The use of renminbi for invoicing and settlement intermediaries in foreign-oriented activities is the first step and footstone of internationalization of the Chinese currency. With the appreciation of renminbi in rece...The use of renminbi for invoicing and settlement intermediaries in foreign-oriented activities is the first step and footstone of internationalization of the Chinese currency. With the appreciation of renminbi in recent years, there has been a growth of renminbi invoicing and settlement in China’s border trades, although the overall amount is small and the development momentum is imbalanced among different regions. The main obstacles come from such factors as VAT rebate policy restrictions and foreign exchange control, insufficient financial services, and under-cultivated willingness among enterprises. Looking from the strategic perspective of strengthening macro-adjustment and enhancing the open economy, it is pressing and would be beneficial to China to promote the renminbi’s invoicing and settlement function. Therefore, following the momentum, we should accelerate the construction of a cross-border renminbi clearing system, create non-discriminative treatment in terms of VAT rebate and exchange control policies, and gradually expand the usage of the renminbi from border trades to general trades and outward investment.展开更多
RMB has been depreciating internally while appreciating externally since 2002. This new monetary phenomenon, has been strengthened in the context that US dollar depreciates internationally and that domestic economy is...RMB has been depreciating internally while appreciating externally since 2002. This new monetary phenomenon, has been strengthened in the context that US dollar depreciates internationally and that domestic economy is overwhelmed with excessive liquidities. Certainly the monetary phenomenon is the reflection of the actual economy: continued trade surplus, triggered robustly by the export-driven economy, is bringing a huge amount of exchange reserve which accelerates sequentially the expansion of domestic money supply. Furthermore, a refrained appreciation of RMB tends to deteriorate the domestic inflation, which is not simply a traditional concept of CPI but a broad inflation parameter including a variety of asset prices. It's sure that the new phenomenon is becoming a new challenge to the macroeconomic equilibrium as well as the decision maker of monetary policy.展开更多
In 2010, the debate over valuation of the Renminbi is again heating up and the Chinese currency has returned to appreciating against the dollar But is the Renminbi undervalued? Drawing on the Balassa-Samuelson (B-S...In 2010, the debate over valuation of the Renminbi is again heating up and the Chinese currency has returned to appreciating against the dollar But is the Renminbi undervalued? Drawing on the Balassa-Samuelson (B-S) effect on purchasing power parity, we conduct theoretical and empirical analyses of this issue. Theoretical analysis proves that a country's real exchange rate will appreciate with rising income, but the currencies of low-income countries tend to be undervalued. In order to avoid biased conclusions resulting from a single dataset or sampling method, we draw on three major publicly-available datasets to examine the B-S effect across 144 economies. Our results indicate that the degree of Renminbi misvaluation is highly dependent on the data source. Synthesizing analyses of diverse datasets, we estimate that the Renminbi was only undervalued by less than 8per cent in 2009. We conclude that China's external imbalance most probably results from deep-seated structural imbalances rather than Renminbi undervaluation.展开更多
Liver Transplantation (in Chinese), revised edition, edited by Professor Shu-Sen Zheng and prefaced by Professor Guo-Wei Sang, has just been published. The revised edition is mainly based on the clinical practice of t...Liver Transplantation (in Chinese), revised edition, edited by Professor Shu-Sen Zheng and prefaced by Professor Guo-Wei Sang, has just been published. The revised edition is mainly based on the clinical practice of the Liver Transplant Center, the First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University and the experience展开更多
In order to aim at improving the forecasting performance of the RMB/USD exchange rate, this paper proposes a new architecture of fuzzy neural networks based on fuzzy logic, and the method of point differential, which ...In order to aim at improving the forecasting performance of the RMB/USD exchange rate, this paper proposes a new architecture of fuzzy neural networks based on fuzzy logic, and the method of point differential, which guarantees not only the direction of weight correction, but also the needed precision for the BP algorithm. In applying genetic algorithms for optimal performance, this approach, in the forecasting of the RMB/USD real exchange rate from 1994 to 2000, obviously outperforms typical BP Neural Networks and exhibits a higher capacity in regard to nonlinear, time-variablility, and illegibility of the exchange rate.展开更多
The correlation between Renminbi(RMB) internationalization and nonferrous metal prices was studied using the nonlinear Granger causality test and the dynamic conditional correlation-generalized autoregressive conditio...The correlation between Renminbi(RMB) internationalization and nonferrous metal prices was studied using the nonlinear Granger causality test and the dynamic conditional correlation-generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic(DCC-GARCH) model. The results indicate that the relationship between RMB internationalization and nonferrous metal prices reflects a complex nonlinear mechanism. There was no mutual influence between RMB internationalization and nonferrous metal prices prior to the trials of the RMB settlement in the cross-border trade in July 2009. Since then, however, a bidirectional causal relationship between RMB internationalization and the price of copper and a unidirectional causal relationship from the price of aluminum to RMB internationalization were examined. In addition, due to the impact of extreme events, such as economic and financial crises, RMB internationalization and nonferrous metal prices are not always positively correlated but are rather occasionally negatively correlated.展开更多
