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基于SI模型的病毒传播动力学分析
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作者 杨文杰 宋文利 郑前前 《许昌学院学报》 CAS 2024年第2期12-16,共5页
创建了SI传播动力学模型,重点讨论了系统平衡点的存在性和稳定性,并运用连续动态系统分岔理论,利用MATLAB软件对系统的分岔情况进行了深入分析,同时考察了参数变化对系统的影响.在数值模拟阶段,对具有Holling IV型功能反应的病毒传播系... 创建了SI传播动力学模型,重点讨论了系统平衡点的存在性和稳定性,并运用连续动态系统分岔理论,利用MATLAB软件对系统的分岔情况进行了深入分析,同时考察了参数变化对系统的影响.在数值模拟阶段,对具有Holling IV型功能反应的病毒传播系统进行了详细分析,研究了疾病传播的特点和演变规律. 展开更多
关键词 si传染病模型 稳定性 分岔 常微分方程
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基于SI-SB系统安全模型的多层级边缘智能管控模式
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作者 张充 张伟 +2 位作者 李泽亚 赵挺生 张耀庭 《中国安全科学学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第1期17-26,共10页
为探索信息化、智能化技术赋能下的创新型安全生产管控模式,从安全信息学的角度分析安全管控过程中的信息流动特点,提出安全生产多层级边缘智能管控模式;基于安全信息-安全行为(SI-SB)系统安全模型分析安全管控过程中安全决策偏差和滞... 为探索信息化、智能化技术赋能下的创新型安全生产管控模式,从安全信息学的角度分析安全管控过程中的信息流动特点,提出安全生产多层级边缘智能管控模式;基于安全信息-安全行为(SI-SB)系统安全模型分析安全管控过程中安全决策偏差和滞后的机制,提出安全管控系统性能改进的思路;结合安全生产组织管理体系特点和数字化技术优势,阐述数字化技术在信息感知传递、安全信息解释和安全行为引导等3个方面的赋能依据,以及数字化感知、智能化决策和多层级管控等3个方面的赋能途径,并提出具备智能决策、敏捷响应、弹性扩展和人机协同特点的安全生产多层级边缘智能管控模式;在紧急事件、短周期管控、长周期管控3类场景中,对应用智能管控模式前后的安全事件响应进行时效性计算和对比。结果表明:所提出的多层级边缘智能管控模式能够显著提高安全管控效能。 展开更多
关键词 安全信息-安全行为(si-SB)系统安全模型 多层级边缘智能管控 管控模式 安全生产 安全信息学
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海上平台SIS系统功能安全评估的方法
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作者 张玉涛 张哲 +1 位作者 武洋 韩世杰 《化工管理》 2024年第1期52-55,共4页
海上油气生产平台是海洋石油开采生产的重要设施,具有工艺系统复杂、设备布置紧凑、应急救援困难等风险特征,通常配置有安全仪表系统(SIS)作为一种重要的安全保障措施。根据IEC61511等标准要求,为了保持安全仪表系统的功能正常实现,需... 海上油气生产平台是海洋石油开采生产的重要设施,具有工艺系统复杂、设备布置紧凑、应急救援困难等风险特征,通常配置有安全仪表系统(SIS)作为一种重要的安全保障措施。根据IEC61511等标准要求,为了保持安全仪表系统的功能正常实现,需要对安全仪表系统开展功能安全评估。文章分别介绍了保护层分析法(LOPA)和马尔科夫模型(Markovmodel)评估方法,其中LOPA用于SIL定级评估,Markov用于SIL验证评估。对海上平台典型事故场景登平台海管压力高高联锁回路展开分析,评估结果显示该回路的配置情况可以满足预定的功能安全需求。 展开更多
关键词 海上平台 安全仪表系统siS 功能安全评估 LOPA 马尔科夫模型
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具有非线性发生率及两个独立扰动的SIS传染病模型的动力学分析
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作者 谭杨 杨林 郭子君 《北华大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 2023年第5期561-570,共10页
研究具有两类随机扰动且具有非线性发生率的SIS传染病模型,通过构造Lyapunov函数方法证明了在一定条件下模型正解的存在唯一性,得到关于感染种群趋于灭绝和保持持久的充分条件,证明了平稳分布的存在并给出了数值模拟结果.
