Prediction of lime utilization ratio of dephosphorization in BOF steelmaking based on online sequential extreme learning machine with forgetting mechanism

The machine learning models of multiple linear regression(MLR),support vector regression(SVR),and extreme learning ma-chine(ELM)and the proposed ELM models of online sequential ELM(OS-ELM)and OS-ELM with forgetting mechanism(FOS-ELM)are applied in the prediction of the lime utilization ratio of dephosphorization in the basic oxygen furnace steelmaking process.The ELM model exhibites the best performance compared with the models of MLR and SVR.OS-ELM and FOS-ELM are applied for sequential learning and model updating.The optimal number of samples in validity term of the FOS-ELM model is determined to be 1500,with the smallest population mean absolute relative error(MARE)value of 0.058226 for the population.The variable importance analysis reveals lime weight,initial P content,and hot metal weight as the most important variables for the lime utilization ratio.The lime utilization ratio increases with the decrease in lime weight and the increases in the initial P content and hot metal weight.A prediction system based on FOS-ELM is applied in actual industrial production for one month.The hit ratios of the predicted lime utilization ratio in the error ranges of±1%,±3%,and±5%are 61.16%,90.63%,and 94.11%,respectively.The coefficient of determination,MARE,and root mean square error are 0.8670,0.06823,and 1.4265,respectively.The system exhibits desirable performance for applications in actual industrial pro-duction.

Novel Sequential Neural Network Learning Algorithm for Function Approximation

A novel sequential neural network learning algorithm for function approximation is presented. The multi-step-ahead output predictor of the stochastic time series is introduced to the growing and pruning network for constructing network structure. And the network parameters are adjusted by the proportional differential filter （PDF） rather than EKF when the network growing criteria are not met. Experimental results show that the proposed algorithm can obtain a more compact network along with a smaller error in mean square sense than other typical sequential learning algorithms.

A STUDY OF METHODS FOR IMPROVING LEARNING VECTOR QUANTIZATION

Learning Vector Quantization(LVQ)originally proposed by Kohonen(1989)is aneurally-inspired classifier which pays attention to approximating the optimal Bayes decisionboundaries associated with a classification task.With respect to several defects of LVQ2 algorithmstudied in this paper,some‘soft’competition schemes such as‘majority voting’scheme andcredibility calculation are proposed for improving the ability of classification as well as the learningspeed.Meanwhile,the probabilities of winning are introduced into the corrections for referencevectors in the‘soft’competition.In contrast with the conventional sequential learning technique,a novel parallel learning technique is developed to perform LVQ2 procedure.Experimental resultsof speech recognition show that these new approaches can lead to better performance as comparedwith the conventional

基于CPA-OSELM的热轧带钢厚度在线预测

为解决自动厚度控制(automatic gauge control, AGC)系统反馈滞后、耦合强、厚度偏差大等问题,提出了一种基于食肉植物算法(carnivorous plant algorithm, CPA)的在线顺序极限学习机(online sequential extreme learning machine, OSELM)预测算法。首先,基于从现场采集的相关数据,建立了OSELM在线厚度预测模型。然后为了提高模型的准确性及稳定性,采用CPA方法优化OSELM的权重和偏置。在此基础上,运用自学习方法进一步提高模型的预测精度。最后,通过实验验证基于CPA-OSELM预测模型的有效性。实验结果表明:基于CPA-OSELM的方法能够对不同规格带钢的出口厚度进行高精度在线预测,预测结果可用于提升AGC模型的控制精度,为提升带钢产品质量奠定基础。

A novel compensation-based recurrent fuzzy neural network and its learning algorithm

Based on detailed study on several kinds of fuzzy neural networks, we propose a novel compensationbased recurrent fuzzy neural network （CRFNN） by adding recurrent element and compensatory element to the conventional fuzzy neural network. Then, we propose a sequential learning method for the structure identification of the CRFNN in order to confirm the fuzzy rules and their correlative parameters effectively. Furthermore, we improve the BP algorithm based on the characteristics of the proposed CRFNN to train the network. By modeling the typical nonlinear systems, we draw the conclusion that the proposed CRFNN has excellent dynamic response and strong learning ability.

Adaptive forgetting factor OS-ELM and bootstrap for time series prediction

Online sequential extreme learning machine(OS-ELM)for single-hidden layer feedforward networks(SLFNs)is an effective machine learning algorithm.But OS-ELM has some underlying weaknesses of neglecting time series timeliness and being incapable to provide quantitative uncertainty for prediction.To overcome these shortcomings,a time series prediction method is presented based on the combination of OS-ELM with adaptive forgetting factor(AFF-OS-ELM)and bootstrap(B-AFF-OS-ELM).Firstly,adaptive forgetting factor is added into OS-ELM for adjusting the effective window length of training data during OS-ELM sequential learning phase.Secondly,the current bootstrap is developed to fit time series prediction online.Then associated with improved bootstrap,the proposed method can compute prediction interval as uncertainty information,meanwhile the improved bootstrap enhances prediction accuracy and stability of AFF-OS-ELM.Performances of B-AFF-OS-ELM are benchmarked with other traditional and improved OS-ELM on simulation and practical time series data.Results indicate the significant performances achieved by B-AFF-OS-ELM.