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Predictive modeling for postoperative delirium in elderly patients with abdominal malignancies using synthetic minority oversampling technique
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作者 Wen-Jing Hu Gang Bai +6 位作者 Yan Wang Dong-Mei Hong Jin-Hua Jiang Jia-Xun Li Yin Hua Xin-Yu Wang Ying Chen 《World Journal of Gastrointestinal Oncology》 SCIE 2024年第4期1227-1235,共9页
BACKGROUND Postoperative delirium,particularly prevalent in elderly patients after abdominal cancer surgery,presents significant challenges in clinical management.AIM To develop a synthetic minority oversampling techn... BACKGROUND Postoperative delirium,particularly prevalent in elderly patients after abdominal cancer surgery,presents significant challenges in clinical management.AIM To develop a synthetic minority oversampling technique(SMOTE)-based model for predicting postoperative delirium in elderly abdominal cancer patients.METHODS In this retrospective cohort study,we analyzed data from 611 elderly patients who underwent abdominal malignant tumor surgery at our hospital between September 2020 and October 2022.The incidence of postoperative delirium was recorded for 7 d post-surgery.Patients were divided into delirium and non-delirium groups based on the occurrence of postoperative delirium or not.A multivariate logistic regression model was used to identify risk factors and develop a predictive model for postoperative delirium.The SMOTE technique was applied to enhance the model by oversampling the delirium cases.The model’s predictive accuracy was then validated.RESULTS In our study involving 611 elderly patients with abdominal malignant tumors,multivariate logistic regression analysis identified significant risk factors for postoperative delirium.These included the Charlson comorbidity index,American Society of Anesthesiologists classification,history of cerebrovascular disease,surgical duration,perioperative blood transfusion,and postoperative pain score.The incidence rate of postoperative delirium in our study was 22.91%.The original predictive model(P1)exhibited an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.862.In comparison,the SMOTE-based logistic early warning model(P2),which utilized the SMOTE oversampling algorithm,showed a slightly lower but comparable area under the curve of 0.856,suggesting no significant difference in performance between the two predictive approaches.CONCLUSION This study confirms that the SMOTE-enhanced predictive model for postoperative delirium in elderly abdominal tumor patients shows performance equivalent to that of traditional methods,effectively addressing data imbalance. 展开更多
关键词 Elderly patients Abdominal cancer Postoperative delirium Synthetic minority oversampling technique predictive modeling Surgical outcomes
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MultiDMet: Designing a Hybrid Multidimensional Metrics Framework to Predictive Modeling for Performance Evaluation and Feature Selection
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作者 Tesfay Gidey Hailu Taye Abdulkadir Edris 《Intelligent Information Management》 2023年第6期391-425,共35页
In a competitive digital age where data volumes are increasing with time, the ability to extract meaningful knowledge from high-dimensional data using machine learning (ML) and data mining (DM) techniques and making d... In a competitive digital age where data volumes are increasing with time, the ability to extract meaningful knowledge from high-dimensional data using machine learning (ML) and data mining (DM) techniques and making decisions based on the extracted knowledge is becoming increasingly important in all business domains. Nevertheless, high-dimensional data remains a major challenge for classification algorithms due to its high computational cost and storage requirements. The 2016 Demographic and Health Survey of Ethiopia (EDHS 2016) used as the data source for this study which is publicly available contains several features that may not be relevant to the prediction task. In this paper, we developed a hybrid multidimensional metrics framework for predictive modeling for both model performance evaluation and feature selection to overcome the feature selection challenges and select the best model among the available models in DM and ML. The proposed hybrid metrics were used to measure the efficiency of the predictive models. Experimental results show that the decision tree algorithm is the most efficient model. The higher score of HMM (m, r) = 0.47 illustrates the overall significant model that encompasses almost all the user’s requirements, unlike the classical metrics that use a criterion to select the most appropriate model. On the other hand, the ANNs were found to be the most computationally intensive for our prediction task. Moreover, the type of data and the class size of the dataset (unbalanced data) have a significant impact on the efficiency of the model, especially on the computational cost, and the interpretability of the parameters of the model would be hampered. And the efficiency of the predictive model could be improved with other feature selection algorithms (especially hybrid metrics) considering the experts of the knowledge domain, as the understanding of the business domain has a significant impact. 展开更多
关键词 predictive modeling Hybrid Metrics Feature Selection Model Selection Algorithm Analysis Machine Learning
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Predictive modeling in neurocritical care using causal artificial intelligence 被引量:1
