The Growth Value Model(GVM)proposed theoretical closed form formulas consist-ing of Return on Equity(ROE)and the Price-to-Book value ratio(P/B)for fair stock prices and expected rates of return.Although regression ana...The Growth Value Model(GVM)proposed theoretical closed form formulas consist-ing of Return on Equity(ROE)and the Price-to-Book value ratio(P/B)for fair stock prices and expected rates of return.Although regression analysis can be employed to verify these theoretical closed form formulas,they cannot be explored by classical quintile or decile sorting approaches with intuition due to the essence of multi-factors and dynamical processes.This article uses visualization techniques to help intuitively explore GVM.The discerning findings and contributions of this paper is that we put forward the concept of the smart frontier,which can be regarded as the reasonable lower limit of P/B at a specific ROE by exploring fair P/B with ROE-P/B 2D dynamical process visualization.The coefficients in the formula can be determined by the quantile regression analysis with market data.The moving paths of the ROE and P/B in the cur-rent quarter and the subsequent quarters show that the portfolios at the lower right of the curve approaches this curve and stagnates here after the portfolios are formed.Furthermore,exploring expected rates of return with ROE-P/B-Return 3D dynamical process visualization,the results show that the data outside of the lower right edge of the“smart frontier”has positive quarterly return rates not only in the t+1 quarter but also in the t+2 quarter.The farther away the data in the t quarter is from the“smart frontier”,the larger the return rates in the t+1 and t+2 quarter.展开更多
To explain medium-term momentum and long-term reversal,we use the difference between the optional model and the CAPM model to construct a winner-loser portfolio.According to the CAPM model’s zero explanatory ability ...To explain medium-term momentum and long-term reversal,we use the difference between the optional model and the CAPM model to construct a winner-loser portfolio.According to the CAPM model’s zero explanatory ability with respect to stock market anomalies,we obtain an anomaly interpretative model.This study shows that this anomaly interpretative model can explain stock market perceptions and medium-term momentum.Most importantly,BM is a critical factor in the model’s explanatory ability.We present a robustness test,which includes selecting new sample data,adding new auxiliary variables,changing sample years,and adding industry fixed effects.In general,the BM effect does have considerable explanatory power in medium-term momentum and long-term reversal.展开更多
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the value relevance of earning based accounting information and to see how value relevance has changed with the introduction of new information technology at Colombo Stock E...The purpose of this paper is to investigate the value relevance of earning based accounting information and to see how value relevance has changed with the introduction of new information technology at Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE) in Sri Lanka. Sample of the study includes 129 companies selected from 6 major sectors at CSE. Cross sectional and time series cross-sectional regressions are used for the data analysis. Study finds that earnings per share (EPS) and returns on equity (ROE) have a significant impact on market price. However, the explanatory power of combined variables is below average. Further, value explanatory power of earnings has considerably improved after the new information technology adoption at CSE. This study is unique because it examines the impact of technological advancements on value relevance of accounting information probably as the first paper to be applied on Sri Lanka.展开更多
文摘The Growth Value Model(GVM)proposed theoretical closed form formulas consist-ing of Return on Equity(ROE)and the Price-to-Book value ratio(P/B)for fair stock prices and expected rates of return.Although regression analysis can be employed to verify these theoretical closed form formulas,they cannot be explored by classical quintile or decile sorting approaches with intuition due to the essence of multi-factors and dynamical processes.This article uses visualization techniques to help intuitively explore GVM.The discerning findings and contributions of this paper is that we put forward the concept of the smart frontier,which can be regarded as the reasonable lower limit of P/B at a specific ROE by exploring fair P/B with ROE-P/B 2D dynamical process visualization.The coefficients in the formula can be determined by the quantile regression analysis with market data.The moving paths of the ROE and P/B in the cur-rent quarter and the subsequent quarters show that the portfolios at the lower right of the curve approaches this curve and stagnates here after the portfolios are formed.Furthermore,exploring expected rates of return with ROE-P/B-Return 3D dynamical process visualization,the results show that the data outside of the lower right edge of the“smart frontier”has positive quarterly return rates not only in the t+1 quarter but also in the t+2 quarter.The farther away the data in the t quarter is from the“smart frontier”,the larger the return rates in the t+1 and t+2 quarter.
基金I follow the tutor to do two fund projects which is the National Social Science Fund Project(15BJY164)the Ministry of Education Humanities and Social Sciences Fund Project(14YJA790034),respectively.
文摘To explain medium-term momentum and long-term reversal,we use the difference between the optional model and the CAPM model to construct a winner-loser portfolio.According to the CAPM model’s zero explanatory ability with respect to stock market anomalies,we obtain an anomaly interpretative model.This study shows that this anomaly interpretative model can explain stock market perceptions and medium-term momentum.Most importantly,BM is a critical factor in the model’s explanatory ability.We present a robustness test,which includes selecting new sample data,adding new auxiliary variables,changing sample years,and adding industry fixed effects.In general,the BM effect does have considerable explanatory power in medium-term momentum and long-term reversal.
文摘The purpose of this paper is to investigate the value relevance of earning based accounting information and to see how value relevance has changed with the introduction of new information technology at Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE) in Sri Lanka. Sample of the study includes 129 companies selected from 6 major sectors at CSE. Cross sectional and time series cross-sectional regressions are used for the data analysis. Study finds that earnings per share (EPS) and returns on equity (ROE) have a significant impact on market price. However, the explanatory power of combined variables is below average. Further, value explanatory power of earnings has considerably improved after the new information technology adoption at CSE. This study is unique because it examines the impact of technological advancements on value relevance of accounting information probably as the first paper to be applied on Sri Lanka.