Mosquitoes are of great concern for occasionally carrying noxious diseases(dengue,malaria,zika,and yellow fever).To control mosquitoes,it is very crucial to effectively monitor their behavioral trends and presence.Tra...Mosquitoes are of great concern for occasionally carrying noxious diseases(dengue,malaria,zika,and yellow fever).To control mosquitoes,it is very crucial to effectively monitor their behavioral trends and presence.Traditional mosquito repellent works by heating small pads soaked in repellant,which then diffuses a protected area around you,a great alternative to spraying yourself with insecticide.But they have limitations,including the range,turning them on manually,and then waiting for the protection to kick in when the mosquitoes may find you.This research aims to design a fuzzy-based controller to solve the above issues by automatically determining a mosquito repellent’s speed and active time.The speed and active time depend on the repellent cartridge and the number of mosquitoes.The Mamdani model is used in the proposed fuzzy system(FS).The FS consists of identifying unambiguous inputs,a fuzzification process,rule evaluation,and a defuzzification process to produce unambiguous outputs.The input variables used are the repellent cartridge and the number of mosquitoes,and the speed of mosquito repellent is used as the output variable.The whole FS is designed and simulated using MATLAB Simulink R2016b.The proposed FS is executed and verified utilizing a microcontroller using its pulse width modulation capability.Different simulations of the proposed model are performed in many nonlinear processes.Then,a comparative analysis of the outcomes under similar conditions confirms the higher accuracy of the FS,yielding a maximum relative error of 10%.The experimental outcomes show that the root mean square error is reduced by 67.68%,and the mean absolute percentage error is reduced by 52.46%.Using a fuzzy-based mosquito repellent can help maintain the speed of mosquito repellent and control the energy used by the mosquito repellent.展开更多
In order to research brain problems using MRI,PET,and CT neuroimaging,a correct understanding of brain function is required.This has been considered in earlier times with the support of traditional algorithms.Deep lea...In order to research brain problems using MRI,PET,and CT neuroimaging,a correct understanding of brain function is required.This has been considered in earlier times with the support of traditional algorithms.Deep learning process has also been widely considered in these genomics data processing system.In this research,brain disorder illness incliding Alzheimer’s disease,Schizophrenia and Parkinson’s diseaseis is analyzed owing to misdetection of disorders in neuroimaging data examined by means fo traditional methods.Moeover,deep learning approach is incorporated here for classification purpose of brain disorder with the aid of Deep Belief Networks(DBN).Images are stored in a secured manner by using DNA sequence based on JPEG Zig Zag Encryption algorithm(DBNJZZ)approach.The suggested approach is executed and tested by using the performance metric measure such as accuracy,root mean square error,Mean absolute error and mean absolute percentage error.Proposed DBNJZZ gives better performance than previously available methods.展开更多
This study assesses the predictive capabilities of the CMA-GD model for wind speed prediction in two wind farms located in Hubei Province,China.The observed wind speeds at the height of 70m in wind turbines of two win...This study assesses the predictive capabilities of the CMA-GD model for wind speed prediction in two wind farms located in Hubei Province,China.The observed wind speeds at the height of 70m in wind turbines of two wind farms in Suizhou serve as the actual observation data for comparison and testing.At the same time,the wind speed predicted by the EC model is also included for comparative analysis.The results indicate that the CMA-GD model performs better than the EC model in Wind Farm A.The CMA-GD model exhibits a monthly average correlation coefficient of 0.56,root mean square error of 2.72 m s^(-1),and average absolute error of 2.11 m s^(-1).In contrast,the EC model shows a monthly average correlation coefficient of 0.51,root mean square error of 2.83 m s^(-1),and average absolute error of 2.21 m s^(-1).Conversely,in Wind Farm B,the EC model outperforms the CMA-GD model.The CMA-GD model achieves a monthly average correlation coefficient of 0.55,root mean square error of 2.61 m s^(-1),and average absolute error of 2.13 m s^(-1).By contrast,the EC model displays a monthly average correlation coefficient of 0.63,root mean square error of 2.04 m s^(-1),and average absolute error of 1.67 m s^(-1).展开更多
Local markets in East Africa have been destroyed by raging fires,leading to the loss of life and property in the nearby communities.Electrical circuits,arson,and neglected charcoal stoves are the major causes of these...Local markets in East Africa have been destroyed by raging fires,leading to the loss of life and property in the nearby communities.Electrical circuits,arson,and neglected charcoal stoves are the major causes of these fires.Previous methods,i.e.,satellites,are expensive to maintain and cause unnecessary delays.Also,unit-smoke detectors are highly prone to false alerts.In this paper,an Interval Type-2 TSK fuzzy model for an intelligent lightweight fire intensity detection algorithm with decision-making in low-power devices is proposed using a sparse inference rules approach.A free open–source MATLAB/Simulink fuzzy toolbox integrated into MATLAB 2018a is used to investigate the performance of the Interval Type-2 fuzzy model.Two crisp input parameters,namely:FIT and FIG��are used.Results show that the Interval Type-2 model achieved an accuracy value of FIO�=98.2%,MAE=1.3010,MSE=1.6938 and RMSE=1.3015 using regression analysis.The study shall assist the firefighting personnel in fully understanding and mitigating the current level of fire danger.As a result,the proposed solution can be fully implemented in low-cost,low-power fire detection systems to monitor the state of fire with improved accuracy and reduced false alerts.Through informed decision-making in low-cost fire detection devices,early warning notifications can be provided to aid in the rapid evacuation of people,thereby improving fire safety surveillance,management,and protection for the market community.展开更多
