Predictive risk factors for prolonged stay in intensive care unit in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting surgery

Objective To describe the preoperative factors of prolonged intensive care unit length of stay after coronary artery bypass grafting. Methods From 1997 to 2009, 1318 patients underwent isolated CABG in our hospital. Retrospective analysis was performed on these cases. Univariate and multivariate analyses

Risk factors for prolonged intensive care unit stays in patients after cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass:A retrospective observational study

Objectives:Patients after cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass(CPB)require a stay in the ICU postoperatively.This study aimed to investigate the incidence of prolonged length of stay(LOS)in the ICU after cardiac surgery with CPB and identify associated risk factors.Methods:The current investigation was an observational,retrospective study that included 395 ICU patients who underwent cardiac surgery with CPB at a tertiary hospital in Guangzhou from June 2015 to June 2017.Data were obtained from the hospital database.Binary logistic regression modeling was used to analyze risk factors for prolonged ICU LOS.Results:Of 395 patients,137(34.7%)had a prolonged ICU LOS(>72.0 h),and the median ICU LOS was 50.9 h.Several variables were found associated with prolonged ICU LOS:duration of CPB,prolonged mechanical ventilation and non-invasive assisted ventilation use,PaO2/FiO2 ratios within 6 h after surgery,type of surgery,red blood cell infusion during surgery,postoperative atrial arrhythmia,postoperative ventricular arrhythmia(all P<0.05).Conclusions:These findings are clinically relevant for identifying patients with an estimated prolonged ICU LOS,enabling clinicians to facilitate earlier intervention to reduce the risk and prevent resulting delayed recovery.

C-reactive protein as a non-linear predictor of prolonged length of intensive care unit stay after gastrointestinal cancer surgery

BACKGROUND The relationship between C-reactive protein(CRP)levels and prolonged intensive care unit(ICU)length of stay(LoS)has not been well defined.AIM To explore the association between CRP levels at ICU admission and prolonged ICU LoS in gastrointestinal cancer(GC)patients after major surgery.METHODS A retrospective study was performed to quantify serum CRP levels and to establish their association with prolonged ICU LoS(≥72 h)in GC patients admitted to the ICU.Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were conducted,and restricted cubic spline curves with four knots(5%,35%,65%,95%)were used to explore non-linearity assumptions.RESULTS A total of 408 patients were enrolled.Among them,83(20.3%)patients had an ICU LoS longer than 72 h.CRP levels were independently associated with the risk of prolonged ICU LoS[odds ratio(OR)1.47,95%confidence interval(CI)1.00–2.17].Restricted cubic spline analysis revealed a non-linear relationship between CRP levels and OR for the prolonged ICU LoS(P=0.035 for nonlinearity).After the cut-off of 2.6(log transformed mg/L),the OR for prolonged ICU LoS significantly increased with CRP levels.The adjusted regression coefficient was 0.70(95%CI 0.31–1.57,P=0.384)for CRP levels less than 2.6,whereas it was 2.43(95%CI 1.39–4.24,P=0.002)for CRP levels higher than 2.6.CONCLUSION Among the GC patients,CRP levels at ICU admission were non-linearly associated with prolonged ICU LoS in survivors.An admission CRP level>2.6(log transformed mg/L)was associated with increased risk of prolonged ICU LoS.

Machine learning insights on intensive care unit-acquired weakness

Intensive care unit-acquired weakness(ICU-AW)significantly hampers patient recovery and increases morbidity.With the absence of established preventive strategies,this study utilizes advanced machine learning methodologies to unearth key predictors of ICU-AW.Employing a sophisticated multilayer perceptron neural network,the research methodically assesses the predictive power for ICU-AW,pinpointing the length of ICU stay and duration of mechanical ventilation as pivotal risk factors.The findings advocate for minimizing these elements as a preventive approach,offering a novel perspective on combating ICU-AW.This research illuminates critical risk factors and lays the groundwork for future explorations into effective prevention and intervention strategies.

