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Prediction and rate of infections in diabetes mellitus patients with diabetes ketoacidosis in Penang, Malaysia
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作者 Syed Wasif Gillani Syed Azhar Syed Sulaiman Shameni Sundram 《Open Journal of Epidemiology》 2012年第1期1-6,共6页
Study aimed to determine the rate and prediction of infection in diabetes mellitus patients ≥18 year, with diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA). Retrospective cohort study design was adopted to achieve the objectives. Univers... Study aimed to determine the rate and prediction of infection in diabetes mellitus patients ≥18 year, with diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA). Retrospective cohort study design was adopted to achieve the objectives. Universal sampling technique was employed for data collection among Diabetes ketoacidosis patients, over a period of 3 years (Jan 2008-Dec 2010). Statistical package for social sciences used to analyze data. Over a 3-year period, total of 967 admissions were identified. Of it, 112 (11.6%) with no infection, 679 (70.2%) with bacterial infection and 176 (18.2%) with presumed viral infection. The mean WBC for all the patients was 18,177 (±9431). 721 (74.6%) had leukocytosis, as defined by a WBC ≥ 15,000/mm3. WBC, differential, leukocytosis, as well as sex, temperature were not significant predictors (p > 0.05) of bacterial infection. There was significant (p < 0.05) difference of age between the 3 groups, age above 57 years have high rate of infection as compared to age below and equal 57 years. The infection rate in elderly patients with DKA was high and majority of them had lack of clinical evidence. Major bacterial infections with potential serious sequel were particularly common (33.3%), among every third patient being presumed to have serious consequences. 展开更多
关键词 DIABETES MELLITUS DIABETES KETOACIDOSIS infectionS PREDICTORS rate of infection
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Result antanalysise on the infectional rate of anti-TTV about the blood donor
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《中国输血杂志》 CAS CSCD 2001年第S1期343-,共1页
关键词 rate TTV Result antanalysise on the infectional rate of anti-TTV about the blood donor
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Influencing Factors and Mortality Prediction of Covid-19 Contact Infection Rate in China
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作者 Xinping Yang WeiZheng +1 位作者 YunyuanYang Jie Zhang 《数学计算(中英文版)》 2021年第1期1-7,共7页
Taking the COVID-19 data from 2020-1-23 to 3-21 days released by the China Health Protection Committee as the sample,the hospital remaining rate,mortality rate and cure rate are selected as covariates,and the contact ... Taking the COVID-19 data from 2020-1-23 to 3-21 days released by the China Health Protection Committee as the sample,the hospital remaining rate,mortality rate and cure rate are selected as covariates,and the contact infection rate is used as response variable to establish a high precision ADL model,results of return substitution show that the predicted value of contact infection rate almost coincides with the sample value,and shows three stages of change characteristics.After March 1,2020,the overall trend is downward,stable below 12%.Main influencing factors of contact infection rate are analyzed quantitatively.Based on this,the ARIMA(1,2,2)model is established to analyze and predict the mortality change trend.The results showed that the domestic COVID-19 mortality rate is stable near 4%after 2020-3-27. 展开更多
关键词 COVID-19 ADL Model ARIMA Model Contact infection rate Mortality rate
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Risk factors and strategy for surgical incision infection in department of abdominal surgery
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作者 马红丽 《外科研究与新技术》 2011年第4期264-265,共2页
Objective To study the risk factors of surgical wound infection among the patients in department of abodominal surgery. Methods The factors on surgical wound infection were investigated by retrospective study. The dia... Objective To study the risk factors of surgical wound infection among the patients in department of abodominal surgery. Methods The factors on surgical wound infection were investigated by retrospective study. The diagnosis standard was based on Diagnosis Standard of Hospital Infection published by Ministry of Health. 展开更多
关键词 rate Risk factors and strategy for surgical incision infection in department of abdominal surgery
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TWO DIFFERENTIAL INFECTIVITY EPIDEMIC MODELS WITH NONLINEAR INCIDENCE RATE 被引量:1
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作者 Chen Junjie 《Applied Mathematics(A Journal of Chinese Universities)》 SCIE CSCD 2005年第3期305-315,共11页
This paper considers two differential infectivity(DI) epidemic models with a nonlinear incidence rate and constant or varying population size. The models exhibits two equilibria, namely., a disease-free equilibrium ... This paper considers two differential infectivity(DI) epidemic models with a nonlinear incidence rate and constant or varying population size. The models exhibits two equilibria, namely., a disease-free equilibrium O and a unique endemic equilibrium. If the basic reproductive number σ is below unity,O is globally stable and the disease always dies out. If σ〉1, O is unstable and the sufficient conditions for global stability of endemic equilibrium are derived. Moreover,when σ〈 1 ,the local or global asymptotical stability of endemic equilibrium for DI model with constant population size in n-dimensional or two-dimensional space is obtained. 展开更多
关键词 differential infectivity nonlinear incidence rate endemic equilibrium global stability Liapunov function.
