Morocco wants its 12 regions to play the role as the main lever of its public policies to initiate harmonized spatial multidimensional development. In the context of this goal and Morocco’s openness over the past two...Morocco wants its 12 regions to play the role as the main lever of its public policies to initiate harmonized spatial multidimensional development. In the context of this goal and Morocco’s openness over the past two decades to bilateral and multilateral cooperation in an effort toward regional integration, this article studies the convergence of 389 regions in 36 countries(Morocco and 35 of its partner member countries in the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development(OECD)) between 2000 and 2019 in terms of well-being. To this end, we considered the territorial dimension of β-convergence models for well-being and its four domains(economic, social, environmental, and governance). Then, we adapted the absolute β-convergence model by taking into account the existence of spatial heterogeneity according to five specifications of spatial models. Thus, apart from environmental domain, we found that β-convergence of regions is significant for well-being and three of its domains(economic, social, and governance). These convergences are made by a spatially autocorrelated error model(SEM). However, the speed and period of convergence are relatively low for social domain, partly explaining the very exacerbated tensions at the territorial level. The fastest convergence was achieved in governance domain, followed by economic domain. This suggests that emerging countries must pay particular attention to national public action in favor of social cohesion at the territorial level. The lack of convergence in environmental domain calls for common actions for all countries at the supranational level to protect the commons at the territorial level.展开更多
The vast majority of tourism forecasting studies have centered on tourist arrivals at an aggregated level.Little research has been done of forecasting tourist expenditure at a national level let alone at a regional le...The vast majority of tourism forecasting studies have centered on tourist arrivals at an aggregated level.Little research has been done of forecasting tourist expenditure at a national level let alone at a regional level.This study uses expenditure data to assess the relative economic impact of tourism into regional areas.By comparing five time-series models(the Na?ve,Holt,ARMA and Basic Structural Model(BSM)with and without intervention),and three econometric models(the Vector Autoregressive(VAR)model and the Time Varying Parameter(TVP)with and without intervention),the study sought to find the most accurate model for forecasting tourism expenditure two years ahead for each of the 31 provinces of China's Mainland.The results show that TVP models outperform other time series and econometric models.The research also provides practical management outcomes by providing methods for forecasting tourist expenditure as an indicator of economic growth in China’s provinces.The research concludes with the findings on the most appropriate model for regional forecasting and potential new variables suitable at the regional level.展开更多
Theoretic and practical significance has been highlighted in the research of the roles and functions of destinations,as destinations are restricted by the spatial structure based on tourist flow network from the persp...Theoretic and practical significance has been highlighted in the research of the roles and functions of destinations,as destinations are restricted by the spatial structure based on tourist flow network from the perspective of relationship.This article conducted an empirical analysis for Tourism Region of South Anhui(TRSA) and revealed the necessity and feasibility of studying the roles and functions of destinations from tourist flow network's perspective.The automorphic equivalence analysis and centrality analysis were used to classify 16 destinations in TRSA into six role types:tourist flow distribution center,hub of tourist flows,passageway destination,common touring destination,attached touring destination,and nearly isolated destination.Some suggestions were given on suitable infrastructure construction and destinations service designs according to their functions in network.This destination role positioning was based on tourist flow network structure in integral and macroscopic way.It provided an important reference for the balanced and harmonious development of all the destinations of TRSA.In addition,this article verified the applicability of social network analysis on tourist flow research in local scale,and expanded this method to destination role and function positioning.展开更多
Tourism-led economic growth and tourism-driven urbanization have attracted increasing attention by provinces and regions in China with abundant tourism resources.Due to low data availability,the current tourism litera...Tourism-led economic growth and tourism-driven urbanization have attracted increasing attention by provinces and regions in China with abundant tourism resources.Due to low data availability,the current tourism literature lacks empirical evidence of the tourism network in lessdeveloped mountainous regions where the development of transport infrastructure is more variable.This paper aims to provide such evidence using Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region in China as a case study.Using User Generated Content(UGC)data,this study constructs a tourism network in Guangxi.By integrating social network analysis with spatial interaction modelling,we compared the impact of two different transport infrastructures,highway and high-speed railway,on tourist flows,particularly in less-developed mountainous regions.It was found that the product of node centrality and flow could best describe the significant pushing and pulling forces on the flow of tourists.The tourism by high-speed railway was sensitive to the position of trip destination on the whole tourism network but self-drive tourism was more sensitive to travelling time.The increase of high-speed railway density is crucial to promote local tourism-led economic development,however,large-scale karst landforms in the study area present a significant obstacle to the construction of high-speed railways.展开更多
本文应用基于松弛的全局ML指数(slacks based measure of global Malmquist-Luenberger index,SBM-GML)法来测算我国中部区域2008—2019年期间的绿色生产率(green total factor productivity,GTFP),采用空间引力模型衡量中部地区旅游业...本文应用基于松弛的全局ML指数(slacks based measure of global Malmquist-Luenberger index,SBM-GML)法来测算我国中部区域2008—2019年期间的绿色生产率(green total factor productivity,GTFP),采用空间引力模型衡量中部地区旅游业绿色生产率空间联系强度,并对其驱动因素进行考察研究。研究发现:2008—2019年中部地区旅游业绿色生产率波动幅度较大,整体呈现出上升的趋势;各省的旅游业绿色生产率差异不大,山西省的旅游业绿色生产率位于中部六省之首;中部六省的旅游业绿色生产率间空间联结格局变化较为稳定,相邻省市间旅游业绿色生产率空间联系强度较高;区位熵、交通便利程度、GDP(国内生产总值)、对中部地区旅游业绿色生产率产生正向的影响。展开更多
文摘Morocco wants its 12 regions to play the role as the main lever of its public policies to initiate harmonized spatial multidimensional development. In the context of this goal and Morocco’s openness over the past two decades to bilateral and multilateral cooperation in an effort toward regional integration, this article studies the convergence of 389 regions in 36 countries(Morocco and 35 of its partner member countries in the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development(OECD)) between 2000 and 2019 in terms of well-being. To this end, we considered the territorial dimension of β-convergence models for well-being and its four domains(economic, social, environmental, and governance). Then, we adapted the absolute β-convergence model by taking into account the existence of spatial heterogeneity according to five specifications of spatial models. Thus, apart from environmental domain, we found that β-convergence of regions is significant for well-being and three of its domains(economic, social, and governance). These convergences are made by a spatially autocorrelated error model(SEM). However, the speed and period of convergence are relatively low for social domain, partly explaining the very exacerbated tensions at the territorial level. The fastest convergence was achieved in governance domain, followed by economic domain. This suggests that emerging countries must pay particular attention to national public action in favor of social cohesion at the territorial level. The lack of convergence in environmental domain calls for common actions for all countries at the supranational level to protect the commons at the territorial level.