关键词 siS传染病模型 随机微分方程 灭绝 持久 稳定分布
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ANALYSIS OF AN SI EPIDEMIC MODEL WITH NONLINEAR TRANSMISSION AND STAGE STRUCTURE 被引量:10
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作者 陆忠华 jupiter.cnc.ac.cn +3 位作者 高淑京 l63.net 陈兰荪 math08.math.ac.cn 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 SCIE CSCD 2003年第4期440-446,共7页
A disease transmission model of SI type with stage structure is formulated. The stability of disease free equilibrium, the existence and uniqueness of an endemic equilibrium, the existence of a global attractor are in... A disease transmission model of SI type with stage structure is formulated. The stability of disease free equilibrium, the existence and uniqueness of an endemic equilibrium, the existence of a global attractor are investigated. 展开更多
关键词 si epidemic model THRESHOLD disease free equilibrium endemic equilibrium global attractor
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Analysis of an Epidemic Model with Age of Vaccination 被引量:2
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作者 GUO Shu-li DING Feng-xia 《Chinese Quarterly Journal of Mathematics》 CSCD 北大核心 2006年第4期545-552,共8页
A simple SI epidemic model with age of vaccination is discussed in this paper. Both varing birth rate,the mortality rate caused by disease and vaccine waning rate are considered in this model.We prove that the global ... A simple SI epidemic model with age of vaccination is discussed in this paper. Both varing birth rate,the mortality rate caused by disease and vaccine waning rate are considered in this model.We prove that the global dynamics is completely determined by the basic reproductive number R(Ψ)(Ψdenotes per capita vaccination rate).If R(0)<1, the disease-free equilibrium is a global attractor;If R(Ψ)<1,the disease-free equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable;If R(Ψ)>1,an unique endemic equilibrium exists and is locally asymptotically stable under certain condition. 展开更多
关键词 流行性模型 疫苗接种 整体动力学 渐近稳定性
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COEXISTENCE FOR MULTIPLE LARGEST REPRODUCTION RATIOS OF A MULTI-STRAIN SIS EPIDEMIC MODEL 被引量:1
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作者 Yoshiaki MUROYA Eleonora MESSINA +1 位作者 Elvira RUSSO Antonia VECCHIO 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 SCIE CSCD 2016年第5期1524-1530,共7页
In this paper, to complete the global dynamics of a multi-strains SIS epidemic model, we establish a precise result on coexistence for the cases of the partial and complete duplicated multiple largest reproduction rat... In this paper, to complete the global dynamics of a multi-strains SIS epidemic model, we establish a precise result on coexistence for the cases of the partial and complete duplicated multiple largest reproduction ratios for this model. 展开更多
关键词 multi-strains siS epidemic model global attractivity Lyapunov function COEXISTENCE
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Cu-Nb-Si体系相平衡的实验研究和热力学模拟 被引量:2
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作者 周佳强 胡标 +2 位作者 李奔富 杜勇 汪炯 《Transactions of Nonferrous Metals Society of China》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2023年第3期824-838,共15页
通过关键实验、热力学建模和第一性原理计算相结合的方法研究Cu-Nb-Si体系的相平衡关系。制备16种三元合金,采用X射线衍射仪(XRD)和扫描电子显微镜结合X射线能谱仪(SEM-EDS),测定三相和两相区范围,证实三元化合物τ1(Cu_(4)Nb_(5)Si_(4)... 通过关键实验、热力学建模和第一性原理计算相结合的方法研究Cu-Nb-Si体系的相平衡关系。制备16种三元合金,采用X射线衍射仪(XRD)和扫描电子显微镜结合X射线能谱仪(SEM-EDS),测定三相和两相区范围,证实三元化合物τ1(Cu_(4)Nb_(5)Si_(4))的存在,同时测定Cu在NbSi_(2)和Nb_(5)Si_(3)相中的溶解度,最终确定Cu-Nb-Si体系在600和700℃的等温截面。基于文献和本工作的实验数据,结合第一性原理计算和CALPHAD方法,利用替代模型和亚点阵模型分别描述溶体相和中间化合物,对Cu-Nb-Si体系进行热力学计算,最终得到一套自洽的热力学参数。通过计算与实验结果相比较,所获得的热力学参数能再现可靠的实验数据。 展开更多
关键词 Cu-Nb-si体系 热力学模拟 第一性原理计算 CALPHAD方法