Most of the economists agree that renminbi is undervalued, while as for how much it should be appreciated, substantial disagreements exists. At the beginning of this year, analysts abroad tended to think that the renm...Most of the economists agree that renminbi is undervalued, while as for how much it should be appreciated, substantial disagreements exists. At the beginning of this year, analysts abroad tended to think that the renminbi should increase its value by 10% to 15%. The most recent estimates are that the renminbi should appreciate 20% to 30%. This shows the great upward pressure on the renminbi. Since it was devalued in 1994, China’s currency has been kept at a constant nominal level to the US dollar despite china’s rapid economic growth, rising productivity, strong exports, and massive foreign direct investments——all factors that normally cause a currency to appreciated, moreover, the resulting build-up of central bank foreign reserves in itself is sufficient to justify renminbi appreciation. The reasons for keeping Renminbi stable is discussed in this paper.展开更多
Expediting the RMB internationalization in countries along the Belt and Road routes will knock down bottlenecks affecting Chinese investors in exchange rates, financing, and debts, and increase capital resources for t...Expediting the RMB internationalization in countries along the Belt and Road routes will knock down bottlenecks affecting Chinese investors in exchange rates, financing, and debts, and increase capital resources for these countries.展开更多
In order to verify that the open bond market is the most direct choice to promote the internationalization of RMB,the empirical analysis method is used to analyze the impact of bond liberalization on the international...In order to verify that the open bond market is the most direct choice to promote the internationalization of RMB,the empirical analysis method is used to analyze the impact of bond liberalization on the internationalization of RMB foreign exchange rate.Firstly,the data source processing method of empirical analysis is introduced.Then the dynamic panel data regression model and panel threshold model are built to verify the influence factors of RMB internationalization foreign exchange rate and the influence of debt market opening on RMB foreign exchange rate,respectively.The results show that the opening of the creditor's rights market has a significant positive promoting effect on the internationalization of RMB foreign exchange rate,and the development of the domestic creditor's rights market has a significant promoting effect on the internationalization of RMB foreign exchange rate.The study has a certain role in promoting the status of China's currency in the international community.展开更多
Promoting the internationalization of the RMB in Latin America is not only a requirement of the China-Latin American relationship and of China’s reform and opening-up policy in the financial sectors, but is also a st...Promoting the internationalization of the RMB in Latin America is not only a requirement of the China-Latin American relationship and of China’s reform and opening-up policy in the financial sectors, but is also a strategic choice. With the support of internal, external and bilateral factors,China and Latin American countries have seen a lot progress in RMB trade settlement, investment, financing, and so on, yet Latin American countries’ willingness to use the RMB is still low, there is an obvious shortage of exchange mechanisms, and currency cooperation between them may face more obstacles as China-US competition intensifies. Under these circumstances, in order to further promote the internationalization of the RMB in Latin America, China should seize the opportunity of Latin America’s participation in the Belt and Road Initiative and their demand for currency diversification, as well as the friction between the US-Latin American relationship, start reducing the shortage of institutional exchange mechanisms, and plan for the RMB internationalization process in Latin America at a strategic level.展开更多
Internationalization of the renminbi is the only option for China to fully integrate into the global economic and financial systems. It is not only necessary but imperative as well. With the discussion of advancing re...Internationalization of the renminbi is the only option for China to fully integrate into the global economic and financial systems. It is not only necessary but imperative as well. With the discussion of advancing renminbi internationalization, benef its and costs must be addressed. We need to closely monitor possible risks and bring out the benefits while averting disadvantages. The overall strategy is to consolidate the groundwork and at the same time actively advance renminbi internationalization and opt for a "three-step" strategy at both strategic and policy levels. To overcome the constraints standing in the way of renminbi internationalization, the basic goals should be: to enhance the readiness of renminbi internationalization, dialectically assess the preconditions, and increase the currency's international circulation as a way to achieve major progress in renminbi internationalization.展开更多
The recent global financial crisis has revealed great defects in the US dollar dominated international monetary system.In response,countries and international organizations have developed numerous proposals for reform...The recent global financial crisis has revealed great defects in the US dollar dominated international monetary system.In response,countries and international organizations have developed numerous proposals for reform of the system.With China's growing economic presence,the renminbi is gaining recognition and acceptance in international markets and is slowly beginning to play a significant role in trade settlement and offshore market development.Meanwhile,it is important to remain aware of the limitations of renminbi internationalization and the gaps that exist between it and other major world currencies.Once fully implemented,renminbi internationalization will result in it becoming a major currency on the world stage in approximately 15 years.展开更多
