Empirical likelihood for spatial cross-sectional data models with matrix exponential spatial specification

In this paper,we study spatial cross-sectional data models in the form of matrix exponential spatial specification(MESS),where MESS appears in both dependent and error terms.The empirical likelihood(EL)ratio statistics are established for the parameters of the MESS model.It is shown that the limiting distributions of EL ratio statistics follow chi-square distributions,which are used to construct the confidence regions of model parameters.Simulation experiments are conducted to compare the performances of confidence regions based on EL method and normal approximation method.

Beamspace maximum likelihood algorithm based on sum and difference beams for elevation estimation

Beamspace super-resolution methods for elevation estimation in multipath environment has attracted significant attention, especially the beamspace maximum likelihood(BML)algorithm. However, the difference beam is rarely used in superresolution methods, especially in low elevation estimation. The target airspace information in the difference beam is different from the target airspace information in the sum beam. And the use of difference beams does not significantly increase the complexity of the system and algorithms. Thus, this paper applies the difference beam to the beamformer to improve the elevation estimation performance of BML algorithm. And the direction and number of beams can be adjusted according to the actual needs. The theoretical target elevation angle root means square error(RMSE) and the computational complexity of the proposed algorithms are analyzed. Finally, computer simulations and real data processing results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithms.

Vulnerable brain regions in adolescent major depressive disorder:A resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging activation likelihood estimation meta-analysis

BACKGROUND Adolescent major depressive disorder(MDD)is a significant mental health concern that often leads to recurrent depression in adulthood.Resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging(rs-fMRI)offers unique insights into the neural mechanisms underlying this condition.However,despite previous research,the specific vulnerable brain regions affected in adolescent MDD patients have not been fully elucidated.AIM To identify consistent vulnerable brain regions in adolescent MDD patients using rs-fMRI and activation likelihood estimation(ALE)meta-analysis.METHODS We performed a comprehensive literature search through July 12,2023,for studies investigating brain functional changes in adolescent MDD patients.We utilized regional homogeneity(ReHo),amplitude of low-frequency fluctuations(ALFF)and fractional ALFF(fALFF)analyses.We compared the regions of aberrant spontaneous neural activity in adolescents with MDD vs healthy controls(HCs)using ALE.RESULTS Ten studies(369 adolescent MDD patients and 313 HCs)were included.Combining the ReHo and ALFF/fALFF data,the results revealed that the activity in the right cuneus and left precuneus was lower in the adolescent MDD patients than in the HCs(voxel size:648 mm3,P<0.05),and no brain region exhibited increased activity.Based on the ALFF data,we found decreased activity in the right cuneus and left precuneus in adolescent MDD patients(voxel size:736 mm3,P<0.05),with no regions exhibiting increased activity.CONCLUSION Through ALE meta-analysis,we consistently identified the right cuneus and left precuneus as vulnerable brain regions in adolescent MDD patients,increasing our understanding of the neuropathology of affected adolescents.

Optimization of Generator Based on Gaussian Process Regression Model with Conditional Likelihood Lower Bound Search

The noise that comes from finite element simulation often causes the model to fall into the local optimal solution and over fitting during optimization of generator.Thus,this paper proposes a Gaussian Process Regression(GPR)model based on Conditional Likelihood Lower Bound Search(CLLBS)to optimize the design of the generator,which can filter the noise in the data and search for global optimization by combining the Conditional Likelihood Lower Bound Search method.Taking the efficiency optimization of 15 kW Permanent Magnet Synchronous Motor as an example.Firstly,this method uses the elementary effect analysis to choose the sensitive variables,combining the evolutionary algorithm to design the super Latin cube sampling plan;Then the generator-converter system is simulated by establishing a co-simulation platform to obtain data.A Gaussian process regression model combing the method of the conditional likelihood lower bound search is established,which combined the chi-square test to optimize the accuracy of the model globally.Secondly,after the model reaches the accuracy,the Pareto frontier is obtained through the NSGA-II algorithm by considering the maximum output torque as a constraint.Last,the constrained optimization is transformed into an unconstrained optimizing problem by introducing maximum constrained improvement expectation(CEI)optimization method based on the re-interpolation model,which cross-validated the optimization results of the Gaussian process regression model.The above method increase the efficiency of generator by 0.76%and 0.5%respectively;And this method can be used for rapid modeling and multi-objective optimization of generator systems.

