RANDOM SETS: A UNIFIED FRAMEWORK FOR MULTISOURCE INFORMATION FUSION

The more diverse the ways and means of information acquisition are,the more complex and various the types of information are. The qualities of available information are usually uncertain,vague,imprecise,incomplete,and so on. However,the information is modeled and fused traditionally in particular,name some of the known theories: evidential,fuzzy sets,possibilistic,rough sets or conditional events,etc. For several years,researchers have explored the unification of theories enabling the fusion of multisource information and have finally considered random set theory as a powerful mathematical tool. This paper attempts to overall review the close relationships between random set theory and other theories,and introduce recent research results which present how different types of information can be dealt with in this unified framework. Finally,some possible future directions are discussed.

A NEW APPROACH OF SIMULTANEOUS FAULTS DIAGNOSIS BASED ON RANDOM SETS AND DSMT

Simultaneous faults often occur in running equipments, in order to solve the problems of the simultaneous faults, a new approach based on random sets and Dezert-Smarandache Theory (DSmT) is proposed in this paper. Firstly, the simultaneous faults' model is built based on the generalized frame of discernment in DSmT. Secondly, according to the unified description of combination rules in evidence reasoning based on random sets, a new combination rule for simultaneous faults diagnosis is proposed. Thirdly, according to the working characteristics and environment of the sensors used to acquire fault characteristic information, a new method to construct basic probability assignment function is pro- posed based on membership. Finally, diagnosis result is obtained by use of the new combination rule combined with decision rules. A case pertaining to the fault diagnosis for a multi-function rotor test-bed is given, and the result shows that the proposed diagnosis approach is feasible and efficient.

A NEW METHOD FOR CONSTRUCTING FUZZY EVIDENCE BASED ON THE NON-CONSONANT RANDOM SET

Natural-language information is often mathematically expressed by fuzzy sets. With the random set theory as a bridge, this kind of information can be transformed into fuzzy evidence in Dempster-Shafer (DS) theory. Then Dempster's combination rule or other combination rules of evi- dence can be used perfectly for fusing natural-language and other information. However, this traditional transformation involves the use of α -cutsets to construct the focal elements which have to be repre- sented as consonant sets. This construction is very inflexible and unreasonable in some practical ap- plications. In this paper, with the desire to overcome this limitation, a method for constructing more general non-consonant focal elements is proposed based on the random set theory. Some examples are given to show the generality and the efficiency of this new method. Finally, we validate that non-consonant constructions provide less degrees of total uncertainty than that of the consonant case in these examples by using the evaluation criterion of total uncertainty.

ANALYSIS OF CIRCUIT TOLERANCE BASED ON RANDOM SET THEORY

Monte Carlo Analysis has been an accepted method for circuit tolerance analysis, but the heavy computational complexity has always prevented its applications. Based on random set theory, this paper presents a simple and flexible tolerance analysis method to estimate circuit yield. It is the alternative to Monte Carlo analysis, but reduces the number of calculations dramatically.

Modeling Multisource-heterogeneous Information Based on Random Set and Fuzzy Set Theory

This paper presents a new idea, named as modeling multisensor-heterogeneous information, to incorporate the fuzzy logic methodologies with mulitsensor-multitarget system under the framework of random set theory. Firstly, based on strong random set and weak random set, the unified form to describe both data (unambiguous information) and fuzzy evidence (uncertain information) is introduced. Secondly, according to signatures of fuzzy evidence, two Bayesian-markov nonlinear measurement models are proposed to fuse effectively data and fuzzy evidence. Thirdly, by use of "the models-based signature-matching scheme", the operation of the statistics of fuzzy evidence defined as random set can be translated into that of the membership functions of relative point state variables. These works are the basis to construct qualitative measurement models and to fuse data and fuzzy evidence.

On Random Rough Sets

In this paper,the concept of a random rough set which includes the mechanisms of numeric and non-numeric aspects of uncertain knowledge is introduced.It is proved that for any belief structure and its inducing belief and plausibility measures there exists a random approximation space such that the associated lower and upper probabilities are respectively the given belief and plausibility measures,and vice versa.And for a random approximation space generated from a totally random set,its inducing lower and upper probabilities are respectively a pair of necessity and possibility measures.

THE RANDOM SHIFT SET AND RANDOM SUB-SELF-SIMILAR SET

First of all the authors introduce the concepts of random sub-self-similar set and random shift set and then construct the random sub-self-similar set by a random shift set and a collection of statistical contraction operators.

Passive target tracking with intermittent measurement based on random finite set

In the tracking problem for the maritime radiation source by a passive sensor,there are three main difficulties,i.e.,the poor observability of the radiation source,the detection uncertainty(false and missed detections)and the uncertainty of the target appearing/disappearing in the field of view.These difficulties can make the establishment or maintenance of the radiation source target track invalid.By incorporating the elevation information of the passive sensor into the automatic bearings-only tracking(BOT)and consolidating these uncertainties under the framework of random finite set(RFS),a novel approach for tracking maritime radiation source target with intermittent measurement was proposed.Under the RFS framework,the target state was represented as a set that can take on either an empty set or a singleton; meanwhile,the measurement uncertainty was modeled as a Bernoulli random finite set.Moreover,the elevation information of the sensor platform was introduced to ensure observability of passive measurements and obtain the unique target localization.Simulation experiments verify the validity of the proposed approach for tracking maritime radiation source and demonstrate the superiority of the proposed approach in comparison with the traditional integrated probabilistic data association(IPDA)method.The tracking performance under different conditions,particularly involving different existence probabilities and different appearance durations of the target,indicates that the method to solve our problem is robust and effective.