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作者 Johnny Dang Amos Lal +3 位作者 Laure Flurin Amy James Ognjen Gajic Alejandro A Rabinstein 《World Journal of Critical Care Medicine》 2021年第4期112-119,共8页
Artificial intelligence(AI)and digital twin models of various systems have long been used in industry to test products quickly and efficiently.Use of digital twins in clinical medicine caught attention with the develo... Artificial intelligence(AI)and digital twin models of various systems have long been used in industry to test products quickly and efficiently.Use of digital twins in clinical medicine caught attention with the development of Archimedes,an AI model of diabetes,in 2003.More recently,AI models have been applied to the fields of cardiology,endocrinology,and undergraduate medical education.The use of digital twins and AI thus far has focused mainly on chronic disease management,their application in the field of critical care medicine remains much less explored.In neurocritical care,current AI technology focuses on interpreting electroencephalography,monitoring intracranial pressure,and prognosticating outcomes.AI models have been developed to interpret electroencephalograms by helping to annotate the tracings,detecting seizures,and identifying brain activation in unresponsive patients.In this mini-review we describe the challenges and opportunities in building an actionable AI model pertinent to neurocritical care that can be used to educate the newer generation of clinicians and augment clinical decision making. 展开更多
关键词 Artificial intelligence Digital twin Critical care NEUROLOGY Causal artificial intelligence predictive modeling
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Analysis of the Resolution of Crime Using Predictive Modeling
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作者 Keshab R. Dahal Jiba N. Dahal +1 位作者 Kenneth R. Goward Oluremi Abayami 《Open Journal of Statistics》 2020年第3期600-610,共11页
There has been evidence of crime in the US since colonization. In this article, we analyze the crime statistics of San Francisco and its resolution of crime recorded from January to September of the year 2018. We defi... There has been evidence of crime in the US since colonization. In this article, we analyze the crime statistics of San Francisco and its resolution of crime recorded from January to September of the year 2018. We define resolution of crime as a target variable and study its relationship with other variables. We make several classification models to predict resolution of crime using several data mining techniques and suggest the best model for predicting resolution. 展开更多
关键词 Machine Learning Classification Model Comparison predictive modeling Resolution of Crime
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A Predictive Modeling Based on Regression and Artificial Neural Network Analysis of Laser Transformation Hardening for Cylindrical Steel Workpieces
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作者 Ahmed Ghazi Jerniti Abderazzak El Ouafi Noureddine Barka 《Journal of Surface Engineered Materials and Advanced Technology》 2016年第4期149-163,共15页
Laser surface hardening is a very promising hardening process for ferrous alloys where transformations occur during cooling after laser heating in the solid state. The characteristics of the hardened surface depend on... Laser surface hardening is a very promising hardening process for ferrous alloys where transformations occur during cooling after laser heating in the solid state. The characteristics of the hardened surface depend on the physicochemical properties of the material as well as the heating system parameters. To exploit the benefits presented by the laser hardening process, it is necessary to develop an integrated strategy to control the process parameters in order to produce desired hardened surface attributes without being forced to use the traditional and fastidious trial and error procedures. This study presents a comprehensive modelling approach for predicting the hardened surface physical and geometrical attributes. The laser surface transformation hardening of cylindrical AISI 4340 steel workpieces is modeled using the conventional regression equation method as well as artificial neural network method. The process parameters included in the study are laser power, beam scanning speed, and the workpiece rotational speed. The upper and the lower limits for each parameter are chosen considering the start of the transformation hardening and the maximum hardened zone without surface melting. The resulting models are able to predict the depths representing the maximum hardness zone, the hardness drop zone, and the overheated zone without martensite transformation. Because of its ability to model highly nonlinear problems, the ANN based model presents the best modelling results and can predict the hardness profile with good accuracy. 展开更多
关键词 Heat Treatment Laser Surface Hardening Hardness predictive modeling Regression Analysis Artificial Neural Network Cylindrical Steel Workpieces AISI 4340 Steel Nd:Yag Laser System
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Predictive modeling of 30-day readmission risk of diabetes patients by logistic regression,artificial neural network,and EasyEnsemble 被引量:1
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作者 Xiayu Xiang Chuanyi Liu +2 位作者 Yanchun Zhang Wei Xiang Binxing Fang 《Asian Pacific Journal of Tropical Medicine》 SCIE CAS 2021年第9期417-428,共12页