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Analysis of the Influence of Operating Room Nursing Care Management on the Incidence Rate of Nosocomial Infection in Orthopedic Surgery Patients 被引量:3
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作者 Lili Tan 《Journal of Clinical and Nursing Research》 2019年第2期7-10,共4页
Objective:To analysis the influence of operating room nursing care management on the incidence rate of nosocomial infection in orthopedic surgery patients.Methodology:Fifty six orthopedic surgery patients who admitted... Objective:To analysis the influence of operating room nursing care management on the incidence rate of nosocomial infection in orthopedic surgery patients.Methodology:Fifty six orthopedic surgery patients who admitted into the hospital between January to December 2018 were enrolled into this study and randomly divided into two groups,which were the control group(under general management)and the observation group(under the operating room nursing care management).Further,the incidence rate of nosocomial infections,the incidence rate of irregular nursing care phenomena,the satisfaction score of nursing care management,and the quality of life score were observed and recorded.Result:The incidence rate of nosocomial infection,the incidence rate of irregular nursing care management,the satisfaction score of nursing care management,and the quality of life score of the observation group were compared to that of the control group,and the result showed P<0.05,indicates the statistical significance between the data indicators.Conclusion:The use of operating room nursing care management in patients with orthopedic surgery has shown a significant effect. 展开更多
关键词 operating ROOM NURSING CARE management ORTHOPEDIC surgery INCIDENCE rate of NOSOCOMIAL infection
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No Effects of Meteorological Factors on the SARS-CoV-2 Infection Fatality Rate
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作者 SOLANES Aleix LAREDO Carlos +7 位作者 GUASP Mar FULLANA Miquel Angel FORTEA Lydia GARCIA-OLIVE Ignasi SOLMI Marco SHIN Jae II URRA Xabier RADUA Joaquim 《Biomedical and Environmental Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2021年第11期871-880,共10页
Objective Previous studies have shown that meteorological factors may increase COVID-19 mortality,likely due to the increased transmission of the virus.However,this could also be related to an increased infection fata... Objective Previous studies have shown that meteorological factors may increase COVID-19 mortality,likely due to the increased transmission of the virus.However,this could also be related to an increased infection fatality rate(IFR).We investigated the association between meteorological factors(temperature,humidity,solar irradiance,pressure,wind,precipitation,cloud coverage)and IFR across Spanish provinces(n=52)during the first wave of the pandemic(weeks 10–16 of 2020).Methods We estimated IFR as excess deaths(the gap between observed and expected deaths,considering COVID-19-unrelated deaths prevented by lockdown measures)divided by the number of infections(SARS-CoV-2 seropositive individuals plus excess deaths)and conducted Spearman correlations between meteorological factors and IFR across the provinces.Results We estimated 2,418,250 infections and 43,237 deaths.The IFR was 0.03%in<50-year-old,0.22%in 50–59-year-old,0.9%in 60–69-year-old,3.3%in 70–79-year-old,12.6%in 80–89-year-old,and26.5%in≥90-year-old.We did not find statistically significant relationships between meteorological factors and adjusted IFR.However,we found strong relationships between low temperature and unadjusted IFR,likely due to Spain’s colder provinces’aging population.Conclusion The association between meteorological factors and adjusted COVID-19 IFR is unclear.Neglecting age differences or ignoring COVID-19-unrelated deaths may severely bias COVID-19 epidemiological analyses. 展开更多
关键词 CLIMATE COVID-19 infection fatality rate SARS-CoV-2 TEMPERATURE WEATHER
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Investigation of Hepatitis C Virus Infection Rate of Patients in a General Hospital
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作者 Yue-qiu Zhang Shao-xia Xu +5 位作者 Sai-nan Bian Li-fan Zhang Yao Zhang Wei-hong Zhang Ying-chun Xu Xiao-qing Liu 《国际感染病学(电子版)》 CAS 2013年第4期149-152,共4页
