Multi-output Gaussian Process Regression Model with Combined Kernel Function for Polyester Esterification Processes

In polyester fiber industrial processes,the prediction of key performance indicators is vital for product quality.The esterification process is an indispensable step in the polyester polymerization process.It has the characteristics of strong coupling,nonlinearity and complex mechanism.To solve these problems,we put forward a multi-output Gaussian process regression(MGPR)model based on the combined kernel function for the polyester esterification process.Since the seasonal and trend decomposition using loess(STL)can extract the periodic and trend characteristics of time series,a combined kernel function based on the STL and the kernel function analysis is constructed for the MGPR.The effectiveness of the proposed model is verified by the actual polyester esterification process data collected from fiber production.

Blood Glucose Prediction Model Based on Prophet and Temporal Convolutional Networks

Diabetes,as a chronic disease,is caused by the increase of blood glucose concentration due to pancreatic insulin production failure or insulin resistance in the body.Predicting the change trend of blood glucose level in advance brings convenience for prompt treatment,so as to maintain blood glucose level within the recommended levels.Based on the flash glucose monitoring data,we propose a method that combines prophet with temporal convolutional networks(TCN)to achieve good experimental results in predicting patient blood glucose.The proposed model achieves high accuracy in the long-term and short-term prediction of blood glucose,and outperforms other models on the adaptability to non-stationary and detection capability of periodic changes.