Long-Term Mortality of Children with Congenital Heart Disease Admitted to the Departmental University Hospital of Borgou/Alibori from 2011 to 2022

Background: Congenital heart disease is a public health issue due to its incidence and mortality rate. The aim of this study was to investigate the long-term mortality of children with congenital heart disease admitted to the Departmental University Hospital of Borgou/Alibori (CHUD-B/A) from 2011 to 2022. Methods: This descriptive longitudinal study with analytical aims covered 11 years (April 1, 2011 to December 31, 2022). It consisted of a review of the records of children under 15 years of age with echocardiographically confirmed congenital heart disease. This was followed by an interview with the parents to assess the children’s current condition. Data were entered using Kobocollect software and analyzed using R Studio 4.2.2. software. Results: A total of 143 complete files were retained. The median age at diagnosis was 14 months (IIQ: Q1 = 4;Q3 = 60) with a range of 2 days and 175 months, and the sex-ratio (M/F) was 0.96. Left-to-right shunts were the most frequent cardiopathy group (62.9%). Only 35 children (24.5%) benefited from restorative treatment. The mortality rate was 31.5%. Median survival under the maximum bias assumption was 114 months and 216 months under the assumption of minimum bias. Survival was significantly better in children with right-to-left shunts (p = 0.0049) under the assumption of minimum bias. The death risk factors were: age at diagnosis less than 12 months (aHR = 7.58;95% CI = 3.36 - 17.24;p Conclusion: The long-term mortality of congenital heart disease is high and favoured by the absence of restorative treatment. Local correction of congenital heart disease and medical follow-up will help to reduce this mortality.

Postoperative mortality and morbidity after D2 lymphadenectomy for gastric cancer:A retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND Surgery for gastric cancer is a complex procedure and lymphadenectomy is often mandatory.Postoperative mortality and morbidity after curative gastric cancer surgery is not insignificant.AIM To evaluate the factors determining mortality and morbidity in a population of patients undergoing R0 resection and D2 lymphadenectomy for gastric cancer.METHODS A retrospective analysis of clinical data and pathological characteristics(age,sex,primary site of the tumor,Lauren histotype,number of positive lymph nodes resected,number of negative lymph nodes resected,and depth of invasion as defined by the standard nomenclature)was conducted in patients with gastric cancer.For each patient we calculated the Kattan’s score.We arbitrarily divided the study population of patients into two groups based on the nomogram score(<100 points or≥100 points).Prespecified subgroups in these analyses were defined according to age(≤65 years or>65 years),and number of lymph nodes retrieved(≤35 lymph nodes or>35 lymph nodes).Uni-and multivariate analysis of clinical and pathological findings were performed to identify the factors affecting postoperative mortality and morbidity.RESULTS One-hundred and eighty-six patients underwent a curative R0 resection with D2 lymphadenectomy.Perioperative mortality rate was 3.8%(7 patients);a higher mortality rate was observed in patients aged>65 years(P=0.002)and in N+patients(P=0.04).Following univariate analysis,mortality was related to a Kattan’s score≥100 points(P=0.04)and the presence of advanced gastric cancer(P=0.03).Morbidity rate was 21.0%(40 patients).Surgical complications were observed in 17 patients(9.1%).A higher incidence of morbidity was observed in patients where more than 35 lymph nodes were harvested(P=0.0005).CONCLUSION Mortality and morbidity rate are higher in N+and advanced gastric cancer patients.The removal of more than 35 lymph nodes does not lead to an increase in mortality.

Liver resection and metabolic disorders: An undescribed mechanism leading to postoperative mortality

AIM: To investigate the mechanism leading to perioperative mortality in patients undergoing major liver resection and presenting with metabolic disorders.