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ANALYSIS OF AN SIS EPIDEMIOLOGIC MODEL WITH VARIABLE POPULATION SIZE AND A DELAY 被引量:1
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作者 Yuan Sanling Han Litao Ma ZhienDept. of Appl. Math., Xi’an Jiaotong Univ., Xi’an 710049,China. 《Applied Mathematics(A Journal of Chinese Universities)》 SCIE CSCD 2003年第1期9-16,共8页
Epidemiologic model of SIS type has a delay corresponding to the infectious period and disease related deaths,so that the population size is variable.The population dynamics structure is recruitment and natural birth... Epidemiologic model of SIS type has a delay corresponding to the infectious period and disease related deaths,so that the population size is variable.The population dynamics structure is recruitment and natural births with natural deaths.The incidence term is of the standard incidence.Here the thresholds and equilibria are detemined,and stabilities are examined.The persistence of the infectious disease and disease related deaths can lead to a new equilibrium population size below the carrying capacity. 展开更多
关键词 epidemiologic modeling siS model delay threshold.
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Oscillatory Behavior of a Network Epidemic SIS Model with Nonlinear Infectivity 被引量:1
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作者 Chunhua Feng Carl S. Pettis 《Applied Mathematics》 2014年第1期203-211,共9页
In this paper, an epidemic SIS model with nonlinear infectivity on heterogeneous networks and time delays is investigated. The oscillatory behavior of the solutions is studied. Two sufficient conditions are provided t... In this paper, an epidemic SIS model with nonlinear infectivity on heterogeneous networks and time delays is investigated. The oscillatory behavior of the solutions is studied. Two sufficient conditions are provided to guarantee the oscillatory behavior for the solutions. Some computer simulations are demonstrated. 展开更多
关键词 Sepidemic siS NETWORK model DELAY OSCILLATION
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空气污染物随机扩散的SIS模型动力学
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作者 黄幼林 魏春金 张树文 《集美大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 2023年第6期561-567,共7页
研究一类具有非线性传染率与空气污染物随机扩散的随机SIS模型的动力学。假设疾病传播系数是关于空气质量指数的函数,根据随机过程的统计性质,导出了感染者I(t)满足的一维随机微分方程模型。证明该随机微分方程模型正解的存在唯一性,得... 研究一类具有非线性传染率与空气污染物随机扩散的随机SIS模型的动力学。假设疾病传播系数是关于空气质量指数的函数,根据随机过程的统计性质,导出了感染者I(t)满足的一维随机微分方程模型。证明该随机微分方程模型正解的存在唯一性,得到该疾病灭绝的充分条件与一些性质。最后通过数值模拟验证该结论。 展开更多
关键词 空气污染 呼吸系统疾病 随机siS模型 噪声强度
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An SIS epidemic model with diffusion
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作者 XU Zhi-ting CHEN Dan-xia 《Applied Mathematics(A Journal of Chinese Universities)》 SCIE CSCD 2017年第2期127-146,共20页
The aim of this paper is to study the diffusion. We first study the well-posedness of the dynamics of an SIS epidemic model with model. And then, by using linearization method and constructing suitable Lyapunov functi... The aim of this paper is to study the diffusion. We first study the well-posedness of the dynamics of an SIS epidemic model with model. And then, by using linearization method and constructing suitable Lyapunov function, we establish the local and global stability of the disease-free equilibrium and the endemic equilibrium, respectively. Furthermore, in view of Schauder fixed point theorem, we show that the model admits traveling wave solutions con- necting the disease-free equilibrium and the endemic equilibrium when R0 〉 1 and c 〉 c^*. And also, by virtue of the two-sided Laplace transform, we prove that the model has no traveling wave solution connecting the two equilibria when R0 〉 1 and c ∈(0, c^*). 展开更多
关键词 siS epidemic model traveling wave solution local stability global stability diffusive.
