Assessment of impact of water diversion projects on ecological water uses in arid region

In arid regions, large-scale water diversion from rivers leads to significant changes in river flow regimes, which may have large impacts on ecological water uses of river-dependent ecosystems, such as river, lake, wetland, and riparian ecosystems. To assess the integrated impact of water diversion on ecological water uses, we proposed a hierarchy evaluation model composed of four layers representing the evaluation goal, sub-areas of the influenced region, evaluation criteria, and water diversion schemes, respectively. The evaluation criteria for different types of ecological water uses were proposed, and the analytical hierarchy process was used for the integrated assessment. For a river ecosystem, the percentage of mean annual flow was used to define the grade of environmental flow. For a lake ecosystem, water recharge to the lake to compensate the lake water losses was used to assess the ecological water use of a lake. The flooding level of the wetland and the groundwater level in the riparian plain were used to assess the wetland and riparian ecological water uses, respectively. The proposed model was applied to a basin in northern Xinjiang in northwest China, where both water diversion and inter-basin water transfer projects were planned to be carried out. Based on assessment results for the whole study area and two sub-areas, an appropriate scheme was recommended from four planning schemes. With the recommended scheme, ecological water uses of the influenced ecosystems can be maintained at an acceptable level. Meanwhile, economical water requirements can be met to a great extent.

Impact on Mountainous Agricultural Development in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area forced by Migrants of the Three Gorges Project

The Three Gorges Project attracts worldwide attention because of the Three Gorges migrants, and the agriculture of the Three Gorges Reservoir Area is a foundation for the development of the Three Gorges migrants. The Three Gorges Reservoir Area is situated at the mountainous area with bad agricultural development conditions and relatively low levels of development. As a result, the large-scale migration has special influence on its agricultural development, which has attracted much attention. The paper analyzes influence that the migrants have forced on its agricultural development based on the scientific data, and makes some explorations on the models that are suitable for the development of mountainous agriculture in the Three Gorges Reservoir

The Three Gorges Project and Its Environmetal Impact

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Substituted plan analysis in the environmental impact assessment of Yongchuan wastewater treatment project

Substituted plan in the environmental impact assessment (EIA) mainly means the treatment technology and the substituted site of plant, and it also includes the many kinds of environment protection measures. This paper will make detailed analysis on the treatment technology, the substituted site of plant, the purpose of discharged water and the dispose of sludge in the Yongchuan wastewater treatment project.

A multi-level evaluation model for the recognition and assessment of impact factors associated with intercontinental power interconnection projects

The construction of intercontinental power grid interconnection projects is key to realizing the vision of Global Energy Interconnection,which is to solve global energy problems in a clean and sustainable manner.These projects may be influenced by a few factors that are neither technological nor economic,such as political,social,and international factors.This paper thus presents a multi-level model for recognizing which factor from a compiled list of 14 would impact a particular intercontinental interconnection project and for assessing the degree of the factor’s influence.In the first part of the model,the Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP)method is used to recognize the project’s most significant impact factors.Using the recognition results,the second part of the model can assess the degree of the factor’s influence on the project based on ratings provided by experts.A comprehensive evaluation can thus be provided.As a case study,the proposed Saudi Arabia-Ethiopia power grid interconnection project connecting Asia and Africa was analyzed.Derived from a combination of multiple opinions from experts,evaluations from the model will be of direct benefit to decision-makers,investors,project implementers,and engineers,providing them with a deeper insight into the project.

Landscape Visual Environment Impact Analysis of Wind Power Project in Plain Region--Case in One Wind Power Farm Project of Zhanjiang

The construction of wind power project is conducive to saving energy,reducing emissions and regulating energy structure. But it inevitably causes some impacts on the environment in the construction process. Because that the height of wind power generator generally exceeds 100 m,and visual range in plain region is farther,it is necessary to scientifically and rationally evaluate and analyze landscape visual environment impact of wind power generator in plain region. One wind power farm project of Zhanjiang is located in typical plain region of Guangdong coast. Referring to traditional analytic method of landscape visual impact and comparing with actual situation for the same kind of project in the region,results show that it is ＂ extremely sensitive＂ area at 0- 2. 5 km from wind power generator, ＂ very sensitive＂ area at 2. 5- 5. 0 km, ＂ sensitive＂ area at 5- 10 km, ＂generally sensitive＂ area at 10- 20 km,and non-sensitive area outside 20 km.