Objective:To determine the most influential data features and to develop machine learning approaches that best predict hospital readmissions among patients with diabetes.Methods:In this retrospective cohort study,we s... Objective:To determine the most influential data features and to develop machine learning approaches that best predict hospital readmissions among patients with diabetes.Methods:In this retrospective cohort study,we surveyed patient statistics and performed feature analysis to identify the most influential data features associated with readmissions.Classification of all-cause,30-day readmission outcomes were modeled using logistic regression,artificial neural network,and Easy Ensemble.F1 statistic,sensitivity,and positive predictive value were used to evaluate the model performance.Results:We identified 14 most influential data features(4 numeric features and 10 categorical features)and evaluated 3 machine learning models with numerous sampling methods(oversampling,undersampling,and hybrid techniques).The deep learning model offered no improvement over traditional models(logistic regression and Easy Ensemble)for predicting readmission,whereas the other two algorithms led to much smaller differences between the training and testing datasets.Conclusions:Machine learning approaches to record electronic health data offer a promising method for improving readmission prediction in patients with diabetes.But more work is needed to construct datasets with more clinical variables beyond the standard risk factors and to fine-tune and optimize machine learning models. 展开更多
关键词 Electronic health records Hospital readmissions Feature analysis predictive models Imbalanced learning DIABETES
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Predictive Modeling and Parameter Optimization of Cutting Forces During Orbital Drilling 被引量:1
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作者 单以才 李亮 +2 位作者 何宁 秦晓杰 章婷 《Transactions of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics》 EI 2014年第5期521-529,共9页
To optimize cutting control parameters and provide scientific evidence for controlling cutting forces,cutting force modeling and cutting control parameter optimization are researched with one tool adopted to orbital d... To optimize cutting control parameters and provide scientific evidence for controlling cutting forces,cutting force modeling and cutting control parameter optimization are researched with one tool adopted to orbital drill holes in aluminum alloy 6061.Firstly,four cutting control parameters(tool rotation speed,tool revolution speed,axial feeding pitch and tool revolution radius)and affecting cutting forces are identified after orbital drilling kinematics analysis.Secondly,hybrid level orthogonal experiment method is utilized in modeling experiment.By nonlinear regression analysis,two quadratic prediction models for axial and radial forces are established,where the above four control parameters are used as input variables.Then,model accuracy and cutting control parameters are analyzed.Upon axial and radial forces models,two optimal combinations of cutting control parameters are obtained for processing a13mm hole,corresponding to the minimum axial force and the radial force respectively.Finally,each optimal combination is applied in verification experiment.The verification experiment results of cutting force are in good agreement with prediction model,which confirms accracy of the research method in practical production. 展开更多
关键词 orbital drilling cutting force hybrid level orthogonal experiment method prediction model parameter optimization
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Predictive Modeling for Growth and Enterotoxin Production of Staphylococcus aureus in Milk 被引量:1
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作者 Dang Fang-fang Jiang Yu-jun +7 位作者 Pan Rui-li Zhuang Ke-jin Wang Hui Sun Lu-hong Wang Rui Zhao Feng Li Tie-jing Man Chao-xin 《Journal of Northeast Agricultural University(English Edition)》 CAS 2018年第3期81-89,共9页
Predictive microbiology was utilized to model Staphylococcus aureus (S. aureus) growth and staphylococcal enterotoxin A (SEA) production in milk in this study. The modifed logistic model, modifed Gompertz model an... Predictive microbiology was utilized to model Staphylococcus aureus (S. aureus) growth and staphylococcal enterotoxin A (SEA) production in milk in this study. The modifed logistic model, modifed Gompertz model and Baranyi model were applied to model growth data of S. aureus between 15℃ and 37℃. Model comparisons indicated that Baranyi model described the growth data more accurately than two others with a mean square error of 0.0129. Growth rates generated from Baranyi model matched the observed ones with a bias factor of 0.999 and an accuracy factor of 1.01, and ft a square root model with respect to temperature; other two modifed models both overestimated the observed ones. SEA amount began to be detected when the cell number reached106.4 cfu ? mL-1, and showed the linear correlation with time. Besides, the rate of SEA production ftted an exponential relationship as a function of temperature. Predictions based on the study could be applied to indicate possible growth of S. aureus and prevent the occurrence of staphylococcal food poisoning. 展开更多
关键词 Staphylococcus aureus staphylococcal enterotoxin A MILK predictive model
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Applicative limitations of sediment transport on predictive modeling in geomorphology
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作者 WEIXiang LIZhanbin 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2004年第1期94-104,共11页