文摘The vast majority of tourism forecasting studies have centered on tourist arrivals at an aggregated level.Little research has been done of forecasting tourist expenditure at a national level let alone at a regional level.This study uses expenditure data to assess the relative economic impact of tourism into regional areas.By comparing five time-series models(the Na?ve,Holt,ARMA and Basic Structural Model(BSM)with and without intervention),and three econometric models(the Vector Autoregressive(VAR)model and the Time Varying Parameter(TVP)with and without intervention),the study sought to find the most accurate model for forecasting tourism expenditure two years ahead for each of the 31 provinces of China's Mainland.The results show that TVP models outperform other time series and econometric models.The research also provides practical management outcomes by providing methods for forecasting tourist expenditure as an indicator of economic growth in China’s provinces.The research concludes with the findings on the most appropriate model for regional forecasting and potential new variables suitable at the regional level.
基金Under the auspices of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41001070,40801054,40371030)
文摘Theoretic and practical significance has been highlighted in the research of the roles and functions of destinations,as destinations are restricted by the spatial structure based on tourist flow network from the perspective of relationship.This article conducted an empirical analysis for Tourism Region of South Anhui(TRSA) and revealed the necessity and feasibility of studying the roles and functions of destinations from tourist flow network's perspective.The automorphic equivalence analysis and centrality analysis were used to classify 16 destinations in TRSA into six role types:tourist flow distribution center,hub of tourist flows,passageway destination,common touring destination,attached touring destination,and nearly isolated destination.Some suggestions were given on suitable infrastructure construction and destinations service designs according to their functions in network.This destination role positioning was based on tourist flow network structure in integral and macroscopic way.It provided an important reference for the balanced and harmonious development of all the destinations of TRSA.In addition,this article verified the applicability of social network analysis on tourist flow research in local scale,and expanded this method to destination role and function positioning.
基金funded by the Guangxi Natural Science Foundation(Grant No.2020GXNSFAA159065)the Opening Fund of Key Laboratory of Environment Change and Resources Use in Beibu Gulf under Ministry of Education(Nanning Normal University)+1 种基金Guangxi Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Intelligent Simulation(Nanning Normal University)(Grant No.GTEU-KLOP-K1701)the seventh batch of distinguished experts in Guangxi and National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.41867071)。
文摘Tourism-led economic growth and tourism-driven urbanization have attracted increasing attention by provinces and regions in China with abundant tourism resources.Due to low data availability,the current tourism literature lacks empirical evidence of the tourism network in lessdeveloped mountainous regions where the development of transport infrastructure is more variable.This paper aims to provide such evidence using Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region in China as a case study.Using User Generated Content(UGC)data,this study constructs a tourism network in Guangxi.By integrating social network analysis with spatial interaction modelling,we compared the impact of two different transport infrastructures,highway and high-speed railway,on tourist flows,particularly in less-developed mountainous regions.It was found that the product of node centrality and flow could best describe the significant pushing and pulling forces on the flow of tourists.The tourism by high-speed railway was sensitive to the position of trip destination on the whole tourism network but self-drive tourism was more sensitive to travelling time.The increase of high-speed railway density is crucial to promote local tourism-led economic development,however,large-scale karst landforms in the study area present a significant obstacle to the construction of high-speed railways.
文摘本文应用基于松弛的全局ML指数(slacks based measure of global Malmquist-Luenberger index,SBM-GML)法来测算我国中部区域2008—2019年期间的绿色生产率(green total factor productivity,GTFP),采用空间引力模型衡量中部地区旅游业绿色生产率空间联系强度,并对其驱动因素进行考察研究。研究发现:2008—2019年中部地区旅游业绿色生产率波动幅度较大,整体呈现出上升的趋势;各省的旅游业绿色生产率差异不大,山西省的旅游业绿色生产率位于中部六省之首;中部六省的旅游业绿色生产率间空间联结格局变化较为稳定,相邻省市间旅游业绿色生产率空间联系强度较高;区位熵、交通便利程度、GDP(国内生产总值)、对中部地区旅游业绿色生产率产生正向的影响。