Network planning is essential for the construction and the development of wireless networks. The network planning cannot be possible without an appropriate propagation model which in fact is its foundation. Initially ...Network planning is essential for the construction and the development of wireless networks. The network planning cannot be possible without an appropriate propagation model which in fact is its foundation. Initially used mainly for mobile radio networks, the optimization of propagation model is becoming essential for efficient deployment of the network in different types of environment, namely rural, suburban and urban especially with the emergence of concepts such as digital terrestrial television, smart cities, Internet of Things (IoT) with wide deployment for different use cases such as smart grid, smart metering of electricity, gas and water. In this paper we use an optimization algorithm that is inspired by the principles of magnetic field theory namely Magnetic Optimization Algorithm (MOA) to tune COST231-Hata propagation model. The dataset used is the result of drive tests carry out on field in the town of Limbe in Cameroon. We take into account the standard K-factor model and then use the MOA algorithm in order to set up a propagation model adapted to the physical environment of a town. The town of Limbe is used as an implementation case, but the proposed method can be used everywhere. The calculation of the root mean square error (RMSE) between the real data from the radio measurements and the prediction data obtained after the implementation of MOA allows the validation of the results. A comparative study between the value of the RMSE obtained by the new model and those obtained by the optimization using linear regression, by the standard COST231-Hata models, and the free space model is also done, this allows us to conclude that the new model obtained using MOA for the city of Limbe is better and more representative of this local environment than the standard COST231-Hata model. The new model obtained can be used for radio planning in the city of Limbé in Cameroon.展开更多
Propagation models are the foundation for radio planning in mobile networks. They are widely used during feasibility studies and initial network deployment, or during network extensions, particularly in new cities. Th...Propagation models are the foundation for radio planning in mobile networks. They are widely used during feasibility studies and initial network deployment, or during network extensions, particularly in new cities. They can be used to calculate the power of the signal received by a mobile terminal, evaluate the coverage radius, and calculate the number of cells required to cover a given area. This paper takes into account the standard k factors model and then uses the differential evolution algorithm to set up a propagation model adapted to the physical environment of the Cameroonian cities of Bertoua. Drive tests were made on the LTE TDD network in the city of Bertoua. Differential evolution algorithm is used as the optimization algorithm to deduct a propagation model which fits the environment of the considered town. The calculation of the root mean square error between the actual data from the drive tests and the prediction data from the implemented model allows the validation of the obtained results. A comparative study made between the RMSE value obtained by the new model and those obtained by the Okumura Hata and free space models, allowed us to conclude that the new model obtained is better and more representative of our local environment than the Okumura Hata currently used. The implementation shows that Differential evolution can perform well and solve this kind of optimization problem;the newly obtained models can be used for radio planning in the city of Bertoua in Cameroon.展开更多
A large part of our daily lives is spent with audio information. Massive obstacles are frequently presented by the colossal amounts of acoustic information and the incredibly quick processing times. This results in th...A large part of our daily lives is spent with audio information. Massive obstacles are frequently presented by the colossal amounts of acoustic information and the incredibly quick processing times. This results in the need for applications and methodologies that are capable of automatically analyzing these contents. These technologies can be applied in automatic contentanalysis and emergency response systems. Breaks in manual communication usually occur in emergencies leading to accidents and equipment damage. The audio signal does a good job by sending a signal underground, which warrants action from an emergency management team at the surface. This paper, therefore, seeks to design and simulate an audio signal alerting and automatic control system using Unity Pro XL to substitute manual communication of emergencies and manual control of equipment. Sound data were trained using the neural network technique of machine learning. The metrics used are Fast Fourier transform magnitude, zero crossing rate, root mean square, and percentage error. Sounds were detected with an error of approximately 17%;thus, the system can detect sounds with an accuracy of 83%. With more data training, the system can detect sounds with minimal or no error. The paper, therefore, has critical policy implications about communication, safety, and health for underground mine.展开更多
The HY-2 satellite was successfully launched on 16 August 2011. The HY-2 significant wave height (SWH) is validated by the data from the South China Sea (SCS) field experiment, National Data Buoy Center (NDBC/ bu...The HY-2 satellite was successfully launched on 16 August 2011. The HY-2 significant wave height (SWH) is validated by the data from the South China Sea (SCS) field experiment, National Data Buoy Center (NDBC/ buoys and Jason-1/2 altimeters, and is corrected using a linear regression with in-situ measurements. Com- pared with NDBC SWH, the HY-2 SWH show a RMS of 0.36 m, which is similar to Jason- 1 and Jason-2 SWH with the RMS of 0.35 m and 0.37 m respectively; the RMS of corrected HY-2 SWH is 0.27 m, similar to 0.27 m and 0.23 m of corrected Jason-1 and Jason-2 SWH. Therefore the accuracy of HY-2 SWH products is close to that of Jason-1/2 SWH, and the linear regression function derived can improve the accuracy of HY-2 SWH products.展开更多