The special drawing rights(SDR) must have stability and representation in order to serve as reserve assets and the unit of account for bulk commodities and assume the function as a potential international currency. By...The special drawing rights(SDR) must have stability and representation in order to serve as reserve assets and the unit of account for bulk commodities and assume the function as a potential international currency. By introducing such factors as China's share in global trade volume in 2013, this paper found that the covariance between the SDR and the price fluctuations of major commodities is the smallest after Renminbi inclusion into the SDR. The covariance is more or less halved compared with the SDR without Renminbi. Then, based on our comparison of volatility in the effective exchange rates(EER) of various countries(extensively used) and the volatility in the SDR exchange rate(seldom used), we found that despite similar trend curves, the SDR's volatility can explain for a very small part of the volatility in effective exchange rate. The residual error indicates that the share of SDR is limited in the volatility of effective exchange rates of various countries on the one hand and suggests that it is urgent to expand the SDR to include representative currencies, particularly the currencies that represent significant weights of world trade. Relevant tests demonstrate that Renminbi inclusion into the SDR will not only enlarge the stability of SDR but enlarge its function as an index currency through the extension of SDR's function as the unit of account for major world commodities and the inclusion of the currencies of other major trading nations, so that the representation as the global unit of account will be enlarged. In addition, the inclusion into the SDR also helps Renminbi become a component of the international reserve currencies and supplement its liquidity supply.展开更多
President Xi Jinping put forward that, "China will further push the open economy to a higher level by enlarging its scale, expanding its area, and deepening its degree." This proposal provides new perspectiv...President Xi Jinping put forward that, "China will further push the open economy to a higher level by enlarging its scale, expanding its area, and deepening its degree." This proposal provides new perspectives for RMB internationalization. The new path of RMB internationalization shall be achieved under the Belt and Road Initiative and be a new option that is di erent from the "Three-Stage Theory" and regional monetary cooperation. RMB internationalization can only be realized through a government-driven mode with Chinese characteristics which shows the fundamental di erence from the internationalization of other currencies such as the US Dollar, Euro and Japanese Yen. The Chinese government can realize the strategic objective of RMB internationalization through improving national governance, applying policies and tools for macroeconomic regulation, and implementing the Belt and Road Initiative, as well as the operation of its nancial industry, the Silk Road Fund(SRF), and that of regional banks like the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank(AIIB) and the BRICS New Development Bank(NDB). RMB internationalization is an important objective of China's political and economic development. Efforts must be made to steadily promote market-oriented reform of the RMB exchange rate and its forming mechanism, and reform of capital account convertibility so that RMB can become the leading global reserve currency. Meanwhile, China will also undertake more responsibilities as a major power for stable development of the international economy and nance.展开更多
文摘The use of renminbi for invoicing and settlement intermediaries in foreign-oriented activities is the first step and footstone of internationalization of the Chinese currency. With the appreciation of renminbi in recent years, there has been a growth of renminbi invoicing and settlement in China’s border trades, although the overall amount is small and the development momentum is imbalanced among different regions. The main obstacles come from such factors as VAT rebate policy restrictions and foreign exchange control, insufficient financial services, and under-cultivated willingness among enterprises. Looking from the strategic perspective of strengthening macro-adjustment and enhancing the open economy, it is pressing and would be beneficial to China to promote the renminbi’s invoicing and settlement function. Therefore, following the momentum, we should accelerate the construction of a cross-border renminbi clearing system, create non-discriminative treatment in terms of VAT rebate and exchange control policies, and gradually expand the usage of the renminbi from border trades to general trades and outward investment.
文摘RMB has been depreciating internally while appreciating externally since 2002. This new monetary phenomenon, has been strengthened in the context that US dollar depreciates internationally and that domestic economy is overwhelmed with excessive liquidities. Certainly the monetary phenomenon is the reflection of the actual economy: continued trade surplus, triggered robustly by the export-driven economy, is bringing a huge amount of exchange reserve which accelerates sequentially the expansion of domestic money supply. Furthermore, a refrained appreciation of RMB tends to deteriorate the domestic inflation, which is not simply a traditional concept of CPI but a broad inflation parameter including a variety of asset prices. It's sure that the new phenomenon is becoming a new challenge to the macroeconomic equilibrium as well as the decision maker of monetary policy.