Objective To investigate the infection rate of hepatitis C virus among the ambulatory patients and in-patients of a tertiary teaching hospital,and study the demographic factors related to the prevalence of hepatitis C... Objective To investigate the infection rate of hepatitis C virus among the ambulatory patients and in-patients of a tertiary teaching hospital,and study the demographic factors related to the prevalence of hepatitis C virus infection.Methods All patients tested for hepatitis C virus antibody from July 2008 to July 2009 in Peking Union Medical College Hospital were enrolled in this cross-sectional analysis.The prevalence of hepatitis C virus infection was compared according to age,gender,and departments,respectively.Among patients with positive serology hepatitis C virus marker,the positivity of hepatitis C virus RNA was analysed.Results Among 29 896 subjects included,the hepatitis C virus antibody of 494 patients were positive(1.7%).When patients were divided into 9 age groups,the age specific prevalence of hepatitis C virus antibody were0.2%,1.7%,1.2%,1.1%,1.5%,1.9%,2.6%,2.4%and 2%,respectively.The prevalence of hepatitis C virus antibody in non-surgical department and surgical department was 3%and 1%,respectively.The prevalence of hepatitis C virus antibody of males was higher than that of the females.Total of 194 patients with positive hepatitis C virus antibody were tested for hepatitis C virus RNA,the RNA level of 113 patients(58.2%)were higher than the low detection limit.Conclusions The prevalence of hepatitis C virus antibody was relatively high among patients of general tertiary hospital.Age group of 60-69,males and patients in non-surgical departments were factors associated with high rate of hepatitis C virus infection. 展开更多
关键词 infection rate Hepatitis C virus Patients of tertiary teaching hospital
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Quantitative assessment of the infection rate of the entomophthoraceous fungus, Zoophthora anhuiensis against the green peach aphid Myzus persicae
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作者 冯明光 许谦 《Journal of Zhejiang University Science》 CSCD 2003年第1期95-100,共6页
A two-step method was developed to quantitatively assess the infection rate of the entomophthoraceous fungus, Zoophthora anhuiensis (Li) Humber, on the green peach aphid, Myzus persicae (Sulzer) .Firstly, a standard t... A two-step method was developed to quantitatively assess the infection rate of the entomophthoraceous fungus, Zoophthora anhuiensis (Li) Humber, on the green peach aphid, Myzus persicae (Sulzer) .Firstly, a standard time-dose-mortality relationship, established by modeling data from bioassay 1 at varying conidial dosages (0.4- 10.4 conidia/mm^2) of Z. anhuiensis F97028, was used to yield an estimate of expected mortality probability at a given dosage. Secondly, bioassay 2 was conducted by simultaneously exposing six ≤4-day-old nymphal colonies to a shower of Z. anhuiensis conidia at each of four dosages (resulting from exposures of 0.3 - 8.0 min) . Subsequently, the colonies were separately immersed in a 0.1% chlorothalonil solution for 0.5 min to disinfect all surviving conidia on the host integument from 1 - 12 h after exposure under temperature treatments of 15 and 20℃, respectively. The infection rate during a specific period from the end of the exposure to the immersion was then estimated as the ratio of the observed mortality over the expected mortality probability at a particular dosage. The results showed that the infection of M. persicae from Z. anhuiensis was highly rapid with little difference between aphid colonies maintained at 15 and 20℃ before being immersed in the fungicidal solution after exposure. The first 6-hour period after exposure was most crucial to successful infection of the fungus with the infection rate greatly depending on conidial dosages. It took ≤ 1 h to infect > 50% of the aphids at a dosage of > 1.5 conida/mm^2 and > 90% at > 50 conidia/mm^2 . 展开更多
关键词 定量评价 传染速度 菌类 桃树 蚜虫 无性孢子消毒 剂量 死亡率
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Knowledge &Utilization of Long Lasting Impregnated Nets among Housewives in Al Moneera City and Al Koozi Villages, Hodieda Governorate, Republic of Yemen 2007
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作者 Nahid A. Baktayan Ali M. Assabri +1 位作者 Belquis A. Farea Arwa A. Farea 《Health》 2021年第3期306-322,共17页