Paris law can reflect the failure mechanism of materials and is usually used to be a method to predict fatigue life or residual fatigue life.But the variable which can represent the health of machine is hardly measure...Paris law can reflect the failure mechanism of materials and is usually used to be a method to predict fatigue life or residual fatigue life.But the variable which can represent the health of machine is hardly measured on line.To a degree,the difficulty of on-line application restricts the scope of application of Paris law.The relationship between characteristic values of vibration signals and the variable in the Paris equation which can describe the health of machine is investigated by taking ball bearings as investigative objects.Based on 6205 deep groove ball bearings as a living example,historical lives and vibration signals are analyzed.The feasibility of describing that variable in the Paris equation by the characteristic value of vibration signals is inspected.After that vibration signals decomposed by empirical mode decomposition(EMD),root mean square(RMS) of intrinsic mode function(IMF) involving fault characteristic frequency has a consistent trend with the diameter of flaws.Based on the trend,two improved Paris models are proposed and the scope of application of them is inspected.These two Paris Models are validated by fatigue residual life data from tests of rolling element bearings and vibration signals monitored in the process of operation of rolling element bearings.It shows that the first improved Paris Model is simple and plain and it can be easily applied in actual conditions.The trend of the fatigue residual life predicted by the second improved Paris model is close to the actual conditions and the result of the prediction is slightly greater than the truth.In conclusion,after the appearance of detectable faults,these improved models based on RMS can predict residual fatigue life on line and a new approach to predict residual fatigue life of ball bearings on line without disturbing the machine running is provided.展开更多
Salinization is a gradual process that should be monitored.Modelling is a suitable alternative technique that saves time and cost for the field monitoring.But the performance of the models should be evaluated using th...Salinization is a gradual process that should be monitored.Modelling is a suitable alternative technique that saves time and cost for the field monitoring.But the performance of the models should be evaluated using the measured data.Therefore,the aim of this study was to evaluate and compare the SALTMED and HYDRUS-1D models using the measured soil water content,soil salinity and wheat yield data under different levels of saline irrigation water and groundwater depth.The field experiment was conducted in 2013 and in this research three controlled groundwater depths,i.e.,60(CD60),80(CD80)and 100(CD100)cm and two salinity levels of irrigation water,i.e.,4(EC4)and 8(EC8)dS/m were used in a complete randomized design with three replications.Soil water content and soil salinity were measured in soil profile and compared with the predicted values by the SALTMED and HYDRUS-1D models.Calibrations of the SALTMED and HYDRUS-1D models were carried out using the measured data under EC4-CD100 treatment and the data of the other treatments were used for validation.The statistical parameters including normalized root mean square error(NRMSE)and degree of agreement(d)showed that the values for predicting soil water content and soil salinity were more accurate in the HYDRUS-1D model than in the SALTMED model.The NRMSE and d values of the HYDRUS-1D model were 9.6%and 0.64 for the predicted soil water content and 6.2%and 0.98 for the predicted soil salinity,respectively.These indices of the SALTMED model were 10.6%and 0.81 for the predicted soil water content and 11.0%and 0.97 for the predicted soil salinity,respectively.According to the NRMSE and d values for the predicted wheat yield(9.8%and 0.91,respectively)and dry matter(2.9%and 0.99,respectively),we concluded that the SALTMED model predicted the wheat yield and dry matter accurately.展开更多
As soil cation exchange capacity (CEC) is a vital indicator of soil quality and pollutant sequestration capacity,a study was conducted to evaluate cokriging of CEC with the principal components derived from soil phy...As soil cation exchange capacity (CEC) is a vital indicator of soil quality and pollutant sequestration capacity,a study was conducted to evaluate cokriging of CEC with the principal components derived from soil physico-chemical properties.In Qingdao,China,107 soil samples were collected.Soil CEC was estimated by using 86 soil samples for prediction and 21 soil samples for test.The first two principal components (PC1 and PC2) together explained 60.2% of the total variance of soil physico-chemical properties.The PC1 was highly correlated with CEC (r=0.76,P0.01),whereas there was no significant correlation between CEC and PC2 (r=0.03).The PC1 was then used as an auxiliary variable for the prediction of soil CEC.Mean error (ME) and root mean square error (RMSE) of kriging for the test dataset were-1.76 and 3.67 cmolc kg-1,and ME and RMSE of cokriging for the test dataset were-1.47 and 2.95 cmolc kg-1,respectively.The cross-validation R2 for the prediction dataset was 0.24 for kriging and 0.39 for cokriging.The results show that cokriging with PC1 is more reliable than kriging for spatial interpolation.In addition,principal components have the highest potential for cokriging predictions when the principal components have good correlations with the primary variables.展开更多
A new Runge-Kutta (PK) fourth order with four stages embedded method with error control is presentea m this paper for raster simulation in cellular neural network (CNN) environment. Through versatile algorithm, si...A new Runge-Kutta (PK) fourth order with four stages embedded method with error control is presentea m this paper for raster simulation in cellular neural network (CNN) environment. Through versatile algorithm, single layer/raster CNN array is implemented by incorporating the proposed technique. Simulation results have been obtained, and comparison has also been carried out to show the efficiency of the proposed numerical integration algorithm. The analytic expressions for local truncation error and global truncation error are derived. It is seen that the RK-embedded root mean square outperforms the RK-embedded Heronian mean and RK-embedded harmonic mean.展开更多