Sources of uncertainty or error that arise in attempting to scale up the results of laboratory-scale sediment transport studies for predictive modeling of geomorphic systems include: (i) model imperfec... Sources of uncertainty or error that arise in attempting to scale up the results of laboratory-scale sediment transport studies for predictive modeling of geomorphic systems include: (i) model imperfection, (ii) omission of important processes, (iii) lack of knowledge of initial conditions, (iv) sensitivity to initial conditions, (v) unresolved heterogeneity, (vi) occurrence of external forcing, and (vii) inapplicability of the factor of safety concept. Sources of uncertainty that are unimportant or that can be controlled at small scales and over short time scales become important in large-scale applications and over long time scales. Control and repeatability, hallmarks of laboratory-scale experiments, are usually lacking at the large scales characteristic of geomorphology. Heterogeneity is an important concomitant of size, and tends to make large systems unique. Uniqueness implies that prediction cannot be based upon first-principles quantitative modeling alone, but must be a function of system history as well. Periodic data collection, feedback, and model updating are essential where site-specific prediction is required. 展开更多
关键词 sediment transport geomorphic systems predictive models
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Laboratory study and predictive modeling for thaw subsidence in deep permafrost
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作者 ZhaoHui Joey Yang Gabriel TPierce 《Research in Cold and Arid Regions》 CSCD 2021年第2期95-106,共12页
Oil wells on the North Slope of Alaska pass through deep deposits of permafrost. The heat transferred during their operation causes localized thawing, resulting in ground subsidence adjacent to the well casings. This ... Oil wells on the North Slope of Alaska pass through deep deposits of permafrost. The heat transferred during their operation causes localized thawing, resulting in ground subsidence adjacent to the well casings. This subsidence has a damaging effect, causing the casings to compress, deform, and potentially fail. This paper presents the results of a laboratory study of the thaw consolidation strain of deep permafrost and its predictive modeling. Tests were performed to determine strains due to thaw and post-thaw loading, as well as soil index properties. Results, together with data from an earlier testing program, were used to produce empirical models for predicting strains and ground subsidence. Four distinct strain cases were analyzed with three models by multiple regression analyses, and the best-fitting model was selected for each case. Models were further compared in a ground subsidence prediction using a shared subsurface profile. Laboratory results indicate that strains due to thaw and post-thaw testing in deep core permafrost are insensitive to depth and are more strongly influenced by stress redistributions and the presence of ice lenses and inclusions. Modeling results show that the most statistically valid and useful models were those constructed using moisture content, porosity, and degree of saturation. The applicability of these models was validated by comparison with results from Finite Element modeling. 展开更多
关键词 deep permafrost thaw consolidation strain predictive models multiple regression analysis
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A field guide for aging passerine nestlings using growth data and predictive modeling
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作者 Audrey A.Sanchez Andrew W.Bartlow +7 位作者 Allison M.Chan Jeanne M.Fair Aaron A.Skinner Kelly Hutchins Maria A.Musgrave Emily M.Phillips Brent E.Thompson Charles D.Hathcock 《Avian Research》 CSCD 2021年第2期141-149,共9页
Background:Accurate nestling age is valuable for studies on nesting strategies,productivity,and impacts on repro-ductive success.Most aging guides consist of descriptions and photographs that are time consuming to rea... Background:Accurate nestling age is valuable for studies on nesting strategies,productivity,and impacts on repro-ductive success.Most aging guides consist of descriptions and photographs that are time consuming to read and subjective to interpret.The Western Bluebird(Sialia mexicana)is a secondary cavity-nesting passerine that nests in coniferous and open deciduous forests.Nest box programs for cavity-nesting species have provided suitable nesting locations and opportunities for data collection on nestling growth and development.Methods:We developed models for predicting the age of Western Bluebird nestlings from morphometric meas-urements using model training and validation.These were developed for mass,tarsus,and two different culmen measurements.Results:Our models were accurate to within less than a day,and each model worked best for a specific age range.The mass and tarsus models can be used to estimate the ages of Western Bluebird nestlings 0-10 days old and were accurate to within 0.5 days for mass and 0.7 days for tarsus.The culmen models can be used to estimate ages of nest-lings 0-15 days old and were also accurate to within less than a day.The daily mean,minimum,and maximum values of each morphometric measurement are provided and can be used in the field for accurate nestling age estimations in real time.Conclusions:The model training and validation procedures used here demonstrate that this method can create aging models that are highly accurate.The methods can be applied to any passerine species provided sufficient nest-ling morphometric data are available. 展开更多