Malaria is considered as one of the main health problem in the Republic of Yemen. In February 2006 National Malaria Control Program started freely distribution of Long Lasting Impregnated Nets (LLINs) for vulnerable g... Malaria is considered as one of the main health problem in the Republic of Yemen. In February 2006 National Malaria Control Program started freely distribution of Long Lasting Impregnated Nets (LLINs) for vulnerable groups to malaria infection (pregnant women and children under 5 years). After one year of distribution, there is a need to measure the use rate among vulnerable groups and explore factors affecting their use. The aim of the study was to investigate the use rate of long lasting impregnated nets among children under five years and pregnant women in Al Moneera city and Al Koozi villages of Hodieda governorate. <strong>Methodology:</strong> Cross section study with multistage sample, Random selection of one urban and one rural locality. 768 housewives were interviewed, proportionally allocated sample according to the number of vulnerable groups in each locality. Systematic random sample to select households. <strong>Results:</strong> The use rate of LLINs for vulnerable groups was 74.3% CI (71.2 - 77.4). There was no statistically significant association between the use of LLINs and residence, also with ages of housewives, occupation, type of house, but there is strong statistically significant association between use of LLINs and having correct information about how to use and to take care of them P value < 0.001, also with educational status of housewives;P value 0.03 and educational status of fathers;P value 0.01. (84%) have correct information about how to use and take care of LLINs and the main source of information was health workers who distributed them. Only 13.4% realized pregnant women as a vulnerable group to malaria infection while about 77.9% realized children as a vulnerable group to malaria infection. The main reason of LLINs use (84.8%) was protection from nuisance of insects. <strong>Conclusion and recommendations: </strong>There is shortage in the information about the protective effect of LLINs from malaria infection and the main reason of using them is protection from nuisance of insects. There is a need to increase health awareness about the role of LLINs in malaria prevention. 展开更多
关键词 Vulnerable Groups to Malaria infection Long-Lasting Impregnated Nets (LLINs) Use rate Housewives Al Moneera City and Al Koozi Villages Hodieda Governorate Yemen
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Recovery rates of combination antibiotic therapy using in vitro microdialysis simulating in vivo conditions 被引量:1
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作者 Jayesh A.Dhanani Suzanne L.Parker +6 位作者 Jeffrey Lipman Steven C.Wallis Jeremy Cohen John Fraser Adrian Barnett Michelle Chew Jason A.Roberts 《Journal of Pharmaceutical Analysis》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2018年第6期407-412,共6页
Microdialysis is a technique used to measure the unbound antibiotic concentration in the interstitial spaces, the target site of action. In vitro recovery studies are essential to calibrating the microdialysis system ... Microdialysis is a technique used to measure the unbound antibiotic concentration in the interstitial spaces, the target site of action. In vitro recovery studies are essential to calibrating the microdialysis system for in vivo studies. The effect of a combination of antibiotics on recovery into microdialysate requires investigation. In vitro microdialysis recovery studies were conducted on a combination of vancomycin and tobramycin, in a simulated in vivo model. Comparison was made between recoveries for three different concentrations and three different perfusate flow rates. The overall relative recovery for vancomycin was lower than that of tobramycin. For tobramycin, a concentration of 20μg/mL and flow rate of 1.0μL/min had the best recovery. A concentration of 5.0μg/mL and flow rate of 1.0μL/min yielded maximal recovery for vancomycin. Large molecular size and higher protein binding resulted in lower relative recoveries for vancomycin. Perfusate flow rates and drug concentrations affected the relative recovery when a combination of vancomycin and tobramycin was tested. Low perfusate flow rates were associated with higher recovery rates. For combination antibiotic measurement which includes agents that are highly protein bound, in vitro studies performed prior to in vivo studies may ensure the reliable measurement of unbound concentrations. 展开更多
关键词 MICRODIALYSIS COMBINATION antibiotic therapy Relative recovery rate PHARMACOKINETICS ANTI-INFECTIVES Protein BINDING
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Positive Rate of Different Hepatitis B Virus Serological Markers in Peking Union Medical College Hospital,a General Tertiary Hospital in Beijing 被引量:1
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作者 Yue-qiu Zhang Sai-nan Bian +7 位作者 Xiao-qing Liu Shao-xia Xu Li-fan Zhang Bao-tong Zhou Wei-hong Zhang Yao Zhang Ying-chun Xu Guo-hua Deng 《Chinese Medical Sciences Journal》 CAS CSCD 2016年第1期17-22,共6页