Risk factors for mortality in postoperative peritonitis in critically ill patients

AIM To identify the risk factors for mortality in intensive care patients with postoperative peritonitis(POP).METHODS This was a retrospective analysis using a prospective database that includes all patients hospitalized in a surgical intensive care unit for POP from September 2006 to August 2011. The data collected included demographics, comorbidities, postoperative severity parameters, bacteriological findings, adequacy of antimicrobial therapy and surgical treatments. Adequate source control was defined based on a midline laparotomy, infection source control and intraoperative peritoneal lavage. The number of reoperations needed was also recorded.RESULTS A total of 201 patients were included. The overall mortality rate was 31%. Three independent risk factors for mortality were identified: The Simplified Acute Physiological Ⅱ Score(OR = 1.03; 95%CI: 1.02-1.05, P < 0.001), postoperative medical complications(OR = 6.02; 95%CI: 1.95-18.55, P < 0.001) and the number of reoperations(OR = 2.45; 95%CI: 1.16-5.17, P = 0.015). Surgery was considered as optimal in 69% of the cases, but without any significant effect on mortality. CONCLUSION The results from the large cohort in this study emphasize the role of the initial postoperative severity parameters inthe prognosis of POP. No predefined criteria for optimal surgery were significantly associated with increased mortality, although the number of reoperations appeared as an independent risk factor of mortality.

Predictive value of SinoSCORE on in-hospital mortality and postoperative complications after coronary artery bypass surgery

Objective To evaluate the performance of the Sino System for Coronary Operative Risk Evaluation (SinoSCORE) on in hospital mortality and postoperative complications in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) in a single heart center. Methods From January 2007 to December 2008,clinical information of 201 consecutive patients undergoing isolated CABG in our hospital was collected. The SinoSCORE was used to

Impact of Atrial Septal Defect Closure on Mortality in Older Patients

Background:Atrial septal defect(ASD)is a common form of adult congenital heart disease that can lead to long-term adverse outcomes if left untreated.Early closure of ASD has been associated with excellent outcomes and lower complication rates.However,there is limited evidence regarding the prognosis of ASD closure in older adults.This study aims to evaluate the mortality rates in older ASD patients with and without closure.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted on patients aged 40 years or older with ASD between 2001 and 2017.Patients were followed up to assess all-cause mortality.Univariable and multivariable analyses were performed to identify the predictors of mortality.A p-value of<0.05 was considered statistically significant.Results:The cohort consisted of 450 patients(mean age 56.6±10.4 years,77.3%female),with 66%aged between 40 and 60 years,and 34%over 60 years.Within the cohort,299 underwent ASD closure(201 with transcatheter and 98 with surgical closure).During the median follow-up duration of 7.9 years,51 patients died.The unadjusted cumulative 10-year rate of mortality was 3%in patients with ASD closure,and 28%in patients without ASD closure(log-rank p<0.001).Multivariable analysis revealed that age(hazard ratio[HR]1.04,95%confidence interval[CI]1.006–1.06,p=0.01),NYHA class(HR 2.75,95%CI 1.63–4.62,p<0.001),blood urea nitrogen(BUN)(HR 1.07,95%CI 1.03–1.12,p<0.001),right ventricular systolic pressure(RVSP)(HR 1.07,95%CI 1.003–1.04,p=0.01),and lack of ASD closure(HR 15.12,95%CI 5.63–40.59,p<0.001)were independently associated with mortality.Conclusion:ASD closure demonstrated favorable outcomes in older patients.Age,NYHA class,BUN,RVSP,and lack of ASD closure were identified as independent factors linked to mortality in this population.

Surgical Management of Perforated Colon Tumours in Yaoundé: A Multicentre Retrospective Review of 30-Day Postoperative Outcome