THE DIMENSION FOR RANDOM SUB-SELF-SIMILAR SET

In this article, the Hausdorff dimension and exact Hausdorff measure function of any random sub-self-similar set are obtained under some reasonable conditions. Several examples are given at the end.

Multiple-model Bayesian filtering with random finite set observation

The finite set statistics provides a mathematically rig- orous single target Bayesian filter （STBF） for tracking a target that generates multiple measurements in a cluttered environment. However, the target maneuvers may lead to the degraded track- ing performance and even track loss when using the STBF. The multiple-model technique has been generally considered as the mainstream approach to maneuvering the target tracking. Moti- vated by the above observations, we propose the multiple-model extension of the original STBF, called MM-STBF, to accommodate the possible target maneuvering behavior. Since the derived MM- STBF involve multiple integrals with no closed form in general, a sequential Monte Carlo implementation （for generic models） and a Gaussian mixture implementation （for linear Gaussian models） are presented. Simulation results show that the proposed MM-STBF outperforms the STBF in terms of root mean squared errors of dynamic state estimates.

The Advances of the Research for Random Recursive Sets(Ⅰ)

We introduce the probability properties of random recursive sets systematically in this paper. The main contents include convergence, zero\|one law and support of distribution and self\|similarity.Hutchinson constructed a class of strictly self\|similar sets and got many important results on fractal properties.Graf investigated the fractal properties of a special statistically self\|similar set. We have investigated various self\|similar sets and their probability properties and fractal properties.\;

DIMENSIONS FOR RANDOM SELF-CONFORMAL SETS

A set is called regular if its Hausdorff dimension and upper box-counting dimension coincide. In this paper,we prove that the random self-conformal set is regular almost surely. Also we determine the dimensions for a class of random self-conformal sets.

Studies of reasonability of computing return period of storm surge based on random events set

In order to study whether the random events set can be used in Rudongbank of Nantong or not, we use ADCIRC model to stimulate the storm surge affectingRudong bank based on random events set. Then we use p-III curve to fit peak-value ofsurge of all the years to get the surge of typical return periods. The result shows that theresults of fitting by ADCIRC and by historical data coincide well in lower return periods,but to higher return periods, the results of fitting by ADCIRC are significantly higher thanthat of fitting by historical data. Due to the short time, it’s not enough for the extremestorm surge events to occur, the results of higher return periods are not reliable, so wecan’t rule out the reasonability of results based on random events set. The results offitting based on random events set are accurate in lower return periods and we can alsofully estimate the surge of higher return periods based on random events set. In thesituation of lacking historical data of hundreds of years, random events set can beaccepted as a tool to compute the return period of storm surge. Consideration of globalwarming, the possibility of super typhoons’ appearance will rise, which will result inhigher surge of return periods. In order to prevent the disaster of storm surge, thegovernment needs to deepen and reinforce the coastal engineering like seawalls and embankments.

THE REGULARITY OF RANDOM GRAPH DIRECTED SELF-SIMILAR SETS

A set in Rd is called regular if its Hausdorff dimension coincides with its upper box counting dimension. It is proved that a random graph-directed self-similar set is regular a.e..

The Fractal Structures of the Sample Path of a General Subordinator and the Random Re-orderings of the Cantor Set

In this paper we have found a general subordinator, X, whose range up to time 1, X([0,1)), has similar structure as random re orderings of the Cantor set K(ω).X([0,1)) and K(ω) have the same exact Hausdorff measure function and the integal test of packing measure.

FRACTAL PROPERTIES OF POLAR SETS OF RANDOM STRING PROCESSES

This paper studies fractal properties of polar sets for random string processes. We give upper and lower bounds of the hitting probabilities on compact sets and prove some sufficient conditions and necessary conditions for compact sets to be polar for the random string process. Moreover, we also determine the smallest Hausdorff dimensions of non-polar sets by constructing a Cantor-type set to connect its Hausdorff dimension and capacity.

Representation Theorems for Fuzzy Random Sets and Fuzzy Stochastic Processes

The fuzzy static and dynamic random phenomena in an abstract separable Banach space is discussed in this paper. The representation theorems for fuzzy set valued random sets, fuzzy random elements and fuzzy set valued stochastic processes are obtained.

Nonlinear Random Motion Analysis of A Tension Leg Platform Consider- ing the Set-down Motion of A Floating Body

The dynamic analysis of a Tension Leg Platform （TLP） in random wave is investigated by considering the set-down of a floating body. The nonlinear restoring stiffness is derived with the set-down motion of a floating body and the coupled motion of the tension leg and platform and the differential equations of the motion are established. The study focuses on the influence of the set-down motion on the nonlinear response of the platform. By considering different significant wave heights and currents, motion responses of the platform are calculated and compared. The analysis shows that the set-down motion significantly increases the heave motion with low frequency and the equilibrium position of the heave motion with the set-down motion is much lower than that without set-down motion. The results in this paper indicate that the set-down motion has a major impact on the safety of the platform inproduction operation, and it is also a threat to the strength of tension legs and risers.

A Strong Law of Large Numbers for Set-Valued Random Variables in Gα Space

In this paper, we shall represent a strong law of large numbers (SLLN) for weighted sums of set- valued random variables in the sense of the Hausdorff metric dH, based on the result of single-valued random variable obtained by Taylor [1].

Strong Laws of Large Numbers for Fuzzy Set-Valued Random Variables in Gα Space

In this paper, we shall present the strong laws of large numbers for fuzzy set-valued random variables in the sense of d∞H . The results are based on the result of single-valued random variables obtained by Taylor [1] and set-valued random variables obtained by Li Guan [2].