The COVID-19 disease has already spread to more than 213 countries and territories with infected(confirmed)cases of more than 27 million people throughout the world so far,while the numbers keep increasing.In India,th...The COVID-19 disease has already spread to more than 213 countries and territories with infected(confirmed)cases of more than 27 million people throughout the world so far,while the numbers keep increasing.In India,this deadly disease was first detected on January 30,2020,in a student of Kerala who returned from Wuhan.Because of India’s high population density,different cultures,and diversity,it is a good idea to have a separate analysis of each state.Hence,this paper focuses on the comprehensive analysis of the effect of COVID-19 on Indian states and Union Territories and the development of a regression model to predict the number of discharge patients and deaths in each state.The performance of the proposed prediction framework is determined by using three machine learning regression algorithms,namely Polynomial Regression(PR),Decision Tree Regression,and Random Forest(RF)Regression.The results show a comparative analysis of the states and union territories having more than 1000 cases,and the trained model is validated by testing it on further dates.The performance is evaluated using the RMSE metrics.The results show that the Polynomial Regression with an RMSE value of 0.08,shows the best performance in the prediction of the discharged patients.In contrast,in the case of prediction of deaths,Random Forest with a value of 0.14,shows a better performance than other techniques.展开更多
A Norton-Rice distribution(NRD)is a versatile,flexible distribution for k ordered distances from a random location to the k nearest objects.In a context of plotless density estimation(PDE)with n randomly chosen sample...A Norton-Rice distribution(NRD)is a versatile,flexible distribution for k ordered distances from a random location to the k nearest objects.In a context of plotless density estimation(PDE)with n randomly chosen sample locations,and distances measured to the k=6 nearest objects,the NRD provided a good fit to distance data from seven populations with a census of forest tree stem locations.More importantly,the three parameters of a NRD followed a simple trend with the order(1,…,6)of observed distances.The trend is quantified and exploited in a proposed new PDE through a joint maximum likelihood estimation of the NRD parameters expressed as a functions of distance order.In simulated probability sampling from the seven populations,the proposed PDE had the lowest overall bias with a good performance potential when compared to three alternative PDEs.However,absolute bias increased by 0.8 percentage points when sample size decreased from 20 to 10.In terms of root mean squared error(RMSE),the new proposed estimator was at par with an estimator published in Ecology when this study was wrapping up,but otherwise superior to the remaining two investigated PDEs.Coverage of nominal 95%confidence intervals averaged 0.94 for the new proposed estimators and 0.90,0.96,and 0.90 for the comparison PDEs.Despite tangible improvements in PDEs over the last decades,a globally least biased PDE remains elusive.展开更多
Digital elevation model (DEM) can be generated by interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR). In this paper, the interferometric processing and analyses are carried out for Damxung-Yangbajain area in Tibet, ...Digital elevation model (DEM) can be generated by interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR). In this paper, the interferometric processing and analyses are carried out for Damxung-Yangbajain area in Tibet, using a pair of Europe remote-sensing satellite (ERS)-1/2 tandem SAR images acquired on 6 and 7 April 1996. A portion of the In- SAR-derived DEM is selected and compared with the 1:50 000 DEM to determine the precision of the InSAR-derived DEM. The comparison indicates that the root mean squared errors (RMSE), which are used to evaluate error, are about 35, 60, 10, and 15 m in the studied area, mountainous area, basin area and near-fault area, respectively, suggesting that obvious errors are mainly in mountainous area. Besides, the limitation of InSAR technology to generate DEM is analyzed. Our investigation shows that InSAR is an effective tool in geodesy and an important complement to field surveying in some dangerous areas.展开更多
Magnetic Barkhausen noise ( MBN) is a phenomenon of electromagnetic energy due to the movement of magnetic domain walls inside ferromagnetic materials when they are locally magnetized by an alternating magnetic fiel...Magnetic Barkhausen noise ( MBN) is a phenomenon of electromagnetic energy due to the movement of magnetic domain walls inside ferromagnetic materials when they are locally magnetized by an alternating magnetic fields. According to Faraday's law of electromagnetic induction, the noise can be received by the coil attached to the surface of the material being magnetized and the noise carries the message of the characteristics of the material such as stresses, hardness, phase content, etc. Based on the characteristic of the noise, researching about the relationship between the residual stress in the welding assembly and the noise are carried out. Furthermore, data process is performed by RMS (Root Mean Square) equation and Power Spectrum analysis.展开更多
An analysis of a base-isolated structure for multi-component random ground motion is presented. The mean square respond of the system is Obtained under different parametric variations. The effectiveness of main param...An analysis of a base-isolated structure for multi-component random ground motion is presented. The mean square respond of the system is Obtained under different parametric variations. The effectiveness of main parameters and the torsional component during an earthquake is quantified with the help of the response ratio and the root mean square response with and without base isolation. It is observed that the base isolation has considerable influence on the response and the effect of the torsional component is not ignored.展开更多
Generally,road transport is a major energy-consuming sector.Fuel con-sumption of each vehicle is an important factor that affects the overall energy con-sumption,driving behavior and vehicle characteristic are the mai...Generally,road transport is a major energy-consuming sector.Fuel con-sumption of each vehicle is an important factor that affects the overall energy con-sumption,driving behavior and vehicle characteristic are the main factors affecting the change of vehicle fuel consumption.It is difficult to analyze the influence of fuel consumption with multiple and complex factors.The Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System(ANFIS)approach was employed to develop a vehicle fuel consumption model based on multivariate input.The ANFIS network was constructed by various experiments based on the ANFIS Parameter setting.The performance of the ANFIS network was validated using Root Mean Square Error(RMSE)and Mean Average Error(MAE)which related to the setting of ANFIS parameters.The experimental results indicated that the training data sam-ple,number,and type of membership functions are the most important factor affecting the performance of the ANFIS network.However,the number of epochs does not necessarily significantly improve the system performance,too many the number of epochs setting may not provide the best results and lead to excessive responding time.The results also demonstrate that three factors,consisted of the engine size,driving speed,and the number of passengers,are important factors that influence the change of vehicle fuel consumption.The selected ANFIS mod-els with minimum error can be properly and efficiently used to predict vehicle fuel consumption for Thailand’s road transport sector.展开更多