Predictive risk factors associated with prolonged stay in the intensive care unit for patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting surgery

Objective The rate of post-operative complications has been increased with the changes in patients’age,prolonged duration,more severe and diffused lesions,and more patients with complications in recent years. We try to identify the risk factors associated with prolonged stay in the intensive care unit (ICU) after coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG) . Methods 1623 patients who received CABG surgery in Beijing Anzhen Hospital

Dexmedetomidine vs propofol in intensive care unit patients

Dexmedetomidine is indicated as a sedative agent in intensive care units(ICUs). While several clinical trials and two meta-analyses have compared this agent with propofol or midazolam, the results were variable depending on the specific end-point(e.g., duration of mechanical ventilation, ICU mortality, maintaining a target depth of sedation, incidence of delirium episodes, length of hospital stay). Hence, the effectiveness of this new agent vs the comparators seems to be controversial. Trial sequential analysis(TSA) is a statistical technique that can estimate the optimal, cumulative number of patients that would be needed to generate a conclusive result. We therefore applied a TSA model to the most recent meta-analysis evaluating dexmedetomidine. A total of 10 randomized controlled trials were included in our analysis. According to our results, the comparison of dexmedetomidine vs propofol showed no proof of incremental effectiveness for the end-points of length of ICUs stay and incidence of delirium episodes. In contrast, futility(i.e., proof of no incremental effectiveness) was demonstrated for the end-point of mechanical ventilation. Hence, the results for the comparison of dexmedetomidine vs propofol were inconclusive for the first two end-points; on the other hand, conclusiveness was reached for the third end-point. We conclude that the place of dexmedetomidine in therapy of critically ill patients is very uncertain and further controlled trials are still needed.

Clinical and biochemical predictors of intensive care unit admission among patients with diabetic ketoacidosis

BACKGROUND Diabetic ketoacidosis(DKA)contributes to 94%of diabetes-related hospital admissions,and its incidence is rising.Due to the complexity of its management and the need for rigorous monitoring,many DKA patients are managed in the intensive care unit(ICU).However,studies comparing DKA patients managed in ICU to non-ICU settings show an increase in healthcare costs without significantly affecting patient outcomes.It is,therefore,essential to identify suitable candidates for ICU care in DKA patients.AIM To evaluate factors that predict the requirement for ICU care in DKA patients.METHODS This retrospective study included consecutive patients with index DKA episodes who presented to the emergency department of four general hospitals of Hamad Medical Corporation,Doha,Qatar,between January 2015 and March 2021.All adult patients(>14 years)fulfilling the American Diabetes Association criteria for DKA diagnosis were included.RESULTS We included 922 patients with DKA in the final analysis,of which 229(25%)were managed in the ICU.Compared to non-ICU patients,patients admitted to ICU were older[mean(SD)age of 40.4±13.7 years vs 34.5±14.6 years;P<0.001],had a higher body mass index[median(IQR)of 24.6(21.5-28.4)kg/m2 vs 23.7(20.3-27.9)kg/m2;P<0.030],had T2DM(61.6%)and were predominantly males(69%vs 31%;P<0.020).ICU patients had a higher white blood cell count[median(IQR)of 15.1(10.2-21.2)×103/uL vs 11.2(7.9-15.7)×103/uL,P<0.001],urea[median(IQR)of 6.5(4.6-10.3)mmol/L vs 5.6(4.0-8.0)mmol/L;P<0.001],creatinine[median(IQR)of 99(75-144)mmol/L vs 82(63-144)mmol/L;P<0.001],C-reactive protein[median(IQR)of 27(9-83)mg/L vs 14(5-33)mg/L;P<0.001]and anion gap[median(IQR)of 24.0(19.2-29.0)mEq/L vs 22(17-27)mEq/L;P<0.001];while a lower venous pH[mean(SD)of 7.10±0.15 vs 7.20±0.13;P<0.001]and bicarbonate level[mean(SD)of 9.2±4.1 mmol/L vs 11.6±4.3 mmol/L;P<0.001]at admission than those not requiring ICU management of DKA(P<0.001).Patients in the ICU group had a longer LOS[median(IQR)of 4.2(2.7-7.1)d vs 2.0(1.0-3.9)d;P<0.001]and DKA duration[median(IQR)of 24(13-37)h vs 15(19-24)h,P<0.001]than those not requiring ICU admission.In the multivariate logistic regression analysis model,age,Asian ethnicity,concurrent coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)infection,DKA severity,DKA trigger,and NSTEMI were the main predicting factors for ICU admission.CONCLUSION In the largest tertiary center in Qatar,25%of all DKA patients required ICU admission.Older age,T2DM,newly onset DM,an infectious trigger of DKA,moderate-severe DKA,concurrent NSTEMI,and COVID-19 infection are some factors that predict ICU requirement in a DKA patient.

