Comparison of the City Water Consumption Short-Term Forecasting Methods

There are a lot of methods in city water consumption short-term forecasting both inside and outside the country. But among these methods there exist many advantages and shortcomings in model establishing, solving and predicting accuracy, speed, applicability. This article draws lessons from other realm mature methods after many years′ study. It′s systematically studied and compared to predict the water consumption in accuracy, speed, effect and applicability among the time series triangle function method, artificial neural network method, gray system theories method, wavelet analytical method.

Calculating Method for Influence of Material Flow on Energy Consumption in Steel Manufacturing Process

From the viewpoint of systems energy conservation, the influences of material flow on its energy consumption in a steel manufacturing process is an important subject. The quantitative analysis of the relationship between material flow and the energy intensity is useful to save energy in steel industry. Based on the concept of standard material flow diagram, all possible situations of ferric material flow in steel manufacturing process are analyzed. The expressions of the influence of material flow deviated from standard material flow diagram on energy consumption are put forward.

THE SPACE-TIME FINITE ELEMENT METHOD FOR PARABOLIC PROBLEMS

Adaptive space-time finite element method, continuous in space but discontinuous in time for semi-linear parabolic problems is discussed. The approach is based on a combination of finite element and finite difference techniques. The existence and uniqueness of the weak solution are proved without any assumptions on choice of the spacetime meshes. Basic error estimates in L-infinity (L-2) norm, that is maximum-norm in time, L-2-norm in space are obtained. The numerical results are given in the last part and the analysis between theoretic and experimental results are obtained.

THE QUASI-BOUNDARY VALUE METHOD FOR IDENTIFYING THE INITIAL VALUE OF THE SPACE-TIME FRACTIONAL DIFFUSION EQUATION

In this article,we consider to solve the inverse initial value problem for an inhomogeneous space-time fractional diffusion equation.This problem is ill-posed and the quasi-boundary value method is proposed to deal with this inverse problem and obtain the series expression of the regularized solution for the inverse initial value problem.We prove the error estimates between the regularization solution and the exact solution by using an a priori regularization parameter and an a posteriori regularization parameter choice rule.Some numerical results in one-dimensional case and two-dimensional case show that our method is efficient and stable.

Mixed time discontinuous space-time finite element method for convection diffusion equations

A mixed time discontinuous space-time finite element scheme for secondorder convection diffusion problems is constructed and analyzed. Order of the equation is lowered by the mixed finite element method. The low order equation is discretized with a space-time finite element method, continuous in space but discontinuous in time. Stability, existence, uniqueness and convergence of the approximate solutions are proved. Numerical results are presented to illustrate efficiency of the proposed method.

Prediction of Rural Residents’ Consumption Expenditure Based on Lasso and Adaptive Lasso Methods

When the variable of model is large, the Lasso method and the Adaptive Lasso method can effectively select variables. This paper prediction the rural residents’ consumption expenditure in China, based on respectively using the Lasso method and the Adaptive Lasso method. The results showed that both can effectively and accurately choose the appropriate variable, but the Adaptive Lasso method is better than the Lasso method in prediction accuracy and prediction error. It shows that in variable selection and parameter estimation, Adaptive Lasso method is better than the Lasso method.

H^1 space-time discontinuous finite element method for convection-diffusion equations

An H1 space-time discontinuous Galerkin （STDG） scheme for convection- diffusion equations in one spatial dimension is constructed and analyzed. This method is formulated by combining the H1 Galerkin method and the space-time discontinuous finite element method that is discontinuous in time and continuous in space. The existence and the uniqueness of the approximate solution are proved. The convergence of the scheme is analyzed by using the techniques in the finite difference and finite element methods. An optimal a-priori error estimate in the L∞ （H1） norm is derived. The numerical exper- iments are presented to verify the theoretical results.

An Eigenspace Method for Detecting Space-Time Disease Clusters with Unknown Population-Data

Space-time disease cluster detection assists in conducting disease surveillance and implementing control strategies.The state-of-the-art method for this kind of problem is the Space-time Scan Statistics(SaTScan)which has limitations for non-traditional/non-clinical data sources due to its parametric model assumptions such as Poisson orGaussian counts.Addressing this problem,an Eigenspace-based method called Multi-EigenSpot has recently been proposed as a nonparametric solution.However,it is based on the population counts data which are not always available in the least developed countries.In addition,the population counts are difficult to approximate for some surveillance data such as emergency department visits and over-the-counter drug sales,where the catchment area for each hospital/pharmacy is undefined.We extend the population-based Multi-EigenSpot method to approximate the potential disease clusters from the observed/reported disease counts only with no need for the population counts.The proposed adaptation uses an estimator of expected disease count that does not depend on the population counts.The proposed method was evaluated on the real-world dataset and the results were compared with the population-based methods:Multi-EigenSpot and SaTScan.The result shows that the proposed adaptation is effective in approximating the important outputs of the population-based methods.