Forecasting stock market returns is one of the most effective tools for risk management and portfolio diversification.There are several forecasting techniques in the literature for obtaining accurate forecasts for inv...Forecasting stock market returns is one of the most effective tools for risk management and portfolio diversification.There are several forecasting techniques in the literature for obtaining accurate forecasts for investment decision making.Numerous empirical studies have employed such methods to investigate the returns of different individual stock indices.However,there have been very few studies of groups of stock markets or indices.The findings of previous studies indicate that there is no single method that can be applied uniformly to all markets.In this context,this study aimed to examine the predictive performance of linear,nonlinear,artificial intelligence,frequency domain,and hybrid models to find an appropriate model to forecast the stock returns of developed,emerging,and frontier markets.We considered the daily stock market returns of selected indices from developed,emerging,and frontier markets for the period 2000–2018 to evaluate the predictive performance of the above models.The results showed that no single model out of the five models could be applied uniformly to all markets.However,traditional linear and nonlinear models outperformed artificial intelligence and frequency domain models in providing accurate forecasts.展开更多
文摘Mosquitoes are of great concern for occasionally carrying noxious diseases(dengue,malaria,zika,and yellow fever).To control mosquitoes,it is very crucial to effectively monitor their behavioral trends and presence.Traditional mosquito repellent works by heating small pads soaked in repellant,which then diffuses a protected area around you,a great alternative to spraying yourself with insecticide.But they have limitations,including the range,turning them on manually,and then waiting for the protection to kick in when the mosquitoes may find you.This research aims to design a fuzzy-based controller to solve the above issues by automatically determining a mosquito repellent’s speed and active time.The speed and active time depend on the repellent cartridge and the number of mosquitoes.The Mamdani model is used in the proposed fuzzy system(FS).The FS consists of identifying unambiguous inputs,a fuzzification process,rule evaluation,and a defuzzification process to produce unambiguous outputs.The input variables used are the repellent cartridge and the number of mosquitoes,and the speed of mosquito repellent is used as the output variable.The whole FS is designed and simulated using MATLAB Simulink R2016b.The proposed FS is executed and verified utilizing a microcontroller using its pulse width modulation capability.Different simulations of the proposed model are performed in many nonlinear processes.Then,a comparative analysis of the outcomes under similar conditions confirms the higher accuracy of the FS,yielding a maximum relative error of 10%.The experimental outcomes show that the root mean square error is reduced by 67.68%,and the mean absolute percentage error is reduced by 52.46%.Using a fuzzy-based mosquito repellent can help maintain the speed of mosquito repellent and control the energy used by the mosquito repellent.
文摘In order to research brain problems using MRI,PET,and CT neuroimaging,a correct understanding of brain function is required.This has been considered in earlier times with the support of traditional algorithms.Deep learning process has also been widely considered in these genomics data processing system.In this research,brain disorder illness incliding Alzheimer’s disease,Schizophrenia and Parkinson’s diseaseis is analyzed owing to misdetection of disorders in neuroimaging data examined by means fo traditional methods.Moeover,deep learning approach is incorporated here for classification purpose of brain disorder with the aid of Deep Belief Networks(DBN).Images are stored in a secured manner by using DNA sequence based on JPEG Zig Zag Encryption algorithm(DBNJZZ)approach.The suggested approach is executed and tested by using the performance metric measure such as accuracy,root mean square error,Mean absolute error and mean absolute percentage error.Proposed DBNJZZ gives better performance than previously available methods.
基金National Key Research and Development Program of the Ministry of Science(2018YFB1502801)Hubei Provincial Natural Science Foundation(2022CFD017)Innovation and Development Project of China Meteorological Administration(CXFZ2023J044)。
文摘This study assesses the predictive capabilities of the CMA-GD model for wind speed prediction in two wind farms located in Hubei Province,China.The observed wind speeds at the height of 70m in wind turbines of two wind farms in Suizhou serve as the actual observation data for comparison and testing.At the same time,the wind speed predicted by the EC model is also included for comparative analysis.The results indicate that the CMA-GD model performs better than the EC model in Wind Farm A.The CMA-GD model exhibits a monthly average correlation coefficient of 0.56,root mean square error of 2.72 m s^(-1),and average absolute error of 2.11 m s^(-1).In contrast,the EC model shows a monthly average correlation coefficient of 0.51,root mean square error of 2.83 m s^(-1),and average absolute error of 2.21 m s^(-1).Conversely,in Wind Farm B,the EC model outperforms the CMA-GD model.The CMA-GD model achieves a monthly average correlation coefficient of 0.55,root mean square error of 2.61 m s^(-1),and average absolute error of 2.13 m s^(-1).By contrast,the EC model displays a monthly average correlation coefficient of 0.63,root mean square error of 2.04 m s^(-1),and average absolute error of 1.67 m s^(-1).