Introduction: Colon cancer is often diagnosed late in our context and there is a high prevalence of complicated forms, this including perforation. The optimal surgical treatment remains controversial. The aim of this study was to improve the short-term postoperative outcomes of patients operated upon for perforated colon cancer, by identifying factors associated with complications occurring within 30 days after surgery. Patients and methods: We carried out an analytical observational study, with a retrospective collection of data from the files of patients operated upon for an in situ tumoral colon perforation. This was done in four referral hospitals in the city of Yaoundé. The period was from the 1st of January, 2012 to the 31st of December, 2021. Cox regression identified the factors associated with postoperative morbidity and mortality. Results: We collected files of 46 patients. The mean age was 54.7 ± 19.9 years with a sex ratio of 1.4. The clinical presentation on admission was dominated by the presence of signs of peritoneal irritation (91.3%) and bowel obstruction (28.3%). The diagnosis was made preoperatively in 16 cases (34.8%). The surgical procedures consisted of colectomy with anastomosis in 28 cases (60.9%) and without anastomosis in 14 cases (30.4%). Postoperative morbidity was 60.9% dominated by surgical site infection (37%). Postoperative mortality was 39.1%. The existence of generalized peritonitis was associated with the occurrence of postoperative complications (p = 0.019). The main factors associated with postoperative mortality were resection with primary anastomosis (p = 0.027), enterocutaneous fistula (p = 0.005). Conclusion: Colic resection with primary anastomosis or ideal colectomy is associated with an increased risk of mortality and should therefore not be performed in this setting.

Elderly patients had more severe postoperative complications after pancreatic resection:A retrospective analysis of 727 patients

AIM To examine the impact of aging on the short-term outcomes following pancreatic resection(PR) in elderly patients.METHODS A retrospective cohort study using prospectively collected data was conducted at the China National Cancer Center. Consecutive patients who underwent PR from January 2004 to December 2015 were identifiedand included. ‘Elderly patient' was defined as ones age 65 and above. Comorbidities, clinicopathology, perioperative variables, and postoperative morbidity and mortality were compared between the elderly and young patients. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed using the Cox proportional hazard model for severe postoperative complications(grades Ⅲb-Ⅴ).RESULTS A total of 454(63.4%) patients were < 65-yearsold and 273(36.6%) patients were ≥ 65-yearsold, respectively. Compared to patients < 65-yearsold, elderly patients had worse American Society of Anesthesiologists scores(P = 0.007) and more comorbidities(62.6% vs 32.4%, P < 0.001). Elderly patients had more severe postoperative complications(16.8% vs 9.0%, P = 0.002) and higher postoperative mortality rates(5.5% vs 0.9%, P < 0.001). In the multivariate Cox proportional hazards model for severe postoperative complications, age ≥ 65 years [hazard ratio(HR) = 1.63; 95% confidence interval(CI): 1.18-6.30], body mass index ≥ 24 kg/m^2(HR = 1.20, 95%CI: 1.07-5.89), pancreaticoduodenectomy(HR = 4.86, 95%CI: 1.20-8.31) and length of operation ≥ 241 min(HR = 2.97; 95%CI: 1.04-6.14) were significant(P = 0.010, P = 0.041, P = 0.017 and P = 0.012, respectively).CONCLUSION We found that aging is an independent risk factor for severe postoperative complications after PR. Our results might contribute to more informed decision-making for elderly patients.

Modified physiological and operative score for the enumeration of mortality and morbidity risk assessment model in general surgery

AIM: To establish a scoring system for predicting the incidence of postoperative complications and mortality in general surgery based on the physiological and operative severity score for the enumeration of mortality and morbidity (POSSUM), and to evaluate its efficacy. METHODS: Eighty-four patients with postoperative complications or death and 172 patients without postoperative complications, who underwent surgery in our department during the previous 2 years, were retrospectively analyzed by logistic regression. Fifteen indexes were investigated including age, cardiovascular function, respiratory function, blood test results, endocrine function, central nervous system function, hepatic function, renal function, nutritional status, extent of operative trauma, and course of anesthesia. Modified POSSUM (M-POSSUM) was developed using significant risk factors with its efficacy evaluated. RESULTS: The significant risk factors were found to be age, cardiovascular function, respiratory function, hepatic function, renal function, blood test results, endocrine function, nutritional status, duration of operation, intraoperative blood loss, and course of anesthesia. These factors were all included in the scoring system. There were significant differences in the scores between the patients with and without postoperative complications, between the patients died and survived with complications, and between the patients died and survived without complications. The receiver operating characteristic curves showed that the M-POSSUM could accurately predict postoperative complications and mortality.CONCLUSION: M-POSSUM correlates well with postoperative complications and mortality, and is more accurate than POSSUM.