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The Game-Theoretical Model of Using Insecticide-Treated Bed-Nets to Fight Malaria
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作者 Mark Broom Jan Rychtář Tracy Spears-Gill 《Applied Mathematics》 2016年第9期852-860,共9页
Malaria infection is a major problem in many countries. The use of the Insecticide-Treated Bed-Nets (ITNs) has been shown to significantly reduce the number of malaria infections;however, the effectiveness is often je... Malaria infection is a major problem in many countries. The use of the Insecticide-Treated Bed-Nets (ITNs) has been shown to significantly reduce the number of malaria infections;however, the effectiveness is often jeopardized by improper handling or human behavior such as inconsistent usage. In this paper, we present a game-theoretical model for ITN usage in communities with malaria infections. We show that it is in the individual’s self interest to use the ITNs as long as the malaria is present in the community. Such an optimal ITN usage will significantly decrease the malaria prevalence and under some conditions may even lead to complete eradication of the disease. 展开更多
关键词 Game Theory Malaria Prevention Optimal Strategy Epidemic modelling siS model
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Simulation of Typhoon Muifa using a mesoscale coupled atmosphere–ocean model 被引量:4
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作者 SUN Minghua DUAN Yihong +3 位作者 ZHU Jianrong WU Hui ZHANG Jin HUANG Wei 《Acta Oceanologica Sinica》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2014年第11期123-133,共11页
A mesoscale coupled atmosphere–ocean model has been developed based on the GRAPES(Global and Regional Assimilation and Prediction System) regional typhoon model(GRAPES_TYM) and ECOM-si(estuary, coast and ocean m... A mesoscale coupled atmosphere–ocean model has been developed based on the GRAPES(Global and Regional Assimilation and Prediction System) regional typhoon model(GRAPES_TYM) and ECOM-si(estuary, coast and ocean model(semi-implicit)). Coupling between the typhoon and ocean models was conducted by exchanging wind stress, heat, moisture fluxes, and sea surface temperatures(SSTs) using the coupler OASIS3.0. Numerical prediction experiments were run with and without coupling for the case of Typhoon Muifa in the western North Pacific. To investigate the impact of using more accurate SST information on the simulation of the track and the intensity of Typhoon Muifa, experiments were also conducted using increased SST resolution in the initial condition field of the control test. The results indicate that increasing SST resolution in the initial condition field somewhat improved the intensity forecast, and use of the coupled model improved the intensity forecast significantly, with mean absolute errors in maximum wind speed within 48 and 72 h reduced by 32% and 20%, respectively. Use of the coupled model also resulted in less pronounced over-prediction of the intensity of Typhoon Muifa by the GRAPES_TYM. Moreover, the effects of using the coupled model on the intensity varied throughout the different stages of the development of Muifa owing to changes in the oceanic mixed layer depth. The coupled model had pronounced effects during the later stage of Muifa but had no obvious effects during the earlier stage. The SSTs predicted by the coupled model decreased by about 5–6℃ at most after the typhoon passed, in agreement with satellite data. Furthermore, based on analysis on the sea surface heat flux, wet static energy of the boundary layer, atmospheric temperature, and precipitation forecasted by the coupled model and the control test, the simulation results of this coupled atmosphere–ocean model can be considered to reasonably reflect the primary mechanisms underlying the interactions between tropical cyclones and oceans. 展开更多