Care Measures and Health Outcomes in a Pediatric Intensive Care Unit in Brazil

Introduction: In low- and middle-income countries, including Brazil, conditions that favor mortality in the PICU remain significant. Compared to developed countries, there is a shortage of skilled human resources, lower availability of technological resources, greater difficulty of access and a higher incidence of infections, including both those acquired prior to admission and those resulting from treatment and hospitalization (i.e., healthcare-associated infections (HAIs)). HAIs in the PICU include ventilator-associated pneumonia and catheter-related bloodstream infections. Actions for the prevention of HAIs can minimize the occurrence of negative outcomes. Materials and Methods: This is an epidemiological study comparing admissions at the PICU of a high-complexity hospital in South Brazil over two three-year periods: 2012-2014 (before the measures were adopted) and 2015-2017 (after the measures). The care measures were adopted mainly at the beginning of 2015 and consisted of expansion of physical therapy care, adoption of care protocols, acquisition of new materials and equipment (transparent dressings for central catheters, high-tech mechanical ventilators and multiparametric monitors) and multidisciplinary team training. The frequency of the outcomes mortality, length of PICU stay, diagnosis of catheter-related bloodstream infection, need for and duration of ventilatory support and diagnosis of ventilator-associated pneumonia were compared between the two trienniums using logistic regression with adjustment for age in months and need of vasoactive drugs. Results: A total of 1140 admissions were analyzed (470 in the first triennium and 670 in the second), representing an increase in the admission rate of 42.6% after the adoption of the measures. After adjustments, significant reductions in the frequency of mortality (adjusted OR [adjOR] = 0.54;CI 95%: 0.34 - 0.84), length of PICU stay > 7 days (adjOR = 0.75;CI 95%: 0.57 - 0.97) and duration of ventilatory support > 7 days (adjOR = 0.54;CI 95%: 0.39 - 0.74) were observed. Conclusion: The results indicate the benefits of care measures for children admitted to the PICU in terms of a reduction in adverse events and expansion of access.

Prediction of Th17/Treg cell balance on length of stay in intensive care units of patients with sepsis

Background Prolonged length of stay(LOS)of sepsis can drain a hospital's material and human resources.This study investigated the correlations between T helper type 17(Th17)and regulatory T(Treg)balance with LOS in sepsis.Methods A prospective clinical observational study was designed in Changhai Hospital affiliated to Naval Medical University in Shanghai,China,from January to October 2020.The patients diagnosed with sepsis and who met the inclusion and exclusion criteria were recruited and whether the levels of cytokines,procalcitonin,subtypes,and biomarkers of T cells in the peripheral blood were detected.We analyzed the correlation between these and LOS.Results Sixty septic patients were classified into two groups according to whether their intensive care unit(ICU)stay exceeded 14 days.The patients with LOS≥14 days were older([72.6±7.5]years vs.[63.3±10.4]years,P=0.015)and had higher Sequential Organ Failure Assessment(SOFA)(median[interquartile range]:6.5[5.0–11.0]vs.4.0[3.0–6.0],P=0.001)and higher Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation(APACHE)II scores(16.0[13.0–21.0]vs.8.5[7.0–14.0],P=0.001).There was no difference in other demographic characteristics and cytokines,interleukin-6,tumor necrosis factor-α,and interleukin-10 between the two groups.The Th17/Treg ratio of sepsis with LOS<14 days was considerably lower(0.48[0.38–0.56]vs.0.69[0.51–0.98],P=0.001).For patients with LOS≥14 days,the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the Th17/Treg ratio was 0.766.It improved to 0.840 and 0.850 when combined with the SOFA and APACHE II scores,respectively.Conclusions The Th17/Treg ratio was proportional to septic severity and can be used as a potential predictor of ICU stay in sepsis,presenting a new option for ICU practitioners to better care for patients with sepsis.