文摘Local markets in East Africa have been destroyed by raging fires,leading to the loss of life and property in the nearby communities.Electrical circuits,arson,and neglected charcoal stoves are the major causes of these fires.Previous methods,i.e.,satellites,are expensive to maintain and cause unnecessary delays.Also,unit-smoke detectors are highly prone to false alerts.In this paper,an Interval Type-2 TSK fuzzy model for an intelligent lightweight fire intensity detection algorithm with decision-making in low-power devices is proposed using a sparse inference rules approach.A free open–source MATLAB/Simulink fuzzy toolbox integrated into MATLAB 2018a is used to investigate the performance of the Interval Type-2 fuzzy model.Two crisp input parameters,namely:FIT and FIG��are used.Results show that the Interval Type-2 model achieved an accuracy value of FIO�=98.2%,MAE=1.3010,MSE=1.6938 and RMSE=1.3015 using regression analysis.The study shall assist the firefighting personnel in fully understanding and mitigating the current level of fire danger.As a result,the proposed solution can be fully implemented in low-cost,low-power fire detection systems to monitor the state of fire with improved accuracy and reduced false alerts.Through informed decision-making in low-cost fire detection devices,early warning notifications can be provided to aid in the rapid evacuation of people,thereby improving fire safety surveillance,management,and protection for the market community.
文摘Network planning is essential for the construction and the development of wireless networks. The network planning cannot be possible without an appropriate propagation model which in fact is its foundation. Initially used mainly for mobile radio networks, the optimization of propagation model is becoming essential for efficient deployment of the network in different types of environment, namely rural, suburban and urban especially with the emergence of concepts such as digital terrestrial television, smart cities, Internet of Things (IoT) with wide deployment for different use cases such as smart grid, smart metering of electricity, gas and water. In this paper we use an optimization algorithm that is inspired by the principles of magnetic field theory namely Magnetic Optimization Algorithm (MOA) to tune COST231-Hata propagation model. The dataset used is the result of drive tests carry out on field in the town of Limbe in Cameroon. We take into account the standard K-factor model and then use the MOA algorithm in order to set up a propagation model adapted to the physical environment of a town. The town of Limbe is used as an implementation case, but the proposed method can be used everywhere. The calculation of the root mean square error (RMSE) between the real data from the radio measurements and the prediction data obtained after the implementation of MOA allows the validation of the results. A comparative study between the value of the RMSE obtained by the new model and those obtained by the optimization using linear regression, by the standard COST231-Hata models, and the free space model is also done, this allows us to conclude that the new model obtained using MOA for the city of Limbe is better and more representative of this local environment than the standard COST231-Hata model. The new model obtained can be used for radio planning in the city of Limbé in Cameroon.
文摘Propagation models are the foundation for radio planning in mobile networks. They are widely used during feasibility studies and initial network deployment, or during network extensions, particularly in new cities. They can be used to calculate the power of the signal received by a mobile terminal, evaluate the coverage radius, and calculate the number of cells required to cover a given area. This paper takes into account the standard k factors model and then uses the differential evolution algorithm to set up a propagation model adapted to the physical environment of the Cameroonian cities of Bertoua. Drive tests were made on the LTE TDD network in the city of Bertoua. Differential evolution algorithm is used as the optimization algorithm to deduct a propagation model which fits the environment of the considered town. The calculation of the root mean square error between the actual data from the drive tests and the prediction data from the implemented model allows the validation of the obtained results. A comparative study made between the RMSE value obtained by the new model and those obtained by the Okumura Hata and free space models, allowed us to conclude that the new model obtained is better and more representative of our local environment than the Okumura Hata currently used. The implementation shows that Differential evolution can perform well and solve this kind of optimization problem;the newly obtained models can be used for radio planning in the city of Bertoua in Cameroon.
文摘A large part of our daily lives is spent with audio information. Massive obstacles are frequently presented by the colossal amounts of acoustic information and the incredibly quick processing times. This results in the need for applications and methodologies that are capable of automatically analyzing these contents. These technologies can be applied in automatic contentanalysis and emergency response systems. Breaks in manual communication usually occur in emergencies leading to accidents and equipment damage. The audio signal does a good job by sending a signal underground, which warrants action from an emergency management team at the surface. This paper, therefore, seeks to design and simulate an audio signal alerting and automatic control system using Unity Pro XL to substitute manual communication of emergencies and manual control of equipment. Sound data were trained using the neural network technique of machine learning. The metrics used are Fast Fourier transform magnitude, zero crossing rate, root mean square, and percentage error. Sounds were detected with an error of approximately 17%;thus, the system can detect sounds with an accuracy of 83%. With more data training, the system can detect sounds with minimal or no error. The paper, therefore, has critical policy implications about communication, safety, and health for underground mine.
基金The Marine Public Welfare Project of China under contract No.201105032the National High-Tech Project of China undercontract No.2008AA09A403the fund of State Administration for Science,Technology and Industry for National Defense
文摘The HY-2 satellite was successfully launched on 16 August 2011. The HY-2 significant wave height (SWH) is validated by the data from the South China Sea (SCS) field experiment, National Data Buoy Center (NDBC/ buoys and Jason-1/2 altimeters, and is corrected using a linear regression with in-situ measurements. Com- pared with NDBC SWH, the HY-2 SWH show a RMS of 0.36 m, which is similar to Jason- 1 and Jason-2 SWH with the RMS of 0.35 m and 0.37 m respectively; the RMS of corrected HY-2 SWH is 0.27 m, similar to 0.27 m and 0.23 m of corrected Jason-1 and Jason-2 SWH. Therefore the accuracy of HY-2 SWH products is close to that of Jason-1/2 SWH, and the linear regression function derived can improve the accuracy of HY-2 SWH products.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 50705096)National Science and Technology Major Project of China(Grant No. 2009zx04014-014)
文摘Paris law can reflect the failure mechanism of materials and is usually used to be a method to predict fatigue life or residual fatigue life.But the variable which can represent the health of machine is hardly measured on line.To a degree,the difficulty of on-line application restricts the scope of application of Paris law.The relationship between characteristic values of vibration signals and the variable in the Paris equation which can describe the health of machine is investigated by taking ball bearings as investigative objects.Based on 6205 deep groove ball bearings as a living example,historical lives and vibration signals are analyzed.The feasibility of describing that variable in the Paris equation by the characteristic value of vibration signals is inspected.After that vibration signals decomposed by empirical mode decomposition(EMD),root mean square(RMS) of intrinsic mode function(IMF) involving fault characteristic frequency has a consistent trend with the diameter of flaws.Based on the trend,two improved Paris models are proposed and the scope of application of them is inspected.These two Paris Models are validated by fatigue residual life data from tests of rolling element bearings and vibration signals monitored in the process of operation of rolling element bearings.It shows that the first improved Paris Model is simple and plain and it can be easily applied in actual conditions.The trend of the fatigue residual life predicted by the second improved Paris model is close to the actual conditions and the result of the prediction is slightly greater than the truth.In conclusion,after the appearance of detectable faults,these improved models based on RMS can predict residual fatigue life on line and a new approach to predict residual fatigue life of ball bearings on line without disturbing the machine running is provided.
