Real-time intelligent lithology identification while drilling is vital to realizing downhole closed-loop drilling. The complex and changeable geological environment in the drilling makes lithology identification face ...Real-time intelligent lithology identification while drilling is vital to realizing downhole closed-loop drilling. The complex and changeable geological environment in the drilling makes lithology identification face many challenges. This paper studies the problems of difficult feature information extraction,low precision of thin-layer identification and limited applicability of the model in intelligent lithologic identification. The author tries to improve the comprehensive performance of the lithology identification model from three aspects: data feature extraction, class balance, and model design. A new real-time intelligent lithology identification model of dynamic felling strategy weighted random forest algorithm(DFW-RF) is proposed. According to the feature selection results, gamma ray and 2 MHz phase resistivity are the logging while drilling(LWD) parameters that significantly influence lithology identification. The comprehensive performance of the DFW-RF lithology identification model has been verified in the application of 3 wells in different areas. By comparing the prediction results of five typical lithology identification algorithms, the DFW-RF model has a higher lithology identification accuracy rate and F1 score. This model improves the identification accuracy of thin-layer lithology and is effective and feasible in different geological environments. The DFW-RF model plays a truly efficient role in the realtime intelligent identification of lithologic information in closed-loop drilling and has greater applicability, which is worthy of being widely used in logging interpretation.展开更多
Precise and timely prediction of crop yields is crucial for food security and the development of agricultural policies.However,crop yield is influenced by multiple factors within complex growth environments.Previous r...Precise and timely prediction of crop yields is crucial for food security and the development of agricultural policies.However,crop yield is influenced by multiple factors within complex growth environments.Previous research has paid relatively little attention to the interference of environmental factors and drought on the growth of winter wheat.Therefore,there is an urgent need for more effective methods to explore the inherent relationship between these factors and crop yield,making precise yield prediction increasingly important.This study was based on four type of indicators including meteorological,crop growth status,environmental,and drought index,from October 2003 to June 2019 in Henan Province as the basic data for predicting winter wheat yield.Using the sparrow search al-gorithm combined with random forest(SSA-RF)under different input indicators,accuracy of winter wheat yield estimation was calcu-lated.The estimation accuracy of SSA-RF was compared with partial least squares regression(PLSR),extreme gradient boosting(XG-Boost),and random forest(RF)models.Finally,the determined optimal yield estimation method was used to predict winter wheat yield in three typical years.Following are the findings:1)the SSA-RF demonstrates superior performance in estimating winter wheat yield compared to other algorithms.The best yield estimation method is achieved by four types indicators’composition with SSA-RF)(R^(2)=0.805,RRMSE=9.9%.2)Crops growth status and environmental indicators play significant roles in wheat yield estimation,accounting for 46%and 22%of the yield importance among all indicators,respectively.3)Selecting indicators from October to April of the follow-ing year yielded the highest accuracy in winter wheat yield estimation,with an R^(2)of 0.826 and an RMSE of 9.0%.Yield estimates can be completed two months before the winter wheat harvest in June.4)The predicted performance will be slightly affected by severe drought.Compared with severe drought year(2011)(R^(2)=0.680)and normal year(2017)(R^(2)=0.790),the SSA-RF model has higher prediction accuracy for wet year(2018)(R^(2)=0.820).This study could provide an innovative approach for remote sensing estimation of winter wheat yield.yield.展开更多
The random forest algorithm was applied to study the nuclear binding energy and charge radius.The regularized root-mean-square of error(RMSE)was proposed to avoid overfitting during the training of random forest.RMSE ...The random forest algorithm was applied to study the nuclear binding energy and charge radius.The regularized root-mean-square of error(RMSE)was proposed to avoid overfitting during the training of random forest.RMSE for nuclides with Z,N>7 is reduced to 0.816 MeV and 0.0200 fm compared with the six-term liquid drop model and a three-term nuclear charge radius formula,respectively.Specific interest is in the possible(sub)shells among the superheavy region,which is important for searching for new elements and the island of stability.The significance of shell features estimated by the so-called shapely additive explanation method suggests(Z,N)=(92,142)and(98,156)as possible subshells indicated by the binding energy.Because the present observed data is far from the N=184 shell,which is suggested by mean-field investigations,its shell effect is not predicted based on present training.The significance analysis of the nuclear charge radius suggests Z=92 and N=136 as possible subshells.The effect is verified by the shell-corrected nuclear charge radius model.展开更多