Surgical mortality in patients with malignant obstructive jaundice: a multivariate discriminant analysis

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the operative mortality in patients with malignant obstructive jaundice. METHODS: Twelve risk factors were analyzed using multivariate discriminant analysis in 90 patients who had been operated on. RESULTS: Operative mortality was significantly related to the following factors: age, duration of jaundice, packed RBC volume, white blood cell count and concentration of blood urine nitrogen; it was not significantly related to diseases and types of operation. The following formula was obtained: packed RBC volume×0.09954-age×0. 04018-blood urine nitrogen×0. 23693-duration of jaundice× 2. 07388-WBC count×0. 21118+5. 26593. With this formula, an operative mortality of 77. 8% was predicted. CONCLUSION: With a positive value from the formula, the patient should be operated on; otherwise non-operative treatment is advocated.

A Review of Hip Fracture Mortality—Why and How Does Such a Large Proportion of These Elderly Patients Die?

As the number of aged patients presenting with hip fractures continues to rise [1], the substantial mortality associated with this pathology must continue to be an area of scrutiny and improvement. While some dismiss the high mortality as an inevitable consequence of the comorbidities inherent in the original injury and the patient population, data suggest that at 2 years post-hip fracture, survivors’ risks have regressed significantly and in fact, return to the same mortality risk as the non-fracture population [2]. This indicates that the risk of death is largely created specifically by the hip fracture and its treatment per se rather than the comorbidities of the hip fracture population, and offers scope for the potential reduction of these causes of death if we can identify and manage them appropriately. At a time when the incidence of hip fracture worldwide is on a steady rise, this review considers why and how these older patients die, and whether our developing guidelines and continuing research is adequately addressing these causes of death.

Post-Operative Peritonitis: Diagnostic Problems, Morbidity and Mortality in Developing Countries

Goal: To study the diagnostic difficulties and post-operative morbidity and mortality of peritonitis. Patients and Methods: Retrospective study about the records of adult patients operated on between 1999 and 2013 whose diagnosis of post-operative peritonitis was made. Results: We achieved 23,573 lanterns and recorded 148 cases of postoperative peritonitis or 0.62%. The medium age was 37.1 ± 17.7 years and the sex ratio was 1.2. The delay between the initial intervention and reoperation was less than 5 days. Factors occurrence of postoperative peritonitis were those related to the initial surgery: septic context 70.8%, emergency surgery 81.1% under the seat mesocolic 25% and 20.3% initial surgical technique. The diagnosis was made preoperatively in 62.2% (n = 92). Ultrasound has found an effusion in 29.7% (n = 44). Cytobactériologic review identified germs in 85.1% (n = 126) and sterile in 12.9% of patients (n = 22). The most frequent etiologies were: 22.9% anastigmatic leak (n = 34), the phoenix abscess in 17.6% (n = 26), iatrogenic perforation 13.5% (n = 20) and digestive fistula 25% (n = 37). Other causes were the stoical necrosis 12.2% (n = 18) and evisceration 8.8% (n = 13). We performed a digestive stoma in 61% (n = 89), a closure of the abdomen bolsters in 8.8% (n = 13), a suture in iatrogenic perforation in 13.5% (n = 20) and washing with drainage in patients with phoenix abscess in 17.6% (n = 26). Morbidity was 22.3% and 53.4% mortality. Conclusion: The diagnosis of post-operative peritonitis is difficult in a developing country. Morbidity and mortality is high. Improved diagnostic tools are needed.

