China has maintained RMB exchange rate nearly unchanged since 1998. However, with the relaxation of capital control, a crawling peg, a more flexible RMB exchange rate regime, is inevitable. Based on improving the curr...China has maintained RMB exchange rate nearly unchanged since 1998. However, with the relaxation of capital control, a crawling peg, a more flexible RMB exchange rate regime, is inevitable. Based on improving the current formation mechanism of RMB exchange rate, Chinese government could widen the floating band around the central parity; in the long run, switching the peg from USD alone to a basket of currencies may be a better choice.展开更多
Textile industry is the biggest industry that gains foreign exchange through export in China, and the dependence rate of either export or import is high. RMB continuous appreciation brings China both chance and challe...Textile industry is the biggest industry that gains foreign exchange through export in China, and the dependence rate of either export or import is high. RMB continuous appreciation brings China both chance and challenge. On the one hand, it reduces the import cost of raw materials and equipments; on the other hand, it weakens the price advantage of textile industry in China; at the same time, it promotes the transformation and the integration of textile business enterprise.展开更多
Since 2003, there has been a strong RMB appreciation expectation in the market. RMB exchange rate becomes the world focus again. This paper insists that the depreciation pressure of US dollar is the main reason that c...Since 2003, there has been a strong RMB appreciation expectation in the market. RMB exchange rate becomes the world focus again. This paper insists that the depreciation pressure of US dollar is the main reason that causes RMB appreciation expectation; the ＂double price action＂ of the Chinese tradable goods and non-tradable goods is the special reason that leads to RMB appreciation expectation; furthermore, the asymmetric foreign exchange rate management system in China strengthens RMB appreciation expectation.展开更多
2007 has already said farewell to us,however,the influences and meditations it brought are still fresh.In the past year, Chinese textile industry has waved through ups and downs:increasing austerity of external enviro...2007 has already said farewell to us,however,the influences and meditations it brought are still fresh.In the past year, Chinese textile industry has waved through ups and downs:increasing austerity of external environment and adjustment of internal policies seemingly kept squeezing its profit margin,even the living space. But,to everyone’s gratification, many Chinese textile industries survived from diversity and carved out ways through twists and turns.However,while we were ready to breathe for relief,the snow of 2008 once again triggered people’s worries,and the continuing CPI growth as well as RMB appreciation circumstance,many export-oriented enterprises,like riding a tiger,are tortured by the idea whether do textile business or not, if do,how.Fortunately, some enterprise began to turn their attention to domestic market and pay more efforts to brand building and technology innovation with intends to develop new markets……展开更多
This paper sets up a simplified dynamic discrete selection model to analyze two-stage decision of corporate export behavior and influence of exchange rate under the framework of profit maximization. Then we adopt Heck...This paper sets up a simplified dynamic discrete selection model to analyze two-stage decision of corporate export behavior and influence of exchange rate under the framework of profit maximization. Then we adopt Heckman selection model to estimate general effects and structural effects of RMB appreciation on export based on the sample data of China Industrial Enterprises from 2005 to 2009. Findings reveal that RMB appreciation has exerted a significant negative impact to corporate export through extensive margins and intensive margins. Meanwhile, due to different corporate strategies of heterogeneous enterprises, RMB appreciation cannot achieve the expected effect of ＂survival of the fittest＂ and is instead unfavorable to the optimization of export structure. RMB appreciatiou drives industry structure of export to evolve towards advanced levels to a certain extent. However, such a positive effect mainly derives from the contribution of foreign-funded enterprises while restricting development space of indigenous firms in the sector of advanced manufacturing.展开更多
On April 22th,Hainan province, the Annual Conference 2007 of the Boao Forum for Asia was officially concluded.The two-day conference has attracted wide attention from across the world.According to statistics
RMB has been depreciating internally while appreciating externally since 2002. This new monetary phenomenon, has been strengthened in the context that US dollar depreciates internationally and that domestic economy is...RMB has been depreciating internally while appreciating externally since 2002. This new monetary phenomenon, has been strengthened in the context that US dollar depreciates internationally and that domestic economy is overwhelmed with excessive liquidities. Certainly the monetary phenomenon is the reflection of the actual economy: continued trade surplus, triggered robustly by the export-driven economy, is bringing a huge amount of exchange reserve which accelerates sequentially the expansion of domestic money supply. Furthermore, a refrained appreciation of RMB tends to deteriorate the domestic inflation, which is not simply a traditional concept of CPI but a broad inflation parameter including a variety of asset prices. It's sure that the new phenomenon is becoming a new challenge to the macroeconomic equilibrium as well as the decision maker of monetary policy.展开更多