关键词 coupled atmosphere-ocean model GRAPES ECOM-si TC intensity SST
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AIGC助力数字人文研究的实践探索:SikuGPT驱动的古诗词生成研究 被引量:9
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作者 刘江峰 刘雏菲 +4 位作者 齐月 刘浏 李斌 刘畅 王东波 《情报理论与实践》 北大核心 2023年第5期23-31,共9页
[目的/意义]诗词创作是数字人文领域自然语言生成研究的重要方向,对古诗词遣词造句的版本争议判断、自动诗词问答等具有一定意义,然而当前尚未出现能够自动生成繁体中文古诗词的预训练模型,已有研究着眼于根据使用者需求创作不同风格的... [目的/意义]诗词创作是数字人文领域自然语言生成研究的重要方向,对古诗词遣词造句的版本争议判断、自动诗词问答等具有一定意义,然而当前尚未出现能够自动生成繁体中文古诗词的预训练模型,已有研究着眼于根据使用者需求创作不同风格的简体古诗词。[方法/过程]文章基于CLM使用繁体《四库全书》无标点语料、繁体中文古诗词语料在gpt2-chinese-cluecorpussmall上进行继续预训练构建SikuGPT2、SikuGPT2-poem模型。采用困惑度、BLEU、专家打分、图灵测试等验证模型性能。[结果/结论]实验显示SikuGPT2-poem模型困惑度较低,生成的诗歌BLUE评分较基准模型低0.053左右,在人工打分中较基准模型平均高1.93分。总体而言,文章提出的模型表现优异且通过图灵测试,提出的古汉语生成式系列模型的预训练语料集尚小。模型在古诗生成方面表现较好,但尚不能满足赋、曲等体裁的需要。 展开更多
关键词 四库全书 sikuGPT 预训练语言模型 诗歌生成 数字人文
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开放异质环境下考虑外源输入及频率依赖发生率的反应-扩散-对流SIS模型
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作者 饶旭 张国洪 《西南师范大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 2023年第3期52-60,共9页
研究了开放异质环境下带有线性外源项及频率依赖发生率的反应-扩散-对流SIS模型.首先证明了解的一致有界性,然后引入了基本再生数R_(0),获得了模型关于R_(0)的阈值动力学行为:当R_(0)<1时,唯一的无病平衡点局部渐近稳定;当R_(0)>1... 研究了开放异质环境下带有线性外源项及频率依赖发生率的反应-扩散-对流SIS模型.首先证明了解的一致有界性,然后引入了基本再生数R_(0),获得了模型关于R_(0)的阈值动力学行为:当R_(0)<1时,唯一的无病平衡点局部渐近稳定;当R_(0)>1时,系统一致持续且存在流行病平衡点.最后研究了R_(0)对感染者的扩散速度dI和对流率q的依赖性,发现在开放对流环境下,对流率的增加有利于传染病的控制. 展开更多
关键词 开放对流环境 线性外源项 siS传染病模型 频率依赖发生率 基本再生数
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A Nonstandard Finite Difference Scheme for SIS Epidemic Model with Delay: Stability and Bifurcation Analysis
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作者 Agus Suryanto 《Applied Mathematics》 2012年第6期528-534,共7页
A numerical scheme for a SIS epidemic model with a delay is constructed by applying a nonstandard finite difference (NSFD) method. The dynamics of the obtained discrete system is investigated. First we show that the d... A numerical scheme for a SIS epidemic model with a delay is constructed by applying a nonstandard finite difference (NSFD) method. The dynamics of the obtained discrete system is investigated. First we show that the discrete system has equilibria which are exactly the same as those of continuous model. By studying the distribution of the roots of the characteristics equations related to the linearized system, we can provide the stable regions in the appropriate parameter plane. It is shown that the conditions for those equilibria to be asymptotically stable are consistent with the continuous model for any size of numerical time-step. Furthermore, we also establish the existence of Neimark-Sacker bifurcation (also called Hopf bifurcation for map) which is controlled by the time delay. The analytical results are confirmed by some numerical simulations. 展开更多
关键词 siS EPIDEMIC model with DELAY Stability NONSTANDARD Finite Difference Method Neimark-Sacker (Hopf) BIFURCATION
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Thickness-averaged model for numerical simulation of electroosmotic flow in three-dimensional microfluidic chips