The study of a neutron spectrum unfolding method based on particle swarm optimization combined with maximum likelihood expectation maximization

The neutron spectrum unfolding by Bonner sphere spectrometer(BSS) is considered a complex multidimensional model,which requires complex mathematical methods to solve the first kind of Fredholm integral equation. In order to solve the problem of the maximum likelihood expectation maximization(MLEM) algorithm which is easy to suffer the pitfalls of local optima and the particle swarm optimization(PSO) algorithm which is easy to get unreasonable flight direction and step length of particles, which leads to the invalid iteration and affect efficiency and accuracy, an improved PSO-MLEM algorithm, combined of PSO and MLEM algorithm, is proposed for neutron spectrum unfolding. The dynamic acceleration factor is used to balance the ability of global and local search, and improves the convergence speed and accuracy of the algorithm. Firstly, the Monte Carlo method was used to simulated the BSS to obtain the response function and count rates of BSS. In the simulation of count rate, four reference spectra from the IAEA Technical Report Series No. 403 were used as input parameters of the Monte Carlo method. The PSO-MLEM algorithm was used to unfold the neutron spectrum of the simulated data and was verified by the difference of the unfolded spectrum to the reference spectrum. Finally, the 252Cf neutron source was measured by BSS, and the PSO-MLEM algorithm was used to unfold the experimental neutron spectrum.Compared with maximum entropy deconvolution(MAXED), PSO and MLEM algorithm, the PSO-MLEM algorithm has fewer parameters and automatically adjusts the dynamic acceleration factor to solve the problem of local optima. The convergence speed of the PSO-MLEM algorithm is 1.4 times and 3.1 times that of the MLEM and PSO algorithms. Compared with PSO, MLEM and MAXED, the correlation coefficients of PSO-MLEM algorithm are increased by 33.1%, 33.5% and 1.9%, and the relative mean errors are decreased by 98.2%, 97.8% and 67.4%.

Weighted Maximum Likelihood Technique for Logistic Regression

In this paper, a weighted maximum likelihood technique (WMLT) for the logistic regression model is presented. This method depended on a weight function that is continuously adaptable using Mahalanobis distances for predictor variables. Under the model, the asymptotic consistency of the suggested estimator is demonstrated and properties of finite-sample are also investigated via simulation. In simulation studies and real data sets, it is observed that the newly proposed technique demonstrated the greatest performance among all estimators compared.

Heuristic techniques for maximum likelihood localization of radioactive sources via a sensor network

Maximum likelihood estimation(MLE)is an effective method for localizing radioactive sources in a given area.However,it requires an exhaustive search for parameter estimation,which is time-consuming.In this study,heuristic techniques were employed to search for radiation source parameters that provide the maximum likelihood by using a network of sensors.Hence,the time consumption of MLE would be effectively reduced.First,the radiation source was detected using the k-sigma method.Subsequently,the MLE was applied for parameter estimation using the readings and positions of the detectors that have detected the radiation source.A comparative study was performed in which the estimation accuracy and time consump-tion of the MLE were evaluated for traditional methods and heuristic techniques.The traditional MLE was performed via a grid search method using fixed and multiple resolutions.Additionally,four commonly used heuristic algorithms were applied:the firefly algorithm(FFA),particle swarm optimization(PSO),ant colony optimization(ACO),and artificial bee colony(ABC).The experiment was conducted using real data collected by the Low Scatter Irradiator facility at the Savannah River National Laboratory as part of the Intelligent Radiation Sensing System program.The comparative study showed that the estimation time was 3.27 s using fixed resolution MLE and 0.59 s using multi-resolution MLE.The time consumption for the heuristic-based MLE was 0.75,0.03,0.02,and 0.059 s for FFA,PSO,ACO,and ABC,respectively.The location estimation error was approximately 0.4 m using either the grid search-based MLE or the heuristic-based MLE.Hence,heuristic-based MLE can provide comparable estimation accuracy through a less time-consuming process than traditional MLE.

Joint polarization and DOA estimation based on improved maximum likelihood estimator and performance analysis for conformal array

The conformal array can make full use of the aperture,save space,meet the requirements of aerodynamics,and is sensitive to polarization information.It has broad application prospects in military,aerospace,and communication fields.The joint polarization and direction-of-arrival(DOA)estimation based on the conformal array and the theoretical analysis of its parameter estimation performance are the key factors to promote the engineering application of the conformal array.To solve these problems,this paper establishes the wave field signal model of the conformal array.Then,for the case of a single target,the cost function of the maximum likelihood(ML)estimator is rewritten with Rayleigh quotient from a problem of maximizing the ratio of quadratic forms into those of minimizing quadratic forms.On this basis,rapid parameter estimation is achieved with the idea of manifold separation technology(MST).Compared with the modified variable projection(MVP)algorithm,it reduces the computational complexity and improves the parameter estimation performance.Meanwhile,the MST is used to solve the partial derivative of the steering vector.Then,the theoretical performance of ML,the multiple signal classification(MUSIC)estimator and Cramer-Rao bound(CRB)based on the conformal array are derived respectively,which provides theoretical foundation for the engineering application of the conformal array.Finally,the simulation experiment verifies the effectiveness of the proposed method.