Liver Transplantation (in Chinese), revised edition, edited by Professor Shu-Sen Zheng and prefaced by Professor Guo-Wei Sang, has just been published. The revised edition is mainly based on the clinical practice of t...Liver Transplantation (in Chinese), revised edition, edited by Professor Shu-Sen Zheng and prefaced by Professor Guo-Wei Sang, has just been published. The revised edition is mainly based on the clinical practice of the Liver Transplant Center, the First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University and the experience展开更多
With the rapid expansion of the RMB exchange rate’s floating range,the effects of the RMB exchange rate and global commodity price changes on China’s stock prices are likely to increase.This study uses both auto reg...With the rapid expansion of the RMB exchange rate’s floating range,the effects of the RMB exchange rate and global commodity price changes on China’s stock prices are likely to increase.This study uses both auto regressive distributed lag(ARDL)and nonlinear ARDL(NARDL)approaches to explore the symmetric and asymmetric effects of the RMB exchange rate and global commodity prices on China’s stock prices.Our findings show that without considering the critical variable of global commodity prices,there is no cointegration relationship between the RMB exchange rate and China’s stock prices,and the coefficient of the RMB exchange rate is not statistically significant.However,when we introduce global commodity prices into the NARDL model,the result shows that the RMB exchange rate has a negative effect on China’s stock prices,that there indeed exists a long-run cointegration relationship among the RMB exchange rate,global commodity prices,and stock prices in the NARDL model,and that global commodity price changes have an asymmetric effect on China’s stock prices in the long run.Specifically,China’s stock prices are more sensitive to increases than decreases in global commodity prices.Thus,increases in global commodity prices cause China’s stock prices to decline sharply.In contrast,the same magnitude of decline in global commodity prices induces a smaller increase in China’s stock prices.展开更多
The Chinese currency, the yuan, which was pegged to the value of US dollar in the past, will now be a managed currency. Its value will be set in relation to a basket of currencies. China is taking the first big step t...The Chinese currency, the yuan, which was pegged to the value of US dollar in the past, will now be a managed currency. Its value will be set in relation to a basket of currencies. China is taking the first big step toward a free-floating currency. This analysis explores the impacts on Chinese banking, Chinese companies and international monetary market.展开更多
It was approved by the State Council in I984 to establish economicand technological development zones in 14 coastal port cities tofunction as windows for those cities to attract foreign investment,introduce advanced t...It was approved by the State Council in I984 to establish economicand technological development zones in 14 coastal port cities tofunction as windows for those cities to attract foreign investment,introduce advanced technology and management methods andexpand the export-oriented economy.Since 1992,18 other developmentzones have been approved by the Council,increasing the number ofsuch zones to 32.展开更多
文摘China has maintained RMB exchange rate nearly unchanged since 1998. However, with the relaxation of capital control, a crawling peg, a more flexible RMB exchange rate regime, is inevitable. Based on improving the current formation mechanism of RMB exchange rate, Chinese government could widen the floating band around the central parity; in the long run, switching the peg from USD alone to a basket of currencies may be a better choice.
文摘Textile industry is the biggest industry that gains foreign exchange through export in China, and the dependence rate of either export or import is high. RMB continuous appreciation brings China both chance and challenge. On the one hand, it reduces the import cost of raw materials and equipments; on the other hand, it weakens the price advantage of textile industry in China; at the same time, it promotes the transformation and the integration of textile business enterprise.
文摘Since 2003, there has been a strong RMB appreciation expectation in the market. RMB exchange rate becomes the world focus again. This paper insists that the depreciation pressure of US dollar is the main reason that causes RMB appreciation expectation; the ＂double price action＂ of the Chinese tradable goods and non-tradable goods is the special reason that leads to RMB appreciation expectation; furthermore, the asymmetric foreign exchange rate management system in China strengthens RMB appreciation expectation.