Objectives To investigate the positive rate of different hepatitis B virus(HBV) serological markers,and the demographic factors related to HBV infection.Methods We enrolled all patients tested for HBV serological mark... Objectives To investigate the positive rate of different hepatitis B virus(HBV) serological markers,and the demographic factors related to HBV infection.Methods We enrolled all patients tested for HBV serological markers,such as HBV surface antigen(HBsAg),HBV surface antibody(HBsAb),hepatitis B e antigen(HBeAg),hepatitis B e antibody(HBeAb),HBV core antibody(HBcAb),and HBV-DNA from July 2008 to July 2009 in Peking Union Medical College Hospital.The positive rate of each HBV serological marker was calculated according to gender,age,and department,respectively.The positive rates of HBV-DNA among patients with positive HBsAg were also analyzed.Results Among 27 409 samples included,2681(9.8%) were HBsAg positive.When patients were divided into 9 age groups,the age-specific positive rate of HBsAg was 1.2%,9.6%,12.3%,10.9%,10.3%,9.7%,8.0%,S.8%,and 4.3%,respectively.The positive rate of HBsAg in non-surgical department,surgical department,and health examination center was 16.2%,5.8%> and 4.7%,respectively.The positive rate of HBsAg of males(13.3%) was higher than that of females(7.3%,P=0.000).Among the 2681 HBsAg(+)patients,1230(45.9%) had HBV-DNA test,of whom 564(45.9%) were positive.Patients with HBsAg(+),HBeAg(+),and HBcAg(+) result usually had high positive rate of HBV-DNA results(71.8%,P=0.000).Conclusions Among this group of patients in our hospital,the positive rate of HBsAg was relatively high.Age group of 20-29,males,and patients in non-surgical departments were factors associated with high positive rate of HBsAg. 展开更多
关键词 乙型肝炎病毒表面抗原 综合性医院 阳性率 标志物 血清学 北京市 HBV-DNA HBsAg
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Analysis of Occurrence and Mixed Infection of Sugarcane Bacilliform Virus Disease in Hainan Sugarcane-growing Area
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作者 Linbo SHEN Shuzhen ZHANG +3 位作者 Tingting SUN Guoru XIONG Meidan HE Wenzhi WANG 《Plant Diseases and Pests》 2024年第3期8-11,48,共5页
[Objectives]The paper was to explore the occurrence and mixed infection of sugarcane bacilliform virus disease in Hainan sugarcane-growing area.[Methods]A total of 348 sugarcane leaf samples were collected from 7 suga... [Objectives]The paper was to explore the occurrence and mixed infection of sugarcane bacilliform virus disease in Hainan sugarcane-growing area.[Methods]A total of 348 sugarcane leaf samples were collected from 7 sugarcane-growing areas in Hainan Province.Molecular detection of sugarcane bacilliform virus(SCBV)was carried out by PCR using specific primers.[Results]SCBV was detected in 244 out of 348 sugarcane samples,with an average detection rate of 70.11%.The highest detection rate was 76.66%in the Danzhou sugarcane-growing area,while the lowest was 57.14%in the Baisha sugarcane-growing area.The SCBV-positive samples were subjected to testing for SCYLV,SCSMV,SrMV,and SCMV,respectively.The results indicated that 106 out of 244 positive samples exhibited a single infection with SCBV,while 138 samples exhibited mixed infections with SCBV and other sugarcane viruses.The proportion of mixed infections among the SCBV-positive samples was as high as 56.56%.Among the various types of mixed infections,two-virus and three-virus mixed infections were the most prevalent.[Conclusions]SCBV has emerged as a significant threat to the secure production of sugarcane in the Hainan sugarcane-growing region.It presents an explosive infection in the Hainan sugarcane-growing region and frequently combines with other sugarcane viruses to infect sugarcane.The findings of this study will provide a theoretical foundation for the prevention and control of sugarcane bacilliform virus disease. 展开更多
关键词 SUGARCANE Sugarcane bacilliform virus disease Detection rate Mixed infection
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Exploration of Therapeutic Measures and Clinical Efficacy for Recurrent Respiratory Infections in Children
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作者 Bei Li Suyi Zhang 《Journal of Clinical and Nursing Research》 2024年第7期60-66,共7页
Objective:To explore the treatment strategies and clinical effects for recurrent respiratory infections in children.Methods:From May 2022 to May 2024,100 pediatric patients with recurrent respiratory infections were s... Objective:To explore the treatment strategies and clinical effects for recurrent respiratory infections in children.Methods:From May 2022 to May 2024,100 pediatric patients with recurrent respiratory infections were selected in this study and evenly divided into two groups.The control group(50 patients)was treated with conventional therapy supplemented with budesonide,while the observation group(50 patients)received pidotimod treatment in addition to the control group’s treatment.Subsequently,the duration of