the 111 Project Urban Air Pollution and Health Effects(No.B20009),Peking University。
文摘China has put great efforts into air pollution control over the past years and recently committed to its most ambitious climate target.Cost and benefit analysis has been widely used to evaluate the control policies in terms of past performance,future reduction potential,and direct and indirect impacts.To understand the cost and benefit analysis for air pollution control in China,we conducted a bibliometric review of more than 100 studies published over the past two decades,including the current research progress,most commonly adopted methods,and core findings.The control target in cost and benefit analysis has shifted in three stages,from individual and primary pollution control,moving to joint prevention of multiple and secondary pollutants,and then towards synergistic control of air pollution and carbon.With the expansion of the research scope,the integrated assessment model has gradually demonstrated the necessity for long-term ex-anti policy simulation,especially for dealing with complex factors.To ensure long-term air quality,climate,public health,and sustainable economic development,substantial evidence from published studies has suggested that China needs to continue its efforts in the upstream adjustment of the energy system and industrial structure with multi-regional and-sector collaboration.This cost and benefit review paper provides decision-makers with the fundamental information and knowledge gaps in air pollution control strategies in China,and direction for facing future challenges.
基金We acknowledge that this work was supported by the science and technology innovation fund of Henan Agricultural University,No.KJCX2016A04Henan province institution of higher learning youth backbone teachers training program,No.2016GGJS-036Henan Provincial Department of Science and Technology Research Project under Grant 192102110205.
文摘As fresh agricultural products are perishable and vulnerable,reducing inventory cost is a strategic target for supply chain enterprises.How to design a reliable multi-echelon inventory control policy is still a great challenge.Therefore,the inventory cost of a three-level fresh agricultural products inventory system was firstly mathematically analyzed.Then,the simulation-based optimization model of the multi-echelon inventory system for fresh agricultural products was proposed by using the Flexsim simulation software and the improved particle swarm optimization algorithm.Finally,the multi-echelon inventory system is simulated based on a large number of survey data.Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed simulation-based optimization model of multi-echelon inventory system for fresh agricultural products can provide decision-making and technical support for the formulation of inventory control policy,and also it shows that the modeling of system simulation is an effective method to solve the problem of complex system.
基金Shaanxi Social Science Project(2022YA14)Xi'an Social Science Planning Project(23JX66)+1 种基金Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(KYFZ23008)Proof of Concept Foundation of Xidian University Hangzhou Institute of Technology under Grant No.GNYZ2023ZC0503.
文摘Sulfur dioxide(SO_(2))is a typical pollutant that affects human health,climate,and environmental and ecological conditions.China has been experiencing high concentrations of SO_(2),particularly in urban areas,since the 1990s.In 2010,a"joint prevention and control"(JPC)policy was issued to address air pollution problems and strengthen the regulation of SO_(2)emissions.This study aimed to describe the mitigation effects of this policy on SO_(2)emissions in 116 Chinese cities from 2003 to 2017.We applied global and local Moran's I indices to confirm the presence of significant spatial autocorrelation in SO_(2)emissions and constructed four spatial models to assess the effect of the JPC policy in reducing SO_(2)emissions and its transmission mechanism.We found that the policy decreased SO_(2)emissions by 1.89×10^(4)tons,S0_(2)intensity by 1.70 tons per km^(2),and S0_(2)per capita of 158.49 tons per 10,000 people in each city,on average,all of which are significant changes.The empirical results also show that population growth,economic structure,and environmental protection significantly decrease SO_(2)emissions.Finally,we recommended policies to encourage regional cooperation under the JPC policy,with the aim of promoting furtherreductions in SO_(2)emissions.