Given the challenge of estimating or calculating quantities of waste electrical and electronic equipment(WEEE)in developing countries,this article focuses on predicting the WEEE generated by Cameroonian small and medi...Given the challenge of estimating or calculating quantities of waste electrical and electronic equipment(WEEE)in developing countries,this article focuses on predicting the WEEE generated by Cameroonian small and medium enterprises(SMEs)that are engaged in ISO 14001:2015 initiatives and consume electrical and electronic equipment(EEE)to enhance their performance and profitability.The methodology employed an exploratory approach involving the application of general equilibrium theory(GET)to contextualize the study and generate relevant parameters for deploying the random forest regression learning algorithm for predictions.Machine learning was applied to 80%of the samples for training,while simulation was conducted on the remaining 20%of samples based on quantities of EEE utilized over a specific period,utilization rates,repair rates,and average lifespans.The results demonstrate that the model’s predicted values are significantly close to the actual quantities of generated WEEE,and the model’s performance was evaluated using the mean squared error(MSE)and yielding satisfactory results.Based on this model,both companies and stakeholders can set realistic objectives for managing companies’WEEE,fostering sustainable socio-environmental practices.展开更多
针对卡方自动交互诊断(CHAID)决策树易过拟合的问题,提出CHAID随机森林方法(CHAID Random Forest,CHAID-RF)。该方法采用随机采样、随机选择特征以及集成的策略,将CHAID决策树作为基分类器,形成CHAID-RF。为了验证CHAID-RF的有效性,选取...针对卡方自动交互诊断(CHAID)决策树易过拟合的问题,提出CHAID随机森林方法(CHAID Random Forest,CHAID-RF)。该方法采用随机采样、随机选择特征以及集成的策略,将CHAID决策树作为基分类器,形成CHAID-RF。为了验证CHAID-RF的有效性,选取CART、CHAID、SVM、RF作为对比算法,以准确率、加权查准率、加权查全率、加权F值作为分类模型评价指标,以均方根误差作为回归模型评价指标,采用10个分类数据集和7个回归数据集进行验证。实验结果表明CHAID-RF可行有效。展开更多
As an important non-ferrous metal structural material most used in industry and production,aluminum(Al) alloy shows its great value in the national economy and industrial manufacturing.How to classify Al alloy rapidly...As an important non-ferrous metal structural material most used in industry and production,aluminum(Al) alloy shows its great value in the national economy and industrial manufacturing.How to classify Al alloy rapidly and accurately is a significant, popular and meaningful task.Classification methods based on laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy(LIBS) have been reported in recent years. Although LIBS is an advanced detection technology, it is necessary to combine it with some algorithm to reach the goal of rapid and accurate classification. As an important machine learning method, the random forest(RF) algorithm plays a great role in pattern recognition and material classification. This paper introduces a rapid classification method of Al alloy based on LIBS and the RF algorithm. The results show that the best accuracy that can be reached using this method to classify Al alloy samples is 98.59%, the average of which is 98.45%. It also reveals through the relationship laws that the accuracy varies with the number of trees in the RF and the size of the training sample set in the RF. According to the laws, researchers can find out the optimized parameters in the RF algorithm in order to achieve,as expected, a good result. These results prove that LIBS with the RF algorithm can exactly classify Al alloy effectively, precisely and rapidly with high accuracy, which obviously has significant practical value.展开更多
Precise recovery of CoalbedMethane(CBM)based on transparent reconstruction of geological conditions is a branch of intelligent mining.The process of permeability reconstruction,ranging from data perception to real-tim...Precise recovery of CoalbedMethane(CBM)based on transparent reconstruction of geological conditions is a branch of intelligent mining.The process of permeability reconstruction,ranging from data perception to real-time data visualization,is applicable to disaster risk warning and intelligent decision-making on gas drainage.In this study,a machine learning method integrating the Random Forest(RF)and the Genetic Algorithm(GA)was established for permeability prediction in the Xishan Coalfield based on Uniaxial Compressive Strength(UCS),effective stress,temperature and gas pressure.A total of 50 sets of data collected by a self-developed apparatus were used to generate datasets for training and validating models.Statistical measures including the coefficient of determination(R2)and Root Mean Square Error(RMSE)were selected to validate and compare the predictive performances of the single RF model and the hybrid RF–GA model.Furthermore,sensitivity studies were conducted to evaluate the importance of input parameters.The results show that,the proposed RF–GA model is robust in predicting the permeability;UCS is directly correlated to permeability,while all other inputs are inversely related to permeability;the effective stress exerts the greatest impact on permeability based on importance score,followed by the temperature(or gas pressure)and UCS.The partial dependence plots,indicative of marginal utility of each feature in permeability prediction,are in line with experimental results.Thus,the proposed hybrid model(RF–GA)is capable of predicting permeability and thus beneficial to precise CBMrecovery.展开更多