Smoothed Empirical Likelihood Inference for Nonlinear Quantile Regression Models with Missing Response

In this paper, three smoothed empirical log-likelihood ratio functions for the parameters of nonlinear models with missing response are suggested. Under some regular conditions, the corresponding Wilks phenomena are obtained and the confidence regions for the parameter can be constructed easily.

Empirical Likelihood Statistical Inference for Compound Poisson Vector Processes under Infinite Covariance Matrix

The paper discusses the statistical inference problem of the compound Poisson vector process(CPVP)in the domain of attraction of normal law but with infinite covariance matrix.The empirical likelihood(EL)method to construct confidence regions for the mean vector has been proposed.It is a generalization from the finite second-order moments to the infinite second-order moments in the domain of attraction of normal law.The log-empirical likelihood ratio statistic for the average number of the CPVP converges to F distribution in distribution when the population is in the domain of attraction of normal law but has infinite covariance matrix.Some simulation results are proposed to illustrate the method of the paper.

电商直播中消费者购买意愿影响因素研究——基于双路径模型视角

随着电商直播步入新的风口,其蕴藏的巨大商业潜力受到越来越广泛的关注,消费者购买意愿成为影响电商直播可持续发展的重要因素。研究运用双路径模型(ELM),基于中枢路径和边缘路径构建消费者购买意愿的影响因素,实证分析在电商直播中产品因素与主播特征对消费者购买意愿的影响。研究发现,产品质量、价格优惠性、主播吸引力和主播交互性对购买意愿有显著正向影响,但主播专业性对购买意愿的影响并不显著;在中枢路径下,产品质量和价格优惠性通过实用价值影响消费者购买意愿;在边缘路径下,主播专业性、主播吸引力和主播交互性通过享乐价值影响消费者购买意愿。

多元广义线性模型经验似然方法分析

针对多元广义线性模型,基于估计相关阵、广义估计方程和经验似然方法,本文构造出经验似然比统计量,此统计量能克服“工作相关阵”方法的误设定问题.在一定的条件下,本文也获得了经验似然比统计量渐近Wilks性质,该结果可用作未知参数向量置信域的构造.最后,通过数值模拟对所提方法的有效性进行验证.

基于自适应ZUPT与航向角误差修正的INS约束算法

为提高行人惯性导航系统(INS)的定位精度,提出了一种基于自适应零速修正算法(ZUPT)与航向角误差修正的INS约束算法。首先,利用基于广义似然比的零速检测阈值与检验统计量的特征值建立关系式,实现对零速检测阈值的自适应调整。然后,对INS解算位置建立线性回归模型,结合主航向与解算航向的航向差,根据行人运动类型构建观测向量和观测矩阵,对INS误差进行修正。最后,经实验验证,当行人在复杂路线变速运动时,相较于固定阈值的零速检测算法和主航向修正算法,所提算法的解算轨迹更接近真实轨迹,平均闭环误差从3.31%D减小至1.45%D,有效提高了INS定位精度,具有较好的工程应用价值。

星下点观测的星载卫星导航反射信号海面风矢量极大似然估计

该文针对星载全球导航卫星反射计(GNSS-R)镜面反射信号对海面风向不敏感导致海面风向反演难问题,分析非镜向海面散射信号特征,提出星下点非镜向观测模式,定义该模式下海面风矢量敏感特征观测量,在此基础上提出基于星载GNSS-R海面风矢量极大似然估计(MLE)反演算法直接利用两颗及以上导航卫星的星下点非镜向散射信号进行海面风矢量的反演,并提出风矢量搜索算法提高反演效率。通过搭建星载GNSS-R仿真平台验证算法的可行性和评估算法性能。结果表明:所提算法可直接利用非镜向独立观测模式下的多颗导航卫星散射信号反演得到海面风速和风向;多星观测可消除观测几何导致的模糊解从而将海风风向4个模糊解降至2个模糊解,但无法消除海浪谱的对称性导致的海面风向模糊解。在2~25 m/s的风速内,当信噪比(SNR)大于11 dB时,3星观测的风速均方根误差(RMSE)优于2 m/s,风向的均方根误差优于15°。

基于EM-VB的分布式接收运动目标直接符号检测方法

相比于传统分布式组阵接收采用的参数差异估计、信号校准合成以及符号检测的逐级处理结构,直接利用多个观测信号进行符号检测能够抑制信号间校准精度不佳带来的性能损失问题,但现有方法主要针对收发均静止或收发理想同步的情形。研究了一种最大似然准则下的分布式接收运动目标直接符号检测方法,首先给出了直接符号检测求解模型,针对模型中多组未知参数的优化问题,推导分析了各参数近似闭式解,采用基于迭代重估的闭环处理结构,利用多个未知参数和信息符号进行联合寻优。仿真实验结果表明,所提方法性能明显优于传统合成处理方法,与现有联合处理结构相比,在观测站数目较多时具有明显优势。

