A Wind Power Prediction Framework for Distributed Power Grids

To reduce carbon emissions,clean energy is being integrated into the power system.Wind power is connected to the grid in a distributed form,but its high variability poses a challenge to grid stability.This article combines wind turbine monitoring data with numerical weather prediction(NWP)data to create a suitable wind power prediction framework for distributed grids.First,high-precision NWP of the turbine range is achieved using weather research and forecasting models(WRF),and Kriging interpolation locates predicted meteorological data at the turbine site.Then,a preliminary predicted power series is obtained based on the fan’s wind speed-power conversion curve,and historical power is reconstructed using variational mode decomposition(VMD)filtering to form input variables in chronological order.Finally,input variables of a single turbine enter the temporal convolutional network(TCN)to complete initial feature extraction,and then integrate the outputs of all TCN layers using Long Short Term Memory Networks(LSTM)to obtain power prediction sequences for all turbine positions.The proposed method was tested on a wind farm connected to a distributed power grid,and the results showed it to be superior to existing typical methods.

Enhancing Autonomy Capability in Regional Power Grids:A Strategic Planning Approach with Multiple Autonomous Evaluation Indexes

After the integration of large-scale DistributedGeneration(DG)into the distribution network,the randomness and volatility of its output result in a reduction of spatiotemporal alignment between power generation and demand in the distribution network,exacerbating the phenomenon of wind and solar power wastage.As a novel power system model,the fundamental concept of Regional Autonomous Power Grids(RAPGs)is to achieve localized management and energy autonomy,thereby facilitating the effective consumption of DGs.Therefore,this paper proposes a distributed resource planning strategy that enhances the autonomy capabilities of regional power grids by considering multiple evaluation indexes for autonomy.First,a regional Energy Storage(ES)configuration strategy is proposed.This strategy can select a suitable reference value for the upper limit of ES configuration based on the regional load andDGoutput to maximize the elimination of source load deviations in the region as the upper limit constraint of ES capacity.Then,a control strategy for regional ES is proposed,the charging and discharging reference line of ES is set,and multiple autonomy and economic indexes are used as objective functions to select different proportions of ES to control the distributed resources of the regional power grid and establish evaluation indexes of the internal regional generation and load power ratio,the proportion of power supply matching hours,new energy consumption rate and tie line power imbalance outside the region to evaluate changes in the regional autonomy capabilities.The final simulation results showthat in the real regional grid example,the planning method in the planning year in the region of the overall power supply matching hour ratio and new energy consumption rate increased by 3.9%and 4.8%on average,and the power imbalance of the tie line decreased by 7.8%on average.The proposed planning approach enables the maximization of regional autonomy while effectively smoothing the fluctuation of power exchange between the regional grid and the higher-level grid.This presents a rational and effective planning solution for the regional grid,facilitating the coordinated development between the region and the distribution network.

Special report on relationship between wind farms and power grids

The installed capacity of a large scale wind power plant will be up to a number of hundreds MW, and the wind power is transmitted to load centers through long distance transmission lines with 220 kV, 500 kV, or 750 kV. Therefore, it is necessary not only considering the power transmission line between a wind power plant and the first connection node of the power network, but also the power network among the group of those wind power plants in a wind power base, the integration network from the base to the existed grids, as well as the distribution and consumption of the wind power generation by loads. Meanwhile, the impact of wind power stochastic fluctuation on power systems must be studied. In recent years, wind power prediction technology has been studied by the utilities and wind power plants. As a matter of fact, some European countries have used this prediction technology as a tool in national power dispatch centers and wind power companies.

Development and Prospect of China Power Grids

In this paper the growing process of China power grid from formation of local power grids to nationwide interconnection is reviewed. The scale and structure of power grid construction in the near future, especially the planning on sending power from west to east, North-South supplementation and nationwide interconnection are introduced. In addition, the technologies to be extended in future grid development are briefed, such as HVDC, FACTS and compact transmission line, etc.

Research Reports on the 12^(th) Five-Year Plan for Electric Power Industry Power Grids

China Electricity Council organized competent authorities across the industry of electric power to work out the ＂Research Reports on the 12^th Five-Year Plan for Electric＂ Power lndustry ＂＂ in nearly one year, which provides a reference/or governmental departments to formulate the 12^th Five-Year Plan on energy and electric power industry. The magazine should publish the serial reports inchliding power sources, power grids, equipment manufacture, energy and environment, and power economics. This paper presents the part of ＂ power grids, ＂ in which the strategies of developing power grids are put forward.