基金This research was supported in part by the Project of the Shiraz University Research Council,Iran(94GCU5M1923)。
文摘Salinization is a gradual process that should be monitored.Modelling is a suitable alternative technique that saves time and cost for the field monitoring.But the performance of the models should be evaluated using the measured data.Therefore,the aim of this study was to evaluate and compare the SALTMED and HYDRUS-1D models using the measured soil water content,soil salinity and wheat yield data under different levels of saline irrigation water and groundwater depth.The field experiment was conducted in 2013 and in this research three controlled groundwater depths,i.e.,60(CD60),80(CD80)and 100(CD100)cm and two salinity levels of irrigation water,i.e.,4(EC4)and 8(EC8)dS/m were used in a complete randomized design with three replications.Soil water content and soil salinity were measured in soil profile and compared with the predicted values by the SALTMED and HYDRUS-1D models.Calibrations of the SALTMED and HYDRUS-1D models were carried out using the measured data under EC4-CD100 treatment and the data of the other treatments were used for validation.The statistical parameters including normalized root mean square error(NRMSE)and degree of agreement(d)showed that the values for predicting soil water content and soil salinity were more accurate in the HYDRUS-1D model than in the SALTMED model.The NRMSE and d values of the HYDRUS-1D model were 9.6%and 0.64 for the predicted soil water content and 6.2%and 0.98 for the predicted soil salinity,respectively.These indices of the SALTMED model were 10.6%and 0.81 for the predicted soil water content and 11.0%and 0.97 for the predicted soil salinity,respectively.According to the NRMSE and d values for the predicted wheat yield(9.8%and 0.91,respectively)and dry matter(2.9%and 0.99,respectively),we concluded that the SALTMED model predicted the wheat yield and dry matter accurately.
基金funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (40771095,40725010 and 41030746)the Water Conservancy Science and Technology Foundation of Qingdao City,China (2006003)
文摘As soil cation exchange capacity (CEC) is a vital indicator of soil quality and pollutant sequestration capacity,a study was conducted to evaluate cokriging of CEC with the principal components derived from soil physico-chemical properties.In Qingdao,China,107 soil samples were collected.Soil CEC was estimated by using 86 soil samples for prediction and 21 soil samples for test.The first two principal components (PC1 and PC2) together explained 60.2% of the total variance of soil physico-chemical properties.The PC1 was highly correlated with CEC (r=0.76,P0.01),whereas there was no significant correlation between CEC and PC2 (r=0.03).The PC1 was then used as an auxiliary variable for the prediction of soil CEC.Mean error (ME) and root mean square error (RMSE) of kriging for the test dataset were-1.76 and 3.67 cmolc kg-1,and ME and RMSE of cokriging for the test dataset were-1.47 and 2.95 cmolc kg-1,respectively.The cross-validation R2 for the prediction dataset was 0.24 for kriging and 0.39 for cokriging.The results show that cokriging with PC1 is more reliable than kriging for spatial interpolation.In addition,principal components have the highest potential for cokriging predictions when the principal components have good correlations with the primary variables.
基金supported as a part of Technical Quality Improvement Programme (TEQIP)
文摘A new Runge-Kutta (PK) fourth order with four stages embedded method with error control is presentea m this paper for raster simulation in cellular neural network (CNN) environment. Through versatile algorithm, single layer/raster CNN array is implemented by incorporating the proposed technique. Simulation results have been obtained, and comparison has also been carried out to show the efficiency of the proposed numerical integration algorithm. The analytic expressions for local truncation error and global truncation error are derived. It is seen that the RK-embedded root mean square outperforms the RK-embedded Heronian mean and RK-embedded harmonic mean.
文摘The COVID-19 disease has already spread to more than 213 countries and territories with infected(confirmed)cases of more than 27 million people throughout the world so far,while the numbers keep increasing.In India,this deadly disease was first detected on January 30,2020,in a student of Kerala who returned from Wuhan.Because of India’s high population density,different cultures,and diversity,it is a good idea to have a separate analysis of each state.Hence,this paper focuses on the comprehensive analysis of the effect of COVID-19 on Indian states and Union Territories and the development of a regression model to predict the number of discharge patients and deaths in each state.The performance of the proposed prediction framework is determined by using three machine learning regression algorithms,namely Polynomial Regression(PR),Decision Tree Regression,and Random Forest(RF)Regression.The results show a comparative analysis of the states and union territories having more than 1000 cases,and the trained model is validated by testing it on further dates.The performance is evaluated using the RMSE metrics.The results show that the Polynomial Regression with an RMSE value of 0.08,shows the best performance in the prediction of the discharged patients.In contrast,in the case of prediction of deaths,Random Forest with a value of 0.14,shows a better performance than other techniques.