关键词 Cavity-nesting Nest boxes Nestling development predictive models Western Bluebird
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Geological Controls and Prospectivity Mapping for Manganese Ore Deposits Using Predictive Modeling Comparison:An Integration of Outcrop and Remote Sensing Data,Sinai Microplate,Egypt
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作者 Sara Zamzam 《Journal of Earth Science》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2023年第2期588-608,共21页
One of the most controversial minerals in their origin and occurrence around the world is manganese deposits.The Abu Zenima area is rated one of the most economically important places where manganese ore deposits(Mn O... One of the most controversial minerals in their origin and occurrence around the world is manganese deposits.The Abu Zenima area is rated one of the most economically important places where manganese ore deposits(Mn ODs)are located in the southwest Sinai microplate,Egypt.These deposits are confined with the Um Bogma Formation(UBF)and the reserves of this region are relatively small.In this study,optical and radar data are used in a new challenge as an attempt to reach the closest controls and setting of Mn ODs.Moreover,Frequency Ratio(FR)and Logistic Regression(LogR)predictive models are applied to integrate different geospatial thematic maps,to predict new potential resource zones for increasing the ranges of mining quarries.Landsat8 OLI,Sentinel-2A Multi Spectral Instrument and Radar(Sentinel-1B)data are combined for mapping Mn ODs locations and their relationship with geological structures and the surrounding rocks.Band ratio,Principal and Independent Component Analysis techniques and four classification algorithms were implemented to the optical’VNIR and SWIR bands.Unusually,the interferometric processing steps for Sentinel-1 data were made for understanding the tectonic features in the area.The FR and LogR models are validated during fieldwork with known Mn ODs locations.Results indicate that processed images are capable of differentiation of UBF which broadly distributed in the central and southern parts of the area.Mn ODs possibly formed by thermal events that attributed to paleo-volcanic events before the rift stage.The high accuracy of LogR model(0.902)suggests that high Mn ODs potential zones are identified within the intersected fault zones near granitic units.This integration is recommended for discriminating hydrothermally Mn ODs in other arid geographic regions. 展开更多
关键词 manganese deposits Abu Zenima Landsat8 oli sentinel data fault zones predictive modeling remote sensing
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Modeling of Total Dissolved Solids (TDS) and Sodium Absorption Ratio (SAR) in the Edwards-Trinity Plateau and Ogallala Aquifers in the Midland-Odessa Region Using Random Forest Regression and eXtreme Gradient Boosting
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作者 Azuka I. Udeh Osayamen J. Imarhiagbe Erepamo J. Omietimi 《Journal of Geoscience and Environment Protection》 2024年第5期218-241,共24页
Efficient water quality monitoring and ensuring the safety of drinking water by government agencies in areas where the resource is constantly depleted due to anthropogenic or natural factors cannot be overemphasized. ... Efficient water quality monitoring and ensuring the safety of drinking water by government agencies in areas where the resource is constantly depleted due to anthropogenic or natural factors cannot be overemphasized. The above statement holds for West Texas, Midland, and Odessa Precisely. Two machine learning regression algorithms (Random Forest and XGBoost) were employed to develop models for the prediction of total dissolved solids (TDS) and sodium absorption ratio (SAR) for efficient water quality monitoring of two vital aquifers: Edward-Trinity (plateau), and Ogallala aquifers. These two aquifers have contributed immensely to providing water for different uses ranging from domestic, agricultural, industrial, etc. The data was obtained from the Texas Water Development Board (TWDB). The XGBoost and Random Forest models used in this study gave an accurate prediction of observed data (TDS and SAR) for both the Edward-Trinity (plateau) and Ogallala aquifers with the R<sup>2</sup> values consistently greater than 0.83. The Random Forest model gave a better prediction of TDS and SAR concentration with an average R, MAE, RMSE and MSE of 0.977, 0.015, 0.029 and 0.00, respectively. For the XGBoost, an average R, MAE, RMSE, and MSE of 0.953, 0.016, 0.037 and 0.00, respectively, were achieved. The overall performance of the models produced was impressive. From this study, we can clearly understand that Random Forest and XGBoost are appropriate for water quality prediction and monitoring in an area of high hydrocarbon activities like Midland and Odessa and West Texas at large. 展开更多
关键词 Water Quality Prediction predictive modeling Aquifers Machine Learning Regression eXtreme Gradient Boosting
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Research on Mixed Logic Dynamic Modeling and Finite Control Set Model Predictive Control of Multi-Inverter Parallel System
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作者 Xiaojuan Lu Mengqiao Chen Qingbo Zhang 《Energy Engineering》 EI 2023年第3期649-664,共16页