clinical symptom improvement,respiratory function enhancement,serological index changes,reinfection status,and parental satisfaction were compared between the two groups.Results:In terms of clinical symptoms,the observation group showed significantly shorter durations of fever reduction,cough relief,tonsil swelling reduction,and disappearance of fine wet rales compared to the control group(average reduction times were 1.6 days,2.3 days,2.1 days,and 1.9 days,respectively,P<0.05).Regarding respiratory function,the observation group experienced a 12%increase in peak expiratory flow rate variability,a 0.6-liter increase in lung capacity,a 0.7-liter increase in forced lung capacity,and a 0.5-liter increase in forced expiratory volume in the first second after treatment,all significantly higher than the control group(P<0.05).Serological testing revealed that interferon-γand interleukin-2 levels increased by 15%and 18%,respectively,while interferon-α,interleukin-5,and interleukin-4 levels decreased by 10%,12%,and 9%,respectively,in the observation group,showing significant differences compared to the control group(P<0.05).Additionally,the reinfection rate in the observation group(10%)was significantly lower than that in the control group(30%),with an average reduction of two reinfections within one year and a 3.2-day shorter infection control time(P<0.05).In terms of parental satisfaction,the observation group achieved 95%,significantly higher than the 70%in the control group(P<0.05).Conclusion:The addition of pidotimod to conventional therapy for pediatric patients with recurrent respiratory infections can significantly alleviate clinical symptoms,promote the recovery of respiratory function,regulate serological indicators,effectively reduce the risk of reinfection,and improve parental satisfaction.This method deserves widespread clinical application. 展开更多
关键词 PEDIATRICS Respiratory system Recurrent infections BUDESONIDE PIDOTIMOD Clinical efficacy Reinfection rate Parental satisfaction
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Investigation of the Clinical Diagnostic Significance of the T-Cell Test for Tuberculosis combined with Erythrocyte Sedimentation Test in Pulmonary Tuberculosis
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作者 Jialong Wang 《Journal of Clinical and Nursing Research》 2024年第3期55-60,共6页
Objective:To investigate the clinical diagnostic significance of peripheral blood T-cell test(T-spot test)for tuberculosis(TB)infection combined with erythrocyte sedimentation rate(ESR)in pulmonary TB.Methods:41 patie... Objective:To investigate the clinical diagnostic significance of peripheral blood T-cell test(T-spot test)for tuberculosis(TB)infection combined with erythrocyte sedimentation rate(ESR)in pulmonary TB.Methods:41 patients with a clinical diagnosis of TB during hospitalization from January 2020 to April 2023 in our hospital were selected as the experimental group,and 45 patients without TB(bronchopneumonia patients)were selected as the control group.The diagnostic specificity,sensitivity,and accuracy of the T-spot TB test,ESR test,and the combined test of the two were calculated respectively.Results:The sensitivity,specificity,and accuracy of the T-spot TB test combined with ESR for the diagnosis of TB in the experimental group were significantly higher than the individual results of the T-spot TB test and ESR test alone(P<0.05).Conclusion:The T-spot TB test combined with the ESR test for TB diagnosis has greater clinical value than carrying out the tests individually. 展开更多
关键词 Peripheral blood tuberculosis infection T-cell spot test Erythrocyte sedimentation rate test TUBERCULOSIS Clinical diagnosis
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A four-compartment model for the COVID-19 infection—implications on infection kinetics,control measures,and lockdown exit strategies 被引量:5
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作者 Tianbing Wang Yanqiu Wu +6 位作者 Johnson Yiu-Nam Lau Yingqi Yu Liyu Liu Jing Li Kang Zhang Weiwei Tong Baoguo Jiang 《Precision Clinical Medicine》 2020年第2期104-112,共9页