Invasive Procedures and Length of Stay among Critically Ill Patients in ICU over Three Years: A Retrospective Study

Introduction: Intensive care unit (ICU) provides advanced specialized medical and nursing care for critically ill patients. Advanced monitoring techniques are needed to prevent physiologic deterioration, while the underlying disease treated and resolved. Frequents invasive procedure and treatment are used and affect the death rate and length of hospitalization. This study aimed to describe the variables associated with critically ill patients and describe the standard invasive procedures or treatments used among patients in ICU. Method: A retrospective comparative study which utilized the ICU electronic database. The data of 446 dead patients who have admitted to ICU between January 2014 and December 2016 as a case of sepsis, heart failure or COPD exacerbation were enrolled. Result: Almost of all patients had received intravenous fluid and vasoactive drugs. The mechanical ventilation support and insertion of the indwelling urethral catheter commonly used among patients with critical illnesses;78.3%, 41.3% respectively. One-third of all sepsis and heart failure patients were received CVC during ICU stay;patients with sepsis illness had less hospital length of stay than patients with heart failure and COPD (p Conclusion: We found a reduction in the death number among sepsis, heart failure and COPD patients with move forwards in years, the variety of death rate depends on the type of invasive procedure and treatment performed for each illness, mechanical ventilation support and insertion of indwelling urethral catheter commonly used among patients with critical illnesses.

The impact of daylight and window views on length of stay among patients with heart disease:A retrospective study in a cardiac intensive care unit

Background:Heart disease is the leading cause of death in the United States.The length of stay(LOS)is a well-established parameter used to evaluate health outcomes among critically ill patients with heart disease in cardiac intensive care units(CICUs).While evidence suggests that the presence of daylight and window views can positively influence patients’LOS,no studies to date have differentiated the impact of daylight from window views on heart disease patients.Also,existing research studies on the impact of daylight and window views have failed to account for key clinical and demographic variables that can impact the benefit of such interventions in CICUs.Methods:This retrospective study investigated the impact of access to daylight vs.window views on CICU patients'LOS.The study CICU is located in a hospital in the southeast United States and has rooms of the same size with different types of access to daylight and window views,including rooms with daylight and window views(with the patient bed located parallel to full-height,south-facing windows),rooms with daylight and no window views(with the patient bed located perpendicular to the windows),and windowless rooms.Data from electronic health records(EHRs)for the time-period September 2015 to September 2019(n=2936)were analyzed to investigate the impact of room type on patients’CICU LOS.Linear regression models were developed for the outcome of interest,controlling for potential confounding variables.Results:Ultimately,2319 patients were finally included in the study analysis.Findings indicated that patients receiving mechanical ventilation in rooms with access to daylight and window views had shorter LOS durations(16.8 h)than those in windowless rooms.Sensitivity analysis for a subset of patients with LOS≤3 days revealed that parallel bed placement to the windows and providing access to both daylight and window views significantly reduced their LOS compared to windowless rooms in the unit(P=0.007).Also,parallel bed placement to the window significantly reduced LOS in this patient subset for those with an experience of delirium(P=0.019),dementia(P=0.008),anxiety history(P=0.009),obesity(P=0.003),and those receiving palliative care(P=0.006)or mechanical ventilation(P=0.033).Conclusions:Findings from this study could help architects make design decisions and determine optimal CICU room layouts.Identifying the patients who benefit most from direct access to daylight and window views may also help CICU stakeholders with patient assignments and hospital training programs.

Correlation of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio with prolonged ICU stayin infants undergoing cardiac surgery