Fundamental Research on Enhancing Operation Reliability for Large-Scale Interconnected Power Grids——An interview with Zhou Xiaoxin, chief scientist of "973 Program"

At the end of last year, the editors from Power and Electrical Engineers interviewed Zhou Xiaoxin on "Fundamental Research on Enhancing Operation Reliability for Large-Scale Interconnected Power Grids", a project of "973 Program". Mr. Zhou, the chief engineer of China Electric Power Research Institute(CEPRI) and an academician of Chinese Academy of Sciences, is the chief scientist in charge of this research project.

Double Pressure on Power Grids——The demand for electricity is dropping while the electricity price is not adjusted properly

Since October 2008,China's social consumption of electricity had,for the first time,grown negatively compared to the same period of the previous year,and in November the negative growth range further expanded. The major pressure faced by the electricity industry has now turned from the contradiction between coal and electricity to electricity quantity. This is undoubtedly a true and new test to electricity enterprises which get used to high growth but are now suffering great losses. The reform of electricity system has already been in great difficulties and now is getting into a more serious situation. In order to help readers improve their knowledge and understanding of the current tough situation faced by the electricity industry and discuss how to alleviate and get through the difficulty resulted from the economic crisis "encountered once every one hundred years" by joint efforts of all parties concerned,a Seminar on Crisis and Countermeasures for Electricity Industry was held on November 20,2008. Here are some extracts from the speeches of four experts.

Sustainable Investment Forecasting of Power Grids Based on theDeep Restricted Boltzmann Machine Optimized by the Lion Algorithm

This paper proposes a new power grid investment prediction model based on the deep restricted Boltzmann machine(DRBM)optimized by the Lion algorithm(LA).Firstly,two factors including transmission and distribution price reform(TDPR)and 5G station construction were comprehensively incorporated into the consideration of influencing factors,and the fuzzy threshold method was used to screen out critical influencing factors.Then,the LA was used to optimize the parameters of the DRBM model to improve the model’s prediction accuracy,and the model was trained with the selected influencing factors and investment.Finally,the LA-DRBM model was used to predict the investment of a power grid enterprise,and the final prediction result was obtained by modifying the initial result with the modifying factors.The LA-DRBMmodel compensates for the deficiency of the singlemodel,and greatly improves the investment prediction accuracy of the power grid.In this study,a power grid enterprise was taken as an example to carry out an empirical analysis to prove the validity of the model,and a comparison with the RBM,support vector machine(SVM),back propagation neural network(BPNN),and regression model was conducted to verify the superiority of the model.The conclusion indicates that the proposed model has a strong generalization ability and good robustness,is able to abstract the combination of low-level features into high-level features,and can improve the efficiency of the model’s calculations for investment prediction of power grid enterprises.

Agents for Smart Power Grids

The future of electricity systems will compose of small-scale generation and distribution where end-users will be active participants with localized energy management systems that are able to interact on a free energy market. Software agents will most likely control power assets and interact together to decide the best and safest configuration of the power grid system. This paper presents a design of agents that can be deployed in real-time with capabilities that include optimization of resources, intensive computation, and appropriate decision-making. Jordan 51-bus system has been used for simulation with a total generation capacity of 4050 MW of which 230 MW represents renewable energy. The economic analyses demonstrated the use of smart grid technologies with 2016 generation—load profiles for nominal liquified gas (NLG) prices and ±20% sensitivity analysis. The results have shown variations in the range of 1% in the price of MWh with smart grid technologies. These variations are mainly driven by the fact that agents shift power generation to renewable power plants to produce maximum power at peak hours. As a result, there is a positive economic impact in both NLG ± 20% sensitivity analysis, due to the fact that agents coordinate to better displace expensive thermal generation with renewable generation. It is evident that renewable resources compensate for power at peak times and provide economic benefits and savings.

Path to Coordinated Development of Wind Power and Power Grids in China

Based on an analysis of the misunderstandings and problems concerning wind power development, this paper summarizes the experiences of the coordinated development of wind power and power grids in foreign countries, and proposes principles and strategies for the coordinated development of wind power and power grids, and related measures and suggestions for large scale development of wind power in China.