文摘In 2010, the debate over valuation of the Renminbi is again heating up and the Chinese currency has returned to appreciating against the dollar But is the Renminbi undervalued? Drawing on the Balassa-Samuelson (B-S) effect on purchasing power parity, we conduct theoretical and empirical analyses of this issue. Theoretical analysis proves that a country's real exchange rate will appreciate with rising income, but the currencies of low-income countries tend to be undervalued. In order to avoid biased conclusions resulting from a single dataset or sampling method, we draw on three major publicly-available datasets to examine the B-S effect across 144 economies. Our results indicate that the degree of Renminbi misvaluation is highly dependent on the data source. Synthesizing analyses of diverse datasets, we estimate that the Renminbi was only undervalued by less than 8per cent in 2009. We conclude that China's external imbalance most probably results from deep-seated structural imbalances rather than Renminbi undervaluation.
文摘Liver Transplantation (in Chinese), revised edition, edited by Professor Shu-Sen Zheng and prefaced by Professor Guo-Wei Sang, has just been published. The revised edition is mainly based on the clinical practice of the Liver Transplant Center, the First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University and the experience
文摘In order to aim at improving the forecasting performance of the RMB/USD exchange rate, this paper proposes a new architecture of fuzzy neural networks based on fuzzy logic, and the method of point differential, which guarantees not only the direction of weight correction, but also the needed precision for the BP algorithm. In applying genetic algorithms for optimal performance, this approach, in the forecasting of the RMB/USD real exchange rate from 1994 to 2000, obviously outperforms typical BP Neural Networks and exhibits a higher capacity in regard to nonlinear, time-variablility, and illegibility of the exchange rate.
基金Projects(71874210,71633006,71874207,71974208)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(2020CX049)supported by Innovation-Driven Foundation of Central South University,China+1 种基金Project(2018dcyj031)supported by Postgraduate Survey Research Foundation of Central South University,ChinaProject(17K103)supported by the Innovation Platform Open Fund Project of Hunan Education Department,China。
文摘The correlation between Renminbi(RMB) internationalization and nonferrous metal prices was studied using the nonlinear Granger causality test and the dynamic conditional correlation-generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic(DCC-GARCH) model. The results indicate that the relationship between RMB internationalization and nonferrous metal prices reflects a complex nonlinear mechanism. There was no mutual influence between RMB internationalization and nonferrous metal prices prior to the trials of the RMB settlement in the cross-border trade in July 2009. Since then, however, a bidirectional causal relationship between RMB internationalization and the price of copper and a unidirectional causal relationship from the price of aluminum to RMB internationalization were examined. In addition, due to the impact of extreme events, such as economic and financial crises, RMB internationalization and nonferrous metal prices are not always positively correlated but are rather occasionally negatively correlated.
文摘Most of the economists agree that renminbi is undervalued, while as for how much it should be appreciated, substantial disagreements exists. At the beginning of this year, analysts abroad tended to think that the renminbi should increase its value by 10% to 15%. The most recent estimates are that the renminbi should appreciate 20% to 30%. This shows the great upward pressure on the renminbi. Since it was devalued in 1994, China’s currency has been kept at a constant nominal level to the US dollar despite china’s rapid economic growth, rising productivity, strong exports, and massive foreign direct investments——all factors that normally cause a currency to appreciated, moreover, the resulting build-up of central bank foreign reserves in itself is sufficient to justify renminbi appreciation. The reasons for keeping Renminbi stable is discussed in this paper.
文摘Expediting the RMB internationalization in countries along the Belt and Road routes will knock down bottlenecks affecting Chinese investors in exchange rates, financing, and debts, and increase capital resources for these countries.
文摘In order to verify that the open bond market is the most direct choice to promote the internationalization of RMB,the empirical analysis method is used to analyze the impact of bond liberalization on the internationalization of RMB foreign exchange rate.Firstly,the data source processing method of empirical analysis is introduced.Then the dynamic panel data regression model and panel threshold model are built to verify the influence factors of RMB internationalization foreign exchange rate and the influence of debt market opening on RMB foreign exchange rate,respectively.The results show that the opening of the creditor's rights market has a significant positive promoting effect on the internationalization of RMB foreign exchange rate,and the development of the domestic creditor's rights market has a significant promoting effect on the internationalization of RMB foreign exchange rate.The study has a certain role in promoting the status of China's currency in the international community.