Objective:To analyse the impact and repercussions of the surge in healthcare demand in response to the COVID-19 pandemic,assess the potential effectiveness of various infection/disease control measures,and make projec... Objective:To analyse the impact and repercussions of the surge in healthcare demand in response to the COVID-19 pandemic,assess the potential effectiveness of various infection/disease control measures,and make projections on the best approach to exit from the current lockdown.Design:A four-compartment model was constructed for SARS-CoV-2 infection based on the Wuhan data and validated with data collected in Italy,the UK,and the US.The model captures the effectiveness of various disease suppression measures in three modifiable factors:(a)the per capita contact rate(β)that can be lowered by means of social distancing,(b)infection probability upon contacting infectious individuals that can be lowered by wearing facemasks,personal hygiene,etc.,and(c)the population of infectious individuals in contact with the susceptible population,which can be lowered by quarantine.The model was used to make projections on the best approach to exit from the current lockdown.Results:The model was applied to evaluate the epidemiological data and hospital burden in Italy,the UK,and the US.The control measures were identified as the key drivers for the observed epidemiological data through sensitivity analyses.Analysing the different lockdown exit strategies showed that a lockdown exit strategy with a combination of social separation/general facemask use may work,but this needs to be supported by intense monitoring whichwould allowre-introduction/tightening of the controlmeasures if the number of newinfected subjects increases again.Conclusions and relevance:Governments should act early in a swift and decisive manner for containment policies.Any lockdown exit will need to be monitored closely,with regards to the potential of lockdown reimplementation.This mathematical model provides a framework for major pandemics in the future. 展开更多
关键词 COVID-19 exit strategy population infection rates control measures
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Infection fatality rate and infection attack rate of COVID-19 in South American countries 被引量:1
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作者 Salihu Sabiu Musa Amna Tariq +2 位作者 Liu Yuan Wei Haozhen Daihai He 《Infectious Diseases of Poverty》 SCIE 2022年第2期42-52,共11页
Background:The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic hit South America badly with multiple waves.Different COVID-19 variants have been storming across the region,leading to more severe infections and deaths even in places with hi... Background:The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic hit South America badly with multiple waves.Different COVID-19 variants have been storming across the region,leading to more severe infections and deaths even in places with high vaccination coverage.This study aims to assess the spatiotemporal variability of the COVID-19 pandemic and estimate the infection fatality rate(IFR),infection attack rate(IAR)and reproduction number(R0)for twelve most affected South American countries.Methods:We fit a susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered(SEIR)-based model with a time-varying transmission rate to the reported COVID-19 deaths for the twelve South American countries with the highest mortalities.Most of the epidemiological datasets analysed in this work are retrieved from the disease surveillance systems by the World Health Organization,Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center and Our World in Data.We investigate the COVID-19 mortalities in these countries,which could represent the situation for the overall South American region.We employ COVID-19 dynamic model with-and-without vaccination considering time-varying flexible transmission rate to estimate IFR,IAR and R0 of COVID-19 for the South American countries.Results:We simulate the model in each scenario under suitable parameter settings and yield biologically reasonable estimates for IFR(varies between 0.303% and 0.723%),IAR(varies between 0.03 and 0.784)and R0(varies between 0.7 and 2.5)for the 12 South American countries.We observe that the severity,dynamical patterns of deaths and time-varying transmission rates among the countries are highly heterogeneous.Further analysis of the model with the effect of vaccination highlights that increasing the vaccination rate could help suppress the pandemic in South America.Conclusions:This study reveals possible reasons for the two waves of COVID-19 outbreaks in South America.We observed reductions in the transmission rate corresponding to each wave plausibly due to improvement in nonpharmaceutical interventions measures and human protective behavioral reaction to recent deaths.Thus,strategies coupling social distancing and vaccination could substantially suppress the mortality rate of COVID-19 in South America. 展开更多
关键词 COVID-19 Epidemic model infection fatality rate infection attack rate PANDEMIC Reproduction number
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Stability analysis for delayed viral infection model with multitarget cells and general incidence rate
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作者 Jinliang Wang Xinxin Tian Xia Wang 《International Journal of Biomathematics》 2016年第1期135-155,共21页