Background The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio(NLR)stands as a valuable marker for assessing inflammation and predicting adverse outcomes post-cardiac surgery.This study aimed to ascertain the prognostic relevance of preoperative NLR concerning prolonged ICU stay among infants undergoing congenital heart surgery employing cardiopulmonary bypass.Methods A retrospective review was conducted involving 187 consecutive infants(≤1 year)who underwent congenital heart disease surgery between January and April 2019,stratified into two groups based on NLR(NLR<0.484,NLR≥0.484).The primary outcome was prolonged intensive care unit(ICU)length of stay,defined patients with ICU stays duration higher than the third quartile.Correlations between preoperative NLR and clinical outcomes were assessed.Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis,multivariable Logistic regression,and restricted cube plots were utilized to gauge the association of preoperative NLR with prolonged ICU stay.Results The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of NLRpredictive capability for prolonged ICU length of staywas 0.691.Subgroup analyses revealed poorer prognoses among patients with high NLR(≥0.484).Multivariable Logistic regression analysis indicated that heightened preoperative NLR(OR:2.63,95%CI:1.18-5.83,P=0.018)independently was correlated with prolonged ICU length of stay in infants'post-cardiac surgery.Conclusions In summary,the NLR emerges as a significant predictive factor for prolonged ICU stay in infants undergoing cardiac surgery.Nevertheless,further research is warranted to comprehensively grasp the relationship between the NLR and prolonged ICU stay.

Intervention effect of neuromuscular electrical stimulation on ICU acquired weakness: A meta-analysis

Objective:The early use of neuromuscular electrical stimulation(NMES)to prevent intensive care unit-acquired weakness(ICU-AW)in critical patients is still a controversial topic.We conducted a systematic review to clarify the effectiveness of NMES in preventing ICU-AW.Methods:The Cochrane Library,PubMed,EMBASE,MEDUNE,Web of Science,Ovid,CNKI,Wanfang,VIP,China Biology Medicine disc(CBMdisc)and other databases were searched for randomized controlled trials on the influence of NMES on ICU-AW.The studies were selected according to the inclusion and exclusion criteria.After data and quality were evaluated,a meta-analysis was performed by RevMan 5.3 software.Results:A total of 11 randomized controlled trials with 576 patients were included.The meta-analysis results showed that NMES can improve muscle strength[MD=1.78,95%CI(0.44,3.12,P=0.009);shorten the mechanical ventilation(MV)time[SMD=-0.65,95%CI(-1.03,-0.27,P=0.001],ICU length of stay[MD=-3.41,95%CI(-4.58,-4.24),P<0.001],and total length of stay[MD=-3.97,95%CI(-6.89,-1.06,P=0.008];improve the ability of patients to perform activities of daily living[SMD=0.9,95%CI(0.45,1.35),P=0.001];and increase walking distance[MD=239.03,95%CI(179.22298.85),P<0.001].However,there is no evidence indicating that NMES can improve the functional status of ICU patients during hospitalization,promote the early awakening of patients or reduce mortality(P>0.05).Conclusion:Early implementation of the NMES intervention in ICU patients can prevent ICU-AW and improve their quality of life by enhancing their muscle strength and shortening the MV duration,length of stay in the ICU and total length of stay in the hospital.

Correlation of Blood Lactate and Mixed Venous Oxygen Saturation in Off-Pump CABG

Aim: To evaluate the correlation of blood lactate and mixed venous oxygen saturation to predict outcome in off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting. Method: This is a randomized study including 30 patients. Blood lactate and mixed venous oxygen saturation were measured in 4 groups of patients—number of grafts, presence or absence of left main coronary artery disease, ejection fraction and serum creatinine. Blood samples were taken before induction, after grafting, on intensive care unit admission, 24 hours and 48 hours after surgery. The measured blood lactate and mixed venous oxygen saturation are compared to assess the outcomes in terms of duration of ventilation and intensive care unit stay. Results: The blood lactate and mixed venous oxygen saturation values increased post operatively but no statistically significant difference in three groups— number of grafts, left main coronary artery disease and ejection fraction. In serum creatinine group, the blood lactate value was found to be statistically significant after grafting in patients with creatinine <1.5 mg/dl, however, there was a significant disparity in numbers. Conclusion: Mixed venous oxygen saturation is a better predictor of morbidity than blood lactate in terms of intensive care unit stay in patients undergoing off pump coronary artery bypass grafting.