基金financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52174001)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52004064)+1 种基金the Hainan Province Science and Technology Special Fund “Research on Real-time Intelligent Sensing Technology for Closed-loop Drilling of Oil and Gas Reservoirs in Deepwater Drilling”(ZDYF2023GXJS012)Heilongjiang Provincial Government and Daqing Oilfield's first batch of the scientific and technological key project “Research on the Construction Technology of Gulong Shale Oil Big Data Analysis System”(DQYT-2022-JS-750)。
文摘Real-time intelligent lithology identification while drilling is vital to realizing downhole closed-loop drilling. The complex and changeable geological environment in the drilling makes lithology identification face many challenges. This paper studies the problems of difficult feature information extraction,low precision of thin-layer identification and limited applicability of the model in intelligent lithologic identification. The author tries to improve the comprehensive performance of the lithology identification model from three aspects: data feature extraction, class balance, and model design. A new real-time intelligent lithology identification model of dynamic felling strategy weighted random forest algorithm(DFW-RF) is proposed. According to the feature selection results, gamma ray and 2 MHz phase resistivity are the logging while drilling(LWD) parameters that significantly influence lithology identification. The comprehensive performance of the DFW-RF lithology identification model has been verified in the application of 3 wells in different areas. By comparing the prediction results of five typical lithology identification algorithms, the DFW-RF model has a higher lithology identification accuracy rate and F1 score. This model improves the identification accuracy of thin-layer lithology and is effective and feasible in different geological environments. The DFW-RF model plays a truly efficient role in the realtime intelligent identification of lithologic information in closed-loop drilling and has greater applicability, which is worthy of being widely used in logging interpretation.
基金Under the auspices of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52079103)。
文摘Precise and timely prediction of crop yields is crucial for food security and the development of agricultural policies.However,crop yield is influenced by multiple factors within complex growth environments.Previous research has paid relatively little attention to the interference of environmental factors and drought on the growth of winter wheat.Therefore,there is an urgent need for more effective methods to explore the inherent relationship between these factors and crop yield,making precise yield prediction increasingly important.This study was based on four type of indicators including meteorological,crop growth status,environmental,and drought index,from October 2003 to June 2019 in Henan Province as the basic data for predicting winter wheat yield.Using the sparrow search al-gorithm combined with random forest(SSA-RF)under different input indicators,accuracy of winter wheat yield estimation was calcu-lated.The estimation accuracy of SSA-RF was compared with partial least squares regression(PLSR),extreme gradient boosting(XG-Boost),and random forest(RF)models.Finally,the determined optimal yield estimation method was used to predict winter wheat yield in three typical years.Following are the findings:1)the SSA-RF demonstrates superior performance in estimating winter wheat yield compared to other algorithms.The best yield estimation method is achieved by four types indicators’composition with SSA-RF)(R^(2)=0.805,RRMSE=9.9%.2)Crops growth status and environmental indicators play significant roles in wheat yield estimation,accounting for 46%and 22%of the yield importance among all indicators,respectively.3)Selecting indicators from October to April of the follow-ing year yielded the highest accuracy in winter wheat yield estimation,with an R^(2)of 0.826 and an RMSE of 9.0%.Yield estimates can be completed two months before the winter wheat harvest in June.4)The predicted performance will be slightly affected by severe drought.Compared with severe drought year(2011)(R^(2)=0.680)and normal year(2017)(R^(2)=0.790),the SSA-RF model has higher prediction accuracy for wet year(2018)(R^(2)=0.820).This study could provide an innovative approach for remote sensing estimation of winter wheat yield.yield.
基金Supported by Basic and Applied Basic Research Project of Guangdong Province(2021B0301030006)。
文摘The random forest algorithm was applied to study the nuclear binding energy and charge radius.The regularized root-mean-square of error(RMSE)was proposed to avoid overfitting during the training of random forest.RMSE for nuclides with Z,N>7 is reduced to 0.816 MeV and 0.0200 fm compared with the six-term liquid drop model and a three-term nuclear charge radius formula,respectively.Specific interest is in the possible(sub)shells among the superheavy region,which is important for searching for new elements and the island of stability.The significance of shell features estimated by the so-called shapely additive explanation method suggests(Z,N)=(92,142)and(98,156)as possible subshells indicated by the binding energy.Because the present observed data is far from the N=184 shell,which is suggested by mean-field investigations,its shell effect is not predicted based on present training.The significance analysis of the nuclear charge radius suggests Z=92 and N=136 as possible subshells.The effect is verified by the shell-corrected nuclear charge radius model.