SPACE-TIME FINITE ELEMENT METHOD FOR SCHRDINGER EQUATION AND ITS CONSERVATION

Energy conservation of nonlinear Schrodinger ordinary differential equation was proved through using continuous finite element methods of ordinary differential equation; Energy integration conservation was proved through using space-time continuous fully discrete finite element methods and the electron nearly conservation with higher order error was obtained through using time discontinuous only space continuous finite element methods of nonlinear Schrodinger partial equation. The numerical results are in accordance with the theory.

A Modified Back/Forward Sweep Method Based on the Electricity Consumption Data

With the development of distribution automation system, the centralized meter reading system has been adopted more and more extensively, which provides real-time electricity consumption data of end-users, and consequently lays foundation for operating condition on-line analysis of distribution network. In this paper, a modified back/forward sweep method, which directly uses real-time electricity consumption data acquired from the centralized meter reading system, is proposedto realize voltage analysis based on 24-hour electricity consumption data of a typical transformer district. Furthermore, the calculated line losses are verified through data collected from the energy metering of the distribution transformer, illustrating that the proposed method can be applied in analyzing voltage level and discovering unknown energy losses, which will lay foundation for on-line analysis, calculation and monitoring of power distribution network.

SPACE-TIME DISCONTINUOUS GALERKIN METHOD FOR MAXWELL EQUATIONS IN DISPERSIVE MEDIA

In this paper, a unified model for time-dependent Maxwell equations in dispersive media is considered. The space-time DG method developed in [29] is applied to solve the un-derlying problem. Unconditional L2-stability and error estimate of order O？τr＋1＋hk＋1/2？ are obtained when polynomials of degree at most r and k are used for the temporal dis-cretization and spatial discretization respectively. 2-D and 3-D numerical examples are given to validate the theoretical results. Moreover, numerical results show an ultra-convergence of order 2r＋1 in temporal variable t.

A Space-Time Interior Penalty Discontinuous Galerkin Method for the Wave Equation

A new higher-order accurate space-time discontinuous Galerkin(DG)method using the interior penalty flux and discontinuous basis functions,both in space and in time,is pre-sented and fully analyzed for the second-order scalar wave equation.Special attention is given to the definition of the numerical fluxes since they are crucial for the stability and accuracy of the space-time DG method.The theoretical analysis shows that the DG discre-tization is stable and converges in a DG-norm on general unstructured and locally refined meshes,including local refinement in time.The space-time interior penalty DG discre-tization does not have a CFL-type restriction for stability.Optimal order of accuracy is obtained in the DG-norm if the mesh size h and the time stepΔt satisfy h≅CΔt,with C a positive constant.The optimal order of accuracy of the space-time DG discretization in the DG-norm is confirmed by calculations on several model problems.These calculations also show that for pth-order tensor product basis functions the convergence rate in the L∞and L2-norms is order p+1 for polynomial orders p=1 and p=3 and order p for polynomial order p=2.

PRECONDITIONED METHODS FOR SPACE-TIME ADAPTIVE PROCESSING

This paper introduces the preconditioned methods for Space-Time Adaptive Processing(STAP).Using the Block-Toeplitz-Toeplitz-Block(BTTB)structure of the clutter-plus-noise covari-ance matrix,a Block-Circulant-Circulant-Block(BCCB)preconditioner is constructed.Based on thepreconditioner,a Preconditioned Multistage Wiener Filter(PMWF)which can be implemented by thePreconditioned Conjugate Gradient(PCG)method is proposed.Simulation results show that thePMWF has faster convergence rate and lower processing rank compared with the MWF.

A Novel Staggered Semi-implicit Space-Time Discontinuous Galerkin Method for the Incompressible Navier-Stokes Equations

A new high-order accurate staggered semi-implicit space-time discontinuous Galerkin(DG)method is presented for the simulation of viscous incompressible flows on unstructured triangular grids in two space dimensions.The staggered DG scheme defines the discrete pressure on the primal triangular mesh,while the discrete velocity is defined on a staggered edge-based dual quadrilateral mesh.In this paper,a new pair of equal-order-interpolation velocity-pressure finite elements is proposed.On the primary triangular mesh(the pressure elements),the basis functions are piecewise polynomials of degree N and are allowed to jump on the boundaries of each triangle.On the dual mesh instead(the velocity elements),the basis functions consist in the union of piecewise polynomials of degree N on the two subtriangles that compose each quadrilateral and are allowed to jump only on the dual element boundaries,while they are continuous inside.In other words,the basis functions on the dual mesh arc built by continuous finite elements on the subtriangles.This choice allows the construction of an efficient,quadrature-free and memory saving algorithm.In our coupled space-time pressure correction formulation for the incompressible Navier-Stokes equations,the arbitrary high order of accuracy in time is achieved through tire use of time-dependent test and basis functions,in combination with simple and efficient Picard iterations.Several numerical tests on classical benchmarks confirm that the proposed method outperforms existing staggered semi-implicit space-time DG schemes,not only from a computer memory point of view,but also concerning the computational time.