基金The work was supported by the Canadian Forest Service.
文摘A Norton-Rice distribution(NRD)is a versatile,flexible distribution for k ordered distances from a random location to the k nearest objects.In a context of plotless density estimation(PDE)with n randomly chosen sample locations,and distances measured to the k=6 nearest objects,the NRD provided a good fit to distance data from seven populations with a census of forest tree stem locations.More importantly,the three parameters of a NRD followed a simple trend with the order(1,…,6)of observed distances.The trend is quantified and exploited in a proposed new PDE through a joint maximum likelihood estimation of the NRD parameters expressed as a functions of distance order.In simulated probability sampling from the seven populations,the proposed PDE had the lowest overall bias with a good performance potential when compared to three alternative PDEs.However,absolute bias increased by 0.8 percentage points when sample size decreased from 20 to 10.In terms of root mean squared error(RMSE),the new proposed estimator was at par with an estimator published in Ecology when this study was wrapping up,but otherwise superior to the remaining two investigated PDEs.Coverage of nominal 95%confidence intervals averaged 0.94 for the new proposed estimators and 0.90,0.96,and 0.90 for the comparison PDEs.Despite tangible improvements in PDEs over the last decades,a globally least biased PDE remains elusive.
基金supported by the Basic Scientific Research Special Fund from Institute of Earthquake Science, China Earthquake Administration (02092403 and 0207690224)
文摘Digital elevation model (DEM) can be generated by interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR). In this paper, the interferometric processing and analyses are carried out for Damxung-Yangbajain area in Tibet, using a pair of Europe remote-sensing satellite (ERS)-1/2 tandem SAR images acquired on 6 and 7 April 1996. A portion of the In- SAR-derived DEM is selected and compared with the 1:50 000 DEM to determine the precision of the InSAR-derived DEM. The comparison indicates that the root mean squared errors (RMSE), which are used to evaluate error, are about 35, 60, 10, and 15 m in the studied area, mountainous area, basin area and near-fault area, respectively, suggesting that obvious errors are mainly in mountainous area. Besides, the limitation of InSAR technology to generate DEM is analyzed. Our investigation shows that InSAR is an effective tool in geodesy and an important complement to field surveying in some dangerous areas.
文摘Magnetic Barkhausen noise ( MBN) is a phenomenon of electromagnetic energy due to the movement of magnetic domain walls inside ferromagnetic materials when they are locally magnetized by an alternating magnetic fields. According to Faraday's law of electromagnetic induction, the noise can be received by the coil attached to the surface of the material being magnetized and the noise carries the message of the characteristics of the material such as stresses, hardness, phase content, etc. Based on the characteristic of the noise, researching about the relationship between the residual stress in the welding assembly and the noise are carried out. Furthermore, data process is performed by RMS (Root Mean Square) equation and Power Spectrum analysis.
文摘An analysis of a base-isolated structure for multi-component random ground motion is presented. The mean square respond of the system is Obtained under different parametric variations. The effectiveness of main parameters and the torsional component during an earthquake is quantified with the help of the response ratio and the root mean square response with and without base isolation. It is observed that the base isolation has considerable influence on the response and the effect of the torsional component is not ignored.
文摘Generally,road transport is a major energy-consuming sector.Fuel con-sumption of each vehicle is an important factor that affects the overall energy con-sumption,driving behavior and vehicle characteristic are the main factors affecting the change of vehicle fuel consumption.It is difficult to analyze the influence of fuel consumption with multiple and complex factors.The Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System(ANFIS)approach was employed to develop a vehicle fuel consumption model based on multivariate input.The ANFIS network was constructed by various experiments based on the ANFIS Parameter setting.The performance of the ANFIS network was validated using Root Mean Square Error(RMSE)and Mean Average Error(MAE)which related to the setting of ANFIS parameters.The experimental results indicated that the training data sam-ple,number,and type of membership functions are the most important factor affecting the performance of the ANFIS network.However,the number of epochs does not necessarily significantly improve the system performance,too many the number of epochs setting may not provide the best results and lead to excessive responding time.The results also demonstrate that three factors,consisted of the engine size,driving speed,and the number of passengers,are important factors that influence the change of vehicle fuel consumption.The selected ANFIS mod-els with minimum error can be properly and efficiently used to predict vehicle fuel consumption for Thailand’s road transport sector.
文摘Forecasting stock market returns is one of the most effective tools for risk management and portfolio diversification.There are several forecasting techniques in the literature for obtaining accurate forecasts for investment decision making.Numerous empirical studies have employed such methods to investigate the returns of different individual stock indices.However,there have been very few studies of groups of stock markets or indices.The findings of previous studies indicate that there is no single method that can be applied uniformly to all markets.In this context,this study aimed to examine the predictive performance of linear,nonlinear,artificial intelligence,frequency domain,and hybrid models to find an appropriate model to forecast the stock returns of developed,emerging,and frontier markets.We considered the daily stock market returns of selected indices from developed,emerging,and frontier markets for the period 2000–2018 to evaluate the predictive performance of the above models.The results showed that no single model out of the five models could be applied uniformly to all markets.However,traditional linear and nonlinear models outperformed artificial intelligence and frequency domain models in providing accurate forecasts.