Early Postoperative Deaths in the Surgical Intensive Care Unit of CHU-Kara

Aim: Review of early postoperative deaths in the surgical intensive care unit at CHU-Kara. Introduction: Surgery, one of the means of treatment of diseases, also presents risks for the patient, including early postoperative death linked to numerous risk factors. Methodology: This was a retrospective descriptive study conducted on the records of patients who died within 48 hours after surgery from November 1, 2019 to April 30, 2021. The study was conducted in the surgical intensive care unit and in the operating room. Results: Thirty-two early postoperative deaths or 2.22% out of 1442 operated with 30 deaths retained for the study. Male gender predominated (70%). The average age was 31.22 years. Farmers were more concerned (66.67%). The time to surgery was 1.6 days. ASA1 patients (40%) predominated followed by ASA IV (30%). 80% of patients were operated on as an emergency. Digestive pathologies 80% were more represented. General anaesthesia 86.66% was more practiced associating Propofol, Fentanyl, Ketamine and Atropine more frequently. The average duration of the procedures was 132.5 minutes. Intraoperative complications were associated with cardiac arrest and hemorrhage (33.34%). ASA class higher than 2, dirty surgery (46.67%), and delayed recovery (13.34%) were the incriminating risk factors. Death by hemodynamic shock and respiratory distress were the main causes 26.66%. Conclusion: Early postoperative mortality was high and involved all ages. Anesthesia and surgery, the low level of qualification of the intraoperative actors, the lesser intraoperative security;the association of anesthetic effects, the complexity of intraoperative lesions led to the increase of mortality. The combination of two or more factors was pejorative for the deaths.

The Association between Preoperative Plasma C-Reactive Protein (CRP) Level and Postoperative Adult Heart Surgery Outcome

Introduction: Careful history and physical examinations are the best ways for preoperative evaluation. Currently, we are recommended to rely on doing them rather than unnecessary and costly laboratory tests for confirmation or diagnosis of disease. The aim of study is the survey of CRP level association to decide further evaluation and expert consultation, newly diagnosed problems and possible effect on postoperative mortality and morbidity. Methods and Materials: In a descriptive retrospective study, hospital documentation of 620 patients older than 18 years undergone heart surgery in Tabriz Shahid Madani hospital was evaluated. Addition to plasma CRP level, patient’s demographic information, type of surgery, preoperative significant tests, delay time in surgery start time after anesthesiology visit, cause of requested specialty consultation and treatment recommendation, postoperative complications and mortality rate were recorded and analyzed. Patients were classified according to preoperative plasma CRP level to five groups as negative, +1, +2, +3 and not measured (i.e. they considered as normal (0 - 5 mg/l), mildly (5 - 40 mg/l), moderately (40 - 200 mg/L) or severely increased (>200 mg/l) groups). Results: Of 620 patients, 402 were male and 218 were female. There was not statistically significant correlation among demographic variables (gender, age, weight, and height), heart disease diagnosis and the type of surgery in five groups. In 79 individuals, they were done specialty consultations that most common of them were neurology consultation because of impaired renal laboratory tests. Only 2 cases were due to high CRP level. In any of cases, this preoperative consultation didn’t result from new disease cases. CRP plasma level hadn’t association with preoperative red blood cell sedimentation level. Prevalence of preoperative acute myocardium infarction was higher in patients with high CRP level. In group +1, delay time was lower than other groups. The most common causes were cardiac causes. There wasn’t statistically significant correlation between CRP level and different postoperative complications. There wasn’t significant association between ICU stay time and postoperative hospital stay time and plasma high CRP level. Conclusion: Probably, plasma CRP level increases before surgery in acute myocardial infarction and results in high mortality rate. It seems that routine measurement of CRP in candidates for heart operation is beneficial for mortality rate prediction, so its increasing level can’t help to diagnosis newly cases and it isn’t prudent to consult with specialist.