重症监护室更年期女性患者入住时间延长的危险因素及预测模型构建

目的探究重症监护室(intensive care unit,ICU)更年期女性患者入住时间延长的危险因素并构建预测模型。方法选取2019年6月至2022年12月台州市中心医院ICU住院的更年期女性260例为研究对象,根据患者ICU住院时间将其分为延长组(≥5d,156例)和未延长组(<5d,104例)。收集患者的临床资料,采用多因素Logistic回归分析ICU患者住院时间延长的影响因素,构建列线图预测模型,绘制受试者操作特征曲线并计算曲线下面积(area under the curve,AUC)。结果延长组患者的昏迷、进行侵袭操作及使用广谱抗生素的占比均显著高于未延长组(P<0.05);延长组患者的血压异常、肌肉/骨关节疼痛、心率异常、呼吸功能异常及感染发生率均显著高于未延长组患者(P<0.05);多因素Logistic回归分析结果显示,昏迷、侵袭操作、使用广谱抗生素、血压异常、心率异常、呼吸功能异常、感染均是导致更年期女性ICU住院时间延长的危险因素(P<0.05);构建的列线图模型拟合度良好(χ^(2)=5.072,P=0.285);列线图模型预测患者ICU住院时间延长的AUC为0.857(95%CI:0.778~0.937),敏感度为78.16%,特异性为83.67%。结论意识状态不稳定、侵袭操作、使用广谱抗生素、血压异常、心率异常、呼吸功能异常、感染均是导致更年期女性ICU住院时间延长的危险因素,临床上应密切关注并及时给予针对性治疗。

ICU长期机械通气患者撤机困难的因素分析

为探讨ICU长期机械通气患者撤机困难的原因,回顾性分析大连医科大学附属第一医院重症医学科的62例长期机械通气患者的临床资料,回顾撤机过程,分析其撤机成功或失败的原因。结果显示,62例长期机械通气患者,34例成功撤机;10例死亡;18例因各种原因出现撤机困难,其中运动神经元病1例,脑外术后2例,间质性肺病4例,慢性阻塞性肺病3例,普外科术后2例,重症肺炎3例,肾功能不全2例,因心理紧张焦虑撤机困难2例。病例分析显示对于PMV患者,呼吸、循环等因素对撤机结果的影响依然存在,除此之外,神经肌肉功能、精神心理因素、医源性因素、内分泌因素等也已成为主要的影响因素。

心脏瓣膜病瓣膜置换术后住重症监护病房时间延迟的危险因素分析

目的 探讨某地区心脏瓣膜病瓣膜置换术后住重症监护病房（intensive care unit,ICU）延迟的危险因素,为制定心脏瓣膜病瓣膜置换术后住ICU延迟的防治措施提供依据.方法 采用回顾性病例对照研究和非条件Logistic多元回归分析方法,选择宜昌市第一人民医院重症医学科2008年1月至2012年1月心脏瓣膜病瓣膜置换术后的77例患者研究,住ICU时间延迟（术后ICU时间＞5 d）患者作为住ICU延迟组,以住ICU时间无延迟患者作为对照组.对潜在危险因素进行对比分析,并采用非条件Logistic多元回归分析.结果 共收治心脏瓣膜病瓣膜置换术后患者77例,其中心脏瓣膜病瓣膜置换术后住ICU延迟患者1 1例,心脏瓣膜病瓣膜置换术后住ICU延迟发生率为14.28％.单因素分析结果显示：血液透析、术前肾功能损害、术后呼吸衰竭为心脏瓣膜病瓣膜置换术后住ICU时间延迟的危险因素.Logistic多因素回归分析显示,心脏瓣膜病瓣膜置换术后住ICU延迟的独立的危险因素是术后呼吸衰竭（OR =27.481,95％ CI：2.477～304.89）；血液透析（OR =8.438,95％ CI：1.020～69.816）.结论 术后呼吸衰竭、血液透析是心脏瓣膜病瓣膜置换术后住ICU时间延迟的独立的危险因素.

Extra-pancreatic complications,especially hemodialysis predict mortality and length of stay,in ICU patients admitted with acute pancreatitis