Socioeconomic Impact of Small Water Impounding Projects in Quirino Province, Philippines

The study was conducted to determine the socioeconomic impact two (2) Small Water Impounding Projects (SWIPs) namely Burgos SWIP in Cabarroguis and Divisoria Norte SWIP in Maddela, both in the Province of Quirino, Philippines. The study made use of structured questionnaire to gather the socio-demographic profile and determined the socioeconomic impact of the SWIPs to the farmer-beneficiaries. Most of the farmer-beneficiaries of Burgos and Divisoria Norte SWIPs are male, 40 - 59 years old, married, have below four household members, Roman Catholic, high school graduates and some are members of cooperatives. They are rice farmers, and have attended one to two training courses related to farming and own a 1.00 to 1.99 hectares farm. “Utilization of water in the reservoir for other purposes like wallowing pool for carabaos” and “integration of fish production and livestock raising” were the identified benefits at the farmer’s level while “introduction of new techniques in farming by the Local Government Units,” “availability of cheap fish and additional income as a result of integration of fish production” and “construction of better roads” were the identified benefits at the community level. The SWIPs have positive impact as confirmed by the increase in the annual mean yield and in the annual gross income of the farmer-beneficiaries. It contributed a significant increase of 2.14 tons/year in the mean yield generating an additional income of PhP 32,113.64 for Burgos SWIP. On the other hand, it contributed a significant increase of 2.08 tons/year giving an additional income of PhP 31,313.60 for Divisoria Norte farmer-beneficiaries. The result of this study will provide strategic information to policy makers of agricultural and irrigation agencies on the existing weaknesses of irrigation systems in the country and determine in a more quantifiable terms level of potential improvement and investment targets.

Health Providers’ Points of View on the Impact of the Project to Strengthen the Expanded Program of Routine Vaccination from 2014 to 2018 in the Barumbu Health Zone in Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo

According to the World Health Organization, approximately 3 million deaths are prevented each year in the world thanks to vaccination and then, in addition, each year, it makes it possible to avoid nearly 750,000 children suffering from serious physical, mental or neurological handicaps and 1.5 million other deaths could be avoided if the vaccination coverage is improved. However, vaccination coverage is often not achieved due to various difficulties encountered by health providers in the expanded program on vaccination activities. Yet, it is important to strengthen the program. This research paper aimed to assess health providers’ points of view on the impact of the project to strengthen the routine expanded program on vaccination in the Barumbu health zone in Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo (RDC). To do so, we surveyed a convenience sample of 234 health providers involved in the implementation of the project, including 210 community relays, 9 permanent nurses, 9 health committee chairpersons and 6 health authorities. A questionnaire related to the objective of the research was submitted to them. After analyzing the data, we found that the points of view of health providers are negative. The performance of the vaccination program was not great. Several reasons were given for this, including the non-involvement of the political and administrative authorities, the failure to respect the funds disbursement circuit and the non-effective financing of vaccination activities in the Barumbu health zone in Kinshasa, DRC.

Community Evaluation and Impact Assessment of Revitalization Project: A Case Study in Hong Kong

With the aim of promoting sustainable conservation and development of historic buildings in Hong Kong, the Hong Kong government introduced the Revitalizing Historic Buildings Through Partnership Scheme in 2007 to conserve and revitalize government-owned historic buildings. Since the announcement of the Revitalization Scheme, many people have criticized that the revitalization projects ended up not for the benefit of the local communities. Based on a completed revitalization project (the former North Kowloon Magistracy building) and situated within the literature of revitalization practices, community involvement, community evaluation, and impact assessment, this paper explored how community involvement with the revitalization project might influence the community’s evaluation of the project’s outcomes. The research found that community connections or involvement with the revitalization project significantly affected the community’s evaluation of the project’s various impacts.

Reduced projection augmented Lagrange bi-conjugate gradient method for contact and impact problems

Based on the numerical governing formulation and non-linear complementary conditions of contact and impact problems, a reduced projection augmented Lagrange bi- conjugate gradient method is proposed for contact and impact problems by translating non-linear complementary conditions into equivalent formulation of non-linear program- ming. For contact-impact problems, a larger time-step can be adopted arriving at numer- ical convergence compared with penalty method. By establishment of the impact-contact formulations which are equivalent with original non-linear complementary conditions, a reduced projection augmented Lagrange bi-conjugate gradient method is deduced to im- prove precision and efficiency of numerical solutions. A numerical example shows that the algorithm we suggested is valid and exact.

Application of 3D Projection Profilometry in the High Speed Impaction Surface Deformation Measurement Research

In order to study the strength of the composite material plate problems, need to adopt a nondestructive testing method to obtain the specimen surface under the effect of high-speed impact regularity of shape. The projection profilometry was used to measure the surface profile or the full field deformation. Furtherly, by using the Fourier transform algorithm, there is only one frame of captured image which is needed in the measurement, so that it can be introduced into the high speed impaction procedure measurement. An experimental system, which was contained with an impact setup and the projection profilometry measurement part, was constructed for the impaction action characteristic research. The metallic impact object can be launched by a gas gun or a spin fan, respectively. The detected object is manufactured by composite materials. In order to increase the surface deformation measurement accuracy, the calibration method and the error was discussed with different calibration specimen. And then, the proposed profilometry measurement method is proved by the gas gun and spin fan projectile test. The surface deformation of the manufactured composite plates and fan case are measured in the impaction procedure. So that the impact action details can be described much more clearly than the traditional video monitoring method.