An accurate and efficient space-time Galerkin spectral method for the subdiffusion equation

In this paper, we design and analyze a space-time spectral method for the subdiffusion equation.Here, we are facing two difficulties. The first is that the solutions of this equation are usually singular near the initial time. Consequently, traditional high-order numerical methods in time are inefficient. The second obstacle is that the resulting system of the space-time spectral approach is usually large and time-consuming to solve. We aim at overcoming the first difficulty by proposing a novel approach in time, which is based on variable transformation techniques. Suitable ψ-fractional Sobolev spaces and a new variational framework are introduced to establish the well-posedness of the associated variational problem. This allows us to construct our space-time spectral method using a combination of temporal generalized Jacobi polynomials(GJPs) and spatial Legendre polynomials. For the second difficulty, we propose a fast algorithm to effectively solve the resulting linear system. The fast algorithm makes use of a matrix diagonalization in space and QZ decomposition in time. Our analysis and numerical experiments show that the proposed method is exponentially convergent with respect to the polynomial degrees in both space and time directions, even though the exact solution has very limited regularity.

Modeling and optimization of a multi-carrier renewable energy system for zero-energy consumption buildings

For the carbon-neutral,a multi-carrier renewable energy system(MRES),driven by the wind,solar and geothermal,was considered as an effective solution to mitigate CO2emissions and reduce energy usage in the building sector.A proper sizing method was essential for achieving the desired 100%renewable energy system of resources.This paper presented a bi-objective optimization formulation for sizing the MRES using a constrained genetic algorithm(GA)coupled with the loss of power supply probability(LPSP)method to achieve the minimal cost of the system and the reliability of the system to the load real time requirement.An optimization App has been developed in MATLAB environment to offer a user-friendly interface and output the optimized design parameters when given the load demand.A case study of a swimming pool building was used to demonstrate the process of the proposed design method.Compared to the conventional distributed energy system,the MRES is feasible with a lower annual total cost(ATC).Additionally,the ATC decreases as the power supply reliability of the renewable system decreases.There is a decrease of 24%of the annual total cost when the power supply probability is equal to 8%compared to the baseline case with 0%power supply probability.

A VERTICAL LAYERED SPACE-TIME CODE AND ITS CLOSED-FORM BLIND SYMBOL DETECTION

Vertical layered space-time codes have demonstrated the enormous potential to accommodate rapid flow data. Thus far, vertical layered space-time codes assumed that perfect estimates of current channel fading conditions are available at the receiver. However, increasing the number of transmit antennas increases the required training interval and reduces the available time in which data may be transmitted before the fading coefficients change. In this paper, a vertical layered space-time code is proposed. By applying the subspace method to the layered space-time code, the symbols can be detected without training symbols and channel estimates at the transmitter or the receiver. Monte Carlo simulations show that performance can approach that of the detection method with the knowledge of the channel.

Impact of Evaluation of Different Irrigation Methods with Sensor System on Water Consumptive Use and Water Use Efficiency for Maize Yield

The sensor system is one of the modern and important methods of irrigation management in arid and semi-arid areas, which is water as the limiting factor for crop production. The study was applied for 2016 and 2017 seasons out in Al-Yousifya, 15 km Southwest of Baghdad. A study was conducted to evaluate coefficient uniformity, uniformity distribution and application efficiency for furrow, surface drip and subsurface drip irrigation methods and it was (98, 97 and 89)% and (97, 96 and 88)% for 2016 and 2017 seasons;respectively. And control the volumetric moisture content according to the rhizosphere depth for depths of 10, 20 and 30 cm by means of the sensor system. The results indicated that the height consumptive water use of furrow 707.91 and 689.69 mm·season-1 and the lowest for subsurface drip with emitter deep at 20 cm 313.93 and 293.50 mm·season-1 for 2016 and 2017 seasons;respectively. As well, the highest value of water use efficiency for subsurface in drip irrigation at a depth of 20 cm, was 2.71 and 2.99 kg·m-3 and the lowest value for furrow irrigation was 1.12 and 1.20 kg·m-3 for the 2016 and 2017 seasons;respectively.

Analytical approximate solution for nonlinear space-time fractional Klein Gordon equation

The fractional derivatives in the sense of Caputo and the homotopy analysis method are used to construct an approximate solution for the nonlinear space-time fractional derivatives Klein-Gordon equation. The numerical results show that the approaches are easy to implement and accurate when applied to the nonlinear space-time fractional derivatives Klein- Gordon equation. This method introduces a promising tool for solving many space-time fractional partial differential equations. This method is efficient and powerful in solving wide classes of nonlinear evolution fractional order equations.