Long-term outcomes after laparoscopic colectomy

AIM:To evaluate long-term outcomes in a large series of patients who randomly received laparoscopic or open colorectal resection.METHODS:From February 2000 to December 2004,six hundred sixty-two patients with colorectal disease were randomly assigned to laparoscopic(LPS,n = 330) or open(n = 332) colorectal resection.All patients were analyzed on an intention-to-treat basis.Long-term follow-up was carried out every 6 mo by office visits.In 526 cancer patients five-year overall and disease-free survival were evaluated.Median oncologic follow-up was 96 mo.RESULTS:Eight(4.2%) LPS group patients needed conversion to open surgery.Overall long-term morbidity rate was 7.6%(25/330) in the LPS vs 11.1%(37/332) in the open group(P = 0.17).In cancer patients,fiveyear overall survival was 68.6% in the LPS group and 64.0% in the Open group(P = 0.27).Excluding stage Ⅳ patients,five-year local and distant recurrence rates were 32.5% in the LPS group and 36.8% in the Open group(P = 0.36).Further,no difference in recurrence rate was found when patients were stratified according to cancer stage.CONCLUSION:LPS colorectal resection was associated with a slightly lower incidence of long-term complications than open surgery.No difference between groups was found in overall and disease-free survival rates.

Systematic review of long-term Xingnao Kaiqiao needling efficacy in ischemic stroke treatment

OBJeCTIve：To systematically evaluate the long-term effect and safety ofXingnao Kaiqiao nee-dling method in ischemic stroke treatment. DATA ReTRIevAL： We retrieved relevant random and semi-random controlled trials that used theXingnao Kaiqiao needling method to treat ischemic stroke compared with various control treatments such as conventional drugs or other acupuncture therapies. Searched databases included China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Weipu Information Resources System, Wanfang Medical Data System, Chinese Biomedical Literature Database, Cochrane Library, and PubMed, from May 2006 to July 2014. SeLeCTION CRITeRIA： Two authors independently conducted literature screening, quality evaluation, and data extraction. The quality of articles was evaluated according to the Cochrane Reviewers’ Handbook 5.1, and the study was carried out using Cochrane system assessment methods. RevMan 5.2 was used for meta-analysis of the included studies. MAIN OUTCOMe MeASUReS： Mortality rate, recurrence rate, and disability rate were observed. ReSULTS：Nine randomized and semi-randomized controlled trials treating 931 cases of ischemic stroke were included in this review. Meta-analysis results showed that there were no sig-niifcant differences in mortality reduction （risk ratio （RR） = 0.58, 95% conifdence interval （CI）： 0.17–1.93,Z = 0.89,P = 0.37） or recurrence rate （RR = 0.55, 95%CI： 0.18–1.70,Z = 1.04,P = 0.30） of ischemic stroke patients between theXingnao Kaiqiao needling and control treatment groups. However, theXingnao Kaiqiao needling method had a tendency towards higher efifcacy in mor-tality reduction and recurrence rates. TheXingnao Kaiqiao needling method was signiifcantly better than that of the control treatment in reducing disability rate （RR = 0.51, 95%CI： 0.27–0.98, Z = 2.03,P 〈 0.05）. CONCLUSION：TheXingnao Kaiqiao needling method has a better effect than control treatment in reducing disability rate. The long-term effect ofXingnao Kaiqiao needling against ischemic stroke is better than that of control treatment. However, the limitations of this study limit the strength of the conclusions. Randomized controlled trials with a strict, reasonable design, and multi-center, large-scale samples and follow-up are necessary to draw conclusions aboutXingnao Kaiqiao needling.

The efficiency of postoperative liver failure and mortality risk scores after liver resection for perihilar cholangiocarcinoma

With great interest,we read the literature by Noji et al.entitled“Validation study of postoperative liver failure and mortality risk scores after liver resection for perihilar cholangiocarcinoma”(1),which was published in the latest issue of Hepatobiliary Surgery Nutrition.The authors have reached an important conclusion that postoperative mortality risk score(POMRS)and post-hepatectomy liver failure score(PHLFS)proposed by the Academic Medical Center(AMC)and Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center(MSKCC)require optimization before use in clinical practice.However,after a careful reading of this study,we would like to address several fundamental flaws related to this article.