文摘Promoting the internationalization of the RMB in Latin America is not only a requirement of the China-Latin American relationship and of China’s reform and opening-up policy in the financial sectors, but is also a strategic choice. With the support of internal, external and bilateral factors,China and Latin American countries have seen a lot progress in RMB trade settlement, investment, financing, and so on, yet Latin American countries’ willingness to use the RMB is still low, there is an obvious shortage of exchange mechanisms, and currency cooperation between them may face more obstacles as China-US competition intensifies. Under these circumstances, in order to further promote the internationalization of the RMB in Latin America, China should seize the opportunity of Latin America’s participation in the Belt and Road Initiative and their demand for currency diversification, as well as the friction between the US-Latin American relationship, start reducing the shortage of institutional exchange mechanisms, and plan for the RMB internationalization process in Latin America at a strategic level.
文摘Internationalization of the renminbi is the only option for China to fully integrate into the global economic and financial systems. It is not only necessary but imperative as well. With the discussion of advancing renminbi internationalization, benef its and costs must be addressed. We need to closely monitor possible risks and bring out the benefits while averting disadvantages. The overall strategy is to consolidate the groundwork and at the same time actively advance renminbi internationalization and opt for a "three-step" strategy at both strategic and policy levels. To overcome the constraints standing in the way of renminbi internationalization, the basic goals should be: to enhance the readiness of renminbi internationalization, dialectically assess the preconditions, and increase the currency's international circulation as a way to achieve major progress in renminbi internationalization.
基金National Social Sciences Foundation(Approval No.10ZD&054)China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(Approval No.2012T50193)Beijing Higher Education Young Elite Teacher Project(Approval No.YETP0226)
文摘The recent global financial crisis has revealed great defects in the US dollar dominated international monetary system.In response,countries and international organizations have developed numerous proposals for reform of the system.With China's growing economic presence,the renminbi is gaining recognition and acceptance in international markets and is slowly beginning to play a significant role in trade settlement and offshore market development.Meanwhile,it is important to remain aware of the limitations of renminbi internationalization and the gaps that exist between it and other major world currencies.Once fully implemented,renminbi internationalization will result in it becoming a major currency on the world stage in approximately 15 years.
文摘The special drawing rights(SDR) must have stability and representation in order to serve as reserve assets and the unit of account for bulk commodities and assume the function as a potential international currency. By introducing such factors as China's share in global trade volume in 2013, this paper found that the covariance between the SDR and the price fluctuations of major commodities is the smallest after Renminbi inclusion into the SDR. The covariance is more or less halved compared with the SDR without Renminbi. Then, based on our comparison of volatility in the effective exchange rates(EER) of various countries(extensively used) and the volatility in the SDR exchange rate(seldom used), we found that despite similar trend curves, the SDR's volatility can explain for a very small part of the volatility in effective exchange rate. The residual error indicates that the share of SDR is limited in the volatility of effective exchange rates of various countries on the one hand and suggests that it is urgent to expand the SDR to include representative currencies, particularly the currencies that represent significant weights of world trade. Relevant tests demonstrate that Renminbi inclusion into the SDR will not only enlarge the stability of SDR but enlarge its function as an index currency through the extension of SDR's function as the unit of account for major world commodities and the inclusion of the currencies of other major trading nations, so that the representation as the global unit of account will be enlarged. In addition, the inclusion into the SDR also helps Renminbi become a component of the international reserve currencies and supplement its liquidity supply.
文摘President Xi Jinping put forward that, "China will further push the open economy to a higher level by enlarging its scale, expanding its area, and deepening its degree." This proposal provides new perspectives for RMB internationalization. The new path of RMB internationalization shall be achieved under the Belt and Road Initiative and be a new option that is di erent from the "Three-Stage Theory" and regional monetary cooperation. RMB internationalization can only be realized through a government-driven mode with Chinese characteristics which shows the fundamental di erence from the internationalization of other currencies such as the US Dollar, Euro and Japanese Yen. The Chinese government can realize the strategic objective of RMB internationalization through improving national governance, applying policies and tools for macroeconomic regulation, and implementing the Belt and Road Initiative, as well as the operation of its nancial industry, the Silk Road Fund(SRF), and that of regional banks like the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank(AIIB) and the BRICS New Development Bank(NDB). RMB internationalization is an important objective of China's political and economic development. Efforts must be made to steadily promote market-oriented reform of the RMB exchange rate and its forming mechanism, and reform of capital account convertibility so that RMB can become the leading global reserve currency. Meanwhile, China will also undertake more responsibilities as a major power for stable development of the international economy and nance.