文摘2007 has already said farewell to us,however,the influences and meditations it brought are still fresh.In the past year, Chinese textile industry has waved through ups and downs:increasing austerity of external environment and adjustment of internal policies seemingly kept squeezing its profit margin,even the living space. But,to everyone’s gratification, many Chinese textile industries survived from diversity and carved out ways through twists and turns.However,while we were ready to breathe for relief,the snow of 2008 once again triggered people’s worries,and the continuing CPI growth as well as RMB appreciation circumstance,many export-oriented enterprises,like riding a tiger,are tortured by the idea whether do textile business or not, if do,how.Fortunately, some enterprise began to turn their attention to domestic market and pay more efforts to brand building and technology innovation with intends to develop new markets……
文摘This paper sets up a simplified dynamic discrete selection model to analyze two-stage decision of corporate export behavior and influence of exchange rate under the framework of profit maximization. Then we adopt Heckman selection model to estimate general effects and structural effects of RMB appreciation on export based on the sample data of China Industrial Enterprises from 2005 to 2009. Findings reveal that RMB appreciation has exerted a significant negative impact to corporate export through extensive margins and intensive margins. Meanwhile, due to different corporate strategies of heterogeneous enterprises, RMB appreciation cannot achieve the expected effect of ＂survival of the fittest＂ and is instead unfavorable to the optimization of export structure. RMB appreciatiou drives industry structure of export to evolve towards advanced levels to a certain extent. However, such a positive effect mainly derives from the contribution of foreign-funded enterprises while restricting development space of indigenous firms in the sector of advanced manufacturing.
文摘On April 22th,Hainan province, the Annual Conference 2007 of the Boao Forum for Asia was officially concluded.The two-day conference has attracted wide attention from across the world.According to statistics
文摘RMB has been depreciating internally while appreciating externally since 2002. This new monetary phenomenon, has been strengthened in the context that US dollar depreciates internationally and that domestic economy is overwhelmed with excessive liquidities. Certainly the monetary phenomenon is the reflection of the actual economy: continued trade surplus, triggered robustly by the export-driven economy, is bringing a huge amount of exchange reserve which accelerates sequentially the expansion of domestic money supply. Furthermore, a refrained appreciation of RMB tends to deteriorate the domestic inflation, which is not simply a traditional concept of CPI but a broad inflation parameter including a variety of asset prices. It's sure that the new phenomenon is becoming a new challenge to the macroeconomic equilibrium as well as the decision maker of monetary policy.
文摘Liver Transplantation (in Chinese), revised edition, edited by Professor Shu-Sen Zheng and prefaced by Professor Guo-Wei Sang, has just been published. The revised edition is mainly based on the clinical practice of the Liver Transplant Center, the First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University and the experience
基金supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(2019CDSKXYGG0042,2018CDXYGG0054,2020CDJSK01HQ01)National Social Science Funds(16CJL007).
文摘With the rapid expansion of the RMB exchange rate’s floating range,the effects of the RMB exchange rate and global commodity price changes on China’s stock prices are likely to increase.This study uses both auto regressive distributed lag(ARDL)and nonlinear ARDL(NARDL)approaches to explore the symmetric and asymmetric effects of the RMB exchange rate and global commodity prices on China’s stock prices.Our findings show that without considering the critical variable of global commodity prices,there is no cointegration relationship between the RMB exchange rate and China’s stock prices,and the coefficient of the RMB exchange rate is not statistically significant.However,when we introduce global commodity prices into the NARDL model,the result shows that the RMB exchange rate has a negative effect on China’s stock prices,that there indeed exists a long-run cointegration relationship among the RMB exchange rate,global commodity prices,and stock prices in the NARDL model,and that global commodity price changes have an asymmetric effect on China’s stock prices in the long run.Specifically,China’s stock prices are more sensitive to increases than decreases in global commodity prices.Thus,increases in global commodity prices cause China’s stock prices to decline sharply.In contrast,the same magnitude of decline in global commodity prices induces a smaller increase in China’s stock prices.
文摘The Chinese currency, the yuan, which was pegged to the value of US dollar in the past, will now be a managed currency. Its value will be set in relation to a basket of currencies. China is taking the first big step toward a free-floating currency. This analysis explores the impacts on Chinese banking, Chinese companies and international monetary market.
文摘It was approved by the State Council in I984 to establish economicand technological development zones in 14 coastal port cities tofunction as windows for those cities to attract foreign investment,introduce advanced technology and management methods andexpand the export-oriented economy.Since 1992,18 other developmentzones have been approved by the Council,increasing the number ofsuch zones to 32.