关键词 病毒感染 稳定性分析 模型 细胞 发病率 迟发性 全局稳定性 阈值特性
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A novel real-time RT-PCR with TaqM an-MGB probes and its application in detecting BVDV infections in dairy farms 被引量:5
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作者 ZHANG Yong-qiang LIU Hai-sheng +7 位作者 WU Xiao-dong WANG Xiao-zhen LI Jin-ming ZHAO Yong-gang Lü Yan REN Wei-jie GE Sheng-qiang WANG Zhi-liang 《Journal of Integrative Agriculture》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2015年第8期1637-1643,共7页
A real-time RT-PCR assay using Taq Man-MGB probes was developed to detect and type the bovine viral diarrhea virus(BVDV) in cattle.Universal primers and Taq Man-MGB probes were designed from the 5′-untranslated reg... A real-time RT-PCR assay using Taq Man-MGB probes was developed to detect and type the bovine viral diarrhea virus(BVDV) in cattle.Universal primers and Taq Man-MGB probes were designed from the 5′-untranslated region of known pestiviral sequences.Prior to optimizing the assay, c RNAs were transcribed in vitro from the BVDV 1 and BVDV 2 RTPCR products to make standard curves.The detection limit of the assay was 1.72×102 copies for BVDV 1 and 2.14×102copies for BVDV 2.The specificity of the assay evaluated on several BVDV strains including bovine herpesvirus 1(BHV 1), foot and mouth disease virus(FMDV) and several classical swine fever virus(CSFV) strains showed specific detection of the positive virus over 40 cycles.The assay was highly reproducible with the coefficient of variance ranging from 1.04 to 1.33% for BVDV 1 and from 0.83 to 1.48% for BVDV 2, respectively.Using this method, we tested a total of 2 327 cattle from three dairy farms for the presence of BVDV persistently infected(PI) animals.In this assay, each RT-PCR template contained a mixture of ten samples from different animals.The occurrence rate of PI cattle in three farms ranging from 0.9 to 2.54% could represent partly the PI rates in cattle farm in China.In conclusion, using our real-time PCR assay, we could effectively detect and type BVDV and identify PI cattle in a rapid and cost-effective manner. 展开更多
关键词 bovine viral diarrhea virus(BVDV) real-time RT-PCR persistently infected(PI) animals Taq Man-MGB occurrence rate of PI cattle
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Clinical and Microbiological Characteristics of Patients with Complicated Intra-abdominal Infections in Intensive Care Unit 被引量:2
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作者 Yang-mei XIONG Xin RAO 《Current Medical Science》 SCIE CAS 2020年第1期104-109,共6页
In order to investigate the clinical and microbiological characteristics of patients with complicated intra-abdominal infections(cIAIs)in intensive care unit(ICU),the clinical data of 612 cIAIs patients from January 2... In order to investigate the clinical and microbiological characteristics of patients with complicated intra-abdominal infections(cIAIs)in intensive care unit(ICU),the clinical data of 612 cIAIs patients from January 2016 to December 2018 were retrospectively collected.Clinical characteristics,distribution of pathogens and drug resistance were statistically analyzed.It was found that patients with community-acquired intra-abdominal infections(CA-IAIs)made up a majority of cIAIs patients.The positive rate of abdominal drainage fluid culture was 55.56%.Gramnegative bacteria accounted for the majority,the most commonly isolated bacteria of which were Escherichia coli(20.96%),Klebsiella pneumoniae(10.20%)and Pseudomonas aeruginosa(5.57%).The most commonly isolated gram-positive bacteria were Enterococcus(16.88%)and Methicillinresistant staphylococcus aureus(MRSA,3.90%).Enterobacter isolates showed high resistance rate to most cephalosporins and low resistance rate to piperacillin/tazobactam and carbapenems.Extended spectrum beta-lactamase(ESBL)screen positive isolates from CA-IAIs patients showed an increasing trend in past three years.Enterococcus and MRSA showed high resistance rate to clindamycin,quinolone,erythromycin and tetracycline,while they showed high sensitivity rate to linezolid,tegacycline,teicoplanin and vancomycin.Our results indicate that isolated bacteria from abdominal drainage fluid show high resistance rates to commonly used antibiotics in ICU patients with cIAIs.The curative effects on diseases should be monitored continuously when antibiotics are used.Meanwhile,we should always keep eyes on drug-resistant bacteria,especially when the treatment efficacy is not good. 展开更多
关键词 complicated intra-abdominal infection PATHOGENS extended spectrum beta-lactamase screen positive isolates resistance rate
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