Research on Safety and Stability of Regional Power Grids to the Year 2020

The safety and stability study on Northeast, North, East, Northwest and Central China power grids had been carried out, which provided technical supports to planning design of regional power grids. By analyzing safety and stability under severe faults in regional power grids, revealed weaknesses on power grid configurations and measures for preventing from loss of stability were presented. In comparison of various schemes of power system safety and stability among parts of power grids, more than two recommended schemes can be chosen as reference in planning design for regional power grids. Considering the safety and stability control measures necessary for each power grids, it is believed the trunk networks of all power grids can fulfill the third criteria of Guideline for Power System Safety and Stability, while the weakness and predominated hydropower may deteriorate safety and stability of power grids. The power grid shall be regulated in line with the variation of boundary conditions.

Analysis on Conditions of Northwest,North China and Shandong Power Grids Interconnection

This paper analyzes the possibility and benefits of interconnection of Northwest Power Grid with North China and Shangdong power grids. With different energy resources and power demand patterns, these three power grids have large potential benefits in future interconnection.

A Two-layer Framework for Mitigating the Con-gestion of Urban Power Grids Based on Flexible Topology with Dynamic Thermal Rating

The urban power grid(UPG)combines transmission and distribution networks.Past studies on UPG congestion mitigation have primarily focused on relieving local congestion while ignoring large-scale energy transfer with safety margins and load balancing.This situation is expected to worsen with the proliferation of renewable energy and electric vehicles.In this paper,a two-layer congestion mitigation framework is proposed,one which considers the congestion of the UPG with flexible topologies.In the upper-layer,the particle swarm optimization algorithm is employed to optimize the power supply distribution(PSD)of substation transformers.This is known as the upper-layer PSD.The lower-layer model recalculates the new PSD,known as the lower-layer PSD,based on the topology candidates.A candidate topology is at an optimum when the Euclidean distance mismatch between the upper-and lower-layer PSDs is the smallest.This optimum topology is tested by standard power flow to ascertain its feasibility.The optimum transitioning sequence between the initial and optimum topologies is also determined by the two-layer framework to minimize voltage deviation and line overloading of the UPG considering dynamic thermal rating.The proposed framework is tested on a 56-node test system.Results show that the proposed framework can significantly reduce congestion,maintain safety margins,and determine the optimum transitioning sequence.

An enhanced semi-supervised learning method with self-supervised and adaptive threshold for fault detection and classification in urban power grids

With the rapid development of urban power grids and the large-scale integration of renewable energy, traditional power grid fault diagnosis techniques struggle to address the complexities of diagnosing faults in intricate power grid systems. Although artificial intelligence technologies offer new solutions for power grid fault diagnosis, the difficulty in acquiring labeled grid data limits the development of AI technologies in this area. In response to these challenges, this study proposes a semi-supervised learning framework with self-supervised and adaptive threshold (SAT-SSL) for fault detection and classification in power grids. Compared to other methods, our method reduces the dependence on labeling data while maintaining high recognition accuracy. First, we utilize frequency domain analysis on power grid data to filter abnormal events, then classify and label these events based on visual features, to creating a power grid dataset. Subsequently, we employ the Yule–Walker algorithm extract features from the power grid data. Then we construct a semi-supervised learning framework, incorporating self-supervised loss and dynamic threshold to enhance information extraction capabilities and adaptability across different scenarios of the model. Finally, the power grid dataset along with two benchmark datasets are used to validate the model’s functionality. The results indicate that our model achieves a low error rate across various scenarios and different amounts of labels. In power grid dataset, When retaining just 5% of the labels, the error rate is only 6.15%, which proves that this method can achieve accurate grid fault detection and classification with a limited amount of labeled data.

Automatic Voltage Control of Differential Power Grids Based on Transfer Learning and Deep Reinforcement Learning

In terms of model-free voltage control methods,when the device or topology of the system changes,the model’s accuracy often decreases,so an adaptive model is needed to coordinate the changes of input.To overcome the defects of a model-free control method,this paper proposes an automatic voltage control(AVC)method for differential power grids based on transfer learning and deep reinforcement learning.First,when constructing the Markov game of AVC,both the magnitude and number of voltage deviations are taken into account in the reward.Then,an AVC method based on constrained multiagent deep reinforcement learning(DRL)is developed.To further improve learning efficiency,domain knowledge is used to reduce action space.Next,distribution adaptation transfer learning is introduced for the AVC transfer circumstance of systems with the same structure but distinct topological relations/parameters,which can perform well without any further training even if the structure changes.Moreover,for the AVC transfer circumstance of various power grids,parameter-based transfer learning is created,which enhances the target system’s training speed and effect.Finally,the method’s efficacy is tested using two IEEE systems and two real-world power grids.

