In order to fill the gaps of the research on the data of automatic weather stations(referred to as automatic stations)not used for the climate characteristics of extremely short-time severe precipitation in Guizhou Pr...In order to fill the gaps of the research on the data of automatic weather stations(referred to as automatic stations)not used for the climate characteristics of extremely short-time severe precipitation in Guizhou Province,the climate characteristics of extremely short-time severe precipitation in Guizhou Province were compared and analyzed based on the hourly precipitation data of the automatic stations and the national weather stations(referred to as the national stations)from April to September during 2010-2019.The results show that the average state of maximum hourly precipitation of all stations(the automatic stations and the national stations)and national stations both are representative,but the data of all stations are more representative when the maximum hourly precipitation is extreme.The 99.5 th quantile is the most reasonable threshold of extremely short-time severe precipitation in each station.The spatial distribution of extremely short-time severe precipitation intensity in all stations and national stations is generally that the southern region is stronger than the northern region,and the intensity values are concentrated in the range of 40-50 mm/h.All stations data can better reflect the distribution characteristics of<40 and≥50 mm/h.The national stations data underestimates the precipitation intensity in the southern and northeastern marginal areas of Guizhou,and slightly exaggerates the precipitation intensity in the northern part of Guizhou.The monthly and diurnal variations of the frequency of extremely short-time severe precipitation in all stations and national stations are very obvious and the variation trend is the same,but the intensity of extremely short-time severe precipitation has no obvious monthly variation characteristics.There is no significant diurnal variation in the intensity of extremely short-time severe precipitation in all stations,but the diurnal variation in the data of national stations is significant.Since the frequency of extremely short-time severe precipitation in national stations is less,the diurnal variation in the intensity of extremely short-time severe precipitation in all stations is more statistically significant.展开更多
1 INTRODUCTION Tropical cyclones (TCs) moving north and getting to the Liaodong Peninsula and waters of the Yellow and Bohai Seas are in their late phase of life cycle. While weakening rapidly, TCs carry a large amo...1 INTRODUCTION Tropical cyclones (TCs) moving north and getting to the Liaodong Peninsula and waters of the Yellow and Bohai Seas are in their late phase of life cycle. While weakening rapidly, TCs carry a large amount of warm and humid air that forms heavy rainfall by itself on the one hand and interact with westerlies in the middle latitudes on the other. With their warm-core structure destroyed by intruded cooler air, TCs absorb baroclinic energy while it weakens and experiences extratropical transition (ET). With right conditions and complicated topographic features of the peninsula, the transformed extratropical cyclone evolves to intensify heavy rainfall in most cases and even results in secondary disasters like storm surges. Therefore, the extratropical transition of TCs is usually responsible for more serious damage in mid-latitude areas. For the forecast of heavy rain associated with north-going TCs experiencing extratropical transition, it not only involves their own intensity and structure but also the distribution of the surrounding field and its interactions with TCs. Most of the present studies discuss TCs-inflicted heavy rains or those taking place south of the Shandong Peninsula. Focusing on intense precipitation resulted from TCs over the Liaodong Peninsula, this work analyzes the distribution of the ambient field and physical quantities hoping to help forecast TCs-related heavy rains accurately.展开更多
基金Scientific Research Project of Guizhou Meteorological Bureau(QQKD[2020]08-04).
文摘In order to fill the gaps of the research on the data of automatic weather stations(referred to as automatic stations)not used for the climate characteristics of extremely short-time severe precipitation in Guizhou Province,the climate characteristics of extremely short-time severe precipitation in Guizhou Province were compared and analyzed based on the hourly precipitation data of the automatic stations and the national weather stations(referred to as the national stations)from April to September during 2010-2019.The results show that the average state of maximum hourly precipitation of all stations(the automatic stations and the national stations)and national stations both are representative,but the data of all stations are more representative when the maximum hourly precipitation is extreme.The 99.5 th quantile is the most reasonable threshold of extremely short-time severe precipitation in each station.The spatial distribution of extremely short-time severe precipitation intensity in all stations and national stations is generally that the southern region is stronger than the northern region,and the intensity values are concentrated in the range of 40-50 mm/h.All stations data can better reflect the distribution characteristics of<40 and≥50 mm/h.The national stations data underestimates the precipitation intensity in the southern and northeastern marginal areas of Guizhou,and slightly exaggerates the precipitation intensity in the northern part of Guizhou.The monthly and diurnal variations of the frequency of extremely short-time severe precipitation in all stations and national stations are very obvious and the variation trend is the same,but the intensity of extremely short-time severe precipitation has no obvious monthly variation characteristics.There is no significant diurnal variation in the intensity of extremely short-time severe precipitation in all stations,but the diurnal variation in the data of national stations is significant.Since the frequency of extremely short-time severe precipitation in national stations is less,the diurnal variation in the intensity of extremely short-time severe precipitation in all stations is more statistically significant.
基金Project 973 from the Ministry of Science and Technology of China (2004CB418301)a projectof Natural Science Foundation of China (40175019)
文摘1 INTRODUCTION Tropical cyclones (TCs) moving north and getting to the Liaodong Peninsula and waters of the Yellow and Bohai Seas are in their late phase of life cycle. While weakening rapidly, TCs carry a large amount of warm and humid air that forms heavy rainfall by itself on the one hand and interact with westerlies in the middle latitudes on the other. With their warm-core structure destroyed by intruded cooler air, TCs absorb baroclinic energy while it weakens and experiences extratropical transition (ET). With right conditions and complicated topographic features of the peninsula, the transformed extratropical cyclone evolves to intensify heavy rainfall in most cases and even results in secondary disasters like storm surges. Therefore, the extratropical transition of TCs is usually responsible for more serious damage in mid-latitude areas. For the forecast of heavy rain associated with north-going TCs experiencing extratropical transition, it not only involves their own intensity and structure but also the distribution of the surrounding field and its interactions with TCs. Most of the present studies discuss TCs-inflicted heavy rains or those taking place south of the Shandong Peninsula. Focusing on intense precipitation resulted from TCs over the Liaodong Peninsula, this work analyzes the distribution of the ambient field and physical quantities hoping to help forecast TCs-related heavy rains accurately.