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作者 Bo CHEN Han CHEN Jian-kang WU 《Applied Mathematics and Mechanics(English Edition)》 SCIE EI 2013年第3期297-308,共12页
The microfiuidic system is a multi-physics interaction field that has at- tracted great attention. The electric double layers and electroosmosis are important flow-electricity interaction phenomena. This paper present... The microfiuidic system is a multi-physics interaction field that has at- tracted great attention. The electric double layers and electroosmosis are important flow-electricity interaction phenomena. This paper presents a thickness-averaged model to solve three-dimensional complex electroosmotic flows in a wide-shallow microchan- nel/chamber combined (MCC) chip based on the Navier-Stokes equations for the flow field and the Poisson equation to the electric field. Behaviors of the electroosmotic flow, the electric field, and the pressure are analyzed. The quantitative effects of the wall charge density (or the zeta potential) and the applied electric field on the electroosmotic flow rate are investigated. The two-dimensional thickness-averaged flow model greatly simplifies the three-dimensional computation of the complex electroosmotic flows, and correctly reflects the electrookinetic effects of the wall charge on the flow. The numerical results indicate that the electroosmotic flow rate of the thickness-averaged model agrees well with that of the three-dimensional slip-boundary flow model. The flow streamlines and pressure distribution of these two models are in qualitative agreement. 展开更多
关键词 microfluidic electric double layer flow-electricity interaction electroosmo-sis thickness-averaged model
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Evaluation of Component Activities in C-Mn-Fe-Si with Model Self-SReM4 被引量:1
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作者 Zhang Xiaobing Jiang Guochang +1 位作者 Ding Weizhong Xu Kuangdi 《Journal of Iron and Steel Research(International)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 1998年第1期28-33,共6页
A sub-regular solution model SELFSReM4 used to evaluate activities of the components in a homogeneous region of a quaternary system has been developed in Shanghai Enhanced Lab of Ferrometallurgy. This paper introduces... A sub-regular solution model SELFSReM4 used to evaluate activities of the components in a homogeneous region of a quaternary system has been developed in Shanghai Enhanced Lab of Ferrometallurgy. This paper introduces the application of SELFSReM4 in evaluating activities of the components in C-Mn-Fe-Si system without SiC precipitation. 展开更多
关键词 sub-regular solution model component activity C-Mn-si-Fe alloy
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基于SIS模型的群体社交网络舆情演化仿真
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作者 路苗 门可 +2 位作者 马永红 张海瑞 冯彦成 《吉林大学学报(信息科学版)》 CAS 2023年第1期106-111,共6页
针对群体社交网络舆情演化时,目前方法获取关键节点中的数据较为困难,导致无法准确获得舆情传播次数、搜索指数、达到舆情峰值所用时间等参数,存在演化精度低的问题,提出基于聚类算法与易感-感染-易感(SIS:Susceptible Infected Suscept... 针对群体社交网络舆情演化时,目前方法获取关键节点中的数据较为困难,导致无法准确获得舆情传播次数、搜索指数、达到舆情峰值所用时间等参数,存在演化精度低的问题,提出基于聚类算法与易感-感染-易感(SIS:Susceptible Infected Susceptible Model)模型的群体社交网络舆情演化仿真方法。在群体社交网络中采用PageRank算法获取关键节点,利用聚类算法对关键节点中的数据聚类进行处理,在此基础上构建SIS模型,并通过其完成群体社交网络的舆情演化仿真。实验结果表明,该方法可准确地获得舆情传播次数、搜索指数、达到舆情峰值所用时间等参数,演化仿真精度高。 展开更多
关键词 聚类算法 siS模型 关键节点识别 PAGERANK算法 网络舆情演化
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