Fast Cycle Structure Detection for Power Grids Based on Graph Computing

The cycle structure in a power grid may lower the stability of the network;thus,it is of great significance to accu-rately and timely detect cycles in power grid networks.However,detecting possible cycles in a large-scale network can be highly time consuming and computationally intensive.In addition,since the power grid's topology changes over time,cycles can appear and disappear,and it can be difficult to monitor them in real time.In traditional computing systems,cycle detection requires considerable computational resources,making real-time cycle detection in large-scale power grids an impossible task.Graph computing has shown excellent performance in many areas and has solved many practical graph-related problems,such as power flow calculation and state estimation.In this article,a cycle detection method,the Paton method,is implemented and optimized on a graph computing platform.Two cases are used to test its performance in an actual power grid topology scenario.The results show that the graph computing-based Paton method reduces the time consumption by at least 60%compared to that of other methods.

Carbon Emission Factors Prediction of Power Grid by Using Graph Attention Network

Advanced carbon emission factors of a power grid can provide users with effective carbon reduction advice,which is of immense importance in mobilizing the entire society to reduce carbon emissions.The method of calculating node carbon emission factors based on the carbon emissions flow theory requires real-time parameters of a power grid.Therefore,it cannot provide carbon factor information beforehand.To address this issue,a prediction model based on the graph attention network is proposed.The model uses a graph structure that is suitable for the topology of the power grid and designs a supervised network using the loads of the grid nodes and the corresponding carbon factor data.The network extracts features and transmits information more suitable for the power system and can flexibly adjust the equivalent topology,thereby increasing the diversity of the structure.Its input and output data are simple,without the power grid parameters.We demonstrated its effect by testing IEEE-39 bus and IEEE-118 bus systems with average error rates of 2.46%and 2.51%.

A Two-Layer Active Power Optimization and Coordinated Control for Regional Power Grid Partitioning to Promote Distributed Renewable Energy Consumption

With the large-scale development and utilization of renewable energy,industrial flexible loads,as a kind of loadside resource with strong regulation ability,provide new opportunities for the research on renewable energy consumption problem in power systems.This paper proposes a two-layer active power optimization model based on industrial flexible loads for power grid partitioning,aiming at improving the line over-limit problem caused by renewable energy consumption in power grids with high proportion of renewable energy,and achieving the safe,stable and economical operation of power grids.Firstly,according to the evaluation index of renewable energy consumption characteristics of line active power,the power grid is divided into several partitions,and the interzone tie lines are taken as the optimization objects.Then,on the basis of partitioning,a two-layer active power optimization model considering the power constraints of industrial flexible loads is established.The upper-layer model optimizes the planned power of the inter-zone tie lines under the constraint of the minimum peak-valley difference within a day;the lower-layer model optimizes the regional source-load dispatching plan of each resource in each partition under the constraint of theminimumoperation cost of the partition,so as to reduce the line overlimit phenomenon caused by renewable energy consumption and save the electricity cost of industrial flexible loads.Finally,through simulation experiments,it is verified that the proposed model can effectively mobilize industrial flexible loads to participate in power grid operation and improve the economic stability of power grid.

Intelligent Power Grid Load Transferring Based on Safe Action-Correction Reinforcement Learning

When a line failure occurs in a power grid, a load transfer is implemented to reconfigure the network by changingthe states of tie-switches and load demands. Computation speed is one of the major performance indicators inpower grid load transfer, as a fast load transfer model can greatly reduce the economic loss of post-fault powergrids. In this study, a reinforcement learning method is developed based on a deep deterministic policy gradient.The tedious training process of the reinforcement learning model can be conducted offline, so the model showssatisfactory performance in real-time operation, indicating that it is suitable for fast load transfer. Consideringthat the reinforcement learning model performs poorly in satisfying safety constraints, a safe action-correctionframework is proposed to modify the learning model. In the framework, the action of load shedding is correctedaccording to sensitivity analysis results under a small discrete increment so as to match the constraints of line flowlimits. The results of case studies indicate that the proposed method is practical for fast and safe power grid loadtransfer.