Short-term and long-term risk factors in gastric cance

While in chronic diseases, such as diabetes, mortalityrates slowly increases with age, in oncological seriesmortality usually changes dramatically during thefollow-up, often in an unpredictable pattern. Forinstance, in gastric cancer mortality peaks in thefirst two years of follow-up and declines thereafter.Also several risk factors, such as TNM stage, largelyaffect mortality in the first years after surgery, whileafterward their effect tends to fade. Temporal trendsin mortality were compared between a gastric cancerseries and a cohort of type 2 diabetic patients. Forthis purpose, 937 patients, undergoing curativegastrectomy with D1/D2/D3 lymphadenectomy forgastric cancer in three GIRCG （Gruppo Italiano RicercaCancro Gastrico = Italian Research Group for GastricCancer） centers, were compared with 7148 type 2diabetic patients from the Verona Diabetes Study. Inthe early/advanced gastric cancer series, mortality fromrecurrence peaked to 200 deaths per 1000 personyears1 year after gastrectomy and then declined,becoming lower than 40 deaths per 1000 person-yearsafter 5 years and lower than 20 deaths after 8 years.Mortality peak occurred earlier in more advanced Tand N tiers. At variance, in the Verona diabetic cohort overall mortality slowly increased during a 10-yearfollow-up, with ageing of the type 2 diabetic patients.Seasonal oscillations were also recorded, mortalitybeing higher during winter than during summer. Alsothe most important prognostic factors presented adifferent temporal pattern in the two diseases： whilethe prognostic significance of T and N stage markedlydecrease over time, differences in survival amongpatients treated with diet, oral hypoglycemic drugsor insulin were consistent throughout the follow-up.Time variations in prognostic significance of main riskfactors, their impact on survival analysis and possiblesolutions were evaluated in another GIRCG series of568 patients with advanced gastric cancer, undergoingcurative gastrectomy with D2/D3 lymphadenectomy.Survival curves in the two different histotypes （intestinaland mixed/diffuse） were superimposed in the first threeyears of follow-up and diverged thereafter. Likewise,survival curves as a function of site （fundus vs body/antrum） started to diverge after the first year. On thecontrary, survival curves differed among age classesfrom the very beginning, due to different post-operativemortality, which increased from 0.5% in patients aged65-74 years to 9.9% in patients aged 75-91 years;this discrepancy later disappeared. Accordingly, theproportional hazards assumption of the Cox modelwas violated, as regards age, site and histology. Tocope with this problem, multivariable survival analysiswas performed by separately considering either thefirst two years of follow-up or subsequent years.Histology and site were significant predictors only aftertwo years, while T and N, although significant bothin the short-term and in the long-term, became lessimportant in the second part of follow-up. Increasingage was associated with higher mortality in the firsttwo years, but not thereafter. Splitting survival timewhen performing survival analysis allows to distinguishbetween short-term and long-term risk factors.Alternative statistical solutions could be to excludepost-operative mortality, to introduce in the modeltime-dependent covariates or to stratify on variablesviolating proportionality assumption.

Long-Term Outcomes after Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting with Risk Stratification