Background and aims:Patients in the intensive care unit(ICU)with acute pancreatitis(AP)are at risk for extra-pancreatic complications given their severe illness and prolonged length of stay.We sought to determine the rate of extra-pancreatic complications and its effect on length of stay(LOS)and mortality in ICU patients with AP.Methods:We performed a retrospective cohort study of ICU patients admitted to a tertiary-care center with a diagnosis of AP.A total of 287 ICU patients had a discharge diagnosis of AP,of which 163 met inclusion criteria.We calculated incidence rates of extra-pancreatic complications and performed a univariate and multi-variable analysis to determine predictors of LOS and mortality.Results:There were a total of 158 extra-pancreatic complications(0.97 extra-pancreatic complications per patient).Ninetyfive patients had at least one extra-pancreatic complication,whereas 68 patients had no extra-pancreatic complications.Patients with extra-pancreatic complications had a significantly longer LOS(14.7 vs 8.8 days,p<0.01)when controlling for local pancreatic complications.Patients with non-infectious extra-pancreatic complications had a higher rate of mortality(24.0%vs 16.2%,p=0.04).Patients requiring dialysis was an independent predictor for LOS and mortality(incidence risk ratio[IRR]1.73,95%confidence interval[CI]:1.263–2.378 and IRR 1.50,95%CI 1.623–6.843,p<0.01)on multi-variable analysis.Coronary events were also a predictor for mortality(p=0.05).Other extra-pancreatic complications were not significant.Conclusions:Extra-pancreatic complications occur frequently in ICU patients with AP and impact LOS.Patients with noninfectious extra-pancreatic complications have a higher mortality rate.After controlling for local pancreatic complications,patients requiring dialysis remained an independent predictor for LOS and mortality.

Pediatric interfacility transport effects on mortality and length of stay

Background We aimed to evaluate the effects of interfacility pediatric critical care transport response time,physician presence during transport,and mode of transport on mortality and length of stay(LOS)among pediatric patients.We hypothesized that a shorter response time and helicopter transports,but not physician presence,are associated with lower mortality and a shorter LOS.Methods Retrospective,single-center,cohort study of 841 patients(<19 years)transported to a quaternary pediatric intensive care unit and cardiovascular intensive care unit between 2014 and 2018 utilizing patient charts and transport records.Multivariate linear and logistic regression analyses adjusted for age,diagnosis,mode of transport,response time,stabilization time,return duration,mortality risk(pediatric index of mortality-2 and pediatric risk of mortality-3),and inotrope,vasopressor,or mechanical ventilation presence on admission.Results Four hundred and twenty-eight(50.9%)patients were transported by helicopter,and 413(49.1%)were transported by ambulance.Physicians accompanied 239(28.4%)transports.The median response time was 2.0(interquartile range 1.4–2.9)hours.Although physician presence increased the median response time by 0.26 hours(P=0.020),neither physician presence nor response time significantly affected mortality,ICU length of stay(ILOS)or hospital length of stay(HLOS).Helicopter transports were not significantly associated with mortality or ILOS,but were associated with a longer HLOS(3.24 days,95%confidence interval 0.59–5.90)than ambulance transports(P=0.017).Conclusions These results suggest response time and physician presence do not significantly affect mortality or LOS.This may reflect the quality of pre-transport care and medical control communication.Helicopter transports were only associated with a longer HLOS.Our analysis provides a framework for examining transport workforce needs and associated costs.

Validation of four different risk stratification models in patients undergoing heart valve surgery in a single center in China

Background Several risk stratification models have been developed for cardiac surgery. This study aimed to evaluate the accuracy of four existing risk stratification models, the Fuwai System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation （FuwaiSCORE）, the Society of Thoracic Surgeons 2008 cardiac surgery risk model for isolated valve surgery （the STS model）, the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation （EuroSCORE） and the initial Parsonnet＇s score （the Parsonnet model） in predicting prolonged intensive care unit （ICU） stay in Chinese patients undergoing heart valve surgery. Methods Data were collected retrospectively from records of 1333 consecutive patients who received heart valve surgery in a single center between November 2006 and December 2007. Prolonged ICU stay was defined as not less than 124 hours. Calibration was assessed using the Hosmer-Lemeshow （H-L） goodness of fit test. Discrimination was assessed using the receiver-operating-characteristic （ROC） curve area. Results The FuwaiSCORE showed good calibration and discrimination compared with other risk models. According to the H-L statistics, the value of the FuwaiSCORE was 12.82, P 〉0.1. The area under ROC curve of the FuwaiSCORE was 0.81 （95%C/0.78-0.84）. Conclusions Our study suggests that the FuwaiSCORE is superior to the other three risk models in predicting prolonged length of ICU stay in Chinese patients with heart valve surgery. Having fewer variables, the system is much easier for bedside use than other systems.