L型阵水下目标方位和距离联合最大似然估计

空间目标定位是阵列信号处理领域中的研究热点,广泛应用于雷达、声纳、通信、射电天文、医学诊断、地震遥感等众多领域。传统的水下声源定位仅获取目标声源的深度和距离信息,却无法估计目标的方位信息。针对这一问题,在充分考虑水下声传播模型的基础上,利用L型阵列固有的结构特征,将最大似然估计技术应用到水下目标定位,提出一种基于L型水听器阵列的水下目标方位与距离联合最大似然估计算法。研究表明:最大似然估计法可有效突破传统波束形成分辨力“瑞利限”的限制,提高水下目标定位的分辨能力和精度。计算机仿真分析显示,在单目标和相干双目标的场景中,文中所提出的方法均具有更为尖锐的谱峰及更低的旁瓣水平,可对水下目标进行有效的方位角和距离联合估计。

基于极化SAR梯度和复Wishart分类器的舰船检测

舰船检测是极化SAR系统的重要应用之一。现有的舰船检测方法容易受到旁瓣泄露的干扰,使得舰船目标的形态难以提取,导致检测结果不符合真实情况。此外,在舰船过于密集、尺度不一致的情况下,相邻舰船由于旁瓣的影响有时会被认为是单个目标,从而造成漏检。针对这些问题,该文提出一种基于极化SAR梯度和复Wishart分类器的舰船检测方法。首先,将似然比检验(LRT)梯度引入对数比值梯度框架,使其适用于极化SAR数据;基于LRT梯度图进行恒虚警(CFAR)检测,提取舰船的边缘信息,消除伪影的同时抑制强旁瓣对舰船精细轮廓提取的影响。其次,利用复Wishart迭代分类器对舰船强散射部分进行检测,可排除大部分的杂波干扰且保持舰船形态细节。最后,将二者信息融合,从而可以保持舰船形态细节的同时克服旁瓣和伪信号的虚警。该文在3幅来自ALOS-2卫星的极化SAR图像上进行了对比实验,实验表明与其他方法相比,该文所提算法具有更少的虚警和漏检,且能够有效克服旁瓣泄露,保持舰船形态细节。

双边定时截尾下Pareto分布的参数的极大似然估计的EM算法

给出了当寿命分布为Pareto分布时,双边定时截尾寿命试验下形状参数的极大似然估计。由于似然方程形式较复杂,无法得到参数的显式表达式。但可证明此极大似然估计是唯一存在的,并利用EM算法求出了此参数的一种估计。

时间效应下的健康信息说服机制研究--基于精细加工可能性模型的实证

通过健康信息传播和教育说服公众形成健康行为意愿是一个现实课题。本文以精细加工可能性模型(elabo‐ration likelihood model,ELM)为理论基础,将说服路径分为中心路径和外围路径,同时引入短期的时间纵向数据追踪。本文实施了10天左右持续使用健康信息的日记报告实验,基于30名大学生提交的377条健康信息日记数据,建立个体层面与信息线索、时间层面的多层线性回归模型(hierarchical linear modeling,HLM),探究健康信息对个体健康行为意愿的说服机制。研究结果表明,健康行为意愿的说服过程主要是信息质量和来源可信度的混合式说服路径;在7天周期内,健康信息说服效果逐渐增强,其中信息质量的说服效果更为稳定,来源可信度的说服效果则随着时间推移逐渐被抵消;健康信息说服路径随个体特征和接触时机而变;健康意识调节来源可信度和信息热度对说服效果的影响,且具有时间效应;卷入度调节信息质量和来源可信度对信息说服效果的影响,但不存在时间效应。本文的研究结果有助于深入理解健康信息对健康行为意愿改变的说服机制,为建立“以人为本”的个性化健康信息传播和健康教育方案提供了参考。

基于序列贝叶斯更新的锂电池剩余寿命预测

针对贝叶斯方法在更新模型参数时无法充分利用历史退化数据的问题,提出基于序列贝叶斯的在线更新方法实时估计锂电池退化模型参数。构建基于指数函数的非线性维纳退化模型描述变工况下锂电池容量的退化路径,并采用最大似然估计法估计初始时刻的模型参数;利用实时容量监测数据,基于序列贝叶斯更新方法在线更新退化模型中的漂移系数;推导锂电池剩余寿命的概率密度函数并预测剩余寿命。通过对不同工况下的锂电池退化数据进行实例验证表明,与基于幂指数和线性函数的退化模型相比,由于序列贝叶斯方法能够实时更新锂电池非线性退化模型参数,采用所提模型预测的剩余寿命精度更高。