Background: Risk stratification of long-term outcomes for patients undergoing Coronary artery bypass grafting has enormous potential clinical importance. Aim: To develop risk stratification models for predicting long-term outcomes following coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery. Methods: We retrospectively revised the electronic medical records of 2330 patients who underwent adult Cardiac surgery between August 2016 and December 2022 at Madinah Cardiac Center, Saudi Arabia. Three hundred patients fulfilled the eligibility criteria of CABG operations with a complete follow-up period of at least 24 months, and data reporting. The collected data included patient demographics, comorbidities, laboratory data, pharmacotherapy, echocardiographic parameters, procedural details, postoperative data, in-hospital outcomes, and follow-up data. Our follow-up was depending on the clinical status (NYHA class), chest pain recurrence, medication dependence and echo follow-up. A univariate analysis was performed between each patient risk factor and the long-term outcome to determine the preoperative, operative, and postoperative factors significantly associated with each long-term outcome. Then a multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed with a stepwise, forward selection procedure. Significant (p < 0.05) risk factors were identified and were used as candidate variables in the development of a multivariable risk prediction model. Results: The incidence of all-cause mortality during hospital admission or follow-up period was 2.3%. Other long-term outcomes included all-cause recurrent hospitalization (9.8%), recurrent chest pain (2.4%), and the need for revascularization by using a stent in 5 (3.0%) patients. Thirteen (4.4%) patients suffered heart failure and they were on the maximum anti-failure medications. The model for predicting all-cause mortality included the preoperative EF ≤ 35% (AOR: 30.757, p = 0.061), the bypass time (AOR: 1.029, p = 0.003), and the duration of ventilation following the operation (AOR: 1.237, p = 0.021). The model for risk stratification of recurrent hospitalization comprised the preoperative EF ≤ 35% (AOR: 6.198, p p = 0.023), low postoperative cardiac output (AOR: 3.622, p = 0.007), and the development of postoperative atrial fibrillation (AOR: 2.787, p = 0.038). Low postoperative cardiac output was the only predictor that significantly contributed to recurrent chest pain (AOR: 11.66, p = 0.004). Finally, the model consisted of low postoperative cardiac output (AOR: 5.976, p < 0.001) and postoperative ventricular fibrillation (AOR: 4.216, p = 0.019) was significantly associated with an increased likelihood of the future need for revascularization using a stent. Conclusions: A risk prediction model was developed in a Saudi cohort for predicting all-cause mortality risk during both hospital admission and the follow-up period of at least 24 months after isolated CABG surgery. A set of models were also developed for predicting long-term risks of all-cause recurrent hospitalization, recurrent chest pain, heart failure, and the need for revascularization by using stents.

A Multicentre Prospective Evaluation of the Impact of Renal Insufficiency on In-hospital and Long-term Mortality of Patients with Acute ST-elevation Myocardial Infarction

Background：Numerous previous studies have shown that renal insufficiency （RI） in patients with acute coronary syndrome is associated with poor cardiovascular outcomes.These studies do not well address the impact of RI on the long-term outcome of patients with acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction （STEMI） in China.The aim of this study was to investigate the association of admission RI and inhospital and long-term mortality of patients with acute STEMI.Methods：This was a multicenter,observational,prospective-cohort study.718 consecutive patients were admitted to 19 hospitals in Beijing within 24 hours of onset of STEMI,between January 1,2006 and December 31,2006.Estimation of glomerular filtration rate （eGFR） was calculated using the modified abbreviated modification of diet in renal disease equation-based on the Chinese chronic kidney disease patients.The patients were categorized according to eGFR,as normal renal dysfunction （eGFR ≥ 90 ml·min^-1·1.73 m^-2）,mild RI （60 ml·min^-1· 1.73 m^-2 〈 eGFR 〈 90 ml·min^-1· 1.73 m^2） and moderate or severe RI （eGFR 〈 60 ml·min^-1· 1.73 m^2）.The association between RI and inhospital and 6-year mortality of was evaluated.Results：Seven hundred and eighteen patients with STEMI were evaluated.There were 551 men and 167 women with a mean age of 61.0 ＆#177; 13.0 years.Two hundred and eighty patients （39.0%） had RI,in which 61 patients （8.5%） reached the level of moderate or severe RI.Patients with RI were more often female,elderly,hypertensive,and more patients had heart failure and stroke with higher killip class.Patients with RI were less likely to present with chest pain.The inhospital mortality （1.4% vs.5.9% vs.22.9%,P 〈 0.001）,6-year all-cause mortality （9.5% vs.19.8 vs.45.2%,P 〈 0.001） and 6-year cardiac mortality （2.9% vs.12.2% vs.23.8%,P 〈 0.001） were markedly increased in patients with RI.After adjusting for other confounding factors,classification of admission renal function was an independent predictor of inhospital mortality （Odd ratio,1.966; 95% confidence interval [CO,1.002-3.070,P =0.019）,6-year all-cause mortality （relative risk [RR] =1.501,95% CI：1.018-4.373,P =0.039） and 6-year cardiac mortality （RR =1.663,95% CI：1.122-4.617,P =0.042）.Conclusions：RI is very common in STEMI patients.RI evaluated by eGFR is an important independent predictor of short-term and long-term outcome in patients with acute STEMI.