基金supported in part by the Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.71971189the Natural Science Foundation of Hebei Province under Grant No.A2019203313+1 种基金the Key Project of Scientific Research in Higher Education of Hebei Province of China under Grant No.ZD2018042in part by MEXT,Japan。
文摘In this study,the authors consider an M/M/1 queuing system with attached inventory under an(s,S)control policy.The server takes multiple vacations whenever the inventory is depleted.It is assumed that the lead time and the vacation time follow exponential distributions.The authors formulate the model as a quasi-birth-and-dearth(QBD)process and derive the stability condition of the system.Then,the stationary distribution in product form for the joint process of the queue length,the inventory level,and the server’s status is obtained.Furthermore,the conditional distributions of the inventory level when the server is on and operational,and when it is off due to a vacation,are derived.Using the stationary distribution,the authors obtain some performance measures of the system.The authors investigate analytically the effect of the server’s vacation on the performance measures.Finally,several numerical examples are presented to investigate the effects of some parameters on the performance measures,the optimal policy,and the optimal cost.
基金This study was supported by the Key Scientific Research Project of Henan Province(Nos.22A630004 and 21A790002)the 2021 Project of Huamao Finance Research Institute of Henan University of Economics and Law and the Key Fields Special Project(Digital Economy)of Guangdong Universities(No.2021ZDZX3010).
文摘Omicron,the new mutant coronavirus,has spread rapidly globally,attracting close attention from different stakeholders worldwide.The complex and constantly changing epidemic situation has had a new impact on the world.Therefore,this paper focuses on the characteristics of the rapid spread of the COVID-19 variant strain.Generally,epidemic prevention experts conduct preliminary screening as part of the existing epidemic plan database according to the current local situation,after which they sort the alternatives deemed more suitable for the situation.Then the decision-makers identify the most divergent expert group,plan for consultation and adjustments,and finally obtain the plan with the smallest divergence.This article aims to integrate the experts'opinions with the method of minimizing the differences,which can maximize the expert consensus and help organize the schemes that best meet the epidemic situation.The experts'negotiation and iteration of the differences in the initial plan align with the current complex and dynamic epidemic situation and are of great significance to the rapid formulation of plans to achieve effective prevention and control.
基金This research was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.71571127)the funding of V.C.&V.R.Key Lab of Sichuan Province(SCVCVR2019.05VS)the Sichuan Science and Technology Program(Nos.2020YFS0318,2019YFS0155,2019YFS0146,2020YFG0430,2020YFS0307).
文摘This paper investigates a multi-component repairable system with double threshold control policy.The system is composed of n identical and independent components which operate simultaneously at the beginning,and it is down when the number of operating components decreases to k−1(k≤n).When the number of failed components is less than the value L,the repairman repairs them with a low repair rate.The high repair rate is activated as soon as L failed components present,and continues until the number of failed components drops to the value N−1.Applying the matrix analytical method,the Laplace transform technique and the properties of the phase type distribution,various performance measures including the availability,the rate of occurrence of failures,and the reliability are derived in transient and stationary regimes.Further,numerical examples are reported to show the behaviour of the system.
基金Financial support for this work is provided by the Shunde Environment ProtectionTransportation and Urban Administration Bureau(no.0851-1361FS02CL51)+5 种基金the Guangdong Provincial Science and Technology Plan Projects(no.2014A050503019)Guangzhou Environmental Protection Bureau(no.x2hjB2150020)supported by the funding of State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Sources and Control of Air Pollution Complexthe project of Atmospheric Haze Collaboration Control Technology Design(no.XDB05030400)from Chinese Academy of Sciencesthe Special Program for Applied Research on Super Computation of the NSFC-Guangdong Joint Fund(U1501501)(the second phase)the Guangdong Provincial Engineering and Technology Research Center for Environmental Risk Prevention and Emergency Disposal(no.b2152120)
文摘To develop a sound ozone(O_3) pollution control strategy,it is important to well understand and characterize the source contribution due to the complex chemical and physical formation processes of O_3.Using the "Shunde" city as a pilot summer case study,we apply an innovative response surface modeling(RSM) methodology based on the Community Multi-Scale Air Quality(CMAQ) modeling simulations to identify the O_3 regime and provide dynamic analysis of the precursor contributions to effectively assess the O_3 impacts of volatile organic compound(VOC) control strategy.Our results show that Shunde is a typical VOC-limited urban O_3 polluted city.The "Jiangmen" city,as the main upper wind area during July 2014,its VOCs and nitrogen oxides(NO_x) emissions make up the largest contribution(9.06%).On the contrary,the contribution from local(Shunde) emission is lowest(6.35%) among the seven neighbor regions.The local VOCs industrial source emission has the largest contribution comparing to other precursor emission sectors in Shunde.The results of dynamic source contribution analysis further show that the local NO_x control could slightly increase the ground O_3 under low(10.00%) and medium(40.00%)reduction ratios,while it could start to turn positive to decrease ground O_3 under the high NO_x abatement ratio(75.00%).The real-time assessment of O_3 impacts from VOCs control strategies in Pearl River Delta(PRD) shows that the joint regional VOCs emission control policy will effectively reduce the ground O_3 concentration in Shunde.