Parallel connection of multiple inverters is an important means to solve the expansion,reserve and protection of distributed power generation,such as photovoltaics.In view of the shortcomings of traditional droop cont... Parallel connection of multiple inverters is an important means to solve the expansion,reserve and protection of distributed power generation,such as photovoltaics.In view of the shortcomings of traditional droop control methods such as weak anti-interference ability,low tracking accuracy of inverter output voltage and serious circulation phenomenon,a finite control set model predictive control(FCS-MPC)strategy of microgrid multiinverter parallel system based on Mixed Logical Dynamical(MLD)modeling is proposed.Firstly,the MLD modeling method is introduced logical variables,combining discrete events and continuous events to form an overall differential equation,which makes the modeling more accurate.Then a predictive controller is designed based on the model,and constraints are added to the objective function,which can not only solve the real-time changes of the control system by online optimization,but also effectively obtain a higher tracking accuracy of the inverter output voltage and lower total harmonic distortion rate(Total Harmonics Distortion,THD);and suppress the circulating current between the inverters,to obtain a good dynamic response.Finally,the simulation is carried out onMATLAB/Simulink to verify the correctness of the model and the rationality of the proposed strategy.This paper aims to provide guidance for the design and optimal control of multi-inverter parallel systems. 展开更多
关键词 Multiple inverters in parallel microgrid mixed logic dynamic model finite control set model predictive control circulation
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Assessing recent recurrence after hepatectomy for hepatitis Brelated hepatocellular carcinoma by a predictive model based on sarcopenia
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作者 Hong Peng Si-Yi Lei +9 位作者 Wei Fan Yu Dai Yi Zhang Gen Chen Ting-Ting Xiong Tian-Zhao Liu Yue Huang Xiao-Feng Wang Jin-Hui Xu Xin-Hua Luo 《World Journal of Gastroenterology》 SCIE CAS 2024年第12期1727-1738,共12页
BACKGROUND Sarcopenia may be associated with hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)following hepatectomy.But traditional single clinical variables are still insufficient to predict recurrence.We still lack effective prediction... BACKGROUND Sarcopenia may be associated with hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)following hepatectomy.But traditional single clinical variables are still insufficient to predict recurrence.We still lack effective prediction models for recent recurrence(time to recurrence<2 years)after hepatectomy for HCC.AIM To establish an interventable prediction model to estimate recurrence-free survival(RFS)after hepatectomy for HCC based on sarcopenia.METHODS We retrospectively analyzed 283 hepatitis B-related HCC patients who underwent curative hepatectomy for the first time,and the skeletal muscle index at the third lumbar spine was measured by preoperative computed tomography.94 of these patients were enrolled for external validation.Cox multivariate analysis was per-formed to identify the risk factors of postoperative recurrence in training cohort.A nomogram model was developed to predict the RFS of HCC patients,and its predictive performance was validated.The predictive efficacy of this model was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic curve.RESULTS Multivariate analysis showed that sarcopenia[Hazard ratio(HR)=1.767,95%CI:1.166-2.678,P<0.05],alpha-fetoprotein≥40 ng/mL(HR=1.984,95%CI:1.307-3.011,P<0.05),the maximum diameter of tumor>5 cm(HR=2.222,95%CI:1.285-3.842,P<0.05),and hepatitis B virus DNA level≥2000 IU/mL(HR=2.1,95%CI:1.407-3.135,P<0.05)were independent risk factors associated with postoperative recurrence of HCC.Based on the sarcopenia to assess the RFS model of hepatectomy with hepatitis B-related liver cancer disease(SAMD)was established combined with other the above risk factors.The area under the curve of the SAMD model was 0.782(95%CI:0.705-0.858)in the training cohort(sensitivity 81%,specificity 63%)and 0.773(95%CI:0.707-0.838)in the validation cohort.Besides,a SAMD score≥110 was better to distinguish the high-risk group of postoperative recurrence of HCC.CONCLUSION Sarcopenia is associated with recent recurrence after hepatectomy for hepatitis B-related HCC.A nutritional status-based prediction model is first established for postoperative recurrence of hepatitis B-related HCC,which is superior to other models and contributes to prognosis prediction. 展开更多
关键词 ALPHA-FETOPROTEIN Hepatitis B virus HEPATECTOMY Hepatocellular carcinoma NOMOGRAM predictive models RECURRENCE Recurrence-free survival Risk factors SARCOPENIA
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A Novel Predictive Model for Edge Computing Resource Scheduling Based on Deep Neural Network
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作者 Ming Gao Weiwei Cai +3 位作者 Yizhang Jiang Wenjun Hu Jian Yao Pengjiang Qian 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2024年第4期259-277,共19页
Currently,applications accessing remote computing resources through cloud data centers is the main mode of operation,but this mode of operation greatly increases communication latency and reduces overall quality of se... Currently,applications accessing remote computing resources through cloud data centers is the main mode of operation,but this mode of operation greatly increases communication latency and reduces overall quality of service(QoS)and quality of experience(QoE).Edge computing technology extends cloud service functionality to the edge of the mobile network,closer to the task execution end,and can effectivelymitigate the communication latency problem.However,the massive and heterogeneous nature of servers in edge computing systems brings new challenges to task scheduling and resource management,and the booming development of artificial neural networks provides us withmore powerfulmethods to alleviate this limitation.Therefore,in this paper,we proposed a time series forecasting model incorporating Conv1D,LSTM and GRU for edge computing device resource scheduling,trained and tested the forecasting model using a small self-built dataset,and achieved competitive experimental results. 展开更多
关键词 Edge computing resource scheduling predictive models
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Uncertainty and disturbance estimator-based model predictive control for wet flue gas desulphurization system
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作者 Shan Liu Wenqi Zhong +2 位作者 Li Sun Xi Chen Rafal Madonski 《Chinese Journal of Chemical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第3期182-194,共13页
Wet flue gas desulphurization technology is widely used in the industrial process for its capability of efficient pollution removal.The desulphurization control system,however,is subjected to complex reaction mechanis... Wet flue gas desulphurization technology is widely used in the industrial process for its capability of efficient pollution removal.The desulphurization control system,however,is subjected to complex reaction mechanisms and severe disturbances,which make for it difficult to achieve certain practically relevant control goals including emission and economic performances as well as system robustness.To address these challenges,a new robust control scheme based on uncertainty and disturbance estimator(UDE)and model predictive control(MPC)is proposed in this paper.The UDE is used to estimate and dynamically compensate acting disturbances,whereas MPC is deployed for optimal feedback regulation of the resultant dynamics.By viewing the system nonlinearities and unknown dynamics as disturbances,the proposed control framework allows to locally treat the considered nonlinear plant as a linear one.The obtained simulation results confirm that the utilization of UDE makes the tracking error negligibly small,even in the presence of unmodeled dynamics.In the conducted comparison study,the introduced control scheme outperforms both the standard MPC and PID(proportional-integral-derivative)control strategies in terms of transient performance and robustness.Furthermore,the results reveal that a lowpass-filter time constant has a significant effect on the robustness and the convergence range of the tracking error. 展开更多
关键词 Desulphurization system Disturbance rejection Model predictive control Uncertainty and disturbance estimator Nonlinear system
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Developing and validating a predictive model of delivering large-forgestational-age infants among women with gestational diabetes mellitus
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作者 Yi-Tian Zhu Lan-Lan Xiang +3 位作者 Ya-Jun Chen Tian-Ying Zhong Jun-Jun Wang Yu Zeng 《World Journal of Diabetes》 SCIE 2024年第6期1242-1253,共12页
BACKGROUND The birth of large-for-gestational-age(LGA)infants is associated with many shortterm adverse pregnancy outcomes.It has been observed that the proportion of LGA infants born to pregnant women with gestationa... BACKGROUND The birth of large-for-gestational-age(LGA)infants is associated with many shortterm adverse pregnancy outcomes.It has been observed that the proportion of LGA infants born to pregnant women with gestational diabetes mellitus(GDM)is significantly higher than that born to healthy pregnant women.However,traditional methods for the diagnosis of LGA have limitations.Therefore,this study aims to establish a predictive model that can effectively identify women with GDM who are at risk of delivering LGA infants.AIM To develop and validate a nomogram prediction model of delivering LGA infants among pregnant women with GDM,and provide strategies for the effective prevention and timely intervention of LGA.METHODS The multivariable prediction model was developed by carrying out the following steps.First,the variables that were associated with LGA risk in pregnant women with GDM were screened by univariate analyses,for which the P value was<0.10.Subsequently,Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator regression was fit using ten cross-validations,and the optimal combination factors were se-lected by choosing lambda 1se as the criterion.The final predictors were deter-mined by multiple backward stepwise logistic regression analysis,in which only the independent variables were associated with LGA risk,with a P value<0.05.Finally,a risk prediction model was established and subsequently evaluated by using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve,calibration curve and decision curve analyses.RESULTS After using a multistep screening method,we establish a predictive model.Several risk factors for delivering an LGA infant were identified(P<0.01),including weight gain during pregnancy,parity,triglyceride-glucose index,free tetraiodothyronine level,abdominal circumference,alanine transaminase-aspartate aminotransferase ratio and weight at 24 gestational weeks.The nomogram’s prediction ability was supported by the area under the curve(0.703,0.709,and 0.699 for the training cohort,validation cohort,and test cohort,respectively).The calibration curves of the three cohorts displayed good agreement.The decision curve showed that the use of the 10%-60%threshold for identifying pregnant women with GDM who are at risk of delivering an LGA infant would result in a positive net benefit.CONCLUSION Our nomogram incorporated easily accessible risk factors,facilitating individualized prediction of pregnant women with GDM who are likely to deliver an LGA infant. 展开更多