基于CMIP6气候模式和两种水文模型综合集成预估的黄河源区未来40年流量变化

基于两个共享社会经济低碳路径(SSP1-2.6、SSP2-4.5)下的CMIP6中的8个GCMs气候模式进行黄河源区2021—2060年平均气温和降水量预估。在此基础上,利用CMIP6中的8个GCMs气候模式分别驱动HBV、SWAT水文模型综合集成预估了黄河源区2021—2060年流量的年代际变化。结果表明:SSP1-2.6、SSP2-4.5情景下,2021—2060年黄河源区呈暖湿化趋势,平均气温较基准期(1995—2014年)分别上升1.3℃、1.6℃,年降水量分别增加11.6%、11.5%。SSP1-2.6、SSP2-4.5情景下2021—2060年黄河源区年平均流量分别增多8.6%、8.5%;两种情景下黄河源区21世纪各年代际流量均增加,其中21世纪20年代和30年代流量增幅小于40年代、50年代流量增幅。SSP1-2.6、SSP2-4.5情景下黄河源区2021—2060年6—8月流量减幅在1%以下,而3—5月和9—12月流量增幅为0.1%~2.1%。SSP1-2.6、SSP2-4.5情景下黄河源区蓄水期(9—11月)极端丰水流量增加2.5%~2.7%,SSP1-2.6情景下黄河源区2021—2060年汛期(6—8月)极端丰水流量总体增加0.1%,SSP2-4.5情景下黄河源区汛期极端丰水流量减少1.3%,SSP1-2.6、SSP2-4.5情景下黄河源区枯水期(12至次年5月)极端丰水流量减少0.7%~1.0%;黄河源区汛期(SSP1-2.6和SSP2-4.5情景)及枯水期(SSP1-2.6情景)极端枯水流量较基准期增加0.8%~1.9%,两种情景下黄河源区蓄水期极端枯水流量减少1.8%~2.3%。

鄂尔多斯盆地CCS-EOR项目CO_(2)泄漏环境风险评估

以鄂尔多斯盆地乔家洼CCS-EOR项目为例,通过工程活动指标分解及选项设计,形成涵盖油区特征、储盖层特征、工程设计、工程监管4大类20个指标的环境风险可能性判定指标体系,利用问卷调查和专家打分法,界定驱油工程环境风险可能性。结合国内外文献分析,开展项目对空气、土壤和微生物、作物、动物及人群等环境风险受体的影响程度界定,基于界定结果,按照风险评估矩阵,对该工程CO_(2)泄漏环境风险水平的评估结论为低风险,在后期运行过程中应强化风险防范与监测。

公共政策评估中的随机控制实验:实施困境与突破策略

采用随机控制实验方法来进行政策评估,已成为公共政策或项目评估的“黄金标准”。但是,随机控制实验方法在中国政策评估过程中还运用较少,评估者缺乏对其实施困境与突破策略的深入认识。本研究在深入分析随机控制实验方法及其适用范围的基础上,对随机控制实验的实施困境与突破策略进行了系统的考察与总结。研究发现,采用随机控制实验开展政策评估主要面临着实验方法本身的复杂性、实验方法引发的公共价值分歧以及随机控制实验融入中国政策场域的挑战三个层面的困境。

能源技术进步与区域专业化——特高压输电工程的视角

基于2003—2020年中国285个地级市数据,以特高压输电工程为切入点,研究能源技术进步对区域专业化的影响及作用机制。结果显示:以特高压输电技术为代表的能源技术进步显著提升了区域专业化水平,具体而言,较没有特高压输电项目城市,配备特高压输电工程城市的专业化水平提升约1.09%,且该效应在中小城市、资源丰富城市和内陆地区更强;在考虑样本选择偏差、基期分工水平、调整指标测度、剔除极端值并进行安慰剂检验和倾向得分匹配后,该结果依然稳健;进一步的机制分析表明,特高压建设所表征的能源技术进步通过激发资源禀赋的比较优势、生产的集聚效应来促进地区专业化。继续扩大特高压输电规模,合理实施区域专业化,互通有无、取长补短,对促进区域协调发展具有重要意义。

“双一流”大学教师国际学术影响力研究——结构、评价指标及影响因素

构建大学教师国际学术影响力的三维评价指标和量表,对中国37所“双一流”大学教师进行了国际学术影响力抽样调查和测评。通过结构方程模型方法,拟合验证了所构建的大学教师国际学术影响力的三维结构,即国际人才培养、国际科学研究和国际社会服务。研究结果表明,大学教师的国际学术影响力平均水平偏低,存在较大的个体差异,同时,还会受到大学教师的学科领域、职称、访学时长、访学次数等因素的显著影响。