文摘Given the challenge of estimating or calculating quantities of waste electrical and electronic equipment(WEEE)in developing countries,this article focuses on predicting the WEEE generated by Cameroonian small and medium enterprises(SMEs)that are engaged in ISO 14001:2015 initiatives and consume electrical and electronic equipment(EEE)to enhance their performance and profitability.The methodology employed an exploratory approach involving the application of general equilibrium theory(GET)to contextualize the study and generate relevant parameters for deploying the random forest regression learning algorithm for predictions.Machine learning was applied to 80%of the samples for training,while simulation was conducted on the remaining 20%of samples based on quantities of EEE utilized over a specific period,utilization rates,repair rates,and average lifespans.The results demonstrate that the model’s predicted values are significantly close to the actual quantities of generated WEEE,and the model’s performance was evaluated using the mean squared error(MSE)and yielding satisfactory results.Based on this model,both companies and stakeholders can set realistic objectives for managing companies’WEEE,fostering sustainable socio-environmental practices.
文摘针对卡方自动交互诊断(CHAID)决策树易过拟合的问题,提出CHAID随机森林方法(CHAID Random Forest,CHAID-RF)。该方法采用随机采样、随机选择特征以及集成的策略,将CHAID决策树作为基分类器,形成CHAID-RF。为了验证CHAID-RF的有效性,选取CART、CHAID、SVM、RF作为对比算法,以准确率、加权查准率、加权查全率、加权F值作为分类模型评价指标,以均方根误差作为回归模型评价指标,采用10个分类数据集和7个回归数据集进行验证。实验结果表明CHAID-RF可行有效。
基金supported by National High Technology Research and Development Program of China (863 Program. No. 2013AA102402)
文摘As an important non-ferrous metal structural material most used in industry and production,aluminum(Al) alloy shows its great value in the national economy and industrial manufacturing.How to classify Al alloy rapidly and accurately is a significant, popular and meaningful task.Classification methods based on laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy(LIBS) have been reported in recent years. Although LIBS is an advanced detection technology, it is necessary to combine it with some algorithm to reach the goal of rapid and accurate classification. As an important machine learning method, the random forest(RF) algorithm plays a great role in pattern recognition and material classification. This paper introduces a rapid classification method of Al alloy based on LIBS and the RF algorithm. The results show that the best accuracy that can be reached using this method to classify Al alloy samples is 98.59%, the average of which is 98.45%. It also reveals through the relationship laws that the accuracy varies with the number of trees in the RF and the size of the training sample set in the RF. According to the laws, researchers can find out the optimized parameters in the RF algorithm in order to achieve,as expected, a good result. These results prove that LIBS with the RF algorithm can exactly classify Al alloy effectively, precisely and rapidly with high accuracy, which obviously has significant practical value.
基金This work has been supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities[2017XKZD06].
文摘Precise recovery of CoalbedMethane(CBM)based on transparent reconstruction of geological conditions is a branch of intelligent mining.The process of permeability reconstruction,ranging from data perception to real-time data visualization,is applicable to disaster risk warning and intelligent decision-making on gas drainage.In this study,a machine learning method integrating the Random Forest(RF)and the Genetic Algorithm(GA)was established for permeability prediction in the Xishan Coalfield based on Uniaxial Compressive Strength(UCS),effective stress,temperature and gas pressure.A total of 50 sets of data collected by a self-developed apparatus were used to generate datasets for training and validating models.Statistical measures including the coefficient of determination(R2)and Root Mean Square Error(RMSE)were selected to validate and compare the predictive performances of the single RF model and the hybrid RF–GA model.Furthermore,sensitivity studies were conducted to evaluate the importance of input parameters.The results show that,the proposed RF–GA model is robust in predicting the permeability;UCS is directly correlated to permeability,while all other inputs are inversely related to permeability;the effective stress exerts the greatest impact on permeability based on importance score,followed by the temperature(or gas pressure)and UCS.The partial dependence plots,indicative of marginal utility of each feature in permeability prediction,are in line with experimental results.Thus,the proposed hybrid model(RF–GA)is capable of predicting permeability and thus beneficial to precise CBMrecovery.