关键词 Large-for-gestational-age Gestational diabetes mellitus predictive model NOMOGRAM Triglyceride-glucose index
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Three predictive scores compared in a retrospective multicenter study of nonunion tibial shaft fracture
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作者 Davide Quarta Marco Grassi +3 位作者 Giuliano Lattanzi Antonio Pompilio Gigante Alessio D'Anca Domenico Potena 《World Journal of Orthopedics》 2024年第6期560-569,共10页
BACKGROUND Delayed union,malunion,and nonunion are serious complications in the healing of fractures.Predicting the risk of nonunion before or after surgery is challenging.AIM To compare the most prevalent predictive ... BACKGROUND Delayed union,malunion,and nonunion are serious complications in the healing of fractures.Predicting the risk of nonunion before or after surgery is challenging.AIM To compare the most prevalent predictive scores of nonunion used in clinical practice to determine the most accurate score for predicting nonunion.METHODS We collected data from patients with tibial shaft fractures undergoing surgery from January 2016 to December 2020 in three different trauma hospitals.In this retrospective multicenter study,we considered only fractures treated with intramedullary nailing.We calculated the tibia FRACTure prediction healING days(FRACTING)score,Nonunion Risk Determination score,and Leeds-Genoa Nonunion Index(LEG-NUI)score at the time of definitive fixation.RESULTS Of the 130 patients enrolled,89(68.4%)healed within 9 months and were classified as union.The remaining patients(n=41,31.5%)healed after more than 9 months or underwent other surgical procedures and were classified as nonunion.After calculation of the three scores,LEG-NUI and FRACTING were the most accurate at predicting healing.CONCLUSION LEG-NUI and FRACTING showed the best performances by accurately predicting union and nonunion. 展开更多
关键词 TRAUMA BONE Tibial fracture NONUNION SCORES Prediction model
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Autonomous Vehicle Platoons In Urban Road Networks:A Joint Distributed Reinforcement Learning and Model Predictive Control Approach
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作者 Luigi D’Alfonso Francesco Giannini +3 位作者 Giuseppe Franzè Giuseppe Fedele Francesco Pupo Giancarlo Fortino 《IEEE/CAA Journal of Automatica Sinica》 SCIE EI CSCD 2024年第1期141-156,共16页
In this paper, platoons of autonomous vehicles operating in urban road networks are considered. From a methodological point of view, the problem of interest consists of formally characterizing vehicle state trajectory... In this paper, platoons of autonomous vehicles operating in urban road networks are considered. From a methodological point of view, the problem of interest consists of formally characterizing vehicle state trajectory tubes by means of routing decisions complying with traffic congestion criteria. To this end, a novel distributed control architecture is conceived by taking advantage of two methodologies: deep reinforcement learning and model predictive control. On one hand, the routing decisions are obtained by using a distributed reinforcement learning algorithm that exploits available traffic data at each road junction. On the other hand, a bank of model predictive controllers is in charge of computing the more adequate control action for each involved vehicle. Such tasks are here combined into a single framework:the deep reinforcement learning output(action) is translated into a set-point to be tracked by the model predictive controller;conversely, the current vehicle position, resulting from the application of the control move, is exploited by the deep reinforcement learning unit for improving its reliability. The main novelty of the proposed solution lies in its hybrid nature: on one hand it fully exploits deep reinforcement learning capabilities for decisionmaking purposes;on the other hand, time-varying hard constraints are always satisfied during the dynamical platoon evolution imposed by the computed routing decisions. To efficiently evaluate the performance of the proposed control architecture, a co-design procedure, involving the SUMO and MATLAB platforms, is implemented so that complex operating environments can be used, and the information coming from road maps(links,junctions, obstacles, semaphores, etc.) and vehicle state trajectories can be shared and exchanged. Finally by considering as operating scenario a real entire city block and a platoon of eleven vehicles described by double-integrator models, several simulations have been performed with the aim to put in light the main f eatures of the proposed approach. Moreover, it is important to underline that in different operating scenarios the proposed reinforcement learning scheme is capable of significantly reducing traffic congestion phenomena when compared with well-reputed competitors. 展开更多
关键词 Distributed model predictive control distributed reinforcement learning routing decisions urban road networks
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