文摘Empirical research on the effect of family size on child education is complicated by the endogeneity of family size. This study exploits plausibly exogenous changes in family size caused by China's population control policy to estimate the causal relationship between family size and child education outcomes. The results show that, compared to an only child, a person with an additional sibling will have an approximate seventeen percentage points lower likelihood of completing middle school in China. Separate regressions across individual characteristics reveal that much of this negative effect appears to be driven by the cohorts born in earlier years after the policy, and children with the highest birth order within a family.
文摘Epidemiological studies have shown that infection with the human immunodeficiency virus(HIV) is an influential risk factor for infection with Mycobacterium tuberculosis(MTb),the rapid progression of the initial infection to active tuberculosis(TB),and the reactivation of latent TB infection.MTb infection is also one of the most common opportunistic infections in people with HIV,including AIDS patients receiving anti-retroviral therapy.Given the prevalence of HIV infection,the incidence of TB infection,which had begun to decline,is facing a severe situation.HIV associated with TB exerts an immense burden on the public health-care system,especially in countries with high incidences of HIV infection.Therefore,the global policies for the prevention and control of TB should be revised.Moreover,an increased investment in TB control has to be guaranteed.The purpose of this review is to summarize the recent progress in the prevention,treatment,and control of HIV and TB co-infection.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program(Nos.2019YFC0214800 and 2016YFC0208004)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.41822505 and 42061130213)+1 种基金supported by the Royal Society of the UK through the Newton Advanced Fellowship(No.NAFR1201166)the Tsinghua University Initiative Scientific Research Program(No.2019Z02CAU)。
文摘China’s emission control for nonroad diesel mobile machinery(NDMM)must deal with a fast increase in stock as well as regulations that are two decades behind those for on-road vehicles.This study provides the first large-scale review and evaluation of China’s NDMM policies,along with emission measurements and an investigation on diesel fuel quality.The sulfur contents of the investigated diesel declined from 430 ppm(median value)in 2011 to6-8 ppm during the 2017-2018 period.The emission control of NO_(x)and PM greatly improved with the shift from the China II to China IV standards,as demonstrated by engine tests and field NO_(x)measurements.However,the NO_(x)emission factors for non-type-approved engines were approximately twice the limits of the China II standards.Emission compliance based on bench tests was not sufficient to control actual emissions because the field-measured NO_(x)emission factors of all machinery ranged from 24%to 225%greater than the respective emission limits for the engines.These circumstances adversely affected the effectiveness of the regulations and policies for China’s emission control of NDMM.Nevertheless,the policies on new and in-use NDMM,as well as diesel fuel quality,prevented NO_(x)and PM emissions amounting to 4.4 Tg and 297.8 Gg during the period 2008-2017,respectively.The emission management strategy contributed to enhancing the international competitiveness of China’s NDMM industries by promoting advanced technologies.For effective NDMM emission control in the future,portable testing and noncontact remote supervision should be strengthened;also,the issue of noncompliant diesel should be addressed through rigorous control measures and financial penalties.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(42130513,41905110,and 41961130384)the Royal Society Newton Advanced Fellowship,United Kingdom(NAFR1191220)the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region,China(T24/504/17 and A-Poly U502/16)。
文摘Aerosol ammonium(NH_(4)^(+)),mainly produced from the reactions of ammonia(NH_(3))with acids in the atmosphere,has significant impacts on air pollution,radiative forcing,and human health.Understanding the source and formation mechanism of NH_(4)^(+)can provide scientific insights into air quality improvements.However,the sources of NH_(3)in urban areas are not well understood,and few studies focus on NH_(3)/NH_(4)^(+)at different heights within the atmospheric boundary layer,which hinders a comprehensive understanding of aerosol NH_(4)^(+).In this study,we perform both field observation and modeling studies(the Community Multiscale Air Quality,CMAQ)to investigate regional NH_(3)emission sources and vertically resolved NH_(4)^(+)formation mechanisms during the winter in Beijing.Both stable nitrogen isotope analyses and CMAQ model suggest that combustion-related NH_(3)emissions,including fossil fuel sources,NH_(3)slip,and biomass burning,are important sources of aerosol NH_(4)^(+)with more than 60%contribution occurring on heavily polluted days.In contrast,volatilization-related NH_(3)sources(livestock breeding,N-fertilizer application,and human waste)are dominant on clean days.Combustion-related NH_(3)is mostly local from Beijing,and biomass burning is likely an important NH_(3)source(~15%–20%)that was previously overlooked.More effective control strategies such as the two-product(e.g.,reducing both SO_(2)and NH_(3))control policy should be considered to improve air quality.
基金This work was partly supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China,China(NSFC 71831003).
文摘As a fundamental logistics service,the express delivery(ED)industry provides production and consumption activities to maintain efficient supply chain operations.It plays an important role in promoting industrial development and maintaining daily life and consumption.This study examined the effects of COVID-19 on the ED industry using ED package delivery data from 31 provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities)in China.Using a difference-in-differences method,the COVID-19 outbreak was found to have a positive effect and epidemic prevention and control(EPC)policies were found to have negative effects on the development of the ED industry.In addition to EPC policies,the Chinese government has implemented other short-term economic interventions(SEI),such as the resumption of work and production(RWP),policies to balance economic growth,and epidemic prevention.This study divided the pandemic period into three stages to analyze the different impacts of EPC and SEI policy changes on the ED industry.The RWP policies adopted during the pandemic positively impacted the volume and income of packages delivered to the ED industry.The conclusions of this study are significant for the ED industry in addressing public health emergencies and for the Chinese government to formulate EPC and SEI policies during epidemic periods.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(11571388)the MOE Project of Key Research Institute of Humanities and Social Sciences at Universities(15JJD790036)+2 种基金the 111 Project(B17050)supported by a grant from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region,China(Project No.HKU17329216)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(11571198,11701319)
文摘This paper considers the optimal investment and premium control problem in a diffusion approxi- mation to a non-homogeneous compound Poisson process. In the nonlinear diffusion model, it is assumed that there is an unspecified monotone function describing the relationship between the safety loading of premium and the time-varying claim arrival rate. Hence, in addition to the investment control, the premium rate can be served as a control variable in the optimization problem. Specifically, the problem is investigated in two cases: (i) maximizing the expected utility of terminal wealth, and (ii) minimizing the probability of ruin respectively. In both cases, some properties of the value functions are derived, and closed-form expressions for the optimal policies and the value functions are obtained. The results show that the optimal investment policy and the optimal premium control policy are dependent on each other. Most interestingly, as an example, we show that the nonlinear diffusion model reduces to a diffusion model with a quadratic drift coefficient when the function associated with the premium rate and the claim arrival rate takes a special form. This example shows that the model of study represents a class of nonlinear stochastic control risk model.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundationof China(Nos.61174124 and 61233003)Research Fund for DoctoralProgram of Higher Education of China(No.20123402110029)Natural Science Research Program of the Anhui High Education Bureau of China(No.KJ2012A286)
文摘The proliferation of streaming service system in various application areas gains increasing importance and also poses more challenges in the research of streaming service system. In this paper, we propose a novel dynamic model composed of a set of differential equations to describe the evolution of streaming service systems. And in the model, we focus on how the policies for admission control and peer selection influence on the system. We first introduce a flexible abstraction of streaming service systems. The abstraction is generally enough to capture the essences of streaming service systems with different structures, physical characteristics,software protocols and client behaviors. Then, by analyzing the state which is defined as the number of requests, a novel dynamic model is developed in microscopic scale to characterize the behaviors of streaming service systems. The model proposed in this paper demonstrates the interactions between clients and servers and also between different servers. The interactions are primarily influenced by the admission control policy and peer selection policy. Finally, some experiments are designed to verify the validation and reasonability of the model.
文摘Since the concept of emerging contaminants(ECs)was first proposed in 2001,the global scientific research of ECs has developed rapidly.In the past decades,great progress has been achieved in the scientific research of ECs in China,including the establishment of EC analysis method system,the evaluation of the pollution status,pollution characteristics and environmental risk of ECs in typical regions of China,and establishment of EC control technology system.Continuous progress in scientific research of ECs promoted China’s action on EC control.It is planned that the environmental risk of ECs will be generally controlled by 2035 in China.Priority ECs should be screened for environmental management.Although great efforts have been made,the EC control in China still faces tremendous challenges.It is necessary to bridge the gap between scientific research and decision-making management.Based on the science and technology study,various measures such as engineering,policy management and public participation should be combinedly adopted for EC control.
基金Financial and data support for this work is provided by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (No. GS-10F-0205T)partly supported by the funding of Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Environment and Pollution Control (No. h2xj D612004 Ш )+1 种基金the funding of State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Sources and Control of Air Pollution Complex (No. SCAPC201308)the project of Atmospheric Haze Collaboration Control Technology Design (No. XDB05030400) from Chinese Academy of Sciences
文摘This article describes the development and implementations of a novel software platform that supports real-time, science-based policy making on air quality through a user-friendly interface. The software, RSM-VAT, uses a response surface modeling(RSM) methodology and serves as a visualization and analysis tool(VAT) for three-dimensional air quality data obtained by atmospheric models. The software features a number of powerful and intuitive data visualization functions for illustrating the complex nonlinear relationship between emission reductions and air quality benefits. The case study of contiguous U.S.demonstrates that the enhanced RSM-VAT is capable of reproducing the air quality model results with Normalized Mean Bias 〈 2% and assisting in air quality policy making in near real time.
文摘The National Institute of Standards and Technology(NIST)has identified natural language policies as the preferred expression of policy and implicitly called for an automated translation of ABAC natural language access control policy(NLACP)to a machine-readable form.To study the automation process,we consider the hierarchical ABAC model as our reference model since it better reflects the requirements of real-world organizations.Therefore,this paper focuses on the questions of:how can we automatically infer the hierarchical structure of an ABAC model given NLACPs;and,how can we extract and define the set of authorization attributes based on the resulting structure.To address these questions,we propose an approach built upon recent advancements in natural language processing and machine learning techniques.For such a solution,the lack of appropriate data often poses a bottleneck.Therefore,we decouple the primary contributions of this work into:(1)developing a practical framework to extract authorization attributes of hierarchical ABAC system from natural language artifacts,and(2)generating a set of realistic synthetic natural language access control policies(NLACPs)to evaluate the proposed framework.Our experimental results are promising as we achieved-in average-an F1-score of 0.96 when extracting attributes values of subjects,and 0.91 when extracting the values of objects’attributes from natural language access control policies.
文摘In this paper,we present a new method for finding a fixed local-optimal policy for computing the customer lifetime value.The method is developed for a class of ergodic controllable finite Markov chains.We propose an approach based on a non-converging state-value function that fluctuates(increases and decreases) between states of the dynamic process.We prove that it is possible to represent that function in a recursive format using a one-step-ahead fixed-optimal policy.Then,we provide an analytical formula for the numerical realization of the fixed local-optimal strategy.We also present a second approach based on linear programming,to solve the same problem,that implement the c-variable method for making the problem computationally tractable.At the end,we show that these two approaches are related:after a finite number of iterations our proposed approach converges to same result as the linear programming method.We also present a non-traditional approach for ergodicity verification.The validity of the proposed methods is successfully demonstrated theoretically and,by simulated credit-card marketing experiments computing the customer lifetime value